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Learn How to Trade WTI in 1 MinuteWTI in the 4H timeframe has formed a solid range for us that could lead to a strong trend after breaking out of it. Setup and Entry: A: Our long trigger is breaking the ceiling, meaning 60.329 , and B: Our short trigger is breaking the floor at 59.375 . Exit Plan: For scenario A, we can take profits at levels 61.203 and 61.891 —also, if you spot any kind of reject candle or reversal pattern on these levels, you can close the position. For scenario B, 57.360 could serve as a sort of final target; depending on the risk-to-reward you get, you can close or hold out for 56.321 . Short targets are more extensive because HWC and MWC also carry bearish momentum, which aids further drops—so the bearish bias here is stronger. Goal: For A, simply capturing the daily corrective wave; for B, continuing the MWC with partial profits to aim for higher R/R ratios. Thanks for your attention.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by SkepticLab
USOIL H1 | Bearish Momentum BuildingMomentum: Bearish Price is currently retracing toward the sell entry, which aligns with the descending trendline that has been tested at least three times. Sell entry: 60.16 Pullback resistance Stop loss: 60.71 Pullback resistance Take profit: 58.95 Swing low support Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (thttps://tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
Crude oil: Consolidating sideways in the short term.Crude oil prices once hit a low not seen in over two weeks. In early trading on Monday, prices remained below the psychological threshold of $60 per barrel. Therefore, bullish traders should exercise caution before going long and adopt a prudent approach to positioning in anticipation of any substantial upward movement. Crude oil is oscillating within a range in the short term. Prices have repeatedly crossed the moving average system, with the short-term objective trend direction being sideways consolidation. The MACD indicator is hovering around the zero line, reflecting a stalemate between bullish and bearish momentum. With oil prices trading in the middle of the range in early trading, it is expected that intraday crude oil movement will remain within the range, and a range-bound trading strategy is recommended. Buy 58.8 - 59.3 SL 58.3 TP 59.8 - 60.3 - 61 Sell 60.4 - 61 SL 61.5 TP 59.1 - 58.5
TVC:USOIL
by KingArthur_
Headwinds persist for oil, but downside looks limitedHeadwinds persist for oil, but downside looks limited Technical factors Oil continues to form lower swings. Although there has been a rebound, it lacks sustained momentum, suggesting it may be only a temporary bounce; the lower-swing structure and bearish EMAs still signal a downtrend. However, the downtrend is also losing strength, as evidenced by the price hasn’t set a new low for seven months. Therefore, if the price breaks to new lows, the downside may be limited, as momentum looks waning. If USOIL falls from here and breaks the previous low at 55.00, the price could fall toward 50.00. Conversely, if the pullback holds above the support at 58.00, the price may build a base before breaking above the higher peak at 62.50, targeting resistance at 66.50. Fundamental factors A key headwind remains supply growing faster than demand. OPEC+ members plan to raise output, stoking oversupply concerns, compounded by the U.S. accelerating production and reducing reliance on foreign supplies due to increased domestic output—currently a net import of crude oil as of October 2025, with net imports around 1.7 million barrels per day, the lowest since 1971. U.S. crude inventories continue to rise, signaling softer domestic demand alongside higher imports. Global economic growth is slowing, weighing on oil demand, particularly from China and other major economies. A stronger U.S. dollar makes dollar-priced oil more expensive for other countries, dampening overall demand. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:USOILShort
by KrisadaYoonaisil
Crude oil - 10/11/2025Oil prices rose on Monday as optimism grew that the prolonged U.S. government shutdown could soon end, boosting demand in the world’s largest oil consumer. The Senate’s progress toward reopening the government lifted market sentiment, and restoring pay to federal workers should improve consumer confidence and spending. WTI prices could rebound to $62 a barrel as risk appetite improves, though concerns remain about rising global supply. U.S. crude inventories are increasing, and stored volumes in Asian waters have doubled amid sanctions that curbed imports to China and India. Indian refiners are sourcing more from the Middle East and the Americas, while Russia’s Lukoil faces disruptions ahead of a U.S. deadline to cease business with the company. Meanwhile, Washington’s one-year sanctions exemption for Hungary has contributed to concerns about oversupply. On the technical side, the crude oil price is testing the resistance of $60, which is the psychological resistance of the round number as well as the 38.2% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level. Although the moving averages are confirming an overall bearish trend in the crude oil market, the Stochastic oscillator is approaching extreme oversold levels, suggesting that a bullish correction may be forthcoming in the upcoming sessions. If this is the case and the price indeed moves up, then the first area of potential resistance might be seen around $62, which is the medium-term resistance level where the price reacted multiple times in the past couple of months, making it a major technical area on the chart. On the other hand, the Bollinger Bands have started contracting late last week, indicating that we may experience sideways movement in the short term before any significant move. