$AMD Analysis: Perfect Hit & One of Many Scenarios! 8/18/2025NASDAQ:AMD hits the 61.8% target of major wave A - up nearly 144% gain in 3 months! ๐
๐ A pause near $148 could complete the red NT (abcde) structure before a potential continuation toward C=A target at $236 or $247
One of many paths... letโs see how it unfolds!
Cheers!
#ElliottWave #AMD #TechnicalAnalysis
AMD trade ideas
AMD Ready to Break Higher โ $190 Calls Flashing Opportunity!
# ๐ AMD Weekly Options Analysis (2025-08-17) โ Donโt Miss Out!
### ๐ Market Overview
AMDโs weekly options landscape shows **strong bullish sentiment**: high call volume and supportive sentiment suggest traders expect upward movement, though some caution arises from declining short-term indicators.
---
### ๐ Key Model Insights
* **Call/Put Ratio:** 2.03 โ strong bullish flow
* **Weekly RSI:** 87.8 โ extremely bullish momentum
* **Daily RSI:** 59.1 โ short-term downward trend, caution advised
* **Volume:** 0.8x last week โ declining institutional participation
* **Gamma Risk:** Low โ favorable for entering near-term options
---
### ๐ Agreement & Disagreement
* **Agreement:** All models confirm **moderate-to-strong bullish sentiment** due to options flow and low VIX environment.
* **Disagreement:** Some models flag **weak volume**, raising caution, while others remain confident in ongoing bullish trends.
---
### ๐ Recommended Trade
* **Direction:** CALL (Long)
* **Strike:** \$190.00
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-22
* **Entry Price:** \$0.70 (midpoint)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.35 (50% of premium)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.40 (100% gain)
* **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* **Confidence:** 65%
---
### โ ๏ธ Key Risks
* Weak volume โ reduced institutional conviction
* Declining daily RSI โ potential short-term reversals
* Monitor news/events โ can affect volatility or price
---
๐ **TRADE DETAILS JSON**
```json
{
"instrument": "AMD",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 190.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-22",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.40,
"stop_loss": 0.35,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.70,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-17 09:30:00 EDT"
}
``
AMD One-Day Call Opportunity โ Quick Gains Ahead!๐ AMD \$185 Call โ One-Day Bullish Sprint
**Sentiment:** ๐ข *Strong Short-Term Bullish*
* **Daily RSI:** 64.2 ๐
* **Weekly RSI:** 88.4 ๐
* **Call/Put Volume:** Favoring calls strongly
* **Volume:** Weak (0.8ร last week) โ watch for support
* **Gamma Risk:** HIGH โก โ 1-day expiry
---
### ๐ **Consensus Snapshot**
โ
Majority of models: bullish momentum
โ ๏ธ Weak volume + high gamma โ strict risk management required
๐ก Entry timing and discipline are critical
---
### ๐ฏ **Trade Setup**
* **Type:** CALL (Single-leg)
* **Strike:** \$185.00
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-15
* **Entry:** \$2.61 (mid-market)
* **Profit Target:** \$3.90 (+50%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$1.30 (โ50%)
* **Confidence:** 70%
* **Trade Size:** 1 contract
* **Entry Timing:** Market open
---
๐ฌ *High-momentum, short-term expiry play โ monitor volume and be ready to exit quickly.*
๐ *Not financial advice. DYOR.*
---
**#AMD #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #DayTrading #StocksToWatch #GammaRisk #OptionsFlow #TradingSignals**
AMD | Weekly Macro Structure โ Eyeing Major Fib Extensions AMD | Weekly Macro Structure โ Eyeing Major Fib Extensions ๐
AMD has broken above the 61.8% retracement ($183.23) from its previous cycle and is pushing toward the 78.6% zone ($212.25). This breakout from the mid-channel region signals strong bullish momentum with clean room toward upper Fibonacci extensions.
Key Levels:
Fib Retracements:
61.8% โ $183.23 โ
(broken)
78.6% โ $212.25 (next resistance)
Fib Extensions:
127.2% โ $296.19
141.4% โ $320.02
161.8% โ $355.96
200% โ $421.94
227.2% โ $486.92
Trend Structure:
Long-term ascending channel intact since 2018.
