WTI Surges Above 65$ ResistanceCrude oil is currently supported by a combination of energy sanctions, geopolitical tensions, and rate cut expectations — with price action eyeing the $70 barrier as long as it holds above $65.20.
WTI maintained its rebound above the 61.80–62.00 support zone — aligning with the neckline of the previous inverted head and shoulders formation — and has broken above the 65 resistance level, signaling a potential continuation of bullish momentum. Daily RSI has also moved above the neutral 50 level, further confirming upside momentum.
• A clean hold above 65.20 may extend the rally toward 68.00, 69.40, and 70.40 — the next major resistance levels.
• On the downside, 62.00 and 61.80 remain key support levels. A break below them could expose oil to deeper losses toward 59.40 and 57.90.
USOUSD trade ideas
USOil Bear Trap Set: Ready For The Downside Raid?🛢️ WTI Oil Bearish Heist Plan 💣 | Thief Trader Layers Activated 🔐
💥 Welcome to the vault raid, Thief OG’s! 💥
We’re targeting US Oil Spot / WTI (XTIUSD) — and this time, the plan is pure Bearish robbery.
🚨 The Robbery Setup:
This isn’t just a sell — it’s a layered ambush. We place traps, let bulls walk in, and then we rob clean.
📌 Thief Entry Plan (Limit Layers):
Sell Limit @63.000
Sell Limit @63.500
Sell Limit @64.000
Sell Limit @64.500
👉 You can stack more layers if the vault door keeps opening.
🛑 Thief Stop Loss:
SL locked @65.500 🔒
⚠️ Adjust your SL like a true Thief — according to your risk + number of layers.
🎯 Escape Plan (Target):
🚔 Police barricade spotted around 59.000.
📌 Official Heist Exit: 60.000 — grab the loot before the cops arrive.
🧠 Thief Strategy Logic:
Multi-layer sell ambush 🏴☠️
Bearish pressure from supply + demand shifts 📊
Technical rejection zones aligning with macro weakness 📉
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Thieves don’t rush!
👉 Place alerts before the raid.
👉 Don’t dump blind orders — wait for price to approach layers.
👉 Manage your position like a stealth operation, not a casino gamble.
💬 Thief Community Code:
Smash ❤️ & Boost if you’re with the robbery crew.
Drop your charts + sniper entries below.
We rob together. We win together. 🏆
🔔 Stay locked in — more heist plans dropping soon.
💰 Rob Smart. Trade Sharp. Exit Clean.
SpotCrude Short Setup - 4h💎MJTrading
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
🛢️ PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE Short Setup – Third Tap of Falling Wedge Resistance
Pattern: Falling wedge
Context: Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
Bias: Bearish
🟢 Entry Point: 64.5
This aligns with upper boundary of the Falling Wedge (After Rejection).
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 65.5
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
✅ TP1 (RR1) → 63.5
📈 TP2 → 62.5
💰 TP3 → 61.5
🧠 Trade Logic
Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk:Reward ratio ranges from 1:1 to 1:3, depending on TP level.
Psychology Always Matters:
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 64.627.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 63.428.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Oil: Navigating the Final Legs of a CorrectionIt looks like oil is still in the upward correction of wave ii, which should continue into next week.
This bounce can be traded using indicators and key levels for intraday setups. In this scenario, wave interpretation is of little help and can actually do more harm than good.
The diagonal that appears to be wave i is now complete, and the larger downtrend is expected to resume within the next few days.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 64.00
Target Level: 62.79
Stop Loss: 64.80
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USOIL: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 63.969 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 62.548 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Oil Analysis: Testing Lows Before a Bounce?Price remains below key resistance levels and the monthly Point of Control (POC). I think within the next week, we could see the lows taken out, which would then be followed by a bounce.
The key question is whether the wave (ii) correction (red scenario) is complete, or if we are poised for another rally toward $67/bbl.