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Simple Head and shoulder formation for crude Oil reversal formatSimple Head and shoulder formation for crude Oil reversal formation, starting for a Bull run Simple Support and resistance method to trade in any stock, forex, futures, CFD, crypto, and other financial scripts. #btc #forex #etf #option #money #earning #dollars #bitcoin,#btc,#spy,#forex,#bitcoin,#supportlevel,#RESISTANCELEVEL,#TESLA,#S&P500,#NVDIA,#APPLE,#AMAZON,#NIFTY,#META,#RSI,#STOCKMARKET,#SHAREMARKET,#GOLD,#OIL,#SILVER,#INTRADAY,#SWINGTRADE,#LONGTERM,#INVESTMENT,#SELL,#BUY,#BID,#ASK,#MARKET,#INVESTORS,#IWM,#OPTION,#FUTURES,#US,#ALIBABA,#CASH,#CASHFLOW #BTC STILL IN #BUYlow Level #BTCUSD Check my previous post where it started #buylow #sellHigh Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #money Management is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm#buyy low #sellHigh Any trade money management is a tool to help you grow your portfolio. Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #moneyManagement is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sell #EURUSD #Gold #niftyy #s&p500 #etf #QQQ #IWM #future #options #longterm #XAUUSD #silver #USDCAD #btcusd
FX:USOILLong
by niftydaylevel
#oil Head and shoulder pattern formationSimple Head and shoulder formation for crude Oil reversal formation starting for a Bull run Simple Support and resistance method to trade in any stock, forex, futures, CFD, crypto, and other financial scripts. #btc #forex #etf #option #money #earning #dollars #bitcoin,#btc,#spy,#forex,#bitcoin,#supportlevel,#RESISTANCELEVEL,#TESLA,#S&P500,#NVDIA,#APPLE,#AMAZON,#NIFTY,#META,#RSI,#STOCKMARKET,#SHAREMARKET,#GOLD,#OIL,#SILVER,#INTRADAY,#SWINGTRADE,#LONGTERM,#INVESTMENT,#SELL,#BUY,#BID,#ASK,#MARKET,#INVESTORS,#IWM,#OPTION,#FUTURES,#US,#ALIBABA,#CASH,#CASHFLOW #BTC STILL IN #BUY@LOW Level #BTCUSD Check my previous post where it started #buy@low #sell@high Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #money Management is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm#buyy @low #sell@high Any trade money management is a tool to help you grow your portfolio. Simple trading strategy support & resistance All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #moneyManagement is the key Your money management only decides your profit #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sell #EURUSD #Gold #niftyy #s&p500 #etf #QQQ #IWM #future #options #longterm #XAUUSD #silver #USDCAD #btcusd
FX:USOILLong
by niftydaylevel
Bearish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected the pivot level, which serves as a pullback resistance, and could reverse toward the 1st support. Pivot: 61.26 1st Support: 56.38 1st Resistance: 64.62 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by IC Markets
Next week's crude oil trading strategyThe expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut has been restored, and the decline in the US dollar index has boosted oil prices. In November, the core PPI of the US increased by 2.8% year-on-year (lower than the expected 3.0%), and the number of unemployment benefit claims exceeded expectations and increased by 12% month-on-month. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December has risen from 68% to 85%, and the cumulative interest rate cut expectation for 2026 has been restored from 75BP to 90BP. The marginal warming of the expectation of loose liquidity has pushed the US dollar index to fall from 100.5 to 99.2, and the valuation of major commodities priced in US dollars, such as crude oil, has been supported - historical data shows that for every 1% decline in the US dollar index, the average crude oil price rises by 1.3%. The current decline in the US dollar has directly boosted oil prices. Next week's crude oil trading strategy buy：59.5-60 tp:60.5-601 sl:59
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
WTI on high time frame 1. **Current Price Action**: WTI has reached the $56 level, indicating a liquidity sweep. 2. **Signals for Higher Prices**: After the liquidity sweep, there are indications that prices may rise, with the first target at around $64. 3. **Geopolitical Factors**: The analysis is contingent on geopolitical stability, as any changes in tariffs or geopolitical situations can invalidate this forecast. If you need more detailed analysis or specific aspects explained, feel free to ask!
