SELL AUDUSD - Good trade for this week aheadAUDUSD Has broken through a powerful support zone (the green trendline) and has failed to break through the upper trend line (the resistance zone)... It is very likely to keep dropping towards the next major support level which is shown on the chart as the "take profit level"... AUDUSD has shown many clear signs of a downward trend ahead.
Trade ideas
AUDUSD-LONG IDEAAUDUSD is in bullish trend according to higher time frame. I have market the structure on the chart. it took a deep retracement of 0.79 fib level according to daily time frame.1h structure is also broken to the upside. Now it is retracing back according to 1 hour time frame. There is a gap in between the recent leg up which will most probably be filled so mark your entries at the given point using the buy limit order. Do your own research and analysis before taking any trade.
AUDUSD loadingAUDUSD is loading — and most people are asleep at the wheel. ⚙️
The setup’s too clean to ignore. Pressure’s building where no one’s looking.
Every candle’s a clue… if you can read it.
This isn’t noise — it’s a tell.
If you don’t see it yet, you will. 📈
Don’t wait till it’s obvious.
If you know, you know. 📈👁️
AUDUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
AUDUSD exchange rate in the forex window =0.65447
since April 2025 demand rally floor of 0.59165 Australian dollar demand owing to commodities demand globally broke the key resistance roof at 0.63740-0.63642,if GOLD /silver continues to rise AUD one more break of structure could touch 0.7000 level.
AU10Y=4.338%
RBA RATE =3.60%
US10Y=4.081%
FEDERAL FUND RATE = 3.75%-4.0%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL =0.15%-0.4% FAVOUR USD BUT NEGLIGIBLE DUE TO NARROW SPREED
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL= 0.257 FAVOUR AUD LONG
CARRY TRADE = FAVOUR AUD LONG
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK.
HEAD OF RBA =MICHELE BULLOCK
HEAD OF FEDS =JEROME POWELL
RBA UPCOMING EVENTS ON 4TH NOVEMBER 2025
Cash Rate FORECAST 3.60% PREVIOUS 3.60%
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
RBA Rate Statement
RBA Press Conference
USD ECONOMIC DATA REPORT
4TH NOVERMBER
Tentative
JOLTS Job Openings FORECAST 7.21M PREVIOUS 7.23
5TH NOV
USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 28K -32K
Final Services PMI 55.1 55.2
ISM Services PMI 50.8 50.0
Crude Oil Inventories -6.9M
#AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
AUDUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
AUDUSD exchange rate in the forex window =0.65447
since April 2025 demand rally floor of 0.59165 Australian dollar demand owing to commodities demand globally broke the key resistance roof at 0.63740-0.63642,if GOLD /silver continues to rise AUD one more break of structure could touch 0.7000 level.
AU10Y=4.338%
RBA RATE =3.60%
US10Y=4.081%
FEDERAL FUND RATE = 3.75%-4.0%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL =0.15%-0.4% FAVOUR USD BUT NEGLIGIBLE DUE TO NARROW SPREED
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL= 0.257 FAVOUR AUD LONG
CARRY TRADE = FAVOUR AUD LONG
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK.
HEAD OF RBA =MICHELE BULLOCK
HEAD OF FEDS =JEROME POWELL
RBA UPCOMING EVENTS ON 4TH NOVEMBER 2025
Cash Rate FORECAST 3.60% PREVIOUS 3.60%
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
RBA Rate Statement
RBA Press Conference
USD ECONOMIC DATA REPORT
4TH NOVERMBER
Tentative
JOLTS Job Openings FORECAST 7.21M PREVIOUS 7.23
5TH NOV
USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 28K -32K
Final Services PMI 55.1 55.2
ISM Services PMI 50.8 50.0
Crude Oil Inventories -6.9M
#AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
AUD/USD Daily AnalysisWith price moving in a bullish, expanding channel, we recently saw 2 pin candle test and reject support.
After breaking out from a daily consolidation, price peaked around 0.66200 and is now retesting the top of the previous consolidation.
