AUDUSD corrective pullback support at 0.6420Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6420 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6400 and 0.6370
Resistance: 0.6560 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6620
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6420 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6560, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6620.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6420 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6400 and 0.6370 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6420 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern. The loss of this level and a daily close below would suggest deeper corrective risk.
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Trade ideas
AUD/USD 15M – Short SetupAUD/USD 15M – Short Setup
Price has tapped into a key supply zone around 0.6530 after a corrective move and is showing signs of bearish pressure. The rejection from this area aligns with previous structure highs and liquidity sweep. My short position aims to target the 0.6488 low, with stops above the recent high to protect against false breakouts.
This trade idea follows a supply-and-demand + liquidity grab concept, focusing on selling from premium prices into discounted areas. Risk is kept tight, and reward is maximized by riding the momentum back to the lows.
Key Takeaway: Patience pays, wait for price to come into your zone, confirm rejection, then execute with discipline.
AUDUSD – Bearish Scenario (USD ahead of CPI / PPI)Monthly: - Bearish – macro downtrend intact.
Weekly: - Bearish – price making lower highs and lower lows.
Daily: + Bullish retracement, but struggling to expand higher.
4H Context:
• Price inside descending regression channel, currently in premium zone.
• Overhead confluence: -FVG (0.65414 – 0.65511) and -BreakerBlock from prior bullish failure.
• Minor Buy Side Liquidity rests at 0.65414; possible draw before continuation lower.
Scenario Observation:
– Expectation is for price to draw towards Minor Buy Side Liquidity and tap into the -FVG / -BreakerBlock overlap.
– Monitor for rejection/displacement within this zone in agreement with monthly and weekly bias.
– Downside liquidity rests at 0.64190 (Sell Side) aligning with channel lower boundary.
– Invalidation if price closes decisively above 0.65669 on the 4H.
AUD/USD Show Mixed Signals,Market Sentiment Remains Wait-and-SeeThe Dollar Index kicked off the new week with an optimistic tone; however, the overall outlook for the currency appears to be in a state of hesitation. In my view, August may likely see limited volatility, with few significant movements on the horizon. Meanwhile, AUD futures (6A1!) indicate a consolidation around a previous supply zone, suggesting a potential pullback before reaching the next major supply level. Additionally, data shows an increase in short positions among non-commercial traders, which could hint at a possible bearish trend emerging in the near future.
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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Much Higher—Uptrend Shows StrengthMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Much Higher—Uptrend Shows Strength
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6480 and 0.6500 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6450 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6470 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6500 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6540 zone. A high was formed near 0.6541 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6449 swing low to the 0.6541 high. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6510 level.
The next major support is near the 0.6495 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level. If there is a downside break below 0.6495, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6470 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6530. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6530.
The first major resistance might be 0.6540. An upside break above it might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6580 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6600 resistance zone.
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AUDUSD – Tuesday’s RBA Rate Decision and US CPI Release Pivotal?It’s only 5 weeks ago that the RBA surprised FX traders by keeping interest rates on hold to provide policymakers with extra time to assess new information on the Australian economy and to confirm that the direction of inflation is moving back down towards 2.5% on a sustainable basis. This decision helped AUDUSD to post a 2025 high of 0.6625 on July 24th, a level from which fresh selling reappeared resulting in a low of 0.6419 being touched on August 1st.
August has so far been a positive one for AUDUSD, with general US dollar weakness seeing this popular currency pair closing on Friday at 0.6522, right in the middle of the range identified above. This week, Tuesday is potentially the pivotal day for AUDUSD traders to focus on with the RBA Interest Rate Decision due at 0530 BST, which is then quickly followed by the press conference led by Governor Bullock starting at 0630 BST.
A 25bps (0.25%) RBA rate cut is fully priced so anything else would probably be an even bigger surprise than the July pause. Especially since the latest Q2 CPI print showed inflation moving lower, a move acknowledged by RBA Deputy Governor Hauser as a welcome development. This shifts the emphasis towards the press conference where AUDUSD traders will be keen to hear whether their expectations for more rate cuts from the RBA into the first quarter of 2026 are correct or well off base.