For now, we are maintaining careful short positions. Fading the trend at the potential end of a wave is generally a fool's errand; I've even added it to my rulebook as a hard taboo.
The slightly longer-term chart suggests another potential scenario in green.
OIL Trade Setup - September 12th📲 NFX TRADE ALERT – Swing Setup
💹 Instrument: Crude Oil GBEBROKERS:USOIL
🛒 Trade Type: Swing – Sell at Market
📍 Entry: $63.60
⛔ Stop Loss: $64.50
✅ Target Profit: $60.50
📊 Trade Setup Analysis – GBEBROKERS:USOIL
🔻 23.6% FIB rejection
🔻 200 SMA rejection
🔻 Rising wedge retest rejection
🔻 OPEC+ supply hike
That’s quadruple confirmation supporting a solid short position.
USOIL Trade Insights📢 NFX Trade Update – FX:USOIL USOIL (WTI-USD)
Strong rejection at the 23.6% Fibonacci resistance, with price dropping exactly as expected, confirming the liquidity grab setup. A textbook SMC play.
We anticipate further downside on Oil. Our trade is active, and for those who entered around $64.10 (per the last video analysis), you’re already sitting on +350 pips in profit.
Looking ahead, I expect price to drop below the EIA entry level and potentially test the $62/barrel zone before Friday’s market close.
USOIL Trade Setup📢 NFX Trade Alert – Swing Setup
💹 Instrument: FX:USOIL Crude Oil (WTI-USD)
🛒 Trade Type: Swing – Sell at Market
📍 Entry: $63.50
⛔ Stop Loss: $64.00
✅ Target Profit: $60.50
Analysis:
Crude Oil turned bearish after failing to hold above the $64.00 resistance. The latest EIA Crude Oil Inventories report (Sep 10, 2025) showed a +3.939M build versus a forecasted -1.900M draw and a previous +2.415M, signaling weaker demand and oversupply pressures.
This aligns with the current technical setup: lower highs forming and supply pressure weighing on price action. A rejection around $63.50 opens room for continuation to the $60.50 support zone. Risk remains tight with a stop above $64.00, maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward profile.
WTI Crude Oil resistance at 6540The WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a further selling pressure within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 6540, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 6540 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 6200, followed by 6070 and 6000 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6540 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6650, then 6830.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless WTI Crude breaks and holds above 6540. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Crude Outlook: sideways moves possible as volatility persistsOil prices ticked higher after OPEC+ approved a modest production increase, reversing earlier cuts and signaling a shift toward market share over price support. While the hike was smaller than in previous months, questions remain over whether members can deliver the extra supply, with some facing limits on output. Geopolitics and China’s stockpiling provide temporary support, but traders are watching inventory data and compliance closely as oversupply risks point to renewed volatility ahead.
On the technical side, the price of crude oil has found sufficient support around the $62 area, which has been a price reaction area since mid-August. The moving averages crossed last week, validating the bearish shift in the market, while the Bollinger bands are still quite expanded, showing that there is volatility to support any significant moves in the short term. The Stochastic oscillator seems to be rebounding from the extreme oversold levels, hinting that the recent sideways movement can project to the upcoming sessions if no major catalyst takes place.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
USOIL (WTI) Gann & Harmonic Pattern Points to Major Move!🛢️ 🛢️ USOIL (WTI CRUDE) Points to Major Move! ⚡ 📊
💹 Comprehensive Price Action Strategy | September 2025 Edition 🎯
📈 MARKET SNAPSHOT
Asset: USOIL (SPOTCRUDE/WTI CASH)
Current Closing Price: $64.413
Date: September 6, 2025
Market Status: 🔴 Critical Support Zone Testing
🎯 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading at $64.413, positioned at a crucial technical juncture. Our multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bearish-to-neutral bias with potential for a significant reversal if key support levels hold. The convergence of multiple technical indicators suggests heightened volatility ahead, presenting both risk and opportunity for astute traders.