Recent bounce from macro trendline near $76 set a higher low.
Breakout path projects a potential test of $300+ in the mid-term if momentum holds.
Macro & Catalysts:
AI/data center growth remains a key revenue driver, though export restrictions to China could slow short-term upside.
Positive sentiment from recent product launches and strong PC chip recovery.
Watch For:
Pullback retest of $183 support before continuation.
Weekly close above $212 for momentum confirmation toward $250โ$320.
๐ Not financial advice. Chart for educational purposes.
Amd - New all time highs will follow!๐ช Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) rallies even much further:
๐Analysis summary:
After Amd perfectly retested a major confluence of support a couple of months ago, we saw a textbook reversal. This retest was followed by a rally of more than +100% in a short period of time. But considering all the bullish momentum, Amd is far from creating a top formation.
๐Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AMD Calls Flying Off the Shelves โ Donโt Miss Out!๐ AMD Weekly Options Alert (Aug 12, 2025)**
**Bias:** ๐ฅ **BULLISH** โ Strong flow, high RSI, institutional backing
๐ **Quick Stats:**
* **Call/Put Ratio:** 2.31 โ heavy call buying ๐
* **Daily RSI:** 60.4 โ
bullish momentum
* **Weekly RSI:** 87.1 ๐ extreme strength
* **Volume:** 1.1ร last week โ institutional participation confirmed
* **VIX:** 15.0 โ low volatility, stable premiums
* **DTE:** 3 | **Gamma Risk:** Moderate | **Time Decay:** Accelerating
๐ก **Trade Setup:**
* **Type:** Naked CALL
* **Strike:** \$182.50
* **Expiry:** Aug 15, 2025
* **Entry:** \$0.69
* **PT:** \$1.38 (+100%)
* **SL:** \$0.34
* **Confidence:** 80%
โ **Risks:**
* 3 DTE = fast-moving gamma swings
* Semiconductor sector news could shift momentum
* RSI high โ watch for intraday pullbacks
---
**๐ TL;DR:**
High RSI + bullish flow + strong volume = momentum play. Manage gamma risk, aim for quick profit.
\#AMD #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #WeeklyOptions #BullishBreakout #OptionsFlow #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumTrading #StockMarket #OptionsAlert
AMD stock up over 20% off the lows- outperform NVidia?AMD is still cheap relative to its growth and still way down from all time highs.
Seeking alpha analysts expect 25-30% annual growth in earnings yearly. The stock is still in the low 20s PE. Stock can double and still be a good business worth owning for the long term and let compounding earnings work.
Low rsi and bollinger bands gave us the signal to buy, we bought with leverage, now we are in the shares unlevered.
Target would be all time highs over the next 2-3 years.
AMD LongOn the AMD 15-minute chart, the broader market structure has shifted from a recent downtrend, marked by a Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) sequence, into a potential reversal phase. This transition was confirmed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) at 177.98, breaking above the prior LH. That move signals that sellers have lost some control, and buyers may now be positioning for a continuation upward if they can defend nearby support.
The nearest demand zone lies between 171.00โ172.00, where buyers previously stepped in with strength, creating a sharp bounce. This makes it a strong short-term support area. Above, supply is positioned at 174.50โ176.00, where price previously stalled and dropped, indicating active sellers. A more significant supply cap remains at 179.00โ181.00, which caused a major rejection earlier in the month and stands as a strong resistance zone.
Within the marked region, price is hovering just above the 171s demand after failing to push through the mid-supply area. The current price action suggests a likely shallow pullback into the 171.50โ172.00 demand to absorb liquidity before attempting another push toward the 176.00โ178.00 range.
Trade bias: Bullish
Expected direction: Higher after a pullback into demand
Invalidation level: A close below 171.00 would weaken the bullish case and open the door for a deeper drop toward 168.00
Momentum condition: Slightly favors buyers, with higher lows forming despite supply pressure
Candle behavior: Short-bodied consolidation candles above demand, indicating absorption rather than aggressive selling
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock AnalysisAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis
AMD, listed on NASDAQ, has generally been on an upward trend. However, last week, the stock experienced a brief flash downturn, dropping to around the $157 level.
Since then, it has recovered and is currently trading at approximately $172 per share.