That’s the AUD side of the pair covered, then later Tuesday the focus shifts to the US dollar side, when the latest US CPI update is released at 1330 BST. FX traders are very sensitive to the direction of US inflation, and the outcome of this release could well influence whether the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at their next meeting in September, as traders expect, or if they could be forced to remain unchanged as President Trump’s tariffs start to lead to higher prices, something Fed Chairman Powell has stated policymakers are concerned about.
Strap in AUDUSD traders tomorrow could be a wild and volatile ride!
Technical Update: Is the 0.6521 Level Pivotal?
So far, August has seen AUDUSD rally from the August 1st low into last Thursday’s high by just under 2%. While this activity may lead to some traders anticipating a more sustained period of strength, looking at the chart below, it becomes evident that further confirmation may be required before jumping to this conclusion.
Price strength seen last Thursday and Friday, was held by the 0.6521 price level, which is equal to half the decline that materialised between July 24th and August 1st. While 0.6521 is currently being tested, this looks like the first potential resistance focus, with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength towards 0.6625, the July 24th high.
As for support, traders may well now be focused on the 0.6480 level, which is half of the August price strength. While not a guarantee of prolonged declines, successful closing breaks below the 0.6480 support, might suggest continued price weakness.
As the chart above shows, closing breaks below the 0.6480 level, may see prices under increasing pressure, with possibilities to then test the August price low at 0.6419, even 0.6355, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 9th to July 24th 2025 strength.
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Bearish reversal?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6532
1st Support: 0.6383
1st Resistance: 0.6625
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Tuesday’s triple risk: Tariffs, RBA rate cut, and U.S. inflationTraders face a busy Tuesday with developments on U.S. China trade talks, a RBA policy decision, and the latest U.S. inflation data.
U.S. China tariff deadline – Tuesday
The current truce between the U.S. and China is set to expire on 12 August, with U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick indicating it will likely be extended by 90 days. China may also face an additional 25% tariff on Russian oil imports, like measures already applied to India.
RBA announcement – Tuesday
The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to cut rates, with a Reuters poll showing all 40 surveyed economists anticipating a 25bp reduction to 3.60%. The broader market is pricing a 98% probability of that outcome and a 2% chance of a larger 50bp cut.
U.S. CPI – Tuesday
Headline U.S. CPI for July is expected to rise 0.2% month-on-month taking the annual rate to 2.8% from 2.7%. Wells Fargo notes that the figures may show further signs of higher tariffs feeding into consumer prices.
AUSDUSD 4Hour TF - August 10th ,2025🟦 AUDUSD 4H Analysis
📅 August 10, 2025
Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bearish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bearish
• 4H – Bullish
AUDUSD is currently resting around our key zone at 0.6500 after a bullish push on the 4H. Higher timeframes remain bearish, making this a potential area for sellers to re-enter the market.
🔍 Key Zone: 0.6500
This level aligns with prior structure and could serve as a rejection point for either a bullish or bearish short term move.
✅ Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Orange Path)
1.If price taps 0.6500 and rejects
2.Look for bearish confirmation (engulfing, LTF BOS, rejection wicks)
Target 1: 0.6350 support
This is the trend aligned setup and holds higher probability given the HTF bias.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bullish Breakout (Blue Path)
1.If price rejects 0.6500
2.Could open the door to 0.6585 resistance zone
3.Would indicate a stronger bullish correction within the broader downtrend
This path is counter-trend on HTFs and requires solid confirmation.
🧠 Final Notes
• Higher timeframe structure is bearish, so shorts are favored unless 0.6500 holds
• Patience is key let the level confirm before entering
• Manage risk carefully, especially on counter-trend setups
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.6532
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6580
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6481
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDUSD: Rate Cut Tuesday + Price At A Daily -FVG! Time To Sell?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD
AUDUSD has been difficult to trade, as it chops its slow grind upwards. Then last, although the week's trading range was small, the Weekly candle closed as a bearish Inside Bar. This, as price made contact with a -FVG! The scenario could be laying the ground work for a new bearish leg to form.
