S&P500 H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently within the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 6,817
- Strong overlap support
- 23.6% Fib retracement
- 127.2% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 6,774
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 6,874
- Swing high resistance
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Trade ideas
Shutdown Ends, Uncertainty Remains | SPX500 Holds Below 6866SPX500 | Overview
Trump Signs Bill to End Longest U.S. Government Shutdown
U.S. President Donald Trump signed a bill late at night in the Oval Office, officially ending the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, after a dinner with Jamie Dimon and top Wall Street executives.
While markets welcomed the resolution, the White House confirmed that some economic data gaps may be permanent, as October’s employment and CPI reports might never be released—a factor that could influence future Fed decision-making.
Technically:
The SPX500 has stabilized below the pivot zone at 6866, indicating continued bearish momentum with downside potential toward 6844 and 6813.
As long as the price trades below 6866, the bearish bias remains active.
However, a 1H close above 6888 would shift sentiment to bullish, targeting 6918 and a potential new all-time high (ATH) around 6940.
Pivot Line: 6866
Resistance: 6888 · 6918 · 6940
Support: 6844 · 6813 · 6768
SPX – Deep Correction or Opportunity for a Rebound?While the S&P 500 has seen impressive recoveries recently, current technical signals and macroeconomic factors indicate a high likelihood of a deep decline in the short term.
From a macroeconomic perspective , rising bond yields and excessive optimism about tech stocks have contributed to a strong correction in the SPX. Additionally, concerns about the Fed not continuing to cut interest rates have increased caution in the market.
From a technical analysis standpoint, SPX is currently facing strong resistance around 6,850. The chart shows that the index is trading near an upward trendline, but if it breaks the 6,600 support, SPX could continue to fall sharply to 6,550 in the medium term.
Conclusion: With both technical and macroeconomic factors supporting a bearish trend, the likelihood of SPX continuing a sharp correction in the next 24-48 hours is very high. If the price fails to hold the 6,600 support, a deeper decline is a likely scenario.
Recommendation: Monitor key support and resistance levels and consider opening a SELL position if the price confirms a break of these critical support zones.
$SPX Hi, we are back with another one: SP:SPX !!!
As we can see we have SP:SPX sitting at $6796.30 with and expectation for a 65% pump.
That would bring us around $9-$10K per 1 SP:SPX .
Wouldn't that be incredible if we can see this by 2026 -2028 ?
What a time to be alive no ?
Don't forget to comment like and share for good luck :) !!!
SPX500 - 5000 & 5500 PUT, exp June 2026📉👍
SPX500 short with 5000 & 55000 PUT exp June 2026.
Take your pick...
AI hype & capital overcommitment
China beginning to catch up in GPU compute capability, pulling away capital from nvidia
Degrading consumer credit (BNPL, Auto loans, housing)
Increased govermant debt, geo-political decoupling
China rare earth mineral threats
Possible overturn on the Trumps tarrifs by the supreme court, requiring repatriations to be paid back to foreign countries
SPX QuantSignals V3 0DTE – High-Conviction PUT Alert SPX 0DTE Signal | 2025-11-13
Market Context:
SPX faces heavy selling pressure after a -1.22% intraday drop, with RSI at an extreme 8.1 (oversold zone). Despite Katy AI’s neutral 50% confidence, momentum and sentiment indicate short-term downside continuation.
AI Insight (QuantSignals V3):
Confidence: 72% (Medium)
Predicted Range: $6769 → $6667 (-1.5%)
Gamma Risk: Low
Flow Intel: Neutral
Signal Type: 0DTE PUT
Trade Setup:
🎯 Strike: 6770 PUT (Exp. 2025-11-13)
💵 Entry: $15.30
🎯 Target 1: $22.80 (+50%)
🎯 Target 2: $30.60 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $10.70 (-30%)
📏 Position Size: 2% (Low-Moderate Risk)
🕒 Exit By: 2:00 PM ET (Time Decay Risk)
Technical Summary:
EMA alignment: Bearish
RSI: 8.1 (Extreme Oversold)
MACD: -6.23 (Bearish)
Support: $6667.58 (Katy stop)
Resistance: $6869.91 (session high)
Key Notes:
⚠️ Katy’s model predicts upside, but real-time technicals override AI summary.
