USD/CNH (A Downtrend Channel is spotted)View On USD/CNH (20 Dec 2019)
Apparently UCNH is starting to show the channel of a steady downtrend and it shall continue that way.
I expect it to go down to 6.88 regions soon. Let's see.
All the best.
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USDCNH trade ideas
USDCNH, US Dollar - China Yuan: Falling WedgeFX:USDCNH
If a bullish breakout should occur on this falling wedge, we will eventually try to get back on this cross.
The first trade closed at a loss at 60% of the initial maximum risk.
In this way we had optimized the realized losses reducing as often happens the % at initial risk.
We do the same thing when trades follow our direction and also optimize profits.
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We conclude trades in 45% of cases with a profit of 3/4 times the losses. We have even earned 20 times more than the initial risk a few times.
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(EP #22) Kelvin Trade Ideas - USDCNH Bat Pattern 2020-01-13A bullish bat pattern is almost complete in daily chart, it provides a potential reversal level (PRZ) from 6.86400 to 6.83940. This buying opportunity is a follow-trend trade because the weekly chart shows us market is in up trend clearly. The PRZ overlap the bottom of the bearish channel, I am waiting for confirmation signals to long this market.
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USDCNH BUY AREA DEDECTEDLooking at the chart, we can see a potential buy area between: 6.90379 / 6.85929, with a SL below: 6.85927 and a TP#1 area between 7.11314 / 7.03962 where I recommend closing 50% of your initial tradesize to give the TP#2 area "air to breave" and give you potentially more gains in the area between: 7.29197 / 7.18672
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USD/CNH: Chaos For Chinese YuanUSD/CNH probes 7.0300 as Chinese traders weigh trade data, shift in risk tone
USD/CNH stops the previous three days’ declines.
Disappointment from China data, increasing uncertainty ahead of US tariffs and signs of protests in Hong Kong all play their roles.
The risk tone stays sluggish ahead of the key week.
USD/CNH takes the bids to 7.0300 as Chinese markets open for Monday’s trading. Traders might have reacted to the weekend data from China while trade pessimism and negative headlines from Hong Kong could have acted as additional forces.
China’s November month Exports fell unexpectedly to -1.1% versus +1.0% forecast whereas Imports rose, +0.3% against -6.4% prior, for the first time since April. Further, Trade Balance of $38.73B lagged behind $46.3B market consensus.
Even so, China’s Global Times shrugs of the trade war with the United States (US) to be the reason to worry. Also contributing to the risk-off was the Financial Times (FT) report suggesting Beijing’s order to all government offices to stop using foreign personal computers (PCs) and software within a time span of three years. Additionally, Bloomberg reported the news of the biggest pro-democracy protest in months on Sunday while anticipating more unrest to follow in 2020.
Given the market’s uncertain times ahead of the US decision on December 15 tariffs on the Chinese goods, such downbeat headlines weigh on risk tone and stop the US 10-year treasury yields around 1.84%, ignoring the Friday’s run-up.
Investors will now keep eyes on trade headlines and the US reaction to the Hong Kong protests, not to forget China’s restrictions on PC and software usage, for fresh impulse.
USD/CNH 15 Dec 2019. Technical looks pretty bearish with LHLL. 6.95 was well supported with heavy volume, we might see a temporary pull back to 7.05 area. Watch that area closely. Target price 6.9. Trade war update plays a huge part on the movement of this pair, so watch closely.
As long as 7.15 holds, we should see a further downside.