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US500.F trade ideas

S&P 500 Bullish Rounding Bottom in PlayS&P 500 continues its upward trajectory, supported by a clearly defined rounding bottom formation. Price has successfully broken above the neckline resistance, followed by a technical pullback which was met with a strong buy reaction, validating this zone as a key demand area. This pullback area now acts as a critical structural base and the current bounce reinforces bullish continuation bias. The active plan is to accumulate within the buy-back zone and follow the path laid out in the chart towards the projected upside targets. Drop your stock requests in the comments for a quick analysis, only US-listed stocks will be reviewed under this post.
SP:SPX
by weslad
19
S&P 500: Bearish For The Short Term! Sell It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 4-8th: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P 500 rose Friday to fresh highs, following a busy week of tariff updates and earnings. The S&P ended the week with its fifth straight record close, its longest such streak in over a year. No reason to consider selling. Wait for pullbacks to FVGs for high probability buys. FOMC and NFP loom. Be careful to avoid new entries during news times. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
FX:SPX500Short
by RT_Money
5
What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500 A technical and macro setup ahead of the inflation release Next week’s CPI report could be one of the most important data points of the quarter, not just for the Fed, but for traders watching the S&P500 (SPX) at these elevated levels. We’ve seen inflation data act like a volatility trigger in recent months, especially when it diverges from market expectations. And with the S&P flirting with key resistance, the stage is set for either a breakout or a reversal. Let’s break down both the macro implications and the technical chart setup heading into the release. Why CPI Matters? If headline CPI comes in hot, markets may price in fewer Fed cuts this year. Yields spike and SPX often reacts with a sharp pullback. If inflation cools faster than expected, the Fed may stay dovish. That typically gives SPX and risk assets broadly room to breathe higher. Current expectations: - Headline CPI: 3.2 percent - Core CPI: 3.4 percent Anything above those numbers is risk-off. Anything below supports the soft landing narrative. Technical Setup on SPX On the 4H and daily chart, here’s what we’re seeing: - Price hovering around a key resistance zone between 5,660 and 5,680 - Rising wedge structure starting to form, typically a bearish sign near market tops - Bearish RSI divergence on 1D chart - Volume has been declining on recent pushes higher, showing lack of conviction Key Levels - Support: 5,615 and 5,575 - Breakout Target (if CPI is dovish): 5,750 to 5,770 - Downside Target (if CPI surprises hot): 5,500 to 5,480 Watch for a volatility spike on the release and be cautious about chasing the first move. My Play I’m personally staying flat heading into the data. Too much chop, not enough conviction. But I’ll be watching for: - A false breakout trap above 5,680 followed by reversal as a possible short setup - Or a clear retest and hold above 5,700 with volume, which may confirm further upside CPI has become the new FOMC. Be patient and reactive, not predictive. Final Thought CPI prints used to be background noise. Not anymore. This one matters, and SPX is sitting in a technical pressure cooker. Whatever side you lean toward, come in with a plan and don’t trade the first candle.
FX:SPX500
by Farzadvajihi
1
SP500 H4 analysis Breakdown TrendlineChart Components Observed: Ichimoku Cloud: For trend and support/resistance visualization. Uptrend line (manually drawn): Connecting higher lows since early May 2025. Support break: Price has recently broken below the trendline and below the Ichimoku cloud. Current Price: 6,237.15 (▼ -1.64%) --- 📉 Analysis Summary: The trendline and Ichimoku cloud were acting as major dynamic support. A bearish breakdown has occurred — price closed below the trendline and the cloud. This suggests a potential trend reversal or correction underway. --- 🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion (Short Entry) 🟢 Entry Target (Short Position): Sell Entry: Around 6,237 – 6,245 (current zone or slight pullback) If price retests the underside of the broken trendline/cloud, that's a better entry confirmation. 📉 Take Profit Levels: 1. TP1: 6,130 (recent consolidation zone) 2. TP2: 6,000 (psychological + historical support) 3. TP3: 5,880 (next major support based on previous consolidation in early June) 🛡 Stop Loss: SL: 6,300 – 6,310 (above the cloud and broken trendline for safe buffer) --- 📊 Risk Management: Position size should be based on your account size, using 1–2% risk per trade. Watch the S&P futures and macro news (e.g., U.S. data, Fed news) to avoid whipsaw.
