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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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AUD/USD: Riding the Shutdown LiftThe US Senate’s move to end the government shutdown has reignited risk-on sentiment across markets. Equity-linked currencies like the AUD and NZD are leading gains, while the yen softens as safe-haven demand fades. The dollar stays broadly neutral, echoing its October playbook. With the House vote still ahead, optimism is holding firm. A reopening removes near-term growth risks but could bring data that exposes deeper cracks in the US economy — particularly in jobs and short-end rates. That could weigh on the greenback as year-end approaches. Technically, AUD/USD trades above its 20- and 50-day SMAs, consolidating just below resistance at 0.6535–0.6550. A break higher could see momentum push toward 0.6600–0.6620, the upper edge of its descending channel. Short-term bias: mildly bullish Key levels: 0.6500 / 0.6550 / 0.6620 Will Aussie bulls seize the moment—or fade with the next US data drop?
by Alchemy Markets
1
AUD/USD - Support Rejection and Potential Bullish ReversalPrice is currently trading within a key support zone (0.6510 – 0.6520) after multiple rejections from this area. The market has been in a short-term downtrend, forming a series of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) patterns to the downside. However, recent price action shows a potential exhaustion of selling pressure during the London session, with liquidity being swept below support. A descending trendline has been respected, and a breakout above it could confirm a shift in short-term market structure. Key Levels Support Zone: 0.6510 – 0.6520 Resistance Zone: 0.6535 – 0.6545 Target: 0.6535 (previous weak high / resistance) Bias Bullish intraday bias – looking for confirmation of a CHoCH or strong bullish candle close above the trendline for entry opportunities toward the resistance zone. Invalidation A clean break and close below 0.6510 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest continuation of the bearish structure. Summary Watch for bullish confirmation from the support zone. A breakout above the descending trendline could trigger a move toward 0.6535 – 0.6540. Maintain caution around session opens (London/New York) for liquidity grabs.
Long
by Hamza_Gold
1
Week 46 - AUDUSD Bullish Scenario Outline Strategy: Look for a buy-on-dip opportunity around the key support zone of $0.6469 - $0.6480. Entry Confirmation: Wait for price action confirmation on lower timeframes at this support (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle or a clear rejection). Initial Target: $0.6560 - $0.6578 (Initial Resistance). Extension Target: $0.6605 (Major Resistance), aiming for a breakout on strong fundamental data later in the week. Invalidation (Stop-Loss Idea): A daily close decisively below $0.6440 would suggest a deeper bearish correction is underway, invalidating the short-term bullish outlook. In summary: The bullish case hinges on the $0.6469 support level holding, ideally supported by positive Australian jobs data and/or a soft US CPI print.
Long
by MrBills_219
AUDUSD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6535 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 0.6506 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast & Breakdown - Q4 | W46 | D11 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W46 | D11 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W46 | D11 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W46 | D11 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD AUDUSD GBPUSD DXY FRGNT Weekly Full Breakdown-Q4 | W46 | 📅 Q4 | W46 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD AUDUSD GBPUSD DXY FRGNT Weekly Full Breakdown 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 3% BREAKDOWN & PROFIT TAKE LIVE -Q4 📅 Q4 | W46 | D10 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 3% BREAKDOWN & PROFIT TAKE LIVE 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 3% BREAKDOWN ! -Q4 | W46 | D10 | Y25📅 Q4 | W46 | D10 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 3% BREAKDOWN ! 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD AT SELL ZONE, POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITYHello traders, November is a great month to trade. Here's my point of view about OANDA:AUDUSD TECHNICALLY: Last weeks we had a massive drop followed by a consolidation and this week we started to retrace however higher time frames scream bearish momentum due to dollar strength. I personally did a full breakdown explaining the US DOLLAR TECHNICAL SETUP. This week price IN OANDA:AUDUSD started to retrace. Right now, price is near a strong orderblock I personally see more DOWNSIDE IN THIS PAIR. I'd like to see OANDA:AUDUSD drop from here. As I have been... and will be until proven otherwise. I will continue with my bearish biais only if price stay Below the red zone H4 BEARISH orderblock. Always with strict risk management & psychology FUNDAMENTALLY: The record-breaking U.S. government shutdown is nearing an end after moderate Senate Democrats agreed to back a deal to reopen the government and fund key departments. This might be bullish for the dollar and that BY NEGATIVE CORRELATION .../USD BEARISH. Also bullish for indicies... KEEP an eye ON! All eyes on the market sentiment everything can change quickly! adapt & capitalize it ! We have seversal years trading the financial markets You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
