Nikkei Short: Completed Triple Combination (Again)In this video, I discussed the mistake in the previous video, and updated the counts for Wave Z to show the 5-waves structure together with Fibonacci extension. I explained how 1.618x of wave 1 is actually the minimum extension required in order for wave 5 of Z to make a new high.
The stop loss for this idea is above wave Z high and the TP shown is really just a place where we will review the idea. I expect Nikkei to fall to April's low.
Good luck!
Trade ideas
Nikkei Short: Update on Triple Combination CountIn this idea, I briefly mentioned how I was wrong in my previous idea on 2nd Dec and how Nikkei was formed a triple combination from the double combination previously.
The point of invalidation for this idea is if price moves back up above high of wave Z. Thus, stop should be placed there.
Good luck!
J225 very bearishjapanese stocks just failed resuming into trend , price broke down, retested trend and horizontal resistance, and is coming back down again. Sell here. Stocks are now super bearish, nikkei and bitcoin leading bear market right now...
long running stochastic indicator also turning bearish and hitting lows and indicating bearish momentum
Nikkei signals flash bearish as BOJ hawkish bets buildA bearish engulfing candle on our Japan 225 contract coincides with an obvious three-candle evening star pattern in futures, delivering a double dose of bearish signals that point to growing downside risks for Japanese stocks.
Currently, long-running uptrend support dating back to the April lows and the 50DMA are in close proximity beneath where the contract trades, making that a key support zone to focus on should the signals from the price action prove reliable.
If we see a clean break and close beneath the zone, it would allow for shorts to be established with a stop above the 50DMA to protect against reversal, targeting 48,400 support initially. If that gives way, 47,000, 45,170 and 42,000 were levels that saw plenty of price action either side earlier in the year, putting them on the radar as targets should we see a sustained unwind.
Of course, if the support zone comprising the 50DMA and uptrend support holds, it would allow for long setups to be considered, targeting 50,580 and 51,500 resistance initially. A stop beneath the 50DMA would protect against reversal.
RSI (14) and MACD are delivering neutral signals, a departure from what was seen in recent months when upside strength was dominant. While both indicators are gradually moving towards bearish territory right now, the preference remains to let price action and signals determine how to proceed.
Good luck!
DS
#NIKKEI - 10,000 POINTS MOVE?Date: 01-02-2025
#Nikkei - Current Price: ₹ 48,674.00
Pivot Point: ₹ 50,886.50 Support: ₹ 48,859.48 Resistance: ₹ 52,931.34
Upside Levels:
L1: ₹ 55,471.92 L2: ₹ 58,012.50 L3: ₹ 60,684.75 L4: ₹ 63,357.00
Downside Levels:
L1: ₹ 46,309.99 L2: ₹ 43,760.50 L3: ₹ 41,088.25 L4: ₹ 38,416.00
#Nikkei #Tradingview
JP225 Layered Buy Plan – Institutional Pullback Zone MappedJP225 – Index Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing Trade)
🔥 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
The current structure shows bullish confirmation supported by:
✔️ 200 Simple Moving Average pullback (strong trend continuation zone)
✔️ SuperTrend ATR line pullback (momentum still on the buy side)
Both indicators align to show buyers defending higher-timeframe demand, giving us a clean structure to execute a layered entry strategy.
🎯 ENTRY PLAN – THIEF LAYERING STRATEGY
This setup uses the classic Thief multi-layered limit order method, allowing traders to scale into the move with controlled risk.
💰 Buy-Limit Layers (example levels):
49200.0
49600.0
49800.0
(You can add more layers according to your own capital and risk structure.)
This structure spreads risk, improves average entry, and lets the market come to you instead of chasing candles.
🛡️ STOP LOSS (Risk Section)
🟥 Thief SL: 48500.0
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s):
This SL is my version of protection, but you must adjust your own SL based on your personal risk, capital size, and strategy rules.
Use this only as a reference, not a strict rule.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (Exit Section)
Targeting the POLICE BARRICADE zone – a well-known strong resistance area where:
Supply increases
Price becomes overbought
Trap formations tend to emerge
📈 Primary TP: 52500.0
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s):
Again, this TP is my version. You can take profits earlier, later, or scale out depending on your risk tolerance. Trade wisely and escape with profits before the police arrive.
🌐 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation Guide)
Monitoring correlated markets gives early signals of strength or weakness in JP225. Here are key pairs:
1️⃣ USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY )
JP225 generally rises when USDJPY rises because a stronger yen hurts Japanese exporters.
If USDJPY stays bullish, JP225 usually maintains upside momentum.
2️⃣ Nikkei Futures ($NKD or CME JP225)
Directly correlated.
Futures breaking resistance often lead the cash market.
3️⃣ US30 ( CAPITALCOM:US30 ) & SPX500 ( SP:SPX )
Global risk sentiment drives JP225.
When US indices rally, JP225 tends to follow with bullish continuation.
4️⃣ VIX Index ( TVC:VIX )
Higher VIX = fear = pressure on JP225
Lower VIX = bullish environment favorable for your long plan
5️⃣ USD Index ( TVC:DXY )
Strong DXY → may pressure JP225
Weakening DXY → supportive for risk assets globally
📌 SUMMARY
The JP225 is setting up a structured bullish swing pattern supported by two strong technical confluences (200 SMA + SuperTrend ATR pullback).
The multi-layer Thief entry strategy gives flexibility and safety while positioning for a potential ride toward 52500.
Trade safe, scale smart, and execute with discipline.
Good luck, Thief OGs! 🚀📈
Nikkei 225 Is Coiling UpAfter a strong uptrend, price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that often precedes a continuation move.
Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above 51,500:
• Target 1: 52,800
• Target 2: 54,500
• Target 3: 56,000
• Stop-loss: Below 50,900
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below 49,600:
• Target 1: 47,800
• Target 2: 45,500
• Target 3: 43,500
• Stop-loss: Above 50,200
Short Fundamental Overview
• Weak Japanese yen supports export-heavy companies.
• BOJ’s accommodative stance remains supportive.
• Yet, price is near major historical resistances.
JPN225 H4 | Bullish Bounce OffMomentum: Bullish
Price is pulling back toward the buy entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. It also remains above the ascending trendline, adding significant strength to this level.
Buy Entry: 49,929.37
Pullback support
Stop Loss: 49,269.72
Pullback support
Take Profit: 51,450.83
Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
JPN225 H4 | Potential Bearish DropMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently trading below the descending trendline and the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Sell Entry: 50,022.91
Strong overlap resistance.
Stop Loss: 50,820.44
Aligned with pullback resistance.
Take Profit: 48,528.27
Key overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Fear greed prints 10 Vix 25 and put/call I am BULLISH 6954/7031WAVE FOUR IS IN THE THE LAST HOURS .We should hold above 6491 /6554 zone based on the math and wave structure . I went from all cash to 75 % long on close 11/18 I am adding today into a new low to 90% long sp 500 Nik 225 and ALL WORLD CHARTS ARE THE SAME BULLMOVE NEXT Best of trades WAVETIMER
JPN225 H | Bullish Bounce Off 50% Fibonacci SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price has bounced off the buy entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Buy entry: 50,97.62
Pullback support
50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 49,51.20
Pullback support
Take profit: 51,886.28
Pullback resistance
127.2% Fibonacci extension
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NI225 : Harmonic stackingThis is a unique case - a testament to the fact that we now live in an exciting time.
This kind of situation seldom happen. As we can see, I have to start all the way back to ZERO - the beginning of this index.
If you zoom in closely, we can see that the price shot past the 'D' with a GAP - very powerful indeed.
How do we proceed from here with the Harmonic Pattern?
What I did was to continue to stack above the 'D' the exact gap between the two peaks in price.
Let's see how high it can go. I doubt it could maintain altitude for long, as gravity will take over very soon.
Remember, it fell by as much as 61.8% and 78.6% the last time.
Take care and Good luck.
Take Notice Japan Carry trade They are the world's Liquidity The chart posted is that of JAPAN and the history of the 225 . We fast approaching The target projection based on Some of the math > I say some of as I have much more math I will wait to present on 11/19th . But take notice of Who the biggest buyer of the spy are . !
Nikkei 225 Plunges from Record HighNikkei 225 Plunges from Record High
As the chart shows, the Nikkei 225 stock index formed a historic peak around 52,500 points only yesterday — but today it has fallen sharply, with losses at the session low reaching approximately 7%.
Bearish sentiment was fuelled in part by a slump in shares of Japanese investment giant SoftBank, which dropped by around 14%. The company’s heavy exposure to sectors linked to artificial intelligence and cryptocurrencies, both currently under pressure, has raised investor concerns.
The decline in the Nikkei 225 appears to be an extension of the sell-off in US technology stocks recorded yesterday, driven by a stronger dollar and growing fears of an AI-fuelled bubble.
Technical Analysis of the Nikkei 225 Chart
As shown by the 200- and 400-period moving averages on the 4-hour chart, Japan’s equity market remains in a long-term uptrend, with the widening gap between the two lines signalling an acceleration in growth. This supports the relevance of two upward channels:
→ a long-term channel, shown in blue;
→ an intermediate channel, marked by orange lines with a steeper gradient.
It is noteworthy that at the start of November, the Nikkei 225 entered the zone where the upper boundaries of both channels intersect – unsurprisingly, this confluence of resistance lines triggered a wave of selling pressure.
Key observations:
→ Sellers succeeded in pushing the price down towards the lower orange line, which acted as strong support, similar to the movement seen between 10–12 October (indicated by arrows on the chart);
→ Today, the price made a false bearish breakout below the psychological 50,000 level, forming a candle with a long lower shadow – a sign of buying interest.
Given the above, it is reasonable to assume that the market may attempt to resume its upward trajectory. Should this scenario play out, we could see signs of rally exhaustion, as the upward movement that began in April has already lifted the Nikkei 225 by more than 280%.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
JPN225 Long• Trend context: This setup aligns with the H4 uptrend, supported by a strong upward impulse.
• Momentum: M15, M30, and H1 are oversold, suggesting a potential rebound from current levels.
• Structure: A clear double bottom has formed on both M15 and M30, with RSI divergence of 9 points confirming bullish momentum.
• Support zone: Price is holding above strong support at the previous week’s high, a key level that continues to attract buyers.
• Pattern signal: A bullish shark pattern is forming, indicating strong reversal potential.
• Risk management: Stop loss placed below 50,700 to protect capital.
• Target: First target when M15 turns overbought or when price retests 52,600 highs.
JPN225 ShortPattern structure: A bat pattern has completed on the M15 chart, highlighting a potential reversal zone.
• Market context: Price is testing the all-time high, an area that has historically acted as strong resistance.
• Trend alignment: While this setup moves counter to the H4 trend, recent consolidation has flattened the H1 moving average, suggesting momentum is fading.
• Momentum signal: RSI on H1 is showing significant bearish divergence with a clear triple top — a strong early signal of potential exhaustion.
• Risk management: Stop loss set at 300 pips to protect capital, with a target of 51,700.






