We may see more upside in line with the current trend.
Look for a trading setup that meets your strategy rules.
AUDUSD - PREPARING FOR A NEW UPTREND?Symbol - AUDUSD
AUDUSD is currently in a corrective phase after breaking above the resistance of its descending channel. To maintain bullish momentum, the market needs a period of consolidation or the development of a trading range above 0.6525
The US dollar remains in consolidation, showing limited potential for further gains. Growing anticipation ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting could provide support for the Australian dollar.
The pair is moving into a distribution phase after a period of consolidation. The breakout above 0.6525 confirmed a clean break of the descending channel’s resistance, indicating the early stages of a potential trend reversal. Sustained price action above this level could open the door for continued upward movement.
Resistance levels: 0.6567, 0.6610
Support levels: 0.6525, 0.6493
At present, the pair is attempting to establish a shift in trend direction. The ongoing consolidation and distribution above the previously broken trendline are encouraging signs. However, forming a well-defined trading range will be crucial to confirm the beginning of a new short-term uptrend.
AUDUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W45 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD Stalls at Key Resistance: Is the Aussie Rally Over?AUDUSD Stalls at Key Resistance: Is the Aussie Rally Over? 🇦🇺🇺🇸 A Deep Dive for Nov 3-7
Hello, TradingView community! 👋 The Australian Dollar has shown impressive resilience, rallying hard before hitting a significant roadblock. It closed the week at 0.65451 , a level that is proving to be a formidable barrier. The easy part of the rally seems to be over, and now the hard work begins. Is this a healthy consolidation before a breakout, or is the Aussie running out of steam? The week of November 3rd to 7th will be a true test of its direction.
Let's dive deep into the charts, across all timeframes, blending classic technical analysis with modern indicators to build a robust trading plan. 🧭
🔭 The High-Level Perspective: Weekly & Daily Charts - A Rebound Meets a Wall
The market is a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The trend tells you who is winning.
The higher timeframes show a market that has bounced strongly from its lows but has now arrived at a critical juncture where the primary downtrend could resume.
Weekly Chart (1W) : From a Dow Theory perspective, the primary trend remains bearish (lower highs and lower lows). The recent rally is, for now, a corrective bounce. The price has rallied right up to the underside of the formidable Ichimoku Cloud, which is a major area of long-term resistance. A failure here would be technically very significant.
Daily Chart (1D) : On the daily chart, we see the bulls' challenge more clearly. The price has formed a Rising Wedge , a pattern that often serves as a bearish reversal signal. Furthermore, we are seeing the early stages of a potential bearish divergence on the RSI, where price is still pushing slightly higher, but the momentum oscillator is starting to lag behind.
🤺 The Swing Trader's Battlefield: 4-Hour & 1-Hour Analysis
For swing traders, the price action is showing clear signs of struggle and compression, signaling a big move is on the horizon.
4-Hour Chart (4H) : The Rising Wedge is exceptionally clear on this timeframe. The price is being squeezed into the apex of the pattern. The Bollinger Bands are contracting significantly, indicating that volatility is drying up. This "squeeze" is often the prelude to a violent expansion in price. In Wyckoff Theory terms, this could be the final "Upthrust After Distribution" (UTAD) before a markdown phase begins.
1-Hour Chart (1H) : The hourly chart shows the trend grinding to a halt. Price is oscillating tightly around the VWAP and a flat Ichimoku Cloud, which signifies a complete lack of short-term direction and a market in perfect equilibrium. This balance is unlikely to last. A break away from the cloud and VWAP will likely signal the next directional leg.
🔬 The Intraday Microscope: 30M, 15M, & 5M Views
For intraday traders, the current environment is choppy and difficult, demanding a focus on the boundaries of the immediate consolidation.
30M/15M Charts : These timeframes show the price action stuck in a tight Rectangle or consolidation box within the larger wedge. The RSI is hovering around the 50 mark, offering very few clues. This is a classic "wait and see" market for short-term traders. The smart money is waiting for the breakout.
