NAS100FT trade ideas
Interesting price action out of the Nasdaq 100Following the Nasdaq 100's rebound from the 50-day SMA at 23,143 on Tuesday, this has delivered two potential bullish scenarios worthy of being added to the watchlist.
First is a potential double-bottom pattern at 22,958, with a neckline calling for attention at 23,741. A breakout north of the neckline sheds light on the Stock Index potentially refreshing all-time highs beyond the current record of 23,969 (13 August).
Second is a possible morning star bullish candlestick pattern formed from the mentioned 50-day SMA. As a note, traders tend to attack this pattern’s structure by placing buy-stop orders above the pattern’s high (third candle in the formation) and positioning protective stop-loss orders beneath the pattern’s low.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
NASDAQ at Record Highs after US CPI report, but can it last?In today’s video, we break down the major market moves triggered by the July US CPI report. Headline CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month—right in line with expectations and a slowdown from the previous month. Year-over-year, headline inflation came in at 2.7%, just under the 2.8% forecast, while Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (matching forecasts) but was a bit hotter at 3.1% YoY (vs. 3.0% expected).
These “not as bad as feared” inflation numbers kept hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut, pushing the odds of a cut to 96%. Markets responded strongly: the NASDAQ 100 closed at a record high, just shy of the 24K handle, with broad gains in tech and communication stocks, as traders bet on a more dovish Fed.
We also cover the technical setup for the NASDAQ 100 and key risk factors heading into the second part of August.
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?US100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 23,289.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 22,983.03
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 23,729.56
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the NASDAQ index started to decline and is currently heading to test the key support level at 23,000.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,000 and holds, it is likely to move lower towards the next support level at 22,700.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,260, holding above it may support further upside toward 23,350.
US100 Trading Plan ¦ Layering Strategy + Macro Sentiment Drivers🚀 NASDAQ100 / US100 Index – Thief Money Heist Plan 🎭
📌 Plan: Bullish Swing / Scalping Setup
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), here’s the heist-style breakdown for US100 🔑:
🏴☠️ Entry Style (Thief Layering Strategy)
Using layered limit orders for flexibility & precision:
• 23200.0
• 23250.0
• 23300.0
• 23350.0
(You may increase limit layers based on your strategy & risk appetite)
📉 Moving Average Pullback Entry Plan
• Buy entries on pullbacks to the Fibo level 382 Triangular Moving average zone.
• Look for bullish candles confirming the bounce from these MAs.
• This offers better risk-to-reward by catching momentum on retracements instead of chasing highs.
❓ Why This Works?
• Moving averages often act as dynamic support/resistance in trending markets.
• Institutional traders & algos track them heavily, making them high-probability zones.
• Combining with layering entries = higher flexibility + reduced risk of mistimed single entry.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Protect the Vault)
• Thief SL: @23000.0
• Reminder: Adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk tolerance.
🎯 Target (Escape Zone)
• Overbought + Trap Zone ahead!
• Escape target: @23750.0
• Note: Don’t rely only on my TP — secure profits at your own pace and risk.
📊 US100 Index CFD Real-Time Data Sep 03
📈 Daily Change: +133.47 (+0.57%)
📅 Monthly Performance: +0.76%
📆 Yearly Performance: +23.48%
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
📊 Current Reading: 53/100 (Neutral)
🧐 Interpretation: Market sentiment is balanced, showing neither extreme fear nor greed. Investors are cautious but not panicked.
🧠 Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment
👥 Retail Traders: Moderately bullish (55% Long, 45% Short)
🏦 Institutional Traders: Slightly cautious (50% Long, 50% Short)
🔑 Key Drivers: Mixed signals from manufacturing data and upcoming labor market reports.
📉📈 Fundamental & Macro Score
📊 Macro Score: 6/10
Manufacturing PMI (48.7) still in contraction but improving.
Labor market data (JOLTS) awaited for clarity.
⚡ Volatility Score: 5/10 (Moderate)
VIX near average levels, indicating stable expectations.
💧 Liquidity Score: 7/10
Strong volume and breadth in large-cap tech stocks.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
✅ Bullish (Long): 60%
Supported by strong yearly gains and resilience in big tech.
⚠️ Bearish (Short): 40%
Concerns over manufacturing contraction and inflation pressures.
💡 Key Takeaways
📈 US100 is trending mildly positive today (+0.57%).
😐 Sentiment is neutral—no extreme fear or greed.