📊 COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern Analysis
The recent price action has formed a Bullish Hammer pattern at the $64.00 psychological support level, suggesting potential exhaustion of selling pressure. This formation, combined with increasing volume, indicates possible accumulation phase initiation.
Key Patterns Identified:
- ✅ Bullish Hammer at support
- ⚠️ Evening Star formation on 4H chart
- 📍 Doji cluster indicating indecision
🌊 Elliott Wave Analysis
Current wave count suggests we're completing Wave 5 of a larger corrective structure:
Primary Count: Completing Wave C of ABC correction
Alternative Count: Wave 4 consolidation before final Wave 5 push
Target Zones:
- Bullish: $72.50-$74.00 (Wave 5 extension)
- Bearish: $58.00-$60.00 (Wave C completion)
📐 Harmonic Patterns
A Bullish Bat Pattern is forming on the daily timeframe:
- X: $78.45 (Recent High)
- A: $61.20 (Recent Low)
- B: $71.85 (0.618 Retracement)
- C: $64.41 (Current Price)
- D: $59.80-$60.50 (Projected - 0.886 XA)
Trading Implication: Watch for reversal signals near $60.00 for high-probability long entries.
🔄 Wyckoff Analysis
Current market structure suggests:
Phase: Potential Spring Test within Trading Range
Volume Analysis: Declining volume on recent decline = Lack of selling pressure
Smart Money Behavior: Accumulation signals emerging
Projected Move: Re-accumulation before markup phase
📊 W.D. Gann Analysis
Gann Square of 9 Calculations:
- Current Price: $64.413 sits on 225° angle
- Next Resistance: $68.00 (270° angle)
- Critical Support: $61.00 (180° angle)
Gann Time Cycles:
- September 15, 2025: Major time pivot ⏰
- September 22, 2025: Secondary cycle completion
Gann Fan Analysis:
- Price respecting 2x1 angle from July low
- Break above 1x1 angle at $66.50 signals trend change
☁️ Ichimoku Cloud Analysis
Current Position: Price below cloud - Bearish bias
Tenkan-sen: $65.80 (Immediate resistance)
Kijun-sen: $67.25 (Major resistance)
Cloud Support: $62.00-$63.50
Chikou Span: Bearish, below price 26 periods ago
📉 KEY TECHNICAL INDICATORS
📊 RSI (14-Period)
Current Reading: 42.5
Status: Approaching oversold territory
Divergence: Bullish divergence forming on 4H chart
Signal: Potential reversal zone approaching
📈 Bollinger Bands
Upper Band: $68.20
Middle Band (20 SMA): $65.85
Lower Band: $63.50
Current Position: Testing lower band
Volatility: Bands contracting - Breakout imminent
💹 VWAP Analysis
Daily VWAP: $64.85
Weekly Anchored VWAP: $66.20
Monthly VWAP: $67.50
Volume Profile POC: $65.00 (High volume node)
📊 Moving Averages Confluence
20 EMA: $65.85 ⬇️
50 SMA: $67.20 ⬇️
100 EMA: $69.50 ⬇️
200 SMA: $71.00 ⬇️
Status: Death cross on daily (50/200) - Bearish medium-term
🎯 TRADING STRATEGY
⚡ INTRADAY TRADING (5M-1H)
LONG SETUP 🟢
Entry Zone: $63.80-$64.20
Stop Loss: $63.40 (-1%)
Target 1: $64.80 (+1.5%)
Target 2: $65.40 (+2.5%)
Target 3: $66.00 (+3.5%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
SHORT SETUP 🔴
Entry Zone: $65.60-$65.90
Stop Loss: $66.30 (-1%)
Target 1: $65.00 (-1.5%)
Target 2: $64.40 (-2.5%)
Target 3: $63.80 (-3.5%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
📈 SWING TRADING (4H-DAILY)
BULLISH SCENARIO 🚀
Entry: $64.00-$64.50 (Current levels)
Stop Loss: $61.50 (-4%)
Target 1: $68.00 (+5.5%)
