SPX A question for options traders. If you are going to sell an option, the price should ideally move in the opposite direction that you hope for when you went long. If that’s the case how do you predict how long it would take for the option to expire OTM after you sell to avoid assignment? I take it you look at historical data but is there a particular method?Community discussions
SPX A question for options traders. If you are going to sell an option, the price should ideally move in the opposite direction that you hope for when you went long. If that’s the case how do you predict how long it would take for the option to expire OTM after you sell to avoid assignment? I take it you look at historical data but is there a particular method?
SPX very ominous gravestone doji... so dramatic! lol
US500 lets see yesterday low 6827, My hypothesis it will fall hard before closing which i am expecting then tomorrow it will open higher & then will go all the way down after powell speech ... that how bulls & bears both killedSPX pretty good little head and shoulders on the hourly chart
SPX Thinking price will drop to 6800 by end of week. There's a FVG there that will help see where it goes from there.
US500 normally decision of lowering the rate should be a positive effect on the market but what if this was already accounted for ?
SPX taking a gamble here 6830 puts 1.60 avg 5x will take any small profit, will get out if it drops to 1.00
SPX Market Maker Exposure for 12/9/25 - 12/12/25EOW $6890
Positioning: They start off loading starting at $6950
GEX: We're in the box of doom for now. this is the wiggle area and will kill any options you hold and decay premium along side with Theta. sell premium is the name of the game
VEX :
IV Down → dealer buy flows 6900 - 7000
IV Up → dealer sell flows cluster 6750 - 6600
CEX: The bid for 7050 is fading and getting more distributed as premium errors occur however the selling of premium at 6960-6975 is unchanged positioning suggests they're trapping right now. they're buying around 6700-6750 that's their drop area the support bottom is 6600
SPX Bounced off the VWAP anchor, could reverse back up. It’s been bouncing between upper ADR and top of ORB. VWAP anchor also bottom of demand zone.SPX Descending triangle on 2m chart, bearish pattern. I think we’ve topped out for today. Choppy rest of the day.