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by somayehbasiri
wti 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
CFI:WTI
by Deltafx_Broker
WTI USOIL CRITICAL CONFLUENCE ZONES# 🛢️ SPOTCRUDE (WTI CRUDE OIL) COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🎯 ## Week of November 10-14, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Mastery Close Price: 59.989 USD/barrel | Entry Point: November 8, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 📈 ## 🔍 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - MULTI-TIMEFRAME PERSPECTIVE WTI Crude Oil (SPOTCRUDE) is trading at a critical technical inflection point with exceptional multi-timeframe alignment signaling imminent directional breakout. Elliott Wave analysis reveals completion of corrective cycles, positioning for next impulse leg targeting 62.50-65.00 extension zone with powerful momentum. Bollinger Bands display classic compression squeeze pattern —volatility condensation preceding directional expansion. RSI across all timeframes maintains neutral-bullish bias (52-68 range)—optimal momentum positioning without extreme overbought conditions. Volume clustering at 59.50-60.50 represents significant institutional accumulation foundation. Wyckoff spring tests near 58.50-59.00 provide aggressive entry triggers. Harmonic pattern convergence at 61.00-62.00 resistance signals breakout confirmation with measured move targets extending to 65.00+. OPEC+ policy expectations + geopolitical tensions support directional clarity emerging this week. ## 📊 TIMEFRAME-BY-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS ### 5-MINUTE (Scalping Precision) ⚡ Candlestick Formation: Japanese candles reveal micro-consolidation with breakout attempts at support zones. Evening Star rejection formations detected at 61.50-62.00 intraday resistance creating reversal opportunities. Elliott Wave 5M: Sub-wave completion indicates Wave 4 micro-consolidation finalizing. Wave 5 breakout anticipated above 60.20-60.50 with targets 61.50-62.00 (measured move). Bollinger Bands: Upper compression mode—middle band at 59.95 acts as pivot point. Lower band rejection (59.20-59.50) creates scalp-long setups with excellent risk/reward. RSI (14) Analysis: RSI oscillating 48-66 range—neutral territory with minor divergences forming. Bullish divergence at 59.30 support signals buyer engagement; caution on 72+ resistance. Micro Support/Resistance: 59.20 (micro-support) | 59.70 (POC cluster) | 60.20 (pivot) | 61.20 (intraday resistance) | 61.80 (scalp target) Volume Signature: Volume concentrated 59.70-60.30 zone—institutional marker. Breakout volume >50% above average required above 61.20 for sustained move above 62.00. VWAP Alignment: Price oscillating around session VWAP at 59.80—each touch generates scalp opportunity. Upper VWAP band at 61.50; lower support at 59.20. ### 15-MINUTE (Quick Swing Gateway) 🎢 Candlestick Patterns: Engulfing bars forming at support zones—bullish engulfing at 59.50 zone confirms reversal attempts. Three-candle patterns (flag continuation) with 50-90 cents breakout potential. Harmonic Pattern Recognition: Gartley Pattern potential completion near 59.40-59.80 PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). Exceptional risk-reward at 1:3.6 for harmonic traders. Butterfly variant also forming. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase: Classic accumulation evident—small barometer move (SBM) nearing completion. Spring test anticipated 58.50-58.90 zone; markup phase targets 62.00-63.50. Bollinger Bands (15M): Band squeeze intensifying—historical volatility expansion suggests 70-110 cents moves follow. Upper band resistance at 62.00; lower band support at 58.90. Volume Profile (15M): Point of Control (POC) at 59.85—prime concentration zone. Volume surge >55% required confirming breakout above 61.50. Imbalances favor upside significantly. Ichimoku Cloud (15M): Price consolidating below cloud edge—Tenkan-sen at 61.50 = resistance pivot. Kijun-sen (61.00) = critical secondary support. Cloud support 59.50-60.20. EMA Structure: EMA 9 (60.20) above EMA 21 (59.80)—bullish alignment confirmed. Price above both = intraday strength maintained. ### 30-MINUTE (Intraday Swing Axis) 🔄 Pattern Formation: Symmetrical Triangle pattern consolidating with apex near 61.50. Ascending triangle variant shows bullish bias—breakout above 61.20 targets 62.50-63.50 extension. Dow Theory Application: Confirming higher highs/higher lows structure. Secondary trend bullish; pullbacks to EMA 20 (60.10) = optimal swing entry zones. RSI Divergence Setup: Positive RSI divergence confirmed—price making lower lows (59.00) while RSI forms higher lows (38 level). Classic reversal setup targeting 61.50 minimum. Exponential Moving Average: EMA 9 (60.30) = core support pivot. EMA 21 (59.80) = secondary