USDWTI – HTF Multi-Confluence Analysis Near 1Y Low | OCT 2025We are approaching a multi-layer confluence support on oil that aligns several HTF analysis factors and potential seasonal and geopolitical considerations .
This area represents a robust multi-confluence support zone — likely near a yearly low — offering a compelling blend of technical support and long-term positioning.
For reference, the USDWTI (ICE) has been used as the feed provides a reliable, continuous spot-price series for modern WTI crude — ideal for EMAs, pivots and near-term technical structure . Many retail-broker CFD feeds cover only limited history, which can be insufficient for HTF analysis .
Full USDWTI chart analysis:
🔎 Key Technical Levels on the Confluence Zone
1. Daily Pivot: 61.60
2. Weekly S1: 60.25
3. Monthly S1: 61.54
4. Monthly S2: 60.39
5. Yearly S2: 61.11
Primary Confluence Zone: 60.25 - 61.60 (≈ 2.15 % range)
• Sub-clusters: 60.25 - 60.39 (lower) and 61.54 - 61.60 (upper)
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📊 Momentum & Structure
6. Monthly MACD histogram turning upward → early buyer pressure on HTF
7. 1W EMA-20 ≈ 64.18 – needs to be reclaimed for any sustained long-term reversal
8. Fear on weekly timeframe at 35.46
9. Daily chop zone: 61.07 - 61.55*
10. Weekly chop zone: 62.93 - 63.93*
11. Monthly chop zone: 64.95 - 67.39*
12. Yearly chop zone: 72.19 - 97.77*
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Seasonal / Macro Notes
13. Energy sector often benefits from Q4–winter demand (heating-fuel season).
OPEC+ meeting cycle in Nov–Dec: any production cuts would reinforce technical support.
14. Geopolitical risk often rises year-end; since Aug 2025 , capital has rotated into gold and defence stocks , reflecting risk-hedge positioning.
15. Long term high R-R setup if managed with proper sizing — approx. 17 % potential draw-down vs ~ 58.9 % projected upside **.
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💡 Context
Crude typically shows mild seasonal firming from Oct → early winter on heating demand and OPEC policy, though this can be offset by high inventories, a mild winter, or weak macro growth.
The content in this analysis highlights a high-probability zone (60.25 - 61.60) where multiple confluences align, useful for observation and study .
This is not a buy or sell signal. These observations are for market-study purposes only and should not be interpreted as trade instructions.
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⚠️ Risk Note:
It is recommended not to overleverage your positions. Overexposure is the main killer of portfolios. Position sizing directly impacts mental clarity: excessive size can cloud judgment and trigger emotional reactions , while appropriate sizing supports composure and disciplined execution. It is better to collect steady breadcrumbs than to risk giving away your capital.
Trading risk can be managed but never eliminated.
❗️ Disclaimer:
This content is provided for educational purposes only . It does not constitute financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. The author does not provide trading signals, portfolio management, or any services regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
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*Chop-zone ranges manually calculated from personally-developed formula.
**Analysis is educational and values represent an approximate scenario, not a trade signal or trade advice.
