USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) 4-hour..USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) 4-hour..
Current price: Around 1.4060
Trend: Strong uptrend, respecting an ascending trendline.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud — confirming bullish momentum.
Pattern: Breakout above consolidation, moving toward a marked resistance.
📈 Target Point (as shown on my chart):
The blue arrow and label mark a target point around 1.4120 – 1.4130
✅ Summary:
Entry zone: Around 1.4050–1.4060 (post-breakout retest)
Target: 1.4120 – 1.4130
Stop-loss suggestion: Below 1.4020 (just under the support/cloud)
This projection looks like a measured move breakout continuation within the ascending channel.
Trade ideas
USDCAD Holds Bullish Ground Above 1.40The USDCAD pair is holding below the upper boundary of an ascending channel that extends from the June 2025 lows, while maintaining a position above key support at 1.4000 — a previous resistance level turned support.
The 1.4080 mark represents a critical resistance zone, aligning with:
• The upper channel boundary.
• The trendline connecting highs from July to August.
• The 0.44 Fibonacci retracement of the downtrend between January and July 2025.
With the bullish hold persisting amid limited economic data, the scenarios are:
o A hold above the upper boundary and 1.41 mark would confirm a bullish continuation toward 1.4180 and 1.4300.
o A failure to hold above 1.40 (the channel’s mid-zone) could extend the decline toward the lower boundary at 1.3880, offering potential support.
o A decisive break below that level would open the door to the next support near 1.3750.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
1.40 Appears Pivotal For USD/CADUSD/CAD remains in an established uptrend on the daily chart, although momentum showed signs of turning lower on Friday. Still, the 1.40 handle and monthly R1 pivot sit close by as a key support zone, making this area pivotal for both bulls and bears in the near term.
If the support zone holds, the bias favours a move toward 1.41, near the monthly R2 pivot. However, a break below 1.40 would shift focus to the high-volume node (HVN) at 1.3948, where bears may look to extend downside pressure. Given the prevailing uptrend, bulls may continue to watch for evidence of a swing low before re-entering.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
USDCAD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USDCAD
Entry Level - 1.4040
Sl - 1.4047
Tp - 1.4028
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.403.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.414 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
20.10.25 USD/CAD BuyBig Picture:
We are in an overall uptrend.
Daily (Higher Time Frame):
There is a downtrend moving into the Weekly Demand zone. Once price reached this Weekly Demand, buyers stepped in and shifted the direction to the upside — forming a bell curve structure.
The nearest Daily Demand zone is defined by a Rally (leg in), Base, and Rally (leg out) pattern. This zone is fresh, meaning it hasn’t reacted to a previous zone, and it hasn’t been violated yet.
4-Hour (Lower Time Frame):
We currently have a level-on-top-of-level setup, both of which fall within the higher time frame demand area.
I will focus on the first level and use it as my risk zone. If my stop loss gets triggered, I’ll wait for confirmation from price action before setting up another buy position.
Once my target is reached, I’ll move my stop loss to break-even (BE) and close 75% of the position. I’ll then trail the stop on the remaining 25%.
USDCAD- TRADE IDEAI’ve entered a buy position on USD/CAD as the pair is maintaining a bullish market structure on the higher timeframes. The daily chart shows clear bullish momentum, while the 4-hour timeframe confirms a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating a healthy uptrend continuation.
The price recently retested the ascending trendline and is showing signs of rejection, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level. Additionally, the Alligator indicator is starting to realign in a bullish formation, supporting potential upward movement.
My entry aligns with the trendline support and structure-based confluence, with a target towards the previous swing high zone, while maintaining a well-defined risk-to-reward ratio.
USDCAD H1 | Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.4033, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.4058, which is a multi swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3997, which is a pullback support.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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USD/CAD BEARISH The USD/CAD pair is currently exhibiting signs of bearish momentum, with potential downside targeting the 1.40200 level. This zone may act as a critical decision point.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading forex involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
USD/CAD: Bearish Reversal Confirmed!?The 📉USDCAD pair has broken and closed below a significant intraday horizontal support level.
The blue area, which is underlined, is also the neckline of a cup and handle pattern.
This violation suggests the potential for a continued downward movement.
The subsequent support level is anticipated to be at 1.3985.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Loonie (USD/CAD is falling towards the pivot which has been identifed as a pullback support and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3908
1st Support: 1.3742
1st Resistance: 1.4166
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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USDCAD may increase the bullish momentum USDCAD is moving inside of a rising wedge above the dynamic support zone and may resume the upswing this week, as the US dollar index may get support after softening rhetoric of Donald Trump. Yields of 30-year bonds of Canada have declined, but with less volatility than for the US treasuries.
The weakness of Crude oil futures pressures CAD against the USD, and focuses traders on the long side of USDCAD in the near future. The position of the price of USDCAD is above 200-day moving average, which boosts the bullish momentum for this currency pair.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Using Higher Timeframe Analysis to Predict the Next USDCAD MoveIn today’s breakdown, we’re taking a closer look at the USDCAD and a potential advanced pattern formation that could set up a strong opportunity for a bullish trend continuation.