Outlook:
I remain bullish on AMD and anticipate a potential move toward the $200 level, with a longer-term target around its all-time high near $226.
For my entry strategy, I have added positions at different levels, with an initial entry around $160 and another at the current level.
This gives me a total of three buy entries, positioning for a mid- to long-term hold.
Letโs see how it unfolds! If you have any insights or thoughts, please share them in the comments. Iโd love to connect with you. Donโt forget to follow, share, and subscribe. Thank you.
AMD about to Burst?I've been trading calls on AMD for 3 months now and have made over $45k in profit. This is my latest chart to help others gain insight into what I'm seeing. Make sure you do your own research and any news about Tariffs or rates could easily change this outlook. Always to your own research.
AMD Setup โ Bullish Channel with Rocket Targets
Ticker: NASDAQ:AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: $129.40
Outlook: Bullish within ascending channel
๐ง Idea Summary:
AMD is trading within a well-respected ascending channel, and after a brief pullback, price is rebounding off the lower trendline support. With increased volume and momentum indicators turning up, Iโm anticipating continuation to the upside โ possibly targeting new highs.
๐ Technical Analysis:
๐ด Rising Channel:
The price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the ascending channel (highlighted in red).
Each bounce off the lower channel line has led to a strong upward move.
๐ก Support Zones:
$127.65 (9 EMA) and $117.87 (200 SMA) are serving as dynamic supports.
Horizontal support near $170 has also been tested and held.
๐ Resistance Zones:
First major resistance at $187.75.
Further upside potential if price breaks above this level โ targets align with the "rocket" icons within the channel.
๐ Volume Spike:
Strong green candle with high volume could signify institutional buying interest.
๐ Indicators:
Stoch RSI is turning upward from oversold territory.
RSI (14) is rising from 62, suggesting healthy bullish momentum.
๐ซ Price Targets:
๐ฏ First Target: $173
๐ Target 2: $187.75
๐๐ Target 3: $200+ if the channel holds and breakout occurs
๐๐๐ Target 4: $230+ (aggressive bull case, upper channel extension)
โ ๏ธ Risk Management:
A breakdown below the channel (~$127) with volume would invalidate this setup.
Use stop-loss below recent swing low (~$125) to manage risk.
๐
Key Dates:
Watch for potential catalysts in mid-to-late August (earnings, macro events, etc.)
๐ Conclusion:
AMD is coiling for a potential breakout continuation. The structure is bullish, and the bounce off channel support with volume is a positive sign. A move above $173 could trigger a strong rally toward the $187-$200 range.
โ
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๐ฌ Drop your thoughts or setups in the comments!
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$AMD โ Is history repeating itself?NASDAQ:AMD The chart is showing a pattern strikingly similar to previous highs โ a strong rally after a long accumulation, followed by a pullback on news.
๐ฐ Q2 2025 Earnings:
โข Record revenue: $7.7B (+32% YoY)
โข Strong sales in Ryzen CPUs and Radeon GPUs
โข Q3 outlook: $8.7B revenue, ~54% margin
Whatโs holding it back:
โข Export restrictions on MI308 to China hit margins and investor sentiment
โข Short-term profit taking after a powerful rally
Reasons for optimism:
โข Upcoming AI products MI350 and MI400 could be major growth drivers
โข Expected demand from data centers and AI infrastructure
Technical view:
โข EMA 9 remains above key support levels (170, 160)
โข MACD is close to a potential bearish crossover โ worth watching
โข Past highs show that sharp corrections in AMD often set the stage for the next wave up
AMD Gamma Squeeze Potential?### ๐ AMD Bulls or Trap? | \$175C Trade Setup Before Expiry!
**โ ๏ธ High Gamma, Mixed Sentiment โ Time-Sensitive Play**
๐ **Weekly RSI**: 70.4 (falling)
๐ **C/P Ratio**: 2.07 (bullish bias)
๐ **Volume**: 1.2x weekly avg
๐ **Model Sentiment**:
* **Grok/xAI**: Bullish (Call accumulation ๐)
* **Claude/DeepSeek**: Bearish (Institutional selling ๐จ)
* **Gemini**: Cautious Bearish
* **Llama**: Neutral / Wait & See
๐ **Suggested Trade**
๐ต **Call**: AMD \$175C (Aug 8 Exp.)
