Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GER40 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,006.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 24,405.92
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 23,498.13
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
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GERMANY40MINICFD trade ideas
DAX: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 23,755.89 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 23,976.72.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX Futures Rebound Amid Shifting US Economic SentimentThe DAX futures are showing a more optimistic tone today, shifting from concerns over weak US labor market data—which initially signaled economic trouble—to a more hopeful outlook that this might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates, a move that investors see as positive. This shift in sentiment has provided some reassurance as the new week begins.
Following a brief decline on Friday, the market experienced a rebound today, supported by a weekly demand zone. We’re now watching for a retest of key levels within this zone, which could serve as a potential entry point for long positions, aiming for a continuation of the upward momentum driven by the weekly support area.
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Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is now in a range-bound environment, currently trading at 23,630, below its VWAP of 24,150 and close to StdDev #2 Lower. RSI at 43 reflects weakening momentum. Support lies at 23,630 and resistance is seen at 24,740
UK 100 continues its bullish trend, undergoing a small pullback. Price is at 9,102, just above its VWAP at 9059. RSI at 61 indicates steady bullish interest. Support is at 8,906 and resistance is at 9,212
Wall Street remains bullish but is now in a corrective phase. Price has dropped to 43,786, below its VWAP of 44,407. The RSI of 43 highlights growing downside pressure. Support is at 43,580, and resistance is at 45,253.
Brent Crude continues in a choppy range, albeit with lower volatility, trading at 6,932, right at its VWAP. The RSI at 50 confirms the lack of directional bias. Support sits at 6,631 and resistance at 7,198.
Gold continues to consolidate in a broad triangle pattern - keeping it in a neutral range, with price at 3,357, nearly equal to its VWAP. The RSI at 53 shows a balanced outlook. Support is at 3,280 and resistance at 3,416.
EUR/USD holds a bullish trend but is correcting. The pair trades at 1.1565, slightly below the VWAP of 1.1635. RSI at 45 reflects subdued buying pressure. Support is at 1.1435 and resistance at 1.1834.
GBP/USD has potentially entered a new bearish trend in a quick reversal from the prior uptrend. It trades at 1.3275, below the VWAP of 1.3404. The RSI of 36 signals fresh bearish momentum. Support is at 1.3204 and resistance at 1.3604.
USD/JPY remains neutral and in a range phase but is possibly building a new uptrend with its recent drop back from range resistance. Price is 147.95, aligned with the VWAP. RSI at 53 suggests a balanced tone. Support is near 145.95 and resistance stands at 149.88.
GER30The German 30 is in a clear downtrend, and we’re now seeing a possible setup for that trend to continue. Price has pulled back slightly, forming a rising wedge—a pattern that often leads to a further drop.
It's currently testing a resistance area near 23,682, where a short trade has been placed, with a stop just above and a target lower down near the next support zone. If the pattern plays out, we could see the downtrend continue in the coming sessions.
Trade Cautiously And Remember To Like And Subscribe For More A+ Setups.
Potential bullish bounce?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a swing low support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 23,032.38
1st Support: 22,503.52
1st Resistance: 23,939.75
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DAX Breaks Monthly Range - Double-Sided Opportunity AheadDAX has broken out to the downside from its monthly range, forming an expanding wedge. This creates two high-probability setups: a short back to the bottom of the range, and a long from the bottom toward the top - supported by the prevailing uptrend and strong confluence at range lows. Either way, the range is likely to hold for now, offering clear directional plays.
#DAXDate: 01-08-2025
#DAX Current Price: 23680
Pivot Point: 24193.295 Support: 23822.409 Resistance:24566.692
Upside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 24882.344
🎯 Target 2: 25197.995
🎯 Target 3: 25574.758
🎯 Target 4: 25951.520
Downside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 23505.502
🎯 Target 2: 23188.595
🎯 Target 3: 22811.833
🎯 Target 4: 22435.070
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GER4O1. Head of the European Central Bank (ECB)
As of August 2025, Christine Lagarde is the President (head) of the European Central Bank (ECB). She is responsible for leading eurozone monetary policy, representing the ECB at global forums, and setting the tone for financial and economic policy across Europe.