⚡ Momentum + sentiment confirm short-term PUT bias.
📉 Use tight stop & scale profits fast — 0DTE = fast decay.
SPX 1H – Rejection at Parabolic Midline | 11/13 UpdateSPX rejected cleanly from the 10/28–10/29 supply zone and the parabolic midline (blue). The lower parabolic channel on 11/10 ( check the chart ) - this level that flipped from support to resistance after Nov 10.
Currently, price is testing the 10/24 High R zone (~6774) with strong downside momentum shown on Heikin Ashi
Key Levels:
Resistance: 6830–6870 (midline + prior rejection block)
Suport 1: 6780 (10/24 High R)
Support 2: 6720–6650 (10/2–10/9 & 9/16–11/7 demand zones)
Scenarios:
Bounce: If 6780 holds, expect a short-term relief rally toward 6830–6850 (mean reversion).
Breakdown: A 1H close below 6775 opens room for 6720 and possibly 6650.
Overall momentum remains bearish after rejection from the parabolic curve. Bulls must reclaim 6830+ to shift structure.
S&P500 (US500): Important Breakout & Bullish Continuation
US500 likely completely a correctional movement,
breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame.
I think that a bullish wave is going to start soon
and the market will reach at least to 6917 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
S&P 500 H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 6,849.07
- Strong overlap support
- 50% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 6,814.5
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 6,883.1
- Strong overlap resistance
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Bullish continuation in play?S&P500 (US500) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 6,827.13
1st Support: 6,745.48
1st Resistance: 7,006.51
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End of the 2025 Shutdown: Immediate Impact on LiquidityThe reopening of the U.S. government at the end of the 2025 shutdown is expected to trigger a swift return of liquidity to financial markets. This recurring phenomenon will have a distinct magnitude this time due to the specific conditions of the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) and the current federal funding structure.
1) A fiscal context unlike previous shutdowns
In past episodes, notably in 2019, the U.S. Treasury exited the shutdown with very low cash balances—typically between $100 and $200 billion. To rebuild this buffer, it had to issue large amounts of short-term Treasury bills, which drained liquidity from the banking system as investors used reserves to buy the securities.
In 2025, the situation is reversed. The Treasury holds a high cash balance—estimated between $850 and $900 billion—because the federal government’s account at the Fed (the TGA) was replenished at the end of September. This provides ample room to finance near-term public spending without issuing new debt. The result is an absence of pressure on money markets and stable bank reserves.
2) Liquidity injections from day one
With abundant cash reserves, the Treasury can promptly resume pending payments—federal salaries, public contracts, and suspended programs. These payments act as direct liquidity injections into the financial system, starting within the first weeks following the end of the shutdown.
In previous reopenings, this process began only after three to four weeks. In 2025, it could start as early as week one or two, significantly shortening the normalization timeline for market liquidity.
3) Moderate but positive market effects
This faster liquidity return should lead to:
• unchanged or slightly lower bond yields, given steady demand and the absence of additional issuance;
• a slightly weaker dollar, reflecting easier financing conditions.
Overall, this points to a quicker and more orderly normalization of the monetary system compared to 2019, potentially supporting risk assets in the short term.
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US500 Recovery on Imminent US Government Shutdown DealFundamental Analysis
The US500 is driven by strong Q3 earnings and a recovery in risk sentiment due to the imminent resolution of the US government shutdown. Market odds for a December Fed rate cut are high, boosting equity valuations. However, index gains are uneven, highly concentrated in the "Magnificent 7" tech mega-caps.
Technical Analysis
The index is in a well-defined upward channel, with dynamic support at the EMA 21. The RSI is bullish but nearing overbought territory, though all major moving averages signal a "buy." Short-term volatility (VIX) is low, supporting a continued grind higher. Key levels are 6,805 Support and 6,920 Resistance.
Sentiment Analysis
Optimism prevails following the drop in the VIX, indicating subsiding turbulence. Funds are positioning for a low-volatility climb. However, caution exists regarding high valuations in tech and signs of rotation into defensive sectors. Commentators view recent dips as routine corrections.
