TSLA Sep 22 Game Plan – “Charging Toward 433 or Stalling at 425?1️⃣ Big Picture on the 1-Hour Chart
* Price action: TSLA finished around 425.60, riding a rising channel that’s been building since last week. Price tested the mid-channel line and is now sitting slightly above the lower trend support.
* Key levels:
* Resistance: 430–433.25 (recent top & call wall)
* Support: 416.8 → 412.5 (channel support & high-volume level)
* Indicators:
* MACD is flattening but still positive, suggesting momentum is cooling but not gone.
* Stoch RSI near mid-range (~62) leaves room for a push higher or a deeper dip if sellers show up.
The structure leans mildly bullish as long as price respects the lower trendline, but TSLA needs to clear 430+ with conviction for the next leg up.
2️⃣ GEX / Options Flow
* Big call concentration sits near 433–435, then again up at 450 and 465.
* Strong put support shows around 402–400, with a key HVL near 412.5 that often acts like a magnet if selling accelerates.
* Options positioning shows about 83% calls vs puts, with an IVR of 20.3—liquidity is good and premiums are moderate.
This options picture supports the idea that market makers could keep TSLA boxed between 420 and 433 early in the week. A decisive break over 433 could invite a gamma-driven squeeze toward 440–450.
3️⃣ Trading Thoughts & Suggestions
* Scalp / day trade: A clean break above 430–433 with volume can target 440 quickly. Keep a tight stop under 426.
* Support bounce: If the open dips toward 416–412.5 and holds, look for a bounce back to 425+.
* Fade setup: A hard rejection at 433 with heavy sell volume opens room back toward 416 → 412.5.
4️⃣ Bottom Line
TSLA is coiling inside a rising channel. Bulls want a decisive move over 433 to unlock higher levels, while bears need a break below 416 to gain control. The first hour Monday should set the tone for direction.
Disclaimer: This is just market opinion for educational discussion. It’s not financial advice. Always manage your own risk before trading.