While the pattern itself provides a valid trading setup, the real value in this analysis comes from understanding why it fits within the bigger picture. Too often, traders focus solely on the smaller details — the exact entry, the perfect target, or the idea of squeezing a few more pips out of a trade. But real consistency comes from aligning your short-term opportunities with the overall market direction.
The Power of Higher Timeframe Analysis
Before identifying the pattern, I started by analyzing the higher timeframe charts. This allowed me to make a longer-term directional prediction based on market structure, trend dynamics, and key levels of support and resistance. By establishing that the broader trend was bullish, any advanced pattern that aligned with that direction immediately carried more weight.
Instead of being greedy and shooting for oversized targets based on gut or emotion, I was able to structure a trade plan that fit within the flow of the market. This type of top-down analysis not only increases confidence but also helps manage risk by filtering out trades that go against the dominant trend.
The Takeaway
The key lesson here is simple:
Don’t rely on feel or hope when setting your targets or building your trade ideas. Use higher timeframe analysis to create a logical framework for your decisions. When your short-term setups align with the broader market direction, you’re trading with the trend — not against it.
By combining technical precision with higher timeframe context, you’ll find that your trades become more consistent, more predictable, and far less stressful.
Please leave any questions or comments below & I wish you guys a safe & profitable week of trading ahead.
Akil
USDCAD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Is This the Next Bullish Wave for USD/CAD Traders?💵 USD/CAD "THE LOONIE" | Forex Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
📊 Trade Plan: BULLISH Outlook
Entry Style (Thief Layering Strategy):
Multiple buy limit orders layered around 🔑 key levels.
Example layers:
🟢 1.37600
🟢 1.37700
🟢 1.37800
🟢 1.37900
🟢 1.38000
(You can increase or reduce your own limit layers depending on risk & style).
Stop Loss (Thief SL 🚨):
🛑 Suggested protective stop @ 1.37400
⚠️ Note to my OG Thief crew: This SL is just my style. You are free to choose your own SL — manage your risk your way.
Target (Police Trap Exit 🎯):
👮♂️ Strong resistance + overbought conditions = possible trap zone.
🎯 Target: 1.39200
⚠️ Note: Same as above — this TP is my roadmap, but you choose how & when to take profits. Escape smart!
🔍 Key Market Outlook
USD/CAD shows bullish momentum supported by USD resilience and CAD lagging on weaker oil flows.
Macro View: Fed’s tone + oil market softness = stronger USD pressure on CAD.
Sentiment Check: Buyers layering in, market showing gradual accumulation.
Police (resistance) spotted higher up — profit-taking advised before getting caught in the trap!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch & Correlations
💹 TVC:DXY → Dollar Index (tracks USD strength 💪).
🛢 BLACKBULL:WTI Crude Oil → CAD correlation 🔑 (weaker oil = weaker CAD).
💶 FX:EURUSD / FX:GBPUSD → Inverse flows vs USD.
🇲🇽 FX:USDMXN → Another USD + commodity-linked pair to compare moves.
Keeping an eye on these helps confirm momentum across markets ✅.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief style trading strategy 🥷 created for fun & educational sharing only. This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#USDCAD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #Loonie #ThiefStyle #FXCorrelations #Dollar #CAD #ForexCommunity
USDCAD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
USDCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.4021 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.4034
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
My USD/CAD Trade Report — October 2025I’m positioning long on USD/CAD, planning an entry around 1.3930–1.3960. My stop loss is set near 1.3830, and I’m targeting 1.4245 first, with potential extension to 1.4388. This trade gives me a solid 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio, risking about 120 pips for over 350 pips of upside.
Technically, the pair is in a steady uptrend, printing higher highs and higher lows since mid-2025. The breakout above 1.3850–1.3900 confirms bullish continuation, and as long as price holds above 1.3830, the structure remains intact. I see 1.4050 as short-term resistance, but if momentum carries through, my targets at 1.4245 and 1.4388 come into play.
On the fundamentals, the setup still favour's USD strength over CAD. The Federal Reserve is holding rates high around 5.25–5.5%, while the Bank of Canada faces pressure to cut further because domestic data is weak. Both Canadian manufacturing and services PMIs are in contraction territory below 50, showing a slowdown. Meanwhile, oil prices hovering between $60 and $70 are an added drag on the Canadian dollar, since lower energy prices cut into Canada’s trade balance. The U.S. economy continues to show resilience, which underpins USD demand.
This trade rests on the interest-rate gap, Canada’s soft data, and weak oil prices. The risks I’m watching are stronger-than-expected Canadian jobs or inflation data, a sudden rebound in oil above $80, or the Fed signalling earlier-than-expected cuts.
Overall, I’m moderately bullish USD/CAD through Q4 2025. As long as 1.3830 holds, I’ll stay with the long bias. My plan is to scale out partial profits near 1.41 and ride the remaining position toward 1.42–1.44.






















