Trade ideas
OILUSD โ Demand Zone Reaction (4H Analysis)Price has been moving in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Recently, it tapped into a strong demand zone (blue box) and is now showing signs of a bullish reaction.
๐ Key Points:
Price reacted strongly from the demand zone.
A trendline break is visible, suggesting bearish momentum is weakening.
Stop loss is placed below the demand zone (61.36).
Take profit is set at the next supply zone / resistance around 66.05.
๐ก If buyers hold this level, we may see a strong push toward 66.05. But if demand fails, price could revisit lower levels.
USOIL LOCAL SHORT|
 โ
CRUDE OIL  is going up to retest 
A horizontal resistance of 63.00$
And as OIL is in the downtrend 
I am locally bearish biased
So I think that we will see a pullback  
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 62.20$
 SHORT๐ฅ
โ
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USOIL Is Going Up! Long! 
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) 
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 62.605.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 63.435.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USOIL H4 | Bullish reversal setup formingUSOIL is reacting off the buy entry which is a swing low support and could potentially rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 61.66, which is a swing low support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 60.88, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonaci extension.
Take profit is at 63.43, whichis a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 65.81
1st Support: 57.80
1st Resistance: 68.85
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USOIL:  Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USOIL pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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 USOIL (WTI) Gann & Harmonic Pattern Points to Major Move!๐ข๏ธ ๐ข๏ธ USOIL (WTI CRUDE) Points to Major Move! โก   ๐
 
 ๐น Comprehensive Price Action Strategy | September 2025 Edition ๐ฏ
๐ MARKET SNAPSHOT 
Asset: USOIL (SPOTCRUDE/WTI CASH)  
Current Closing Price: $64.413  
Date: September 6, 2025  
Market Status: ๐ด Critical Support Zone Testing
 ๐ฏ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading at $64.413, positioned at a crucial technical juncture. Our multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bearish-to-neutral bias with potential for a significant reversal if key support levels hold. The convergence of multiple technical indicators suggests heightened volatility ahead, presenting both risk and opportunity for astute traders.
 ๐ COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
 ๐ฏ๏ธ Candlestick Pattern Analysis
The recent price action has formed a Bullish Hammer pattern at the $64.00 psychological support level, suggesting potential exhaustion of selling pressure. This formation, combined with increasing volume, indicates possible accumulation phase initiation.
Key Patterns Identified:
- โ
 Bullish Hammer at support
- โ ๏ธ Evening Star formation on 4H chart
- ๐ Doji cluster indicating indecision
 ๐ Elliott Wave Analysis
Current wave count suggests we're completing Wave 5 of a larger corrective structure:
Primary Count: Completing Wave C of ABC correction
Alternative Count: Wave 4 consolidation before final Wave 5 push
Target Zones: 
  - Bullish: $72.50-$74.00 (Wave 5 extension)
  - Bearish: $58.00-$60.00 (Wave C completion)
 ๐ Harmonic Patterns
A Bullish Bat Pattern is forming on the daily timeframe:
- X: $78.45 (Recent High)
- A: $61.20 (Recent Low)
- B: $71.85 (0.618 Retracement)
- C: $64.41 (Current Price)
- D: $59.80-$60.50 (Projected - 0.886 XA)
Trading Implication: Watch for reversal signals near $60.00 for high-probability long entries.