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by ALGO_Trading_point
5
US500 Pulls Back from 6,400– Correction or Trend Shift?The index has rejected the 6,400 🔼 resistance zone with a strong bearish candle, pulling back toward the 6,200 🔽 support region. Price is still trading within a bullish structure, but this drop may signal early signs of exhaustion. Support Levels: 6,200 🔽, 6,100 🔽, 6,000 🔽 Resistance Levels: 6,300 🔼, 6,400 🔼 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: If price holds above 6,200 and reclaims 6,300, the uptrend remains intact and bulls may reattempt a push toward 6,400. 🔽 Bearish: A daily close below 6,200 could open a deeper retracement toward 6,100 or even 6,000. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by SPOT_FX
S&P500 corrective pullback key support at 6200Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6316 Resistance Level 2: 6374 Resistance Level 3: 6430 Support Level 1: 6200 Support Level 2: 6112 Support Level 3: 6073 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
2
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 1, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading activity of the previous week, the S&P 500 Index displayed a predominantly bearish movement after completing our Outer Index Rally target of 6420, as highlighted in the prior week’s Daily Chart Analysis, with the primary objective now being to plug our Mean Support at 6200. It is essential to recognize that the current price movement may trigger a significant further pullback to the Mean Support level of 6090. Following this downturn, it is expected that the index will resume its upward momentum, aiming for a retest of the Outer Index Rally peak at 6420.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Correction will be to 6050-6190, probably the upper limit Now I notice something very important and things and the analyses of many actually coincide. Monthly support from the accumulated volume lies between 6050 and 6170. 4h indicators show a clear reversal. Separately, at these levels are the previous ATH. In my opinion, it is possible to stop even at 6180-6190. We will probably start with a gap on Monday. Now here comes the moment and over the weekend what will take place as conversations and statements in the media, but it is very likely that the minimum could happen as early as Monday night (USA time) or by Tuesday. I agree that this correction was necessary and should have happened as soon as possible because things became difficult even for bulls like me.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by kometata
3
The Low Is In: Why the S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bullish Reversal🔥 The Low Is In: Why the S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Major Bullish Reversal 🔥 The market just gave us a gift. After weeks of drifting lower and sentiment turning cautious, the S&P 500 has touched — and bounced — off a critical rising trendline for the third time since May 2025. That third touch isn't just a technical coincidence… it's often the launchpad for a new impulsive leg higher. 📈 The Power of the 3rd Touch: Trendline Validation Complete Look at the chart. This isn’t guesswork. Since May, the S&P 500 has been respecting a well-defined ascending trendline, one that connects multiple higher lows during this bull run. The first touch was the May liftoff after the April consolidation. The second came in June — a clean retest and bounce. Now, as of early August, the third touch has held once again, exactly where the bulls needed it most. This isn’t a random line on a chart. This is institutional flow stepping in to defend structure. And when a rising trendline holds for a third time after a strong uptrend? That’s a classic continuation signal. 📉 RSI Washout + Structural Support = Perfect Storm for a Bottom The RSI printed a dramatic dip to ~32, a level that screams “oversold” on the 4-hour timeframe. But notice the context — it happened right at structural support. This is not weakness. This is accumulation. Big players shake out weak hands on low timeframes… right before they send it. 🧠 Sentiment Is Offside… Again Let’s not forget: this retrace came after a huge run-up since March. People expected a deeper correction. Bears started getting loud again. That’s how bull markets trap you — by convincing you it’s over right before the next leg higher. And with macro tailwinds (liquidity expansion, fiscal spend, tariff rollbacks), earnings season beats, and global capital rotation into U.S. equities, this setup is ripe for a violent upside squeeze. 🚀 8,700 in Sight: My End-of-Year Price Target Is Very Much in Play Today’s close around 6,220 means the S&P 500 would need to rally ~40% to hit my target of 8,700 by year-end. Sounds crazy? Not if you’ve seen what happens during parabolic melt-ups. This isn’t just hope: 📊 Strong breadth under the surface 🏛️ Dovish policy pivot now expected in Q4 💸 Retail and institutional capital both re-engaging 📉 Bond yields are starting to roll over, supporting equity valuations When bull markets enter their euphoria phase, they don’t stop at “reasonable” targets. They blast through them. 💡 The Setup Is Textbook — Now It’s About Execution ✅ Trendline defended ✅ RSI reset ✅ Sentiment shaken out ✅ Structure intact The technicals just aligned with the macro. The low is in — and the runway to 8,700 is wide open. Strap in. Q4 could be one for the history books.