support. EMA 50 (58.50) = structural hold level. Bullish ribbon alignment intact. Support Architecture: 58.50 (EMA 50/structural) | 59.20 (demand zone) | 59.80 (volume cluster) | 60.20 (EMA 9 dynamic) Resistance Architecture: 61.20 (triangle formation) | 61.80 (measured move target) | 62.50 (weekly resistance) | 63.50 (extension) Volume Analysis (30M): Increasing volume on recent bars—accumulation signature strong. Buy volume exceeding sell volume confirms institutional interest significantly. ### 1-HOUR (Core Swing Trade Engine) 🎯 Elliott Wave Structure: Major wave analysis suggests Wave 3 completion near 62.50. Current Wave 4 correction targets 60.50-61.00 support zone. Wave 5 impulse anticipated—target: 63.50-65.00. Pennant Formation: Classic Bullish Pennant pattern forming—breakout confirmation above 61.50 validates pattern. Pole height measured move = 63.50+ realistic target. Bollinger Bands (1H): Upper band at 62.50 = squeeze breakout target. Middle band (61.50) = bullish support zone. Lower band rejection (58.50) creates swing longs with excellent R/R. VWAP Daily: Oil trading above daily VWAP at 59.50—bullish gradient confirmed. Each hourly candle close above VWAP strengthens continuation probability. Volume Profile Hotspot: Heavily traded at 59.70-60.30 (accumulation zone) and 61.50-62.00 (resistance cluster). Imbalances above 62.50 suggest vacuum-fill potential. Ichimoku Cloud Alignment: Price above Senkou Span A (61.50) & Span B (61.00)—cloud thickness indicates strong support. Chikou Span above candles = bullish confirmation. Cloud color: BULLISH GREEN. Gann Theory Application: 45-degree angle from swing low (57.50) establishes rally trajectory. Resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci extension (61.80) precedes aggressive breakout phase. Support Tiers 1H: 58.50 (structural hold) | 59.20 (EMA support) | 59.80 (Kijun-sen) | 60.30 (accumulation zone) Resistance Tiers 1H: 61.50 (breakout trigger) | 62.00 (extension) | 62.50 (major level) | 63.50 (impulse target) ### 4-HOUR (Swing Trade Thesis Foundation) 💼 Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern: Potential IH&S formation completing—left shoulder (58.20), head (57.80), right shoulder completing (58.50-59.00). Neckline breakout at 61.50 targets 63.00-64.00 extension. Wyckoff Accumulation Deep Dive: Institutional buying signature evident—SBM (small barometer move) completion imminent. Spring test to 58.20-58.60 anticipated; subsequent markup phase targets 63.50-64.50. RSI 4H Analysis: RSI at 56-70 range—bullish bias maintained. Room for upside extension without extreme overbought. RSI above 74 targets 63.50+; below 34 = defensive posture required. Cup & Handle Formation: Potential bullish Cup pattern visible on 4H—handle stabilization near 60.20-61.00. Breakout above handle (61.80) targets cup depth extension = 63.50-64.00. EMA Ribbon Structure: EMA 8 (60.80), EMA 13 (60.50), EMA 21 (59.80), EMA 50 (58.50), EMA 200 (56.00)—BULLISH ALIGNMENT PERFECT. Compression/expansion cycles identify momentum phases. Support Tiers 4H: 58.20 (structural support) | 58.50 (accumulation) | 59.50 (pivot) | 60.30 (demand cluster) Resistance Tiers 4H: 61.50 (key breakout) | 62.00 (extension) | 62.50 (major target) | 63.50 (weekly projection) Volume Signature 4H: Accumulation volume bars > distribution bars—bullish bias maintained. Volume nodes clustering at 59.70-60.30 indicate strong institutional support zone. ### DAILY CHART (Macro Swing Thesis) 📅 Elliott Wave Macro: We're potentially in Wave 3 of larger cycle—aggressive expansion still possible. Wave structure supports break of 62.50 targeting 64.50-66.00 daily close objectives. Double Bottom Recognition: Historical Double Bottom pattern near 57.00-58.00 support—confirmed breakthrough above 61.50 neckline triggered. Second target near 63.00-64.00. Bollinger Bands Daily: Upper band at 63.50 = realistic daily target zone. Mean (61.50) = healthy pullback support. Band slope indicates volatility expansion—expect 200-350 cents daily ranges. Volume Profile Daily: Strong buying volume bar at 58.50-60.00 zone—institutional accumulation marker established. Selling volume decreasing—demand controls trend absolutely. Ichimoku Cloud Daily: Cloud thickness growing—bullish trend strengthening substantially. Cloud support around 60.00-61.50 zone. Kumo breakout anticipated—targets cloud top at 62.50-63.50. Harmonic Analysis Deep: Butterfly Pattern potential completion—PRZ at 61.50-62.00 suggests reversal zone OR breakout confirmation. Confluence amplifies probability of extension. Gann Angles & Fibonacci: 50% retracement (59.50) + 61.8% extension (62.50) = key reversal zones. Gann fan angles suggest 62.00-63.00 as structural resistance before continuation. Key Daily Support: 57.80 (psychological/structural) | 58.50 (accumulation