5M Chart : On the 5-minute chart, scalpers can trade the range, but it's a high-risk endeavor. Be extremely cautious of bull traps at the top of the range and bear traps at the bottom. A move that looks promising can reverse in an instant. Wait for a breakout with a clear increase in volume before committing.
🎯 Actionable Trading Scenarios for the Week Ahead
The strategy is dictated by the converging patterns: we must be ready to act on a decisive breakout in either direction.
The Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Higher Probability) 🐻
Entry: A confirmed 4H candle close below the support of the Rising Wedge, which corresponds to the 0.6500 psychological level. This would signal that the bears have taken control from the bulls.
Targets: The first target would be the support zone at 0.6440 . A larger move would target the major daily support around 0.6380 .
Invalidation: A strong rally that breaks the top of the wedge and establishes a new higher high above 0.6580 .
The Bullish Breakout Scenario (Lower Probability) 🐂
Entry: A confirmed 4H candle close above the top of the Rising Wedge and the key resistance level of 0.6580 . This would signal a continuation of the rally and a potential long-term trend change.
Targets: The first target would be the major psychological level of 0.6650 , followed by the weekly resistance zone at 0.6720 .
Invalidation: A "false breakout" where the price pushes above 0.6580 only to be aggressively sold back down into the wedge.
Conclusion: A Decisive Break is Imminent
AUDUSD is at a critical inflection point. While the recent rally has been impressive, the price is now contending with significant overhead resistance and is forming a classic bearish reversal pattern. The weight of the technical evidence favors a bearish breakdown.
This week, patience will be rewarded . The market is coiling up for a big move. Let it reveal its intention, and then trade the confirmed break with discipline.
Do you think the Aussie will break out or break down? Share your charts and analysis in the comments below! 👇
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Trading forex involves a high level of risk.
AUD/USD – Waiting for the Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg?After rebounding strongly from October lows, AUD/USD is testing the 0.6580–0.6620 supply zone while staying above the key support area at 0.6520–0.6550.
On the macro side, the RBA remains data-dependent after pausing its rate cuts, citing sticky services inflation and resilient labor markets. Meanwhile, the USD has been capped by softer growth data and growing expectations for further Fed easing into early 2026 — a mix that keeps AUD/USD in recovery mode, at least short term.
COT positioning (last valid as of September 23, due to the CFTC shutdown) still reflected heavy speculative shorts on the Aussie — a structure that supported the recent bullish correction but is now outdated.
Retail sentiment shows 77% of traders short, suggesting a strong contrarian upside bias, consistent with the technical picture.
Seasonality data points to a mildly positive bias in October–November, typically followed by neutral behavior in December.
Technical structure:
Price has broken out of the descending channel and is building a short-term higher-low structure.
Support (demand zone): 0.6520–0.6550
Resistance (supply zone): 0.6580–0.6620 → breakout could extend toward 0.6680–0.6720
RSI: mid-range, indicating room for another impulse higher.
🎯 Trading Plan
Base scenario: Look for a pullback into 0.6520–0.6550 to rejoin the bullish leg targeting 0.6680–0.6720.
Alternative: A rejection from 0.6600–0.6620 could trigger a short-term correction toward 0.6500 before buyers return.
Invalidation: Daily close below 0.6475 (loss of structure).
⚙️ Bias: Short-term bullish, medium-term neutral-to-bullish.
🕒 Focus: RBA tone, Chinese PMIs, and U.S. ISM/labor data — all key for the next leg of AUD/USD.
AUDUSD BEARISH PROJECTIONTechnical Overview: AUD/USD (1H)
The chart displays a recent bearish reversal following a significant uptrend, suggesting that sellers have taken control in the short term.
1. Price Action and Trend Structure
Prior Trend: The pair experienced a strong upward move, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows from the mid-October period up to the recent peak around 0.6620.
Recent Reversal: Price topped out and has since experienced a sharp decline, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a shift in the short-term trend to bearish.