📊 Macro data hints at cautious optimism but watch for upcoming labor reports.
🐂 Overall bias leans slightly bullish for long-term holders.
📊 Related Pairs to Watch
FOREXCOM:SPX500
TVC:DJI
TVC:VIX
NASDAQ:NDX
FX:USDOLLAR
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NDX #SPX500 #DJI #TradingView #SwingTrade #ScalpTrading #LayeringStrategy #MarketAnalysis
NAS100 Bearish Reversal from Supply Zone – Short SetupThe NAS100 (1H chart) is trading within a channel structure marked by a rejection line (resistance) and a support line. Price recently broke below the EMA (70 & 200), showing bearish momentum.
Supply Zone (POI): 23,524 – 23,637, where price may retest before further decline (potential short entry zone).
Trend: Current momentum is bearish after rejection from channel resistance.
Support/Target: Main downside target is 22,979 – 22,905, aligning with previous swing low and Fibonacci extension area.
EMA Strategy: Price below both 70 & 200 EMA indicates bearish trend continuation.
Structure Break: Breakdown of channel support suggests sellers are in control.
📌 Trading Plan:
Entry (Sell Zone): 23,524 – 23,637 (POI Supply Zone)
Stop Loss: Above 23,640 (channel resistance)
Target: 22,979 – 22,905
Conclusion:
Market is in bearish structure. Wait for pullback to supply zone for a high-probability short entry, targeting the lower support zone.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Sep 4 2025FX:NAS100
www.tradingview.com
price has made HH/HL with a big gap in between. It had came up and swept PDH in london session with a close below so what i want to see is either a sweep of SSL, close above, followed by 1m IFVG to go higher or a close below SSL levels to go lower towards HL/PDL
NASDAQ - Bullish Flow into Highs
Bias: Bullish
HTF (4H Overview):
From the bird’s-eye view, structure remains bullish. Liquidity is being targeted across the 30M–4H multi-timeframe play, with strong bullish intent confirmed by volume printing to the upside.
LTF (30M / 5M Confirmation):
A proper CHoCH has been established. Once the trend shift occurs, we wait for the pullback before attending longs.
Entry Plan:
Look for entry after the courtyard liquidity is collected and demand is mitigated (slash zone).
Targets:
Initial: 5M highs
Extended: 30M highs, depending on market delivery.
Mindset Note:
Patience—let liquidity do its job before striking.
key levels for the nqIf the nq breaks 23362 we have enough information to wait for a shakeout and then enter. if it breaks 23210.7 we got to wait for a retracement and then a shakeout to sell. But, be aware that for sales the target should be more aggressive which means to cover on 23k, and just in case, we can leave a small portion of the position open but cover more than 70% because it might be the macro shakeout.
US100 Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for US100 is below:
The market is trading on 23633 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 23440
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US100 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 23,632.7
Target Level: 23,384.3
Stop Loss: 24,004.0
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NAS100 OUTLOOOKPrice is within August Range, therefore it can either take the buy side liquidity/sell side liquidity before it can actually give us a significant move.
Within this August's Range, it started taking out previous weekly Buy side liquidity, therefore the price is expected to go to the relevant equal lows
Change in State of delivery When you look at your daily tf the last closed candle which is Friday's candle has closed bellow the Thursday's candle, which is a signature that the
bullishness is loosing strength, therefore in the coming week we should be looking for sell setups, unless there's no rejection at those two marked gold levels.
US100: Ready to rise further after good US dataUS100: Ready to rise further after good US data
Today the US reported very good data in general. Despite being preliminary data, they are still showing signs of a strong economy.
Tomorrow the US will report the final data and they have a good chance of being higher than expected.
Given that the US continues to have strong data despite the mess that Trump is creating, there is a good chance that the indices will continue to rise further. They are a clear indicator of the US economy. We must be careful of any manipulation that may occur or from Trump's comments.
US100 completed a clear bullish pattern and it could reach 23800 and 24100 soon
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
US initial jobless claims 229K vs 230K expected
US GDP 2nd estimate for Q2 3.3% vs 3.1% estimate
US PCE prices preliminary 2.0% vs 2.1% preliminary
PCE ex food and energy housing 2.2% versus 2.2% preliminary
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reversal off Pullback Resistance"NAS100 is rising towards the sell entry at 23,679.28, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level ot the take profit.
Stop loss is at 23,939.64, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 23,292.38, which is a pullback support that alignss with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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