zone) | 59.50 (demand level) | 60.20 (midpoint) Key Daily Resistance: 61.50 (breakout trigger) | 62.00 (extension) | 62.50 (measured move) | 64.00 (weekly target) Trend Confirmation: Higher highs & higher lows maintained—uptrend intact. Daily close above 62.50 = strong continuation signal targeting 65.00+ next level. ## 🎪 TRADING SETUP PLAYBOOK - NOV 10-14 ### BULLISH SCENARIO (Probability: 79%) ✅ Trigger: 4H candle close above 61.80 + volume surge (>50% above average) + RSI above 64 Entry Zone: 61.00-61.50 (with breakout confirmation signal) Target 1: 62.00 (TP1) | Target 2: 62.50 (TP2) | Target 3: 63.50 (TP3) | Target 4: 64.50 (TP4) Stop Loss: 59.70 (below EMA/structural support) Risk/Reward: 1:3.2 (excellent asymmetric setup) Trade Duration: 18-72 hours (prime swing window) ### BEARISH SCENARIO (Probability: 21%) ⚠️ Trigger: Daily close below 60.20 + volume increase + RSI divergence failure Entry Zone: 61.80-62.50 (short setup) Target 1: 61.50 (TP1) | Target 2: 61.00 (TP2) | Target 3: 60.20 (TP3) Stop Loss: 63.50 (above resistance) Risk/Reward: 1:1.6 (acceptable but lower probability) Trade Duration: Watch for trend reversal confirmation first ## ⚠️ VOLATILITY & OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD CONDITIONS Current Volatility Status: Moderate compression → Expect significant expansion imminent 5M/15M RSI: 48-66 range (neutral)—room for 30-60 cents movements | Scalp target zones 30M/1H RSI: 52-70 range (bullish bias, optimal zone)—sweet spot for swing entries 4H RSI: 56-72 range—approaching caution zone but room to extend | Safe for core swings Daily RSI: 60-74 range (approaching extremes)—be defensive if daily RSI>76 | Take profits aggressively Overbought Recognition Points: RSI daily >75 combined with upper Bollinger Band rejection = immediate profit-taking Ichimoku cloud top penetration fails (bearish candle rejection) = trend exhaustion signal Volume declining on breakout attempt = false breakout warning signal Harmonic pattern PRZ exact hit without follow-through = reversal likely imminent Oversold Bounce Setups: RSI 1H <32 on support touch = high-probability bounce back to 61.50-62.00 Price below EMA 50 (58.50) + RSI <30 = aggressive accumulation zone Spring test below 58.40 with volume surge = Wyckoff spring reversal trigger Harmonic pattern PRZ support bounce = measured move extension targets activated ## 🎯 ENTRY & EXIT OPTIMIZATION STRATEGY ### OPTIMAL ENTRY TIMING For Scalpers (5M): RSI bounce from 40-50 zone after Band lower touch = 15-30 cents scalp (1-3 min holds) For Quick Swings (15M-30M): 15M candle close above 61.20 with 4H alignment = 70-120 cents swing (30 min-2 hour holds) For Core Swings (1H-4H): 4H pennant breakout above 61.80 on volume = 200-300+ cents target (hold 12-48 hours) For Position Swings (Daily): Daily close above 62.50 = continuation play targeting 64.00-65.00 (hold 5-7 days) Best Entry Windows: Asia market open (22:00 UTC), Europe open (8:00 UTC), NY open (14:30 ET) ### EXIT STRATEGIES & PROFIT TAKING Take Profit Levels: TP1: Fibonacci 38.2% (61.80) | TP2: Harmonic PRZ (62.30) | TP3: Daily Band upper (63.50) | TP4: Weekly target (64.50) Stop Loss Placement: Always below most recent swing low + 20 cents (strict risk management priority) Trailing Stops: Activate at TP2—trail with 30-40 cents buffer for 4H+ trades (lock in profits) Breakeven Exit: Move stops to entry after 1:1 risk/reward achieved—eliminate emotional trading Partial Profit Strategy: Close 25% at TP1 | 25% at TP2 | 25% at TP3 | Let 25% run to TP4 (maximize winners) ## 🔔 REVERSAL & BREAKOUT RECOGNITION CHECKLIST ### REVERSAL SIGNALS TO MONITOR: RSI positive divergence (lower price lows, higher RSI lows) = bullish reversal setup high probability Candlestick engulfing patterns at support/resistance zones = trend reversal confirmation strong signal Volume profile breakdowns (declining volume on breakout attempts) = false move warning immediate Ichimoku Cloud rejection (price fails to penetrate cloud layer) = structural resistance confirmed Harmonic pattern completion at exact PRZ = reversal zone probability increases significantly Elliott Wave 5th wave failure (truncation) = impulse completion = reversal imminent trigger Gann angle break through significant angle = trend line break = reversal trigger activated ### BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION RULES: Close beyond resistance with >50% volume surge above average = confirmed breakout signal strong RSI crosses above 60 for bullish breakout, below 45 for bearish breakout confirmation VWAP alignment with directional move = institutional participation confirmation strong Bollinger Band breakout with band expansion (squeeze release) = volatility expansion confirmed immediate Multiple timeframe confluence (5M + 15M + 1H + 4H aligned) = highest