 ๐ Wyckoff Analysis
Current market structure suggests:
Phase: Potential Spring Test within Trading Range
Volume Analysis: Declining volume on recent decline = Lack of selling pressure
Smart Money Behavior: Accumulation signals emerging
Projected Move: Re-accumulation before markup phase
 ๐ W.D. Gann Analysis
Gann Square of 9 Calculations:
- Current Price: $64.413 sits on 225ยฐ angle
- Next Resistance: $68.00 (270ยฐ angle)
- Critical Support: $61.00 (180ยฐ angle)
Gann Time Cycles:
- September 15, 2025: Major time pivot โฐ
- September 22, 2025: Secondary cycle completion
Gann Fan Analysis:
- Price respecting 2x1 angle from July low
- Break above 1x1 angle at $66.50 signals trend change
 โ๏ธ Ichimoku Cloud Analysis
Current Position: Price below cloud - Bearish bias
Tenkan-sen: $65.80 (Immediate resistance)
Kijun-sen: $67.25 (Major resistance)
Cloud Support: $62.00-$63.50
Chikou Span: Bearish, below price 26 periods ago
 ๐ KEY TECHNICAL INDICATORS
 ๐ RSI (14-Period)
Current Reading: 42.5
Status: Approaching oversold territory
Divergence: Bullish divergence forming on 4H chart
Signal: Potential reversal zone approaching
 ๐ Bollinger Bands
Upper Band: $68.20
Middle Band (20 SMA): $65.85
Lower Band: $63.50
Current Position: Testing lower band
Volatility: Bands contracting - Breakout imminent
 ๐น VWAP Analysis
Daily VWAP: $64.85
Weekly Anchored VWAP: $66.20
Monthly VWAP: $67.50
Volume Profile POC: $65.00 (High volume node)
 ๐ Moving Averages Confluence
20 EMA: $65.85 โฌ๏ธ
50 SMA: $67.20 โฌ๏ธ
100 EMA: $69.50 โฌ๏ธ
200 SMA: $71.00 โฌ๏ธ
Status: Death cross on daily (50/200) - Bearish medium-term
 ๐ฏ TRADING STRATEGY
 โก INTRADAY TRADING (5M-1H)
LONG SETUP ๐ข
Entry Zone: $63.80-$64.20
Stop Loss: $63.40 (-1%)
Target 1: $64.80 (+1.5%)
Target 2: $65.40 (+2.5%)
Target 3: $66.00 (+3.5%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
SHORT SETUP ๐ด
Entry Zone: $65.60-$65.90
Stop Loss: $66.30 (-1%)
Target 1: $65.00 (-1.5%)
Target 2: $64.40 (-2.5%)
Target 3: $63.80 (-3.5%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
 ๐ SWING TRADING (4H-DAILY)
BULLISH SCENARIO ๐
Entry: $64.00-$64.50 (Current levels)
Stop Loss: $61.50 (-4%)
Target 1: $68.00 (+5.5%)
Target 2: $72.00 (+11.8%)
Target 3: $75.50 (+17.2%)
Position Size: 2% portfolio risk
BEARISH SCENARIO ๐
Entry: $65.80-$66.20 (Resistance retest)
Stop Loss: $67.50 (+2%)
Target 1: $62.00 (-6%)
Target 2: $59.50 (-10%)
Target 3: $57.00 (-14%)
Position Size: 1.5% portfolio risk
 ๐๏ธ WEEKLY FORECAST
 Monday-Tuesday (Sept 9-10) ๐
- Expected Range: $63.50-$65.80
- Bias: Neutral with bullish undertone
- Key Level: Watch $64.00 support hold
 Wednesday-Thursday (Sept 11-12) ๐
- Expected Range: $64.00-$67.00
- Bias: Potential breakout day
- Catalyst: EIA Inventory Data
 Friday (Sept 13) ๐
- Expected Range: $65.00-$68.50
- Bias: Trend continuation
- Note: Options expiry volatility
 ๐ MARKET CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS
 Geopolitical Factors ๐
- โ ๏ธ Middle East tensions supporting price floor
- ๐จ๐ณ China demand concerns capping upside
- ๐บ๐ธ SPR refill discussions providing support
 Supply/Demand Dynamics โ๏ธ
- OPEC+ production cuts extended
- US shale production moderating
- Global inventory draws accelerating
 Economic Indicators ๐
- Dollar Index weakening (Bullish for Oil)
- Global growth concerns (Bearish pressure)
- Inflation expectations rising (Supportive)
 โ ๏ธ RISK MANAGEMENT
 Position Sizing Guidelines ๐ฐ
Intraday: Max 1-2% account risk per trade
Swing: Max 3-5% account risk per position
Correlation Risk: Monitor energy sector exposure
 Stop Loss Strategies ๐ก๏ธ
1. ATR-Based: 1.5x ATR from entry
2. Structure-Based: Below/above key S/R levels
3. Time-Based: Exit if no movement in 2-3 candles
 Risk Factors โ ๏ธ
- ๐ด Break below $61.50 invalidates bullish thesis
- ๐ด Unexpected OPEC+ policy changes
- ๐ด Rapid Dollar strengthening
- ๐ข Surprise inventory draws
- ๐ข Geopolitical escalation
 ๐ฏ KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
 SUPPORT LEVELS ๐ข
S1: $63.50 (Immediate)
S2: $61.50 (Critical)
S3: $59.00 (Major)
S4: $57.00 (Yearly Low)
 RESISTANCE LEVELS ๐ด
R1: $65.80 (Immediate)
R2: $67.25 (Daily 50MA)
R3: $69.50 (Daily 100MA)
R4: $72.00 (Major)
 ๐ก PRO TRADING TIPS
1. ๐ฏ Best Entry Times: London/NY overlap (8-11 AM EST)
2. ๐ Volume Confirmation: Look for >20% above average
3. ๐ Correlation Trades: Monitor USD/CAD inverse relationship
4. โฐ Avoid Trading: 30 mins before/after EIA releases
5. ๐ Scale Strategy: Add to winners, not losers
 ๐ฎ MONTH-END PRICE TARGETS
 September 2025 Projections:
Bullish Target: $72.00-$74.00 ๐ฏ
Base Case: $66.00-$68.00 ๐
Bearish Target: $58.00-$60.00 ๐
Probability Assessment:
- Bullish Scenario: 35% ๐
- Base Case: 45% โก๏ธ
- Bearish Scenario: 20% ๐
 ๐ CONCLUSION & ACTION PLAN
USOIL presents a compelling risk/reward opportunity at current levels. The confluence of technical support at $64.00, combined with oversold conditions and potential harmonic pattern completion, suggests a tactical long position with tight risk management is warranted.
