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Tesla Earnings Tonight – Growth Era Under Pressure?TSLA reports Q3 2025 earnings after the bell. Estimates: $0.55 EPS (+37.5% QoQ) and $26.46 B revenue (+18%). Strong on paper — but the real story will come from forward guidance. What’s beneath the surface: Inventory is rising as production outpaces sales since Q4 2024. Annual revenue growth turned negative in Q2 2025. EBT has declined roughly 11% per quarter since Q3 2024. China’s rare-earth export limits tighten Tesla’s margins and favour BYD & NIO. Technical Outlook: TSLA remains range-bound between $411.6 – $448.2 (heavy volume zone). If price moves higher, watch $470.5 (previous high) and $488.5 (ATH). If it dips, $367.9 (Value Area High) is the support to watch. Volatility is tightening — tonight’s tone on guidance could decide whether Tesla stays range-bound or starts a new phase.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Alchemy Markets
TSLA: Fundamentals Are Collapsing While Valuation Stays in OrbitTesla is trading near multi-month highs… but the fundamentals tell a very different story. EPS has dropped by 50%, revenue growth has almost stalled, and yet the stock still carries a Forward P/E of 164. This combination — slowing growth and extreme valuation — looks like the definition of an institutional bubble setup. 🧮 Fundamental Context Over the past few years, Tesla’s growth has slowed dramatically: Revenue rose from 31B → 53B → 81B → 96B → 97B — barely any increase. EPS climbed from 0.2 → 1.6 → 3.6 → 4.3 — and then fell by half. Quarter-over-quarter metrics remain negative, with no visible recovery trend. Meanwhile, the Forward P/E of 164 implies double-digit expansion ahead — which clearly isn’t happening. The fundamentals simply do not justify this kind of valuation. Right now, Tesla’s numbers resemble the early phase of a valuation compression cycle — where prices eventually catch up with reality. 📉 Technical Structure Technically, Tesla has been moving in a broad sideways range, forming what looks like a long-term Wave 4 structure. We’re currently inside the “B” leg, which could already be complete or near completion. Once that wave ends, the next expected move is a Wave C decline. Key levels to watch: 📍 Upper resistance zone: $400 – $550 📍 Primary cluster: around $250 📍 Support zone: $150 – $200 The chart shows clear volume concentration around $250 — once that level breaks, the next liquidity pocket sits between $150 and $200. That’s where a potential bottoming cluster could form before the final upward leg. ⚠️ Market Outlook While other FANG names maintain solid balance sheets and stable earnings, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating sharply. Yes, the stock may still see short-term pumps driven by sentiment or Musk’s fan base — but markets always return to fundamentals. And those fundamentals are pointing downward. 📊 Summary EPS and revenue both trending lower 📉 Forward P/E at 164 — completely disconnected from growth metrics Technical range suggests potential decline toward $200–$150 Current price action likely part of a larger corrective structure Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution ⚠️ Tesla isn’t a short-term “growth story” anymore — it’s a valuation risk story. Until earnings stabilize and margins recover, this stock looks massively overpriced.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by sdk-trading
Dip Buying Levels on TSLA Post Earnings"Abide in me, and I in you. As the branch cannot bear fruit by itself, unless it abides in the vine, neither can you, unless you abide in me. I am the vine; you are the branches. Whoever abides in me and I in him, he it is that bears much fruit, for apart from me you can do nothing." - John 15:4-5 Hello Traders! As part of my weekly equity trade analysis, I will be uploading my recordings of what I am seeing and intending to trade for the week. A quick summary of what's in the video is as follows: - TSLA earnings are highly anticipated with most retail traders expecting bullish continuation from its breakout from previous consolidation - We are expecting a retracement to resolve some imbalances, but to structurally hold key levels either above $408 or $385, and to close the week above last week's high over $440 - Our vehicle of choice this week are the $430 weekly calls or $415 calls (if price retraces further to $390) Cheers, DTD Financial Risk Disclaimer | DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. The videos on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I invest and day trade, but remember, investing of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine. While day trading can bring substantial gains, it can also bring serious losses! So make sure you do your research to fully understand the market before diving in. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore should not invest money that you can't afford to lose. The fluctuation of the market can work for you or against you. You should carefully consider your investment objectives and experience before deciding to trade in the market. Again, what you invest in is solely your responsibility.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by daytradederic
