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How to Trade Crude Oil with Smart Money Concepts SMC Explained Smart Money Concepts is one of the most reliable techniques for trading WTI Crude Oil. In this article, I will teach you a profitable SMC strategy for analysing and trading USOIL futures and CFD. This simple strategy is based on an important event every SMC trader should know - a break of structure BoS. In a bullish trend, the best break of structure will be based on a violation and a candle close above a current higher high. It will signify a highly probable bullish continuation and provides a great opportunity to buy Though you can spot a bullish break of structure on any time frame, the most reliable one is a daily. After a formation of a new high, I suggest waiting for a short term intraday correctional movement. With a high probability, the market will retest a recently broken structure and smart money will manipulate the market, pushing the price below that, making buyers close their positions. Once the market starts retracing, analyze an hourly time frame. The price will need to establish an i ntraday minor bearish trend. In this bearish trend, 2 trend lines should connect lower highs and lower lows composing an expanding, parallel or contracting channel - a bullish flag pattern. Your best signal will be a breakout of a resistance line of the flag and a violation of the level of the last lower high - a bullish change of character of a liquidity grab. It will confirm a completion of a correction. Buy the market on a retest of the level of the last higher low, it will be your best entry. Set your stop loss at least below a trend line and aim at the next strong daily resistance. That will be a perfect model for trading break of structure on WTI Crude Oil. We spotted such a setup in my trading academy on one of the live streams with my students. WTI Crude Oil was trading in an uptrend on a daily time frame. A bullish violation of the last Higher High and a candle close above that confirmed a Break of Structure BoS. The price started a correctional movement then, and we spotted a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The market completed a correction after grabbing a liquidity below a broken structure. A bullish movement started then, and the price violated a resistance line of the flag and the level of the last lower high. These 2 breakouts confirmed a completion of a correction and a resumption of a bullish trend. We opened a buy position immediately on a retest of a broken level of the last lower high. Stop loss was below a trend line, take profit was based on the closest key daily resistance. And the price went straight to the target. Break of Structure BoS will be useful for analysis, forecasting and trading WTI Crude Oil. Combining that with top-down analysis and lower time frames confirmations will provide accurate signals and profitable trading setups. Integrate a price model that I shared in your strategy, and good luck to you trading USOIL! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FX:USOILEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
Factors favoring the price of crude oil1.Short-term bullish support: Excess inventory was unexpectedly depleted The latest API data shows that U.S. crude oil inventory dropped by 6.5 million barrels, far exceeding the market expectation of 1.3 million barrels. This represents the largest single-week decline in recent history, reflecting that refineries have entered the seasonal expansion phase, with accelerated crude oil processing and consumption, and the export demand remains resilient. This data directly alleviated market concerns about short-term oversupply, providing immediate support at the $60.90 level. From a structural perspective, gasoline inventory also showed a depleting trend, suggesting a marginal improvement in terminal consumption, and the short-term supply-demand balance leans towards a tight equilibrium. 2. Potential bullish factor: The overlooked black swan risk The attack by Ukraine on Russian oil facilities is still ongoing. The Lukoil Volgograd refinery (accounting for 5% of Russia's total refining output) has been out of operation and the recovery progress is slow. Moreover, the United States has included all four major Russian oil giants in sanctions, and there is still potential supply disruption. Additionally, the latent conflict between Israel and Iran has not been fully resolved. The Strait of Hormuz, which is a transportation channel for 20% of the world's oil, always has safety hazards as an "invisible support" for oil prices. If the situation changes again, the geopolitical risk premium will quickly flow back. Crude oil trading strategy buy：60.5-60.8 tp:61.5-62 sl:59.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Is XTI/USD Setting Up for a Sharp Bearish Correction?