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USOIL strong down trend entry on consolidation breakdown USOIL Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe USOIL continues to show strong downside momentum, with sellers maintaining control. Price is currently respecting the downtrend structure, and a consolidation breakdown below 59,100 is confirming further bearish pressure. 📉 Key Technical Levels: Immediate Support: 58,300 Next Major Support: 56,400 As always, ensure you are using proper risk management and wait for clear confirmations before entering any position. 👍 Like • Follow • Comment • Share Stay updated for more professional market insights.
FX:USOILShort
by ExpertTraderASK
3
How to Trade Crude Oil with Smart Money Concepts SMC Explained Smart Money Concepts is one of the most reliable techniques for trading WTI Crude Oil. In this article, I will teach you a profitable SMC strategy for analysing and trading USOIL futures and CFD. This simple strategy is based on an important event every SMC trader should know - a break of structure BoS. In a bullish trend, the best break of structure will be based on a violation and a candle close above a current higher high. It will signify a highly probable bullish continuation and provides a great opportunity to buy Though you can spot a bullish break of structure on any time frame, the most reliable one is a daily. After a formation of a new high, I suggest waiting for a short term intraday correctional movement. With a high probability, the market will retest a recently broken structure and smart money will manipulate the market, pushing the price below that, making buyers close their positions. Once the market starts retracing, analyze an hourly time frame. The price will need to establish an i ntraday minor bearish trend. In this bearish trend, 2 trend lines should connect lower highs and lower lows composing an expanding, parallel or contracting channel - a bullish flag pattern. Your best signal will be a breakout of a resistance line of the flag and a violation of the level of the last lower high - a bullish change of character of a liquidity grab. It will confirm a completion of a correction. Buy the market on a retest of the level of the last higher low, it will be your best entry. Set your stop loss at least below a trend line and aim at the next strong daily resistance. That will be a perfect model for trading break of structure on WTI Crude Oil. We spotted such a setup in my trading academy on one of the live streams with my students. WTI Crude Oil was trading in an uptrend on a daily time frame. A bullish violation of the last Higher High and a candle close above that confirmed a Break of Structure BoS. The price started a correctional movement then, and we spotted a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The market completed a correction after grabbing a liquidity below a broken structure. A bullish movement started then, and the price violated a resistance line of the flag and the level of the last lower high. These 2 breakouts confirmed a completion of a correction and a resumption of a bullish trend. We opened a buy position immediately on a retest of a broken level of the last lower high. Stop loss was below a trend line, take profit was based on the closest key daily resistance. And the price went straight to the target. Break of Structure BoS will be useful for analysis, forecasting and trading WTI Crude Oil. Combining that with top-down analysis and lower time frames confirmations will provide accurate signals and profitable trading setups. Integrate a price model that I shared in your strategy, and good luck to you trading USOIL! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FX:USOILEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
USOIL Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 60.422. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 65.013 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
2
OIL Rejected Again at Resistance OIL Rejected Again at Resistance: Bears Preparing for Another Push Down Oil continues to struggle below the 60.50–60.60 resistance zone, where price has been rejected multiple times, confirming selling pressure. Each test of this zone has led to a swift bearish move — and this time might be no different. As long as oil trades below 60.50, the short-term bias remains bearish. A clean breakdown could open the way toward: 🎯Quick Target: 59.40 🎯 Target 1: 59.00 🎯 Target 2: 58.30 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
2
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Extends RecoveryMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Extends Recovery Crude oil price is rising and it could climb further higher toward $62.00. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude oil prices are moving higher above the $60.00 resistance zone. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price started a decent increase from $58.00 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke $59.00. There was a sustained upward movement above $59.50 and $60.00. The bulls pushed the price above the 50-hour simple moving average, and the RSI climbed toward 70. A high was formed near $60.75 before there was a minor pullback. The price declined toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $58.11 swing low to the $60.75 high. However, the bulls are active above $60.00. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59.80. Immediate resistance is near $60.75 level. If the price climbs further, it could face hurdles near $61.50. The next major stop for the bulls might be $62.20. Any more gain might send the price toward $63.50. Conversely, the price might correct gains and retest the 50-hour simple moving average or the trend line. The next area of interest on the WTI crude oil chart is near the 61.8% Fib retracement at $59.10. If there is a downside break, the price might decline to $58.10. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $56.50. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
1
