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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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USD: Post FOMC strength to 'peter out'? It was a very interesting FOMC meeting. during the build up to the event, the market was particularly exuberant pricing in at least 3 cuts before year end. So, it was no surprise the market ended up a little disappointed with chair POWELL'S narrative. The USD initially weakened but strengthend post press conference. I would suggest a USD long trade was very viable during the Asian session. But I currently find myself in a bit of limbo waiting to see if USD strength will be maintained, or whether the pre press conference narrative will return (weak USD). If pushed for an opinion, I suspect we are more likely to be going back to a 'short USD' narrative. Regardless of what the dollar does, the good news is, the S&P continues to be happy, the VIX remains low and the JPY is weak, all in all, my 'risk on bias' remains in tact.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 0.662. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.668 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Bearish Outlook: AUDUSD on Track Toward 0.66210Good day everyone, Ken here! I’ve been following AUDUSD rather closely, and it’s enjoyed a strong bullish move recently. Yet in my experience, such rallies rarely continue unchecked, and I sense this one may be nearing its peak. There are subtle signs of sellers beginning to position themselves. My attention is firmly on the 0.66210 area – a level I consider crucial. Should price provide a clear confirmation here, not merely through candle formations but also through volume behaviour, I would view it as a potential entry point. Naturally, the bullish scenario hasn’t vanished entirely. But for it to hold, buyers will need to demonstrate far greater conviction than they’ve shown so far. That’s my perspective for now. How do you see it – do you share this view, or does the chart tell you a different story?
Short
by Kenn_Nguyen
7
AUDUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25| 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
Bullish bounce off support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6619 1st Support: 0.6568 1st Resistance: 0.6689 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
AUDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.6663 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.6672 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6658 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish reversal setupThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.6689, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6742, which is an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 0.6620, whichis a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to boost and subscribe. Key Points - José Luis Escrivá, Governor of the Bank of Spain, said regarding Eurozone inflation: “There is still a lot of uncertainty. The scenario we considered most likely is unfolding, but that does not mean unexpected situations will not arise,” signaling a hawkish view. - Steven Myron, a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, has been appointed as a Federal Reserve Board Governor and will attend this FOMC meeting. The market is balancing concerns over the Fed’s independence with expectations of rate cuts. - Markets are focused on whether the Fed’s dot plot will signal just two rate cuts this year or increase to three cuts. Major Economic Events This Week + September 17: Eurozone August CPI, Bank of Canada rate decision, FOMC results + September 18: Bank of England rate decision + September 19: Bank of Japan rate decision AUDUSD Chart Analysis After breaking above the 0.66000 level, the pair climbed to 0.67000. While there was a possibility of a short-term pullback in this zone, the current trend suggests the uptrend is likely to continue. The most probable target for the next high is around the 0.69000 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
AUDUSD – Testing the 0.6670 Resistance -->Breakout ? Hello everyone, let’s discuss OANDA:AUDUSD ! Today, the pair maintains its bullish momentum, trading near 0.6670 since the start of the session. The Aussie dollar is strengthening as demand for risk-sensitive assets rises, fueled by solid expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin its monetary easing campaign this Wednesday. Technical View: AUDUSD remains highly attractive as price continues to respect the ascending trendline, supported by EMA 34/89. At the moment, it’s testing the 0.6670 resistance zone – a key level that will decide the next move. If the pair holds above the trendline, a breakout above resistance could open the way for higher targets. What do you think? Will AUDUSD break through resistance and launch a fresh rally? Share your views below!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
11
AUDUSD Gains Momentum Ahead of Fed DecisionDollar has been weakening, in particular since August 22nd when Powell spoke at Jackson Hole, acknowledged rising inflation risks, and more importantly, weakening labor data. Back then he signaled that the Fed could adjust rates with a 25 or possibly even a 50 basis point cut this Wednesday. Looking at FX pairs, what stands out to me is that we are clearly in risk-on mode, with commodity currencies doing very well since late August. Aussie is up almost 4% from the August 22nd lows, while other majors are lagging behind that performance. So it may not be a bad idea to focus on Aussie for potential longs versus the US dollar, especially considering inflation in Australia increased on a yearly basis from 1.9% in June to 2.8% in July, as reported on August 27th. This shows inflation is still a problem in Australia, so the RBA may not be looking to cut rates, which makes AUDUSD attractive on the upside. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I also like the impulsive characteristics on Aussie from the August 22nd close. In my view, we are still in an incomplete five-wave cycle, with the recent push beyond the July highs being wave three. After the next pullback in wave four, there could be a strong rebound, with the 0.6625 level standing out as attractive support on dips. I’ll certainly keep a close eye on this zone if a retracement occurs. It’s also worth noting that Aussie is now trying to break the trendline from the 2021 highs, which could be an interesting breakout point and support the recovery, at least until the five-wave cycle completes on the 8-hour chart. Grega
Long
by ew-forecast
2
AUD: (AUDUSD) Bullish Continuation..?Hello traders in this weekly view AUD remains in long position, it have been up trending for couple weeks now and in respect to this structure the pair is heading towards the resistance area as we can see which there might be a partial breakout above the resistance with a target at 0.7169 as the next resistance. Meanwhile we anticipate a reversal below with a target at 0.6348 as the next partial support. Possible Outline; Hold on bullish position for long term trade and keep close eye on the resistance zone Follow up Thanks for reading
Long
by Blaisefxacademy
AUDUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D16 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D16 | Y25| 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.6619 1st Support: 0.6557 1st Resistance: 0.6689 Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
Long
by ICmarkets
Forex pricing depending on TikTok Trade talks between the US and China are occurring this week, and a major topic of conversation could be how TikTok can be severed from its Chinese government and Chinese/ Hong Kong corporate interests. How this plays out is could affect overall market sentiment in the U.S.–China trade relationship, which in turn could ripple through global risk assets. Forex pairs related to commodity exports or closely correlated with Chinese economic performance, like the Australian dollar (AUD), may see indirect effects. AUD/USD is currently in an uptrend in the short‐term, trading within an ascending channel. The latest candles show strong green closes with shallow pullbacks. That type of price action can indicates continuation rather than exhaustion, at least until the next key resistance zone. Key resistance potentially lies at ~0.6687, with a more significant barrier at ~0.67485. Support zones perhaps lie just below current prices: near the 9-day EMA. The 50-day EMA could provide a stronger support if the pair pulls back.
by BlackBull_Markets