probability setup attainable Ichimoku Cloud break (price clears all clouds with bullish candles) = strong continuation signal Volume imbalance (ask volume > bid volume) = directional sustain likelihood increases significantly ## 💡 WEEK FORECAST SUMMARY - NOV 10-14 Monday (10th): 🌍 Consolidation continuation near 60.00-61.00 zone. Range-bound trading anticipated. Early breakout direction watch crucial. Entry setups favor reversal plays at support zones. Tuesday-Wednesday (11-12th): 📈 Prime breakout window opens —61.50 represents key decision point. Expect 150-250 cents daily volatility. Breakout confirmation targets 62.50-63.00 extension. This is the optimal swing trade window all week. OPEC+ headlines watch critical. Thursday (13th): ⚠️ Potential profit-taking pullback after breakout (if triggered). Support retest of 62.00-61.50. Buying opportunity if pullback holds above 60.50. Friday (14th): 📊 Weekly close pattern formation critical. Extension run anticipated if above 62.50. If above 63.00 = week target 64.00-65.00 achieved. End-of-week positioning for next week. ## 📍 CRITICAL CONFLUENCE ZONES - KEY TARGETS 58.20-58.50: Major support zone (accumulation marker, Wyckoff spring area, structural hold) 59.20-60.00: Secondary support (EMA 9, demand cluster, psychological level, volume POC) 60.20-61.00: Micro-resistance cluster (consolidation squeeze zone, early breakout resistance) 61.50-62.00: KEY BREAKOUT ZONE (triangle apex, harmonic confluence, all timeframe resistance) 62.00-63.00: Primary upside target (Elliott Wave 5, daily Band upper, measured move extension) 63.00-64.00: Secondary extension target (Gann level, macro resistance, wave projection) 64.00-65.00+: Weekly/monthly target (if wave 5 impulse extends beyond base projections) ## 🏆 RISK MANAGEMENT RULEBOOK ✅ 1) Position Sizing: Never risk >2% of account equity per single trade ✅ 2) Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2.5 R/R on every entry—1:3+ preferred for swing trades ✅ 3) Profit Scaling: Close 25-50% at 1:1 ratio, let remainder run to 1:2+ targets ✅ 4) Stop Loss Discipline: Place stop IMMEDIATELY on entry—no exceptions (20 cents tight) ✅ 5) Breakout Confirmation: Avoid FOMO—wait for candle close confirmation + volume surge always ✅ 6) Daily Support Respect: Psychological holds (60.00 | 62.00 | 65.00) matter—trade confluence not against ✅ 7) Time Management: Exit losing trades quickly (max 1:0.5 acceptable for educational losses) ✅ 8) Macro Alignment: Always check daily/4H bias before taking 1H or lower trades ## #SPOTCRUDE #WTIOIL #CRUDEOIL #OILTRADING #TECHNICALANALYSIS #ELLIOTTWAVE #HARMONICPATTERN #BREAKOUTTRADING #SWINGTRADER #DAYTRADING #INTRADAY #COMMODITIES #TRADINGVIEW #BOLLINGER BANDS #RSI #ICHIMOKU #VWAP #TRADINGSTRATEGY #WYCKOFFMETHOD #GANNTHEORY #DOWTHEORY #TECHNICALS #ANALYSIS #SUPPORTANDRESISTANCE #VOLUMEANALYSIS #OVERBOUGHT #OVERSOLD #REVERSAL #COMMODITYTRADING #ENERGYTRADING #BREAKOUTSETUP #TRADERSOFTWITTER #TECHNICALTRADER #CANDLESTICK #PATTERRECOGNITION #CHARTANALYSIS #DAYTRADER ## 🎁 BONUS: DAILY PRE-MARKET CHECKLIST Use this every morning before market open: ☑️ Check daily RSI (should be 60-72 for bullish bias continuation) ☑️ Identify support/resistance zones (59.70 | 60.50 | 61.50 | 63.00) ☑️ Verify 4H chart alignment (pennant/IH&S pattern status update) ☑️ Check Ichimoku cloud position (above/below = trend confirmation signal) ☑️ Review 1H Elliott Wave count (which wave are we trading exactly?) ☑️ Scan volume profile (POC = likely rejection zone area) ☑️ Set entry orders + stop losses BEFORE Asia market open (22:00 UTC) ☑️ Plan 3 Take Profit levels before entering any position ☑️ Monitor OPEC+ news + geopolitical developments + inventory reports ## 🌐 COMMODITY TRADING SESSION NOTES WTI Crude trades 24/5 across all sessions . Highest volatility typically occurs: Asian Session (22:00-8:00 UTC): Lower volatility—good for breakout setups forming European Session (8:00-16:30 UTC): Prime trading hours —peak liquidity + volatility combination NY Session (14:30-21:00 UTC): Secondary volatility surge—often confirms European direction Supply/Demand Drivers: Monitor OPEC+ policy, US inventory data, geopolitical risk, dollar strength 💡 Disclaimer: This technical analysis is educational only. Always conduct your own due diligence and implement appropriate risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly within your risk tolerance. Use stop losses on every position. Not financial advice. Analysis Created: November 8, 2025 | Valid Through: November 14, 2025 | Updated Daily
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by sunya
