Just following Trend This is Nasdaq Trend since Monday Low Do think 25,137 is a good short area but Trump speaks at 3pm now so I would just wait.
Trade ideas
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index is moving in a short-term upward trend and is now approaching the 24,900 resistance zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above 24,900 and holds, this could support further upside movement toward the liquidity zone around 25,200.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price rejects from resistance, it