VIX market is giving the clear signs of recession coming very very soon try not to get stuck holding the bags !Volatility S&P 500 Index forum
๏ปฟVIX market is giving the clear signs of recession coming very very soon try not to get stuck holding the bags !
VIX It's been a while since I've posted about VIX but here is an observation I've made recently. I start the day by drawing a box from the premarket high to low and drag it to the end of the session. I think it provides a useful piece of context that can suggest whether or not dealers and institutions (who trade during the regular session) are contributing to volatility or working to absorb it. I do the same thing with the previous day's postmarket range on SPY, which produces similar insights. tradingview.com/x/tJdIGtdc/
VIX reacting oddly to news -- people aren't afraid enough these days. Everyone just embraces poor data
VIX looks like it could rip to 20 imo
VIX And up we goo!!!
VIX This should take one more dip towards 13.5-13.8VIX Load up :) Seeya at > $20 in September
VIX Trend down continues
VIX this should gap backUp to $17 range and ride it out from there
VIX ๐ VIX & Market Sentiment SnapshotCurrent Value: 15.10
Previous Close: 14.62
52-Week Range: 12.70 - 60.13
Trend: Low volatility, mild contango (futures above spot)
๐จ๐ Fear & Greed Sentiment
Current Reading: Greed (e.g., VIX below 20 suggests stability/optimism)
Key Drivers:
S&P 500 near all-time highs (positive momentum)
Low VIX signals investor complacency
Junk bond demand indicates risk appetite
๐ง Investor Sentiment Breakdown
Retail Traders: Bullish (buying tech/AI stocks)
Institutional Traders: Cautious (hedging with bonds; monitoring Fed policy)
๐ Macro & Fundamental Highlights
Federal Reserve Policy: Rate cut expectations high for September
Economic Data:
Consumer Confidence: Slight decline
Home Prices: Slowest growth since 2023
Earnings Momentum: Strong (tech sector beats estimates)
Risks: Fed political pressure; seasonal volatility (August historical spike)
๐๐ป Overall Market Outlook
Bullish Score: High (short-term optimism from tech earnings/rate cuts)
Bearish Risks: Moderate (volatility seasonality; Fed uncertainty)
Summary: Market leans bullish but vulnerable to sudden volatility shifts.
๐ก Key Takeaways
Low VIX suggests calm, but August seasonality warns of potential spikes
Tech earnings (e.g., Nvidia) critical for momentum
Monitor Fed independence and geopolitical risks