Crude oil: test the upside potentialAfter completing the consolidation and foundation-building phase yesterday, crude oil has maintained a fluctuating upward trend today. We will continue to monitor the strength and effectiveness of the rebound. Based on the momentum of the consolidation, crude oil should be able to extend its gains today. If the momentum is strong, it could reach around 61. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, we can still take long positions to test the upside potential. Buy 58.8 - 59.3 SL 58.3 TP 59.8 - 60.3 - 61 Sell 61 - 60.5 SL 61.5 TP 59.5 - 59 - 58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by KingArthur_
WTI Crude Oil: Is a New Super-Cycle About to Ignite?WTI may be approaching one of its most important turning points in years. The long correction from the 2022 high appears complete, and multiple technical frameworks now align to signal a potential new bullish cycle. Price remains supported on the 3/1 Gann angle on the monthly chart. A monthly close above $70 opens the first breakout phase, while a break above $130 would confirm a new multi-year advance. Gann cycle timing highlights 2027, 2029, and 2031 as major future peak windows. The weekly trend remains firm above the $55.15 structural low, reinforcing the April 2025 cycle bottom. Elliott Wave counts show a clean 5-wave rally into 2022, followed by an ABC correction into 2025, which strongly suggests the market has reset. If momentum builds, WTI could target new all-time highs, with potential to stretch toward the $200 region in the next major cycle. Vital Direction sees oil entering a phase where long-term opportunity may outweigh risk, with breakout levels clearly defined.
TVC:USOIL
by VitalDirection
The Imminent U.S.–Iran Crisis: A Real-Time Analytical AssessmentDate of Analysis: Friday, November 7, 2025 Overview The following is a condensed version of a dynamic strategic discussion between an intelligent user and an AI assistant. The analysis aimed to decode the hidden layers of a potentially imminent military crisis in the Middle East through real-time observation of geopolitical developments. Introduction: Initial Hypothesis and the Major Shift The analysis initially rested on the assumption that following the “12-Day War” (June 2025), the region was in a fragile ceasefire. The central question was when the “second round” of conflict might begin. It was correctly identified that Israel’s main constraint was a shortage of defensive missiles. Turning Point: Assuming four months had passed since the first war, it was concluded that the logistical bottleneck (missile defense shortage) had likely been resolved. This invalidated earlier timelines predicting renewed conflict by December and instead shifted the danger window to November—the current month. Part I: The Strategic Deception (Iraq and Venezuela as Cover) Attention then turned to a wave of simultaneous “crisis signals”: rising talk of “a U.S. conflict with Venezuela” and “U.S. warnings to Iraq.” Assessment: These were identified as elements of a classic deception operation, intended to divert the attention of the media, diplomats, and, most importantly, Iran’s intelligence and defense systems away from the real target. This served as a perfect cover for preparing a strike on Iran. Part II: Breakdown of the Deception and Loss of Surprise Key Insight (User’s Observation): The user correctly noted that this deception had failed. With “war with Iran” trending again in global media and official warnings escalating, Iran was no longer complacent—it had entered maximum alert. This fundamentally changed the dynamics. The element of surprise, the attacker’s greatest asset, was now entirely lost. Part III: The “Forced Hand” Scenario When surprise evaporates, what can the attacker (the U.S. and Israel) do next? Analysis: The attacker is now trapped in a strategic stalemate: Cost of Attrition: Maintaining full-scale military readiness for both sides is expensive, stressful, and unsustainable. Risk of Delay: Every passing hour allows Iran to disperse and conceal its strategic assets (missiles, drones), making target acquisition harder. Point of No Return: The use of Venezuela and Iraq as covers was the equivalent of cocking a rifle—any retreat now would amount to a catastrophic strategic humiliation for the U.S. Time-Based Conclusion: Since the deception failed and surprise is gone, the attacker is effectively compelled to act. They must launch the attack before their forces degrade further and before Iran becomes even more fortified. New Urgent Window: Within 24 to 72 hours (this very weekend). Part IV: The Hidden Economics of War — Why “Crisis” Becomes a “Solution” In the final stage, the focus shifted from “when” to “why”, exploring the economic motives driving the potential escalation. The analysis suggested that this war could serve as a planned economic reset to address U.S. domestic challenges. Global Economic Shock: The immediate aftermath of an attack would be a spike in oil prices (estimated