Current Consolidation: The price is currently consolidating in a small range, forming a potential bear flag or rectangle pattern just above a key support zone.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance:
Descending Trendline (Dynamic Resistance): A steep, short-term descending trendline is capping the price on its bounces.
Consolidation Box / Supply Zone: The upper boundary of the current consolidation area, approximately around 0.6560 - 0.6570. A break above this would negate the immediate bearish outlook.
Immediate Support:
Horizontal Support Zone: The most critical immediate support is a strong horizontal zone formed by previous price action, approximately between 0.6530 and 0.6540.
Uptrend Line (Dynamic Support): A long-term dashed uptrend line, originating from the mid-October lows, is converging with the horizontal support zone, creating a critical support confluence area.
3. Chart Pattern and Bearish Scenario
Bearish Setup: The price action since the peak, including the descending trendline and the horizontal consolidation, has the characteristics of a Continuation Pattern, such as a Bear Flag or a Descending Triangle (within the larger context of the current leg down).
Proposed Trade Direction (Indicated by Red Arrow): The chart creator has marked a bearish trade hypothesis, indicating an expectation for the price to break below the critical confluence support.
Downside Target (Target Support): The next major support area identified on the chart, highlighted by a lower horizontal box, is around 0.6500 - 0.6510. This is the projected target upon a confirmed downside break.
💡 Trading Implication
The current chart suggests a strong bias for a short-term continuation of the downtrend, provided the critical confluence support zone is decisively broken.
Bearish Confirmation: A solid candle close below the 0.6530-0.6540 support zone (and the dashed uptrend line) would likely confirm the short-term bearish continuation, targeting the next support area around 0.6500-0.6510.
Bullish Reversal: A breakout and sustained move above the descending trendline and the resistance box (0.6560-0.6570) would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and suggest a return to the previous strong bullish trend.
Risks and Limitations of ETF and Index Trading1. Market Risk: The Core Challenge
ETFs and index funds are designed to track the performance of a specific index, such as the Nifty 50, S&P 500, or NASDAQ-100. This means that if the underlying market declines, the ETF or index fund will also lose value.
Example:
During the 2020 pandemic crash, the Nifty 50 ETF lost over 35% of its value in a matter of weeks. Investors holding the ETF had no protection against this decline because ETFs are market-linked instruments.
Key takeaway:
ETFs are not immune to market downturns. While diversification helps reduce company-specific risks, systemic or market-wide risks cannot be avoided.
2. Tracking Error Risk
One of the most important limitations of ETFs and index funds is tracking error—the difference between the ETF’s performance and its benchmark index.
Causes of tracking error include:
Management fees: Even a 0.2% expense ratio can add up over time.
Dividends and cash holdings: If the ETF manager holds cash instead of being fully invested, returns will lag.
Rebalancing frequency: Delays or inefficiencies in adjusting to index changes can cause mismatches.
Transaction costs: Buying and selling underlying assets incur brokerage and spread costs.
Impact:
For instance, if the Nifty 50 gives a 10% return in a year but the ETF delivers only 9.6%, the 0.4% difference represents a tracking error.
Investor note:
While small tracking errors are normal, persistent or large deviations indicate poor fund management or structural inefficiencies.
3. Liquidity Risk
Liquidity plays a vital role in ETF and index trading. It refers to how easily you can buy or sell an ETF without significantly affecting its price.
Types of liquidity:
Primary liquidity: Based on the liquidity of the underlying securities.
Secondary liquidity: Based on the trading volume of the ETF itself.
The risk:
Some ETFs, especially thematic or sectoral ones, have low trading volumes. This means:
Wider bid-ask spreads.
Price gaps between the ETF and its net asset value (NAV).
Difficulty exiting positions during market stress.
Example:
During volatile market conditions, ETFs linked to small-cap indices or niche sectors may see spreads widen sharply, leading to losses even when the underlying index hasn’t fallen as much.
4. Counterparty Risk in Synthetic ETFs
Certain ETFs—known as synthetic ETFs—do not hold the actual securities of the index. Instead, they use derivatives (like swaps) to replicate performance. This introduces counterparty risk, meaning if the derivative provider defaults, investors may face losses.