1
TESLA New Bullish Leg to $600 has started.Last time we took a look at Tesla (TSLA) more than a month ago (September 11, see chart below), we gave a massive buy signal that worked out instantly, as we saw the resemblances between the recent Triangle accumulation pattern and that of late 2024, setting a $600 long-term Target: This time we take a better look at the Channel Up that has emerged. Technically it looks like a Bearish Leg (red Channel Down) has ended and with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holding, a new Bullish Leg has been initiated. The previous Bullish Leg, which by the way started after a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) hold, rose by +59.26%. This puts the next Higher High technically above our $600 long-term Target. Notice also how the 1D MACD is about to form a new Bullish Cross, with all previous ones being a strong Buy Signal. At the same time, the 1D RSI found support and bounced on its 5-month Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
1
3 Common Trading Mistakes Traders Should AvoidTraders of all levels, from beginners to experienced professionals, can fall prey to psychological mistakes that can lead to poor trading decisions and ultimately, losses. Understanding and avoiding these common mistakes is crucial for developing a sound trading strategy and achieving consistent success in the markets. Here are three of the most prevalent trading mistakes traders should strive to avoid: FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): FOMO is a pervasive emotion that can cloud traders' judgment and lead them to make impulsive decisions based on the fear of missing out on potential profits. This often involves chasing trends or entering trades without proper analysis, increasing the risk of losses. To combat FOMO, traders should adhere to their trading plan, prioritize discipline, and focus on identifying high-probability trading opportunities rather than reacting to market movements out of fear. Revenge Trading: Revenge trading is the emotional urge to recoup losses from previous trades by making hasty and ill-advised decisions. This often stems from a desire to prove one's rightness or regain a sense of control over the market. To avoid revenge trading, traders should cultivate emotional detachment, accept losses as a natural part of trading, and avoid the temptation to let emotions dictate their trading decisions. Gambler's Fallacy: The gambler's fallacy is the mistaken belief that past events influence the outcome of future events, leading to an assumption that trends will continue indefinitely or that random events can be predicted. To overcome the gambler's fallacy, traders should recognize that each trade is an independent event with its own unique probabilities, and past performance is not a guarantee of future results. They should rely on sound trading analysis and risk management techniques rather than relying on hunches or superstitions. By avoiding these common psychological mistakes, traders can develop a more disciplined and rational approach to trading, increasing their chances of achieving long-term success in the markets.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by TradingshopUS
TSLA – Sideways Accumulation Phase Ahead of Major NewsTesla’s stock is currently showing a stable sideways movement around the 430–445 USD range as the market awaits the company’s Q3 earnings report (on October 22). Recent news reflects cautious investor sentiment , especially after ISS recommended rejecting Elon Musk’s massive compensation package and amid forecasts suggesting a slight decline in Q3 profits. On the 4-hour chart, TSLA continues to maintain a medium-term uptrend, with prices oscillating around the EMA34 and EMA89, which act as equilibrium zones. The 432 USD area remains the main support, while 493 USD stands as a key resistance level. The chart indicates a high likelihood that the price will continue sideways within this range until the market reacts more clearly after the earnings release. Summary Currently, TSLA is in an accumulation phase , reflecting a tug-of-war between expectations of increased production and concerns over profit margin pressures. In the short term, the trend is expected to remain sideways with a slight bullish bias, awaiting a potential breakout driven by the upcoming earnings announcement.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Octaviuss
7