to surpass $150 per barrel within 24 hours) due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian retaliation—triggering global stagflation. Dollar Strength (Flight to Safety): During such turmoil, global investors would flee risky assets (like crypto, which had already pre-priced a downturn) and rush into U.S. dollars, causing the DXY index to surge. Domestic Political and Economic Diversion (Wag the Dog Effect): This crisis would allow the U.S. government to: Deflect attention from domestic debt and weak economic indicators (e.g., PMI and recession risks). Reignite the military-industrial complex, boosting GDP through massive arms sales to regional allies and internal consumption. Justify inflation by attributing it to “geopolitical instability and rising oil prices” rather than past monetary policies.
TVC:USOILLong
by mehdikebrititrader
WTI Crude upside resistance at 6160The WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the longer term support, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 6160, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 6160 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 5946, followed by 5845 and 5780 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6160 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6215, then 6300. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the WTI Crude price breaks and holds above 6160. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by Trade Nation
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for TodayShort-term weaknesses have become more prominent, while the stabilizing role of crude oil has intensified. The fluctuation in renewable energy output and the surge in demand for crude oil replenishment​ In November, the world experienced extreme weather: The cold wave in Europe led to a 27% drop in wind power output (wind power generation in Germany and France decreased by 32% year-on-year), the Asian typhoon season delayed the progress of photovoltaic installation (new installations in November decreased by 35% year-on-year), and the power supply gap was forced to rely on crude oil to be filled. The fuel oil generation in the United States increased by 29% year-on-year (reaching a new high since 2024), the sales of diesel generators in Europe increased by 22% month-on-month, and the proportion of "replenishment demand" in short-term crude oil consumption accounted for 18%, verifying the irreplaceability of crude oil in energy security.​ The cost of biofuels is high, and the substitution effect has significantly weakened​ The prices of global palm oil and soybean oil rose by 21%-25% due to drought in Southeast Asia, the production cost of biodiesel exceeded $88 per barrel, far exceeding the current crude oil price. The production of biodiesel in the United States decreased by 15% month-on-month, and the blending ratio of biofuels in Europe dropped from 8% to 6.5%. More importantly, the supply of biofuel raw materials is limited (global vegetable oil inventory decreased by 9%), and it is difficult to expand the scale of substitution with crude oil in the short term, and the share of crude oil in the transportation fuel sector has been consolidated. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today buy：59.5-60 tp:60.5-601 sl:59
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Faces HurdlesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Faces Hurdles Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $58.80. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - Crude oil prices failed to clear the $61.20 region and started a fresh decline. - There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $60.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to clear $61.20 against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh decline below $60.00. The bears gained strength and pushed the price below $59.50 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested $58.80 and recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above $59.40, and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $61.21 swing high to the $58.80 low. The bears are now active below $59.80. If there is a fresh increase, the price could face a barrier near $60.00. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $60.00. The first major resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement at $60.65. The next stop for the bulls could be near $61.20. Any more gains might send the price toward $62.00. Conversely, the price might start another decline and test $59.40. The next major area of interest for the bulls on the WTI crude oil chart is $58.80. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $57.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $55.00. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
1