Short
by AIRFOREXONE_
AUDUSD Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025AUDUSD Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025 Australian Dollar/US Dollar at 0.65320 (3:40 PM UTC+4) — consolidation breakout imminent. 📌 Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D accumulation post-August correction; Dow Theory secondary uptrend forming; Gann Square-of-9 targets 0.6580/0.6480. 🗺️ Multi-Timeframe Pulse: 1D: Inverted head-and-shoulders pattern neckline at 0.6500; RSI 55 (neutral); Ichimoku cloud support 0.6420; bullish reversal signal forming. 4H: Rising channel 0.6480-0.6580; EMA21>EMA50 (golden cross); VWAP from Sept 20 = 0.6510 (support level). 1H: Cup-and-handle breakout attempt from 0.6480 base; BB midline 0.6520; VWAP slope neutral-bullish. 30M: Symmetrical triangle 0.6500-0.6560; hidden bull divergence on RSI; volume contracting. 15M: Bull flag over 0.6510; Tenkan>Kijun bullish alignment; stochastic RSI ready for extension. 5M: Falling wedge retest 0.6500; hammer candlestick signals intraday demand; false breakout risk above 0.6560. 🎯 PRIMARY LONG SETUP Entry: 0.6510-0.6525 (triangle support + VWAP) — confirm on 15M bullish close >0.6535. Stop Loss: 0.6485 (below triangle base). Target 1: 0.6555 (+35 pips). Target 2: 0.6580 (+60 pips — channel top). Target 3: 0.6620 (+100 pips — harmonic extension). Confirmation: RSI>55, volume +20%, VWAP support holding. ⚡ MOMENTUM ADD: Scale above 0.6580 ONLY if RSI>65 + volume surge; trail stop to 0.6560. 🔻 REVERSAL SHORT SETUP Entry: 0.6600-0.6625 (supply zone) — trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence. Stop Loss: 0.6650 (above channel resistance). Targets: 0.6560 → 0.6520 → 0.6480 (Gann support). Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection. 🚨 BREAKOUT PROTOCOL: BULL: 1H close >0.6580 confirms H&S breakout; target 0.6700; move stop to BE+15. BEAR: 1H close <0.6500 with volume expansion triggers retest of 0.6420 cloud support. 📊 INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) tightening; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope neutral-up; EMA21 acting as trigger line on 1H. ⚠️ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat PRZ at 0.6600; H&S neckline breakout >0.6500 = trend confirmation; channel failure <0.6510 = Wyckoff spring risk. 📈 TIMING & RISK: RBA decision watch; Gann 90° cycle 20:00 UTC; expect 0.80% intraday range. Risk ≤1% per setup; avoid chasing; lock gains at TP1. Educational analysis only. Trade with your plan, manage risk, adapt to live price action.
by sunya
AUDUSD bullish breakout support at 0.6500The AUDUSD remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action indicating a potential resistance retest within the broader uptrend. Resistance Zone: 0.6560 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bearish rebound from 0.6560 would confirm ongoing downside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.6500 – initial support 0.6490 – psychological and structural level 0.64800 – extended support on the longer-term chart Bullish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close above 0.6560 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.6576 – minor resistance 0.6590 – stronger resistance and potential supply zone Outlook: Neutral bias remains intact while the AUDUSD trades around the pivotal 0.6560 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
AUDUSD H1 | Heading Into Overlap ResistanceMomentum: Bearish Price is rising toward the sell entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Sell Entry: 0.6538 Overlap resistance 50% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension Stop Loss: 0.6557 Strong overlap resistance 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Take Profit: 0.6503 Pullback support Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Short
by Tradu
1
AUDUSD - short term predictionAUDUSD is showing early signs of strength after several days of consolidation. Price has broken above the minor descending trendline and is attempting to establish a new short-term bullish structure. This breakout aligns with the broader higher-timeframe support zone near 0.6450, suggesting that buyers may be regaining control. If price holds above the breakout area, I expect continuation toward 0.6540 – 0.6560, where a previous supply zone and trendline resistance converge. However, a clean drop back below 0.6480 could invalidate this setup and signal a deeper retracement.
Long
by Salvatore_x