2. Fundamental Drivers of the GER40 (DAX 40)
The GER40, also known as the DAX 40, is Germany's blue-chip stock market index. Its performance is driven by the following key fundamentals in 2025:
Corporate Earnings & Sector Leaders: Major companies like SAP, Siemens, Allianz, and Linde have been driving index gains, contributing a significant portion of the upward momentum due to their market capitalization.
ECB Monetary Policy: Multiple rate cuts by the ECB in 2025 supported German and eurozone equities, lowering yields and easing financing for businesses. Expectations of further rate cuts or stability are closely monitored by the market.
Inflation Dynamics: Falling inflation across the eurozone in 2025 enabled the ECB to move from a restrictive to a more accommodative stance. Latest ECB projections see inflation averaging 2% in 2025 and slightly below target in 2026, allowing monetary loosening to persist.
Energy Prices: Declining natural gas and oil prices provided relief to Germany’s energy-intensive industries, aiding profitability and supporting DAX-listed industrials.
Government Policy & Fiscal Stimulus: Increased defense and infrastructure spending by the new German government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has boosted selective sectors, including defense (e.g., Rheinmetall).
Global and Domestic Economic Conditions: While the eurozone and German economies have shown resilience with modest GDP growth (ECB forecast: 0.9% growth for 2025), there are headwinds from trade tensions, consumer demand, and sectoral shifts (notably auto and chemicals).
Trade Policy/Geopolitics: Ongoing global trade tensions, new tariffs, and geopolitical uncertainty remain sources of risk and volatility for the index. ECB President Lagarde has repeatedly warned that “trade tariffs are a negative demand shock” and could weigh on German growth prospects.
3. Current Outlook for GER40 (August 2025)
The index gained nearly 22% so far in 2025, surpassing 24,000 and even pushing toward record highs around 24,650. AI-based and institutional forecasters project continued bullish momentum, with most calling for stability or gradual increases but noting the potential for a market correction after strong gains.
Rate cuts, lower energy prices, and corporate strength are the main drivers for the recent rally, while persistent trade risks and sectoral weaknesses remain key downside risks.
Despite economic fragility, especially in manufacturing and energy costs, the DAX/GER40 remains resilient thanks to monetary policy support and selective corporate strength.
4. Recent ECB Actions & Commentary
At the July 2025 meeting, Lagarde and the ECB Governing Council kept rates steady after several cuts earlier in the year, citing moderate growth and disinflation as justification for their stance. The ECB remains “cautiously upbeat,” expecting a 2% average inflation rate and slow but positive economic growth.
The ECB noted that further escalation of trade tensions or unexpected inflation swings could prompt new policy responses.
Summary:
The GER40 is currently driven by accommodative ECB policy under Christine Lagarde, robust earnings from key blue-chip companies, lower energy prices, and government fiscal stimulus. Risks include trade uncertainty, sector-specific downturns, and any reversal in global economic momentum. The ECB’s current president, Christine Lagarde, continues to play a central role in shaping the environment for German and eurozone equities.
WATCH MY DEMAND FLOOR
DAX: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 23,502.95 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX - potential buyPotential buy on the German index as we are coming out of the 30min correction that followed a first small impulse to the upside. Conservative target is a move equivalent to the first 30 min setup. Optimal target are the break of the top and even better the 24.85 area. Levels on the chart. Trade with care.
GER/DAX - TIME FOR RECOVERTeam, this morning, the DAX target hit our target 1, we took some profit, we set a stop loss at BE, and it got stopped out
Time for us to re-enter the DAX again at 23880-23855
STOP loss 23780
Once the price move at 23950 - bring STOP LOSS TO BE
Target 1 at 23985-24015
Target 2 at 24065-24096
lets go
DAX sideways consolidation support at 24070The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24070 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24070 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24605 – initial resistance
24740 – psychological and structural level
24910 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24070 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23935 – minor support
23820 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23925. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 24,252.78 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️