Target 2: $72.00 (+11.8%)
Target 3: $75.50 (+17.2%)
Position Size: 2% portfolio risk
BEARISH SCENARIO 📉
Entry: $65.80-$66.20 (Resistance retest)
Stop Loss: $67.50 (+2%)
Target 1: $62.00 (-6%)
Target 2: $59.50 (-10%)
Target 3: $57.00 (-14%)
Position Size: 1.5% portfolio risk
🗓️ WEEKLY FORECAST
Monday-Tuesday (Sept 9-10) 📅
- Expected Range: $63.50-$65.80
- Bias: Neutral with bullish undertone
- Key Level: Watch $64.00 support hold
Wednesday-Thursday (Sept 11-12) 📅
- Expected Range: $64.00-$67.00
- Bias: Potential breakout day
- Catalyst: EIA Inventory Data
Friday (Sept 13) 📅
- Expected Range: $65.00-$68.50
- Bias: Trend continuation
- Note: Options expiry volatility
🌍 MARKET CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS
Geopolitical Factors 🌐
- ⚠️ Middle East tensions supporting price floor
- 🇨🇳 China demand concerns capping upside
- 🇺🇸 SPR refill discussions providing support
Supply/Demand Dynamics ⚖️
- OPEC+ production cuts extended
- US shale production moderating
- Global inventory draws accelerating
Economic Indicators 📊
- Dollar Index weakening (Bullish for Oil)
- Global growth concerns (Bearish pressure)
- Inflation expectations rising (Supportive)
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Position Sizing Guidelines 💰
Intraday: Max 1-2% account risk per trade
Swing: Max 3-5% account risk per position
Correlation Risk: Monitor energy sector exposure
Stop Loss Strategies 🛡️
1. ATR-Based: 1.5x ATR from entry
2. Structure-Based: Below/above key S/R levels
3. Time-Based: Exit if no movement in 2-3 candles
Risk Factors ⚠️
- 🔴 Break below $61.50 invalidates bullish thesis
- 🔴 Unexpected OPEC+ policy changes
- 🔴 Rapid Dollar strengthening
- 🟢 Surprise inventory draws
- 🟢 Geopolitical escalation
🎯 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
SUPPORT LEVELS 🟢
S1: $63.50 (Immediate)
S2: $61.50 (Critical)
S3: $59.00 (Major)
S4: $57.00 (Yearly Low)
RESISTANCE LEVELS 🔴
R1: $65.80 (Immediate)
R2: $67.25 (Daily 50MA)
R3: $69.50 (Daily 100MA)
R4: $72.00 (Major)
💡 PRO TRADING TIPS
1. 🎯 Best Entry Times: London/NY overlap (8-11 AM EST)
2. 📊 Volume Confirmation: Look for >20% above average
3. 🔄 Correlation Trades: Monitor USD/CAD inverse relationship
4. ⏰ Avoid Trading: 30 mins before/after EIA releases
5. 📈 Scale Strategy: Add to winners, not losers
🔮 MONTH-END PRICE TARGETS
September 2025 Projections:
Bullish Target: $72.00-$74.00 🎯
Base Case: $66.00-$68.00 📊
Bearish Target: $58.00-$60.00 📉
Probability Assessment:
- Bullish Scenario: 35% 📈
- Base Case: 45% ➡️
- Bearish Scenario: 20% 📉
📌 CONCLUSION & ACTION PLAN
USOIL presents a compelling risk/reward opportunity at current levels. The confluence of technical support at $64.00, combined with oversold conditions and potential harmonic pattern completion, suggests a tactical long position with tight risk management is warranted.
Recommended Strategy:
1. Primary: Accumulate long positions $63.50-$64.50
2. Alternative: Wait for breakout above $66.00 for momentum trades
3. Hedge: Consider put options if below $61.50
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
🏷️ *Last Updated: September 6, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4*
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For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.