Volatility Period: Around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd) Hello, traders! If you "Follow" us, you'll always get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (TSLA 1M Chart) The key is whether the price can rise above the target level of 488.54 by following the rising channel. If the price fails to rise, we should check for support near 381.59. - (1W Chart) The rising trend line (1) has formed, forming an ascending channel. Therefore, the key is whether the price can maintain above the rising trend line (2) and rise along the rising channel. The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed in the 382.40-421.06 range. If the price remains above this range, a stepwise uptrend is expected to continue. - (1D chart) The key question is whether the price can continue its upward trend toward 488.54 after passing through this volatile period around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd). To do so, we need to see if it can find support and rise around 439.60-442.79. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:TSLA
by readCrypto
Check Out Tesla's Chart Heading Into This Week's Earnings ReportTesla NASDAQ:TSLA will report earnings this week at a time when the stock is trailing the S&P 500 year to date, although it's beating the key index in the six-month, one-year and five-year periods. What does the electric-vehicle giant's technical and fundamental analysis say? Let's check things out: Tesla's Fundamental Analysis It wasn't that long ago (2023) that CEO Elon Musk forecast that TSLA could end up producing roughly 250,000 Cybertrucks per year. But so far, that projection has been a "no-go." Cox Automotive reported the other day that the electric-vehicle giant sold just some 5,400 of the trucks in Q3. That's a 63% year-over-year contraction -- and for comparison's sake, Ford NYSE:F sold more than 207,000 F-Series pickups during the same period, including 10,000 F-150 Lightning electric trucks. Meanwhile, Car and Driver recently reported that the lower-cost Cybertruck Long Range model doesn't match the range of the (admittedly more expensive) dual-motor R1T electric pickup from Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN . But all is not lost, sort of, for Tesla. The EV giant recently released Q3 delivery figures and reported that it shipped some 497,100 vehicles overall -- a record for the firm, and better than the 448,000 consensus that Tesla watchers had expected. Apparently, there was an end-of-quarter rush as U.S. consumers tried to take advantage of a $7,500 federal electric-vehicle tax credit before the benefit expired on Sept. 30. Tesla also built 447,000 vehicles during Q3 (a different metric from the number of cars delivered). As for earnings, analysts' consensus view calls for Tesla to report $0.55 in adjusted earnings per share on about $26.6 billion of revenue when the firm releases results Wednesday after the bell. That would represent a 23.6% drop from the $0.72 in adjusted EPS that Tesla reported in the same period a year earlier, while reflecting 5.6% year-over-year growth from Q3 2024's $25.2 billion in revenue. Still, 16 of the 25 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover TSLA have boosted their Q3 earnings estimates since the quarter started, while only five have revised things downward. (Four have left their estimates unchanged.) Tesla's Technical Analysis Now let's look at TSLA's year-to-date chart as of Tuesday afternoon: Readers will see that a "closing-pennant" pattern (marked with purple lines) produced a mid-September breakout for the stock. Closing pennants historically foretell a sharp spike in volatility for a stock, but don't tell you which direction the move will be: up or down. In this case, Tesla went higher and built upon the breakout that the stock saw in May from a double-bottom pattern of bullish reversal (the jagged lines at the chart's left). The stock apexed on Oct. 2 at $470, which is about what some investors might have expected from such a set-up. (Tesla closed Friday at $439.31.) Now, TSLA looks as if it might have topped going into earnings, and the stock has recently relied upon its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line at $423.60 in the chart above) for support. This suggests that the swing crowd is likely playing this earnings release, which could lead to some increased volatility after Tesla's Q3 numbers come out. Looking at Tesla's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has drawn back towards neutral after exploding into technically overbought territory in September. That said, assessing Tesla's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indication (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is tricky. The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) dropped into sub-zero territory in early October, which is typically a short-term bearish technical signal. However, both the 12-day EMA (the black line) and the 26-day EMA (the gold line) are still above that zero-bound, which implies a short- to medium-term bullish condition. Still, the 12-day line has crossed below the 26-day line. That's usually a bearish signal. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long TSLA and F at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. 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NASDAQ:TSLA