Example:
If a European bank issues a swap-based ETF on the NASDAQ-100 and later faces financial distress, the ETF might fail to deliver accurate returns, even if the U.S. index performs well.
Lesson:
Always check whether an ETF is physical (holds real securities) or synthetic (uses swaps). Physical ETFs are generally safer for long-term investors.
5. Over-Concentration in Certain Sectors or Stocks
While ETFs offer diversification, index concentration remains a key limitation. Many indices are market-cap weighted, meaning larger companies dominate performance.
Example:
In the Nifty 50, the top five companies—Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Infosys, and TCS—often account for over 50% of the index weight.
So, if these few companies underperform, the entire index (and related ETFs) suffers, regardless of how other constituents perform.
Implication:
Investors mistakenly believe ETFs provide balanced diversification, but in practice, they may be overexposed to a handful of large-cap stocks or sectors, such as technology or banking.
6. Limited Upside Potential
ETFs and index funds are passive investment vehicles. They mirror the index and do not attempt to outperform it. Therefore, investors miss out on potential alpha generation that skilled active fund managers might deliver.
Scenario:
If a fund manager identifies high-growth small-cap stocks before they are included in an index, active portfolios may outperform. Meanwhile, index ETFs will only benefit once the stock becomes large enough to enter the index—by which time much of the growth may already be priced in.
Key understanding:
ETFs are ideal for steady, market-level returns, not for those seeking high, alpha-driven profits.
7. Volatility and Short-Term Fluctuations
ETFs are traded intraday, just like stocks. While this provides flexibility, it also introduces short-term volatility risk.
Risks include:
Sudden price swings during high volatility periods.
Emotional trading decisions due to frequent price visibility.
Potential divergence between ETF price and actual NAV.
Example:
During sharp market corrections, ETFs can trade temporarily below their NAV as panic selling sets in—known as price dislocation. Investors who sell at such times may lock in unnecessary losses.
8. Management and Operational Risk
Despite being “passive,” ETFs are not fully automated. They require management oversight, creation and redemption processes, and operational execution.
Any failure in these processes can harm investors.
Risks include:
Error in replication: Wrong index tracking or delayed rebalancing.
System failures: Trading halts or delayed settlements.
Custodian issues: Safekeeping errors in underlying assets.
Example:
If a fund fails to rebalance after an index change (say, replacing a stock in the Nifty 50), the ETF may not accurately reflect index performance, leading to return mismatches.
9. Currency Risk in International ETFs
When investors buy international or global ETFs (such as U.S. ETFs listed in India), currency fluctuations can significantly affect returns.
Example:
If an Indian investor buys an S&P 500 ETF and the U.S. dollar weakens against the Indian rupee, the investor’s return in INR terms will decline—even if the S&P 500 index itself rises.
Key takeaway:
Investors must consider currency hedging strategies or accept that forex volatility can amplify or reduce total returns.
10. Taxation Complexity
ETF taxation depends on the asset class—equity or debt—and the jurisdiction of the fund.
Investors often underestimate how tax treatment can affect net returns.
Example (India):
Equity ETFs: Short-term capital gains (STCG) taxed at 15%, long-term at 10% (beyond ₹1 lakh).
Debt ETFs: Taxed at slab rates, with no indexation benefit after 2023 tax law changes.
This can make debt-based ETFs less tax-efficient, particularly for short-term investors.
Lesson:
Taxation is not always straightforward, especially with international ETFs that may also face withholding taxes on dividends.
11. The Illusion of Safety and Simplicity
Many investors treat ETFs as inherently “safe” because they represent diversified indices. However, ETFs can carry hidden risks, such as:
Exposure to overheated sectors.
Dependence on market sentiment.
Herd behavior leading to bubbles.
Example:
During 2021–2022, heavy inflows into technology ETFs led to inflated valuations in the NASDAQ. When tech stocks corrected, investors faced double-digit losses despite believing ETFs were low-risk instruments.