🚨 WTI/USD CRUDE OIL: THE BEARISH HEIST AWAITS 🎯 ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ THE SETUP: Breaking Down The Crime Scene 🕵️‍♂️ We're executing a bearish pullback strategy on WTI/USD spot crude oil, leveraging the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) as our primary technical confirmation. The energy sector is flashing opportunity signals, and it's time to work the levels like a seasoned professional. 📊 STRATEGY FRAMEWORK Market Direction: Bearish Pullback from 200 SMA Resistance Timeframe: Suitable for Swing & Day Trading Operations Asset Class: Energies | WTI Crude Oil Spot 💰 THE LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY (Multi-Level Approach) This is where the Thief Method shines—stacking limit orders at key price levels to accumulate positions as the market comes to you: Suggested Entry Layer Points: Layer 1: 60.50 💧 Layer 2: 60.00 💧 Layer 3: 59.50 💧 Layer 4: 59.00 💧 ⚠️ Pro Tip: Feel free to add or adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and position size. The beauty of this method is scalability—customize to YOUR account size and risk parameters. 🛑 STOP LOSS PLACEMENT Primary SL Level: 61.00 Positioned at the nearest swing high/candle wick resistance above our entry cluster. This respects natural market structure and gives us a defined, measurable risk point. ⚡ DISCLAIMER ON RISK MANAGEMENT: This is NOT financial advice. Risk management is YOUR responsibility. The suggested SL is based on technical structure, but YOU control your account. Set stops that align with YOUR risk tolerance. Trade only what you can afford to lose. 🎯 PROFIT TARGET STRUCTURE Primary Target: 56.50 Secondary Support Level: 56.00 — A police barricade of strength where multiple factors converge: Strong historical support confluence 📍 Oversold zone recognition ⚖️ Potential reversal trap (exit strategy alert) ⚠️ Exit Strategy: Consider banking profits at 56.50 before support intensifies at 56.00. Lock in gains as the technical structure suggests potential friction. ⚡ DISCLAIMER ON PROFIT TARGETS: Again, these are TECHNICAL levels only. YOU decide your exit strategy. Whether you take full profits at 56.50, trail stops, or use partial exits—this is YOUR trading plan. No setup is guaranteed. 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation Check) Understanding energy market interrelations helps you spot confirmation signals: US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) → Inverse correlation to crude oil. Strengthen USD = Bearish pressure on oil. Watch DXY for confirmation of our bearish bias. CSEMA:S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY / CME_MINI:ES1! ) → Risk sentiment indicator. If equities weaken, crude often follows bearish patterns. Check equity trends for macro confirmation. Energy Select Sector ETF ( AMEX:XLE ) → Direct correlation. Tracks large-cap energy stocks. Oil weakness often precedes XLE drops. FX:EURUSD → Global risk sentiment. Weak euro = risk-off environment = potential crude weakness. Monitor for macro context. AMEX:USO (Crude Oil ETF) → Direct oil tracking instrument. Moves in lockstep with WTI. Use for backup confirmation. 📋 THE THIEF STRATEGY CHECKLIST ✅ Confirm 200 SMA as resistance/bearish context ✅ Stack limit orders—don't chase price ✅ Define your personal stop loss (around 61.00 structure) ✅ Target scale-outs near 56.50-56.00 ✅ Use correlation pairs for macro confirmation ✅ Manage position size ruthlessly ✅ Accept losses—they're tuition in the market 💬 ENGAGEMENT BOOST ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #WTI #CrudeOil #EnergyTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Trading101 #ForexEnergy #MultiLayerEntry #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #FinancialMarkets #Energies #TradingCommunity
FXOPEN:XTIUSDShort
by The-Thief
Short-term rebound opportunities are emergingThe policy divergence of the Federal Reserve has emerged, and the expectation of a rate cut has not been completely reversed. Although some Fed officials (Schmid, Logan) oppose a rate cut in December, Powell emphasized that "policies need to balance the risks of employment and inflation", and member Milan advocated for a significant rate cut, while Baumann expected another rate cut twice before the end of the year. There is a significant divergence between the dovish and hawkish factions within the Fed. The probability of a rate cut in December remains at around 50% in the market, and the few hawkish remarks have not completely negated the trend of easing. Coupled with the narrow range fluctuation of the US dollar index near 99.66 today, it has not broken through the key resistance of 99.75, and the strengthening momentum of the US dollar has weakened marginally. The valuation pressure of crude oil priced in US dollars has eased, creating conditions for a rebound. Crude oil trading strategy buy：59.3-59.6 tp:60-60.5 sl:59