by moomoo
1
Tesla Momentum Builds Post-EV Sales Surge: Why $500 is in Sight Current Price: $439.31 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $465.00 - T2 = $500.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $425.00 - S2 = $410.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. Tesla’s stock continues to draw significant interest as traders align around the increasing demand for its electric vehicles and growing revenues from complementary businesses such as energy storage solutions, vehicle software offerings, and charging networks. Professional sentiment suggests that Tesla’s leadership in autonomous driving and robust infrastructure investments may drive further upside. **Key Insights:** Tesla’s strong positioning in the EV market has seen ongoing demand even in 2025 despite the tightening macroeconomic environment. Analyzing recent trading patterns, Tesla’s robust revenue growth across Q3 showcases resilience, supported by increased adoption of advanced batteries like the new-generation 4680 cells. The CEO’s remarks about scaling manufacturing facilities globally—especially the Gigafactory expansion in Mexico—carry forward the vision of doubling production capacity, stimulating long-term growth prospects. Tesla’s diversified revenue streams, including solar and energy storage products, provide an additional financial buffer as they tap into global sustainability trends. The recent rally in the stock price further underscores positive investor sentiment, with large institutional inflows reflecting faith in Tesla’s brand and technological advantage. Additionally, the sustained consumer demand for higher-margin vehicles such as the Model X and S continues to buoy the stock’s fundamentals. **Recent Performance:** Tesla’s stock surged by approximately 6% over the past two weeks, recovering from previous volatility tied to concerns over EV pricing pressure. As of October 2025, Tesla’s improved gross margins—highlighted in the Q3 earnings call—provide relief and optimism, with the stock stabilizing above $430. High trading volume has reaffirmed consolidation zones, indicating strong levels of support near $420 while opening room for upside potential heading into the next fiscal quarter. **Expert Analysis:** Market analysts are bullish on Tesla following its strong Q3 beat on earnings-per-share estimates, confirming its profitability is intact despite pricing challenges and increased competition. Tesla’s use of AI in its Full Self-Driving (FSD) beta saw meaningful adoption rates recently, further increasing its moat against rival automakers. Additionally, Tesla’s financial prudence ensures that it remains one of the few tech-centric automakers able to consistently operate without dilutive equity raises. Technicals reveal Tesla has formed a solid base above its 200-day moving average with an RSI currently neutral but trending bullish—signaling momentum for a further breakout. Resistance zones at $450 have been tested and surpassed, with the next confluence zone near $465 aligning estimates for an extended move higher. **News Impact:** Tesla’s announcement of upcoming fleet expansion and partnerships with global logistics firms significantly reinforce its scaling potential while easing investor worries about profitability. Furthermore, Tesla's transparency in discussing supply chain improvements during the Q3 earnings call lends credibility to its operational growth outlook. These factors, paired with advancements in autonomous driving technology, could bolster Tesla’s revenue potential in 2025 and further validate its premium valuation. **Trading Recommendation:** Based on technical analysis, recent financial performance, and strong fundamentals, Tesla presents a compelling LONG opportunity with targets set at $465 and $500, supported by growing market dominance and consistent operational excellence. Investors should watch for confirmation of support levels at $425 to manage risk effectively. With institutional confidence high, traders are well-positioned to benefit from Tesla’s growth trajectory as the company continues its strong performance in the EV market and sustainable energy sectors. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