SP:SPXLong
by DanOxAm
The worst drops often come later!Don’t be fooled by the first crash… The worst drops often come later in a bear market. Let’s break down the brutal truth about the 2008 GFC and what it teaches us today. 🧵 1. In the 2007–2009 bear market, the S&P 500 had 7 failed rallies before finally bottoming. Every bounce looked like the bottom — and every one was a trap. 👇 2. The early drops were steep: 🔻 Down 11% 🔻 Down 17% But the most violent crashes came after those… Near the END — not the beginning — of the bear market. 3. Later stage declines: ❌ Down 28% ❌ Down 36% ❌ Down 29% That’s when capitulation kicked in. Investors gave up. Fear took over. 4. Capitulation volume isn’t a guaranteed bottom. It feels like it’s over. But if fundamentals haven’t turned and the trend isn’t broken, the bear can still bite — hard. 5. Final crashes are like cliffs: Markets are exhausted. Hope is crushed. And that’s finally when the real bottom shows up. 6. The lesson? Bear markets are full of traps. Relief rallies can fool even seasoned pros. Stay patient. Wait for trend confirmation. Don’t chase fake bottoms. 7. 📉 The biggest crashes usually happen at the end of the bear market. That’s the final flush — and it sets the stage for true opportunity. Learn from the past. Don’t get trapped. Stay sharp.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Badcharts
1
Is This the Start of a Market Drop?So, is the drop beginning? It kind of looks that way, but there’s still no solid setup for entering a short position — and there hasn’t been so far. The trend is still upward for now, and this current pullback might just be temporary. What I like about the short idea is that August is traditionally a weak month for stocks . Could this be the start of a big correction on the market? Yes, it’s possible. It’s just a pity there’s no clean setup for a short. I’d like to enter, but I’d prefer to see a bit more confirmation on the chart itself. In general, trading the index off of chart setups isn’t easy — perfect entries are rare. That’s exactly the case now. I’m watching and wondering how and when to catch the downside. Maybe I’ll end up sitting through the entire drop without a position :) Overall, I’m in favor of the short — but for now, I just don’t see a clear entry point.
SP:SPXShort
by kventinka
Correction Ahead? SP500 Prints Reversal Signal at Key Resistance📘 This market moves like a textbook chart SP500 is acting like a perfect case study from a trading manual. Back in early April, the index dipped just below 5,000, right into a confluence support zone ( I had spoken about this at the time ) – formed by the long-term ascending trendline and the 2022 all-time high. Just like other U.S. indices, the market reversed aggressively from that area. 🚀 A 30% rally in 4 months From that low, SP500 rallied around 30% in just four months. An incredible move that brought the index straight to the upper boundary of the yearly rising channel. 🕯️ Bearish signal at the top And just like in NAS100’s case , the index printed a strong Bearish Engulfing candle exactly at that resistance level. This kind of signal, after such a rise, shouldn’t be ignored. 📉 A correction is not only probable – it’s needed A pullback from here is not just likely, but in my opinion, healthy and necessary . Short-term speculators could look for a move toward the 6,150 zone, which would already offer decent room for profit. 🔍 What if it goes deeper? I wouldn’t be surprised to see a correction down to 5,750–5,800. That’s about a 10% decline, which wouldn't even classify as a bear market, just a normal reset after a euphoric rally. 🧠 Perspective matters In a market that gained 30% in four months, a 10% correction is not a crash — it’s discipline being restored. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Mihai_Iacob
10