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
USOIL: Accumulate bullish momentumFrom the daily chart perspective of crude oil, on a partial level, the current oscillating rhythm is a secondary consolidation. Judging from the primary and secondary rhythms, there is still room for a rebound and upward move in the trend. The MACD indicator remains below the zero axis, indicating that bullish momentum still needs to accumulate further. It is expected that after the medium-term trend of crude oil tests the low point and finds support, a rebound and upward movement is likely to form. Buy 59 - 59.5 SL 58.5 TP 60 - 60.5 - 61 Sell 60.5 - 61 SL 61.5 TP 59.1 - 58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by KingArthur_
Learn How to Trade WTI in 1 MinuteWTI in the 4H timeframe has formed a solid range for us that could lead to a strong trend after breaking out of it. Setup and Entry: A: Our long trigger is breaking the ceiling, meaning 60.329 , and B: Our short trigger is breaking the floor at 59.375 . Exit Plan: For scenario A, we can take profits at levels 61.203 and 61.891 —also, if you spot any kind of reject candle or reversal pattern on these levels, you can close the position. For scenario B, 57.360 could serve as a sort of final target; depending on the risk-to-reward you get, you can close or hold out for 56.321 . Short targets are more extensive because HWC and MWC also carry bearish momentum, which aids further drops—so the bearish bias here is stronger. Goal: For A, simply capturing the daily corrective wave; for B, continuing the MWC with partial profits to aim for higher R/R ratios. Thanks for your attention.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by SkepticLab
USOIL H1 | Bearish Momentum BuildingMomentum: Bearish Price is currently retracing toward the sell entry, which aligns with the descending trendline that has been tested at least three times. Sell entry: 60.16 Pullback resistance Stop loss: 60.71 Pullback resistance Take profit: 58.95 Swing low support Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (thttps://tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
Potential bullish bounce off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 58.95 1st Support: 57.72 1st Resistance: 61.08 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by IC Markets
OIL Rejected Again at Resistance OIL Rejected Again at Resistance: Bears Preparing for Another Push Down Oil continues to struggle below the 60.50–60.60 resistance zone, where price has been rejected multiple times, confirming selling pressure. Each test of this zone has led to a swift bearish move — and this time might be no different. As long as oil trades below 60.50, the short-term bias remains bearish. A clean breakdown could open the way toward: 🎯Quick Target: 59.40 🎯 Target 1: 59.00 🎯 Target 2: 58.30 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
2
Crude oil: Consolidating sideways in the short term.Crude oil prices once hit a low not seen in over two weeks. In early trading on Monday, prices remained below the psychological threshold of $60 per barrel. Therefore, bullish traders should exercise caution before going long and adopt a prudent approach to positioning in anticipation of any substantial upward movement. Crude oil is oscillating within a range in the short term. Prices have repeatedly crossed the moving average system, with the short-term objective trend direction being sideways consolidation. The MACD indicator is hovering around the zero line, reflecting a stalemate between bullish and bearish momentum. With oil prices trading in the middle of the range in early trading, it is expected that intraday crude oil movement will remain within the range, and a range-bound trading strategy is recommended. Buy 58.8 - 59.3 SL 58.3 TP 59.8 - 60.3 - 61 Sell 60.4 - 61 SL 61.5 TP 59.1 - 58.5
TVC:USOIL
by KingArthur_
USOIL🧩 Chart Type • 1-hour timeframe (CFDs on WTI Crude Oil) • The chart is mainly based on Elliott Wave and harmonic pattern analysis. ⸻ 🔍 Key Observations 1. Falling Wedge / Channel • The price is moving inside a descending wedge pattern (two converging trendlines). • This usually signals a potential bullish reversal once the pattern completes. ⸻ 2. Wave Structure (Elliott Waves) • The chart labels show A-B-C corrective waves inside the wedge. • Currently, the market seems to be completing a C wave downwards within a complex correction. ⸻ 3. Harmonic Pattern (Possibly a Bat / Gartley) • There are multiple X-A-B-C-D harmonic projections. • The final D point appears around 57.8 – 58.0 USD, where Fibonacci extensions (1.618 and 2.24) align. • This area is likely a potential reversal zone (PRZ). ⸻ 4. Expected Move • After completing the downward C or D leg near $57.8–58.0, the chart projects a strong upward move — shown by the large vertical arrow. • This suggests a bullish reversal is expected once the final leg finishes.
TVC:USOILLong
by Fin_free_figt
Headwinds persist for oil, but downside looks limitedHeadwinds persist for oil, but downside looks limited Technical factors Oil continues to form lower swings. Although there has been a rebound, it lacks sustained momentum, suggesting it may be only a temporary bounce; the lower-swing structure and bearish EMAs still signal a downtrend. However, the downtrend is also losing strength, as evidenced by the price hasn’t set a new low for seven months. Therefore, if the price breaks to new lows, the downside may be limited, as momentum looks waning. If USOIL falls from here and breaks the previous low at 55.00, the price could fall toward 50.00. Conversely, if the pullback holds above the support at 58.00, the price may build a base before breaking above the higher peak at 62.50, targeting resistance at 66.50. Fundamental factors A key headwind remains supply growing faster than demand. OPEC+ members plan to raise output, stoking oversupply concerns, compounded by the U.S. accelerating production and reducing reliance on foreign supplies due to increased domestic output—currently a net import of crude oil as of October 2025, with net imports around 1.7 million barrels per day, the lowest since 1971. U.S. crude inventories continue to rise, signaling softer domestic demand alongside higher imports. Global economic growth is slowing, weighing on oil demand, particularly from China and other major economies. A stronger U.S. dollar makes dollar-priced oil more expensive for other countries, dampening overall demand. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:USOILShort
by KrisadaYoonaisil
Crude oil - 10/11/2025Oil prices rose on Monday as optimism grew that the prolonged U.S. government shutdown could soon end, boosting demand in the world’s largest oil consumer. The Senate’s progress toward reopening the government lifted market sentiment, and restoring pay to federal workers should improve consumer confidence and spending. WTI prices could rebound to $62 a barrel as risk appetite improves, though concerns remain about rising global supply. U.S. crude inventories are increasing, and stored volumes in Asian waters have doubled amid sanctions that curbed imports to China and India. Indian refiners are sourcing more from the Middle East and the Americas, while Russia’s Lukoil faces disruptions ahead of a U.S. deadline to cease business with the company. Meanwhile, Washington’s one-year sanctions exemption for Hungary has contributed to concerns about oversupply. On the technical side, the crude oil price is testing the resistance of $60, which is the psychological resistance of the round number as well as the 38.2% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level. Although the moving averages are confirming an overall bearish trend in the crude oil market, the Stochastic oscillator is approaching extreme oversold levels, suggesting that a bullish correction may be forthcoming in the upcoming sessions. If this is the case and the price indeed moves up, then the first area of potential resistance might be seen around $62, which is the medium-term resistance level where the price reacted multiple times in the past couple of months, making it a major technical area on the chart. On the other hand, the Bollinger Bands have started contracting late last week, indicating that we may experience sideways movement in the short term before any significant move. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Simple Head and shoulder formation for crude Oil reversal formatSimple Head and shoulder formation for crude Oil reversal formation, starting for a Bull run Simple Support and resistance method to trade in any stock, forex, futures, CFD, crypto, and other financial scripts. #btc #forex #etf #option #money #earning #dollars #bitcoin,#btc,#spy,#forex,#bitcoin,#supportlevel,#RESISTANCELEVEL,#TESLA,#S&P500,#NVDIA,#APPLE,#AMAZON,#NIFTY,#META,#RSI,#STOCKMARKET,#SHAREMARKET,#GOLD,#OIL,#SILVER,#INTRADAY,#SWINGTRADE,#LONGTERM,#INVESTMENT,#SELL,#BUY,#BID,#ASK,#MARKET,#INVESTORS,#IWM,#OPTION,#FUTURES,#US,#ALIBABA,#CASH,#CASHFLOW #BTC STILL IN #BUYlow Level #BTCUSD Check my previous post where it started #buylow #sellHigh Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #money Management is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm#buyy low #sellHigh Any trade money management is a tool to help you grow your portfolio. Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #moneyManagement is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sell #EURUSD #Gold #niftyy #s&p500 #etf #QQQ #IWM #future #options #longterm #XAUUSD #silver #USDCAD #btcusd
FX:USOILLong
by niftydaylevel
#oil Head and shoulder pattern formationSimple Head and shoulder formation for crude Oil reversal formation starting for a Bull run Simple Support and resistance method to trade in any stock, forex, futures, CFD, crypto, and other financial scripts. #btc #forex #etf #option #money #earning #dollars #bitcoin,#btc,#spy,#forex,#bitcoin,#supportlevel,#RESISTANCELEVEL,#TESLA,#S&P500,#NVDIA,#APPLE,#AMAZON,#NIFTY,#META,#RSI,#STOCKMARKET,#SHAREMARKET,#GOLD,#OIL,#SILVER,#INTRADAY,#SWINGTRADE,#LONGTERM,#INVESTMENT,#SELL,#BUY,#BID,#ASK,#MARKET,#INVESTORS,#IWM,#OPTION,#FUTURES,#US,#ALIBABA,#CASH,#CASHFLOW #BTC STILL IN #BUY@LOW Level #BTCUSD Check my previous post where it started #buy@low #sell@high Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #money Management is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm#buyy @low #sell@high Any trade money management is a tool to help you grow your portfolio. Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #moneyManagement is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sell #EURUSD #Gold #niftyy #s&p500 #etf #QQQ #IWM #future #options #longterm #XAUUSD #silver #USDCAD #btcusd
FX:USOILLong
by niftydaylevel