TSLA 4hr Chart- Bullish Setup in Motion Ahead of Earnings Tesla (TSLA) is showing real strength heading into earnings week, closing Friday around $439.31 (+2.46%) with solid momentum. On the 4-hour chart, we’ve been trading inside a descending channel, and that’s important because while it may look bearish at first, this type of channel often leads to bullish breakouts once volume and structure align. Right now, price is testing the upper side of that channel with a clean bounce from the recent demand zone and reclaiming both the 10 and 20 EMAs. That’s a strong technical sign heading into Monday. Technical Breakdown Pattern: Descending Channel (Bullish Continuation Potential) Trend: Uptrend Confirmed Momentum: Strong Buy (MAs showing 93.33%) Oscillators: Leaning Bullish (27.27% Buy Bias) Entry Zone: Around $435 – $438 (breakout retest area) Stop Loss: Near $428 (below 61.8% Fib retracement) Targets: TP1 → $444.76 TP2 → $454.15 Extended Target → $469.95 (premium supply zone) Resistance to Watch: $443.52 – prior swing high $454.15 – Fib confluence $469.95 – premium zone and potential top block Support Levels: $428 – key breakout retest $414 – lower boundary of the channel $401 – major structure support Heading Into Monday Bulls are clearly back in control. The chart shows a steady reclaim of momentum with higher lows forming and volume starting to pick up. If price holds above $435, we could see continuation toward $444 – $454 early in the week. A breakout above $443.52 with strong volume would confirm that shift in momentum toward the next leg up. If we see a short-term dip, I’ll be watching $428 – $414 as the key demand zone where buyers might reload before earnings. Final Thoughts Don’t sleep on descending channels — they often set up the biggest bullish reversals once the breakout happens. TSLA is sitting in that pocket right now, with multiple indicators flashing Strong Buy across timeframes. As long as $435 holds, this setup continues to favor the bulls into earnings. Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 4H leading into Monday Expect some volatility, but the trend remains intact and momentum looks healthy. 📘 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trade decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by rogers1906
Account Blow Up 10/17/2025💥 Trading Is a Game of Survival NASDAQ:TSLA blew up my account — I’ll be completely honest about that. It hurts, but it also teaches. Every great trader has been here once. I fund my account every two months, which means I won’t be trading until next month. That’s fine — I’m using this reset to rebuild cash flow and strengthen my system. I promise to come back stronger, with cash in hand, discipline sharpened, and focus doubled. The goal isn’t to win once — it’s to stay in the game long enough to master it. This isn’t the end. It’s just a reset. #Trading #Discipline #RiskManagement #Comeback #TSLA #WaverVanir #VolanX
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
22
TSLA: Trade Plan 10/17/2025NASDAQ:TSLA – The Calm Before the Storm ⚡ Tomorrow could define the next leg. The structure is tight, momentum is fading, and macro pressure aligns with technical exhaustion. Multi-Timeframe Outlook: 1D / 1W: Bearish continuation setup confirmed; equilibrium breached, liquidity void below remains unfilled (targets: $403 → $374). 4H / 15M: Series of lower highs with visible imbalance; RSI divergence confirms momentum exhaustion. Fib Levels: 0.618 and 0.786 rejection zones hold — signaling institutional distribution rather than retail bounce. VolanX DSS Probability Model Bearish Probability: 82% (downward continuation) Bullish Reversal Probability: 18% Volatility Projection: +/- 4.6% intraday range expected Macro & Catalysts Rates & Yields: Rising real yields put pressure on high-beta tech. Earnings Proximity: Market may be front-running a guidance downgrade. Liquidity Flows: Options flow skewed toward puts since Oct 14 — institutional hedging confirmed. Bias: I’m fully committed to the short side here — structure, volume, and macro all align. “Go big or go home.” If $428 fails to reclaim, the path to $403 → $374 opens. 🧠 This is my personal technical outlook, not investment advice. #TSLA #TradingView #VolanX #AITrading #MacroStrategy #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
5
$TSLA | Medium-Term Elliott Wave Outlook (2025–2026)🔮 NASDAQ:TSLA | Medium-Term Elliott Wave Outlook (2025–2026) Price action shows a mature 5-wave structure approaching completion. The next probable phase is a corrective ABC retracement before a new expansion leg begins. 🧭 Base Case (Most Probable ~60%) End of current impulse around $527–$540 Correction to $380–$400 region (Wave A–B–C) Mid-to-long-term expansion toward $615 → $705 → $869+ by late 2026 ⚙️ Technical & Macro Confluence RSI + volume divergence confirming wave exhaustion Macro liquidity compression aligns with corrective phase Institutional demand re-entry near $395–$400 zone Fibonacci & structure symmetry consistent with this projection 📊 Bias: Short-term bearish → Medium-term accumulation → Long-term bullish. 📅 Cycle Horizon: 2025–2026 “Correction isn’t collapse — it’s the reload before expansion.” #TSLA #ElliottWave #Macro #VolanXDSS #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC