QQQ: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
QQQ
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short QQQ
Entry Point - 572.02
Stop Loss - 574.91
Take Profit - 566.51
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QQQ trade ideas
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QQQ Macro + Technical for QQQMacro supports the bullish continuation case ($600–$630), unless $568 breaks & macro data worsens
Fed pivoting dovish, disinflation holding, AI-driven earnings resilience & strong liquidity
High valuations, crowded positioning & possible macro shocks (yields spiking, geopolitics)
The $568 neckline & $583 breakout line up with the macro inflection
Fed easing cycle starting is bullish fuel if neckline holds
Any surprise inflation/yield spike results in a neckline break, correction to $550
Next 2–3 Weeks
1.Bullish Breakout $583 to $600–$616 (50%)
Supported by Fed pivot + earnings resilience
2. Bearish Breakdown $568 to $550–$537 (35%)
Triggered by yields/inflation surprise or positioning unwind
3. Chop/Range ($568–$583) (15%)
Market waiting on Fed September decision
Macro + techs both say trend up until proven otherwise
$568 = line in the sand, if it breaks, macro headwinds (yields, inflation) must be the culprit
$583 breakout would be macro + technical alignment = high conviction run to $600+
QQQ: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell QQQ.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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QQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 090325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 570/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
QQQ 15m: Critical Support - Breakdown Watch!QQQ 15m: Critical Support - Breakdown Watch!
The QQQ 15m chart shows price consolidating above a key support level. If it breaks and sustains below this level, a bearish move is likely. The next target in such a scenario would be the 565 retest area. For any bearish positioning, a stop loss should be placed above the recent swing high.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
return to support provides uptrend continuation entry1->3 : a higher high shows
dominance of number 2 buyers
3->4 : return to dominant buyers
what do I think will happen next?
* rsi and mfi hidden bull and oversold
*obv seems to be continuing uptrend
showing continued buying interest
* buying trade with protection of number 2
buyers is a sensable move that can be
articulated
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
QQQ: Long Signal Explained
QQQ
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long QQQ
Entry - 570.32
Sl - 568.90
Tp - 572.98
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QQQ (29 August)A strong red bar, almost full body, closing near its low - that’s a bearish marubozu-type candle (pattern signals a powerful downward price movement & suggests the continuation of a downtrend or a strong potential reversal from an uptrend), which means sellers in control
Prior small-bodied candles with upper wicks around $576–$578 look like stalling candles/spinning tops or indecision near resistance
Earlier in the bounce (21-27 August), a string of green candles climbing steadily - that’s a rising three method-style move (short-term bullish continuation/essentially a "bull flag" formation), but it has now broken with that big red bar
This looks like a bearish engulfing setup where the latest red candle completely wipes out several of the prior green candles’ progress, so it suggests buyers lost control at ~$576–$578 & momentum has shifted back to sellers
Signals 1–2 more red days unless quickly negated
The strong close near the lows suggests sellers want to press further right away (no bounce intraday)
If Tuesday continues below $570, that confirms the short-term breakdown
Near-term = bearish pressure (engulfing + strong close at lows)
Swing = risk of a retest of $564 to $558, unless buyers immediately step back in & reclaim $576
QQQ Break or Fail?Bullish Breakout
QQQ breaks and holds above $575
Calls with tight expiry (if momentum is strong) or slightly further out for safer time decay
Needs broad tech confirmation (NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, META & etc)
Bearish Rejection
QQQ fails to push above $575 and stalls
Puts with tight expiry for momentum, or stagger entries to scale in
If NVDA’s earnings fade spreads to semis, this path gains momentum
Current Bias
Momentum is mid-stochastic (not overbought/oversold)
That means the $575 zone is the decision point
The trade will likely set up today/tomorrow - break or fail
QQQ : Stay heavy on positions.Currently in a short-term bounce signal zone. Maintaining the same outlook as before.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
QQQ Binary Setup Around PivotBias slightly bullish as long as $570 holds, but QQQ has been fading end of day, so morning strength needs confirmation
If QQQ holds above 5$70 pre-market/first hour, risk/reward favors calls
If QQQ loses $569 pivot with volume, momentum shifts down
Whichever side wins $569/$570 will likely carry the session
QQQ Technical Outlook – Symmetrical Triangle After Pullback📊 QQQ Technical Outlook – Symmetrical Triangle After Pullback
Ticker: QQQ (Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF)
Timeframe: 30-minute candles
🔍 Current Setup
QQQ has been in a strong uptrend since June, peaking around ~582 before pulling back. Price is now consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, with:
Descending resistance: from ~582 down toward current ~572.
Ascending support: from June lows, now near 563–565.
Current price: ~572, sitting right near the apex.
This structure suggests compression ahead of a breakout move.
📊 Breakout Levels
🚀 Upside (Bullish Scenario)
Trigger: Break and close above 575–577.
Intermediate Targets:
582–585 → Prior highs.
590 → Extension zone.
Measured Move Target: ~600 (triangle height projection).
🔻 Downside (Bearish Scenario)
Trigger: Break below 565, with confirmation under 563.
Intermediate Supports:
555–552 → First demand zone.
540–542 → Stronger support.
Measured Move Target: ~545 (triangle height projection downward).
📈 Volume Analysis
Volume has contracted during this triangle — classic consolidation behavior.
Expect a volume expansion to confirm the breakout direction.
⚖️ Probability Bias
The trend into the pattern was bullish, favoring continuation higher.
Still, failure to defend 565 could quickly open downside risk toward 552–545.
✅ Takeaway
QQQ is at a major decision point inside a symmetrical triangle:
Bullish Break > 577: Targets 582 → 590 → 600
Bearish Break < 565: Targets 555 → 545
QQQ day & hr reviewWatch these new soft lows. Lower Highs.
Hr chart shows a band to band play within the BB... nice.
Day reflects double wicks w/ HL... bullish. The close was a bit of a rejection... makes sense as the BB are right there. Let's see if we pullback Mon/Tues of next week.
*NVDA & BABA earnings next week. Will be watching....
Have a great weekend. What do you see?
Bullish Pattern: V-Shape + Shakeout with Strong RSI SignalOn the QQQ weekly chart, a recurring bullish pattern has emerged multiple times over the last years:
1) V-shape recoveries followed by Cup & Handle formations and then a shakeout, all of which preceded powerful upside moves (highlighted with arrows and circles).
2) Each time the weekly RSI touched the 30 zone , it triggered a strong bullish rally. This happened three times in the past (2018, 2020, 2022) and just occurred again in March/April 2025.
3) Both times the Cup & Handle pattern formed, the RSI found support around the 45 level.
This suggests that QQQ may be setting up for another bullish leg if history repeats itself.
📊 Key Takeaways:
Weekly RSI bouncing from oversold (30 zone)
Recurrent V-Shape + Cup & Handle + Shakeout bullish pattern
Strong rallies historically followed this setup
⚠️ Not financial advice — purely a technical pattern study.
QQQ Fear-Adjusted Momentum GaugeThis is a fear-adjusted momentum gauge
A higher ratio = strong risk appetite (bullish for QQQ)
A lower ratio = stress (bearish for QQQ)
Big rallies in QQQ (January to July 2024 & May to August 2025) coincided with QQQ/VIX trending upward
Price gains were stronger than implied volatility
Whenever QQQ/VIX rolled over (August to October 2024 & January to March 2025), QQQ sold off hard
QQQ price sometimes “lingered flat” at first, but the ratio gave an early risk-off warning
As of late August 2025, the ratio is at +28%, near upper resistance zone where rallies have previously stalled
QQQ price itself is consolidating near highs
If the ratio holds above +20% and pushes higher, this confirms a risk-on continuation
If it rolls back below +20%, this is a warning of correction, even if QQQ is still flat
Ratio rising from neutral (~0%) into +20–40%, which confirms healthy momentum with low fear; however, the ratio is falling while QQQ still up (divergence)
Sharp drops below 0% (volatility leading) indicates strong downside risk
QQQ/VIX is elevated, confirming risk-on, but at a spot where past rallies faded
Suggests short-term cautious bullish bias, but watch for reversal in ratio which would precede a QQQ pullback
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QQQ The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for QQQ is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 572.02
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 567.03
My Stop Loss - 574.78
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ (22 August)Monday is binary
If momentum pushes through $575 early, calls can run toward $580–$583 quickly
$575 is a decision point - break & run to $583, or fade back to $568
Powell hint already absorbed so the next big movers include economic data mid-week (jobs, inflation reads) & tech leadership (NVDA moves will matter)
QQQ Post Powell Move w/ Range ExpansionQQQ closing right in the middle of the down channel at ~$563, which is a key battleground ahead of Powell
What’s “developing” is either a base at $563 (could support a bounce) or a bear flag (if bounce fails)
1. Dovish Tilt (hinting at cuts/easing)
Dollar & yields drop, then QQQ rallies
Break above $566, tests $570 quickly
If $570 breaks, upside gap-fill to $575–$577 possible
2. Neutral (balanced/data-dependent)
Market chops inside $561–$570 range
Expect whipsaws; QQQ likely oscillates around $563 pivot line until close
3. Hawkish (higher-for-longer/inflation worry)
Dollar & yields rip higher
QQQ loses $561, then flush toward ~$558
If momentum builds, $553–$555 opens fast