Couple the above with an interest rate cut coming Tuesday for the AUD, and August being a historically bad month for the aussie, things could get real interesting for sellers next week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Ready for the Aussie Heist? Is This the Perfect Entry?🚨💰 - "The Aussie Vault Raid: Bullish Robbery in Progress!" 💰🚨
AUD/USD Forex Trade Idea (Thief Style Swing/Day Plan)
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Welcome to another bold heist plan from the Thief Trading Crew. This one’s a high-stakes raid on the AUD/USD — "The Aussie" — using our signature Thief Trading Style, combining raw technical setups with real macro/fundamental edge. We're eyeing the Bullish Vault Breakout, so tighten up your gloves — it’s time to rob smart, not hard.
🔓💸 ENTRY PLAN – “The Vault is Unlocked!”
Grab the bullish loot at any valid price zone — but here’s how real thieves move:
📍 Recommended Entry Style:
Use Buy Limit Orders near local swing lows, demand zones, or key pullback entries on the 15m to 30m chart.
Execute DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) / Layered Orders for more precision.
Align with your MA lines & candle structures for max confirmation.
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Escape Route Secured”
📍 SL hidden beneath recent swing lows below MA (on 4H):
🎯 Suggested Level: 0.64550
💡 Custom-fit your SL based on:
Trade size
Number of active positions
Account risk strategy
🎯 PROFIT TARGET – “Cash Out Before the Cops Show!”
🏴☠️ Take-Profit Zone: 0.66400
This is our bullish breakout reward zone — a high-value zone where profit meets safety.
🔍 MARKET OUTLOOK – "Cops Are Watching, but We're Ahead..."
📈 The AUD/USD market is flashing bullish momentum, supported by:
✅ Risk sentiment flow
✅ US Dollar weakness and rate expectations
✅ Intermarket signals from commodities (Gold/Iron)
✅ Positive macro positioning from smart money (via COT)
✅ Technical demand forming reversal patterns from oversold zones
📎 For a deeper breakdown —
📰 Fundamentals | COT Reports | Sentiment | Intermarket Analysis — Check Klick 🔗
⚠️ THIEF ALERT – “Avoid Sirens. Watch the News.”
Stay out of trouble by following these protocols during major news events:
🚫 Don’t enter trades blindly before/after big news
📍 Use trailing stops to protect gains
🔄 Adjust SL/TP if price nears breakout points during volatility
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⚖️ DISCLAIMER – “Not Financial Advice, Just Thief Vibes”
📌 This analysis is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
📌 Trade at your own risk and always do your own analysis.
📌 Market moves fast — stay sharp, stay stealthy.
**🎭 See you at the next heist.
Until then, trade rich. Rob wise.
Thief Trader out. 🐱👤💰📉📈**
AUD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.644 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6526
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6495
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD - at Resistance (W1)Again, technical analysis tells me that agains all the odds USD should start gaining, rather than loosing - what is widely expected.
This time Aussie - the price has got to the Technical Resistance a bit ahead of time, what made it to balance over the level for few weeks.
Now, when EUR got there too, Aussie may start to respect it al last.
The level of 0.6549 has been in indicated by FR 61.8 of the downward move initiated on Sept 30, 2024 and the upper band of the Regression Line (2 SD).
Yet, in W1 Aussie is basically in downtrend for many years, so the move should not be a surprise.
Just mu humble opinion.
AUD/USD Pullback or Trap? Key Level in FocusPrice has slipped below the rising channel and is now pulling back to retest the breakdown area. This retest could decide the next move.
If buyers fail to step in here, and price gets rejected again, it may signal the start of a deeper correction. However, reclaiming the channel could flip the bias back to bullish.