Outlook
The year-end target remains near 7,000, contingent on sustained macroeconomic stability and continued Fed dovishness. Pullbacks are expected to be buying opportunities given solid corporate profitability and continued AI enthusiasm. The core uptrend remains intact barring major policy or geopolitical surprises.
Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Market Strategist at Exness
US500: Breaking Out of the Falling ChannelUS500: Breaking Out of the Falling Channel
The US500 index has finally broken out from its falling channel, signaling a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend.
After a strong recovery from recent lows, price action suggests a possible pullback to retest the breakout zone before targeting higher levels.
If momentum continues, we could see buyers pushing the index toward the 6,875 resistance zone first — and if that level gives way, the next target sits around 6,985.
Key levels to watch:
🎯Target 1: 6,875
🎯Target 2: 6,985
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
S&P500 H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 6,811.61
- Pullback support
- 50% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 6,773.85
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 6,848.7
- Overlap resistance
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
SPX since 1877 & 1896 & 1932-2021 & beyond. Waddup MM !!! 9 Years & 18 months. I choose the first largest three crashes as a base for cycles nothing more nothing less.
WADDUP MARKET MAKERS, CAN YOU SHARE THE PROBABILITIES OF YOUR ALGOS ;-) .
Blue adjusted for time = Action in June. Red and green = Action in July . It is like a
puzzle. Waddup MMs share the knowledge.
Congress Set to End Shutdown | SPX500 Holds Strong Above 6877SPX500 | Overview
U.S. Congress Poised to Get Back to Work
The U.S. government is on the verge of reopening, potentially restoring pay to federal workers and reviving key economic data releases that have been halted for weeks — leaving the Federal Reserve operating with limited visibility.
Renewed optimism over a resolution in Washington has boosted investor sentiment, supporting further upside in U.S. equities.
Technically:
The SPX500 has pushed higher and is now stabilized above the pivot level at 6877, indicating continuation of the bullish trend toward 6918 and 6941, with potential to reach new all-time highs (ATH) if momentum persists.
However, if the price closes a 1H candle below 6866, it would signal short-term weakness, leading to a bearish correction toward 6844 and 6814.
Pivot Line: 6877
Resistance: 6918 · 6941 · 6991
Support: 6845 · 6814 · 6797
SPX – Recovery Momentum Gradually ReturningThe U.S. stock market is regaining its upward rhythm after a period of correction, as investor sentiment improves notably on hopes that the U.S. government shutdown will soon end .
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index has stalled and bond yields have slightly declined , creating favorable conditions for capital to return to large-cap equities.
On the 4H chart, SPX maintains a steady ascending channel structure , and the sharp rebound from the 6,800 zone signals that buyers are regaining control.
The current setup suggests the index could continue rising toward the 7,000 level, before a minor technical pullback — a healthy move to build momentum for the next leg higher toward the upper boundary of the channel.
With market sentiment turning increasingly positive , supported by bullish forecasts from major institutions like UBS (targeting S&P 500 at 7,500 by 2026), the short-term bullish bias for SPX remains intact.
As long as 6,800 holds firm, the uptrend structure stays valid, reflecting growing confidence that the U.S. market recovery cycle is far from over.
$SPX: DIP BUYNG IS THE RULE FOR NOW The strategy of buying on dips has proven effective once again, underscoring the current strength of the market. The 10- and 20-day moving averages are no longer relevant as support or resistance levels; instead, their slopes indicate the short-term trend. We will focus on the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which remains in a positive slope. The key moving average for maintaining the upward trend is the 50-day SMA. The S&P 500 has easily recovered above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and is just 73 points away from its all-time high; it appears quite feasible to set a new record.
However, there is a slight concern regarding the technology sector, which seems to be carrying more weight in the market. If the end of the shutdown is indeed approaching, the uncertainty will likely conclude with the release of economic data. Therefore, given this display of market strength, a wait-and-see approach may develop, which could lead to sideways trading—a situation that could be quite frustrating.






















