ETH 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 27❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Day timeframe
👀 On the daily timeframe we observe that Ethereum is trading inside a strong ascending channel. Currently, after touching the channel top, price moved toward the midline, lost the midline, and is now heading toward the channel bottom. Ethereum reacted once at the 38% Fibonacci zone, but selling pressure is increasing, and with losing this support level around $3,930, ETH can move toward the channel bottom and even lower support levels.
🎮 The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the $2,600 breakout area up to the all-time high of Ethereum, which clearly covers all the support and resistance zones. At this stage, Ethereum has reacted to the 38% Fib level, but with losing this area it could move toward the key support overlapping with the channel bottom. The 38% zone observed in this analysis has high validity in daily price action, and with breaking this area we can open a short position.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after creating a new all-time high, Ethereum entered selling pressure and is now near its oversold area. Our key RSI zone is also located here. With a cross below 33, Ethereum could experience a deeper correction and fully enter the oversold range.
🕯 The size and volume of red candles for breaking Fibonacci zones usually happen in a whale-driven manner. Normally, before the move, one or two opposite stop-hunts with shadows (wicks) appear, and then the move continues. The recent candles Ethereum has formed show strong selling volume, and candle closes below the 38% Fib zone together with selling pressure can bring even more red candles.
🧠 For an Ethereum position, it seems better to wait until whales and sharks of the market finish their stop-hunts. On the third touch, for example, with a break of the 38% Fib zone and entry of ETH into the oversold RSI area, we can open a sell position.
💡 Keep in mind that today the U.S. labor market has strengthened significantly, and there may be no signal of upcoming rate cuts in the next Fed meetings.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
