Complicated situation in the Middle EastThe downtrend in oil is quite clear to everyone, and naturally, oil prices are heavily dependent on war and insecurity news in the region. If the Middle East were in a normal state, oil prices should have been much lower. However, despite the ongoing downtrend, I don’t think it will drop below \$61. We might see a range forming, and there’s also a chance that a single piece of news could reverse the trend.
USOILSPOT trade ideas
Oil Prices Under OPEC+ Pressure!Oil prices fell for a second consecutive session, with Brent crude down 0.6% to $67.17 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate down by the same percentage to $63.53. Investors are now looking ahead to the upcoming OPEC+ meeting early next week, amid rising expectations that producers may consider a fresh output hike for October.
This comes after the alliance had already raised its targets by about 2.2 million barrels per day between April and September, along with an additional 300,000 barrels for the UAE. At the same time, market focus is shifting to U.S. crude inventory data, particularly after the American Petroleum Institute reported an unexpected build of 622,000 barrels for the week ending August 29, compared with analyst forecasts of a nearly 2 million barrel drawdown.
From the technical side:
Crude oil is still trading in a general uptrend on the 4-hour chart, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, it is approaching a key level in the short- to medium-term at 62.95, which represents the last higher low recorded by the price. A break below this level and the formation of a lower low on the 4-hour chart would indicate a shift from the current uptrend to a renewed downtrend. On the other side, if price holds the 62.95 level and fails to form a lower low, oil could potentially target the 65.31 level.
USOIL H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has reacted off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 63.41, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 64.78, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 61.60, which is a swing low support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
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WTI: weekly seller targets reached, monthly targets still lowerHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The sellers have reached the targets mentioned in the previous review (65.628 and 64.378).
What to expect next.
Daily timeframe
On the daily timeframe (D1) for WTI, we see a manipulation of the 65.771 level, which may indicate that the market is moving toward the monthly targets I mentioned earlier — 61.818 and 58.504.
Hourly timeframe
On the hourly timeframe (H1), this manipulation appeared as a false breakout of the upper boundary of a sideways range. The range boundaries are clearly defined: the upper boundary at 65.771 and the lower boundary at 63.580.
Wishing you profitable trades!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Breakout!
With a strong bullish rally, WTI Crude Oil violated a significant
daily resistance cluster yesterday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose an important
demand zone now.
I will expect a bullish continuation from that.
Next resistance - 66.6
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Consolidation is OverFollowing a test of a significant daily support level, USOIL has been consolidating for an entire trading week.
Today's fundamental data has instilled a bullish sentiment in the market, and the price has successfully surpassed a major resistance point within its sideways movement.
It is anticipated that the market will continue to experience growth.
The next resistance level to watch is 66.72.
Bearish reversal forming at key resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 65.82
1st Resistance: 66.80
1st Support: 63.79
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 65.90
Target Level: 59.95
Stop Loss: 69.84
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Potential bearish drop off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 64.20
1st Support: 62.48
1st Resistance: 65.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI OIL 4H BUY SIGNAL WTI OIL 4H Buy Signal 🟢
After catching last week’s low and hitting $66.30 target, WTI now pulled back to the 4H MA50 inside the short-term Channel Up.
The last 3 touches = buy opportunities ✅.
If this Higher Low holds, a new bullish leg should target the 1.382 Fib extension → $66.75 🎯.
Kaizo precision. Next move loading… 🥷🔥
WTI Crude resistance at 6600The WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a further selling pressure within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 6600, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 6600 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 6200, followed by 6100 and 6000 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6600 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6710, then 6800.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 6600. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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Brent Crude Futures Remember when Oil was $100 a barrel??? Looks like we are headed right back there.
Every 90 weeks we get a "change in trend" for Brent. This week Brent is 180 weeks down from high and 90 weeks from low. It is time for a turn. Brent was up 1.4% August 26. It is turning higher in sync with this 90-week cycle. And when you see a close above 72.65, be ready for "panic buying" and an oil shock.
But we all can use a little exercise. Time to either ride bikes, car share or SAVE and MANAGE money for Gas!!
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 64.627.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 63.428.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SpotCrude Short Setup - 4h💎MJTrading
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🛢️ PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE Short Setup – Third Tap of Falling Wedge Resistance
Pattern: Falling wedge
Context: Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
Bias: Bearish
🟢 Entry Point: 64.5
This aligns with upper boundary of the Falling Wedge (After Rejection).
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 65.5
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
✅ TP1 (RR1) → 63.5
📈 TP2 → 62.5
💰 TP3 → 61.5
🧠 Trade Logic
Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk:Reward ratio ranges from 1:1 to 1:3, depending on TP level.
Psychology Always Matters:
WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 2 September 2025- WTI crude oil broke the resistance level 64.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 66.00
WTI crude oil recently broke the resistance level 64.00 intersecting with the resistance trendline of the daily Falling Wedge from June.
The breakout of the resistance level 64.00 coincided with the breakout of the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse i from July.
WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 66.00, which is the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse i from July.