USOIL Breakout Confirmed—Is the Uptrend Ready to Extend?📈 WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) – SWING TRADE SETUP | VWMA BREAKOUT CONFIRMED 🛢️⚡ 🎯 TRADE OVERVIEW Asset: WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Energies Market Trade Type: Swing Trade (Multi-Day Position) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH – Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) breakout confirmed near $61.00 📊 TRADE PLAN 🔹 Entry Strategy: "Thief Layering Method" Primary Entry Zone: Post-VWMA breakout above $61.00 Layered Limit Orders (Multiple Entry Points): 🟦 Layer 1: $59.00 🟦 Layer 2: $59.50 🟦 Layer 3: $60.00 🟦 Layer 4: $60.50 Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance. This strategy allows averaging into the position as price pulls back. 🛑 Stop Loss Management Thief's SL: $58.00 ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), This is MY stop loss level. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on YOUR strategy and risk management plan. I do not recommend blindly following my SL – manage your own risk and capital accordingly. 🎯 Take Profit Target Primary Target: $64.00 Technical Reasoning: SuperTrend ATR line acts as strong dynamic resistance Potential overbought zone + bull trap risk Escape with profits before reversal pressure ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), This is MY take profit target. Take YOUR money at YOUR own risk. You are responsible for your profit-taking strategy – trail stops, scale out, or exit fully based on YOUR trading plan. 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD-Denominated) Monitor these related assets for confirmation and risk assessment: 🛢️ Energy Sector: Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL) – Typically trades $2-5 above WTI; if Brent is bullish, WTI usually follows Natural Gas (NATGAS) – Energy sector sentiment indicator 💵 Currency Pairs: USD/CAD – Inverse correlation to oil (CAD = petro-currency). If oil rises, USD/CAD typically falls DXY (US Dollar Index) – Strong dollar = bearish pressure on oil. Watch for weakness in DXY to support oil rally 📈 Equity Markets: Energy Sector ETFs (XLE) – Tracks US energy stocks; bullish XLE confirms oil sector strength S&P 500 (SPX) – Risk-on sentiment supports commodity prices ⚡ Key Correlation Points: Oil ↑ + USD/CAD ↓ = Strong bullish confirmation Oil ↑ + DXY ↓ = Supportive macro environment Oil ↑ + XLE ↑ = Energy sector momentum aligned 💬 Engagement Call-to-Action 👍 If you found this analysis helpful, smash that LIKE button! 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments – are you bullish or bearish on oil? 🔔 FOLLOW for more professional trade setups and market insights!
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by The-Thief
1
WTI OIL Is it possible to crash at $30.00?WTI Oil (USOIL) has been declining for 3 straight months (current red 1M candle is the 4th one) since the June 2025 rejection on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). That has been the last rejection of a series of Lower Highs rejections on the 1W MA100 in the past 2 years. On the much longer-term scale, this is the aftermath of the March 2022 market Top, made as a direct result of the Ukraine - Russia war. On a 17-year horizon, that was the 2nd Lower High of the multi-year Channel Down that WTI has been trading in since the July 2008 Top of the Housing Crisis. As you can see, there is a high degree of symmetry on this pattern with Lower Lows in particular (market bottoms) getting formed around every 5-6 years. The use of the Time Cycles can fairly accurately project this. The next one is estimated to be towards the end of 2026, which matches perfectly the projected Bear Cycle bottom on the stock markets. Based on this model, we may very well see WTI drop to as low as $30.00. A fairly solid bottom buy indicator would be when (if) the 1M RSI breaks below its 30.00 (oversold) barrier. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) could rise towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a swing low support. Pivot: 60.07 1st Support: 56.77 1st Resistance: 61.63 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by IC Markets
WTI OIL Successive 1D MA50 rejections. Sell Signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Down with the price experiencing successive rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the October 24 Lower High. Given that the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level was also filled (as on the previous Lower High), we expect this inability to break above, to kickstart the new Bearish Leg. As previously, the Target is the Support at $56.00. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
WTI resumes slideExcess supply concerns continue to hold back oil each time it tries to stage a recovery, and today it looks like the market has decided that it wants to trade below $60 per barrel. WTI has been testing this barrier from underneath for a few days but today it looks like the advance has been rejected once again. Prices have broken below the lows of the past two days, thus triggering some stops. From here $58.00 could be the next stop, below which there is nothing significant in terms of support until $55.00. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Long Trade ENtryAnalysis: Price recently formed a strong bullish reaction after an extended down-move. The market pulled back to retest intraday support around 58.60 and is showing signs of stabilization. A bounce from this level could trigger a continuation move toward the 61.20–61.30 resistance area. Setup Type: Long Position Entry: Around 58.60 (support retest) Stop Loss: 57.94 Target: 61.28 Bias: Bullish above 58.60 Invalidation: Break and close below 57.94 #USOIL #WTICrude #CrudeOil #OilMarket #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #LongSetup #CommodityTrading #MarketAnalysis
TVC:USOILLong
by pipsifii
HTF - Crude Oil AnalysisOn the HTF, we can see Crude oil has overall been bearish since 2022 because : - Geopolitical tensions priced in and faded out. - Decreased oil consumption of oil. Demand reduced - Oversupply concerns - OPEC maintained higher levels of oil product. Too much supply & less supply hence lower oil Prices. · Historically, The markets keep an equilibrium on the price of oil which healthy prices being around $40 - $80 per barrel. This is where oil spends most of its time. They wouldn’t let oil price drop too low since it would cost producers too much & if its too high, then the consumers will suffer so price always remain a balance. Future Analysis/forecasts: · Now we are seeing that Major central banks around the world adopting loose monetary policies and cutting interest rates following suits with the Federal Reserve. -This would result in more economic activity, more manufacturers using oil etc therefor the demand for Oil will pick up again and we can see price start to rise.