๐ฏ **Entry**: \$0.66
๐ **Stop**: \$0.33
๐ฐ **Target**: \$1.25
๐ **DTE**: 1
๐ฅ **Gamma Risk**: High โ requires fast execution
๐ง **Confidence**: 65%
๐ง Watch for sharp moves. Mixed model sentiment = **great volatility** = **great opportunity** (with tight risk mgmt).
๐ฌ *Would you take this trade?*
๐ Drop your thoughts in the comments!
AMD Post-Earnings: Sharp Drop Despite Solid RevenueDisclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. All opinions expressed are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
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AMD reported Q2 2025 revenue of $7.7B (โ32% YoY, beat est.), but shares fell >5% after hours. EPS met expectations at $0.48, yet margins were hit by an $800M China-related inventory charge.
Data center growth disappointed at +14%, missing high AI-driven expectations. Despite strong Q3 guidance ($8.7B rev), investors reacted to lack of MI308 revenue from China and slower AI chip ramp.
Forward view: All eyes on MI350 deployment, MI400 launch, and export license clarity. Execution must now justify elevated valuation. Until then, volatility likely persists.
---
I'm looking at these 4 trading ideas based on AMD's current setup post-earnings:
1. Short-Term Reversal Play (Swing Long)
Setup: AMD dropped >5% on earnings despite solid guidance.
Idea: Enter long near $165โ168 support zone (post-earnings low) for a rebound to the $175โ178 gap fill.
Risk: Tight stop under $163.
Catalyst: Oversold bounce + dip-buyers reacting to bullish Q3 outlook.
2. Gap-Fill Fade (Short-Term Short)
Setup: If AMD rallies into $177โ179 to fill the earnings gap.
Idea: Enter short into resistance if volume fades or rejection confirms.
Target: $168โ170.
Risk: Stop above $180.
Catalyst: Sell-the-news flow, especially if macro/headwinds persist.
3. Mid-Term Accumulation (AI Growth Thesis)
Setup: Valuation reset + long-term AI roadmap (MI350 โ MI400).
Idea: Gradual long build on dips below $170, targeting $200+ by H1 2026.
Timeframe: 6โ12 months.
Catalyst: China export resolution, MI400 launch, AI GPU traction.
4. Options Strategy: Neutral-to-Bullish Bias
Setup: IV remains elevated post-earnings, possible consolidation ahead.
Idea: Sell cash-secured puts at $160โ165 or deploy bull put spreads (e.g., Sep $165/$155).
Objective: Profit from time decay if AMD holds range.
Catalyst: Theta income with defined risk while waiting for next trend.
AMD Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings ReportAMD Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings Report
Yesterday, following the close of the stock market, Advanced Micro Devices released a strong quarterly earnings report:
โ Earnings per share came in at $0.48 (roughly in line with forecasts);
โ Revenue reached $7.68 billion (versus expectations of $7.41 billion).
At the same time, CEO Lisa Su stated: โWeโre well positioned to deliver significant growth in the second half.โ
However, despite the solid performance and optimistic outlook, AMD shares declined in after-hours trading, falling below $165.
The decline in AMDโs share price following a strong report may be attributed to excessively high expectations and the stock's overbought condition ahead of the announcement.
Technical Analysis of the AMD Stock Chart
Since April 2025, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (highlighted in blue). In July:
โ the price broke above the upper boundary of this channel, moving sharply higher (marked in purple);
โ the RSI indicator remained above the 50 level throughout.
We can assume that investors were following the meteoric rise of Nvidia (NVDA) shares and were betting that the ongoing AI boom would enable AMD to deliver extraordinary results. However, these hopes were not fully realised โ the classic case of "buy the rumour, sell the fact".
As a result, AMD shares may open today with a bearish gap. From a technical standpoint, this suggests that the price is returning to the limits of the blue ascending channel, where the midline and lower boundary may act as support levels. The psychological support level at $150 also appears significant.
This move may be interpreted as a correction โ and once the excessive optimism accumulated in July dissipates, bulls may attempt to resume the upward trend, supported by fundamentally strong data.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.