Recommended Strategy: 
1. Primary: Accumulate long positions $63.50-$64.50
2. Alternative: Wait for breakout above $66.00 for momentum trades
3. Hedge: Consider put options if below $61.50
 ๐ TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- โ
 Confirm volume supports move
- โ
 Check RSI for divergences
- โ
 Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- โ
 Set stop loss before entry
- โ
 Calculate position size
- โ
 Review correlation with DXY
- โ
 Check economic calendar
- โ
 Assess market sentiment
 ๐ท๏ธ *Last Updated: September 6, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4*
๐ Follow for daily updates and real-time trading signals!
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
 Website: shunya dot trade 
โ ๏ธDisclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
CRUDE OIL Support Ahead! Buy!
 Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL  keeps falling
In a downtrend which seems
To indicate that the market
Has its doubts about the 
Economy, however, a strong
Horizontal support is ahead
Around 60.00$ and after the
Retest we will be expecting 
A local bullish rebound 
 Sell!
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USOIL Will Explode! BUY!
 My dear subscribers, 
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 61.96 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish 
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish  continuation.
Target - 63.08
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
 WISH YOU ALL LUCK 
โWTI Crude Oil: Rebound Setup with $95 Target Ahead?โWTI Crude Oil Analysis ๐ข๏ธ
Price is holding strong around the $59โ62 support zone.
A breakout above the $70 trendline could open the way to $95โ96.
๐น Fundamentals: OPEC+ supply discipline, global demand recovery, and USD weakness could support the move.
โ ๏ธ Risks: global slowdown, stronger USD, unexpected OPEC policy shifts.
๐ Setup looks bullish, but patience is key.
This is not financial advice.
USOIL: Bears Are Winning! Short! 
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL togetherโบ๏ธ
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 61.933 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
โค๏ธSending you lots of Love and Hugsโค๏ธ
USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 61.941.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 58.529 level soon. 
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTI 4HTrading Outlook for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we review trading perspectives and short-term outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone near the current price of the asset. The marketโs reaction toโor breakout fromโthis zone will determine the next price movement toward the specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight key levels ahead of the price and the marketโs potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
OILUSD โ Testing 61.71, Next Support at 59.86WTI Crude extended its bearish move after rejecting the 64.57 resistance zone. Price is now testing the 61.71 support, and a breakdown here could open the way toward the 59.86 zone.
Support at: 61.71 / 59.86 ๐ฝ
Resistance at: 63.09 / 64.57 ๐ผ
๐ Bias:
๐ฝ Bearish: A clear break below 61.71 exposes 59.86 as the next target.
๐ผ Bullish: Holding above 61.71 and reclaiming 63.09 would suggest a possible rebound toward 64.57.
 ๐ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
USOIL Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) 
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 63.116.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 65.546 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. 
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 63.13
Target Level: 65.08
Stop Loss: 61.82
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTI BUY OPPORTUNITY Price rebound at a support level of 62.5 technically we anticipate some bullish price action to develop away from that level. Also, thereโs a decrease in oil production according to report from EIA therefore thereโs  an increase in demand which shows that buyers are likely to take the price higher from the current price. Target profit is 64.5






