TVC:USOILLong
by Jawad_Khalili1
Bearish bar signals risk of deeper crude slideUnable to climb above the 50-day moving average and having just delivered an almighty bearish bar, is WTI crude about to revisit the October lows—an outcome that could put a retest of the YTD lows on the cards? With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD swinging sharply lower, signaling building downside strength, the risk of such a move is growing. $58.00 is a minor level to watch near term, having acted as support and resistance at times last month. Should price trade beneath this level, shorts could be established on the break with a stop above for protection, targeting a run toward the October swing low of $56.00. The preference would be to see a back-test and rejection of the level before entry. While short setups are favored given recent price and momentum signals, should WTI manage to hold above $58.00 during Thursday’s session, the option would be there to flip the setup, allowing for longs with a stop beneath for protection. $60.00 screens as an appropriate initial target, even with the messy price action around it recently. Plenty of fundamental catalysts were bandied around to explain Wednesday’s abrupt drop, most linked to an EIA report warning of market oversupply. It undoubtedly contributed to the bearish move, but the seeds were sown well before the event given how poorly WTI traded at the 50DMA in recent weeks. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by FOREX.com
USOIL: Q4/2025 Q1 2026 Action PlansSentiment: - The broader market is cautious in a risk-off environment, which typically translates to concerns about demand and the strength of the US dollar. However, the market is not in a state of panic as the Fear Index is at around 30, opening room for either direction. - Social Media (X/Twitter): The current tone is positive, as participants expect USOil to rise within the range of 57.50-65.00 in the near term, anticipating an upcoming upward breakout. - The COT report shows extremely bearish sentiment regarding the latest data from 26/9 (following the US government shutdown), so we can only have a snapshot of more than a month ago. Although the current sentiment may or may not be as extreme (we need to wait for the latest data), it still reflects the state of market positioning. - I think that Retail is unaware of positioning extremes and is more focused on technical breakout. It may lead to a sentiment shift as a result of a technical breakout and changes in the fundamental narrative. Fundamental: A. OPEC+ Production Shift: - Narrative: OPEC+ has pivoted to MORE cautious supply management. After nine consecutive monthly increases, the group is now implementing only a modest 137k bpd increase for Dec 2025, followed by a production pause for the entire first quarter of 2026. - Rationale: Healthy market fundamentals, low inventory levels, seasonal demand - It means more supportive than what we observed earlier in 2025. Q1 2026 pause suggests OPEC+ acknowledges oversupply risks and is being disciplined. One more thing to note is that the current price is also not entirely factored into this narrative. B. Geopolitical Risk Premium Returning: - Narrative: Recent US/EU sanctions on Russian energy companies and escalating tension in oil-producing regions are providing price support. - Market impact: This narrative provides a fundamental floor for price at least till the end of this year. C. Bearish Fundamentals - Oversupply into 2026: - Narrative: Despite the OPEC+ pause, global oil inventories are expected to rise through 2026 on weak demand growth and non-OPEC supply increases (such as the US production) - Factors: global inventories forecast to rise through 2026, weak demand from China, tariff uncertainties and US production at record levels. - Market impact: Bearish medium-term outlook for Q1-Q2 2026. Technical: - USOIL broke the small blue channel and is expected to reach the measured level at around 65, confluence with the Sep resistances. - If USOIL can hold above 60 (retest the broken channel), it may resume its momentum to retest the key resistance at 62 first, then 65, as measured by the move upon breaking. - Conversely, closing below the support at 59.30 may invalidate the short-term upward view and open the door for further decline, potentially retesting the swing low at 56.80. Conclusion: - Despite a short-term upward momentum until year-end, the prospect for USOIL in 2026 is not as promising. - Therefore, a range of 65-70 is possible for the short term upward plan; however, any surge bejond that may open another opportunity for counter-trade setups in Q1-Q2 2026. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by DatTong