12. Structural Risks in Leveraged and Inverse ETFs
Some ETFs use leverage (2x, 3x) or inverse strategies (profit from declines). These products are meant for short-term trading, not long-term investment.
Risks include:
Compounding effect: Over time, leveraged ETFs can diverge significantly from expected returns.
Decay in value: Rebalancing daily magnifies losses in volatile markets.
Example:
A 2x leveraged ETF on the NASDAQ might gain 20% if the index rises 10% in a day. But if the index falls 10% the next day, the ETF’s loss will exceed 20%, leading to long-term erosion even if the index later recovers.
13. Systemic and Contagion Risks
ETFs have grown to represent a large portion of total market capitalization globally. Some analysts worry that ETFs could amplify systemic risks during market stress.
How it happens:
Heavy ETF redemptions can trigger mass selling of underlying assets.
Algorithmic rebalancing can worsen volatility.
Liquidity mismatches between ETFs and underlying securities can lead to market distortions.
Example:
During the March 2020 market panic, corporate bond ETFs traded at steep discounts to their NAVs, highlighting liquidity mismatches and systemic vulnerabilities.
14. Behavioral Risks: Investor Misuse
One of the less-discussed limitations of ETFs is not structural—but behavioral. Many retail investors use ETFs incorrectly:
Overtrading due to intraday availability.
Chasing momentum during bull runs.
Ignoring long-term compounding benefits by switching ETFs frequently.
Example:
An investor repeatedly switching between sectoral ETFs (banking, IT, pharma) based on short-term news may end up losing more to timing errors than they gain from diversification.
15. Regulatory and Structural Limitations
ETFs operate under specific market regulations. Sudden rule changes or restrictions can impact trading or returns.
Examples include:
Restrictions on foreign ETFs or limits on overseas investment by Indian investors.
Changes in capital gain taxation.
Trading halts due to market circuit breakers.
Such regulatory interventions, while rare, can disrupt ETF trading or temporarily distort pricing.
16. Over-Diversification and Diluted Returns
While diversification reduces risk, too much diversification can dilute returns. Index ETFs often hold hundreds of stocks, many of which contribute little to performance.
Example:
In a broad global ETF tracking 1,000+ companies, top performers’ impact gets diluted by hundreds of underperforming or stagnant ones—resulting in “average” returns.
Conclusion:
Diversification helps stability, but excessive breadth can limit meaningful gains.
Conclusion: Balancing Opportunity with Awareness
ETFs and index trading have democratized investing, providing easy access to global markets, diversified exposure, and transparent pricing. Yet, investors must remember that “simple does not mean risk-free.”
From market and tracking errors to liquidity, counterparty, and behavioral risks, each factor can impact returns differently depending on market conditions and investor behavior.
The key to success in ETF and index investing lies in understanding these risks and managing them wisely:
Choose ETFs with high liquidity and low tracking error.
Diversify across asset classes and regions—not just within one index.
Avoid leveraged or complex ETFs unless you understand their mechanics.
Stay disciplined—ETFs reward long-term consistency, not short-term speculation.
In short, ETFs and index trading are powerful tools—but like any tool, they require knowledge, caution, and strategy to use effectively.
Investors who respect these limitations and plan accordingly can enjoy stable, sustainable returns while minimizing unnecessary risks.
Bullish Setup - Waiting for Pullback into Discount ZoneI expect this pullback to continue lower to sweep the liquidity resting above the "Discount" zone. The price will likely tap into the green demand zone (a bullish order block) located in the "Discount" area.
Once this demand zone is reached, I anticipate a reversal and a continuation of the primary bullish trend, with the ultimate target being a new high above the previous "HH."
AUDUSD is heading DOWN! time to sellAUDUSD was stuck in-between 2 powerful support and resistance zones and struggled to break through either for a while, but the price has now finally broken down below the support zone which shows that eurusd is ready for a bearish move all the way to the downside (taking profit at the green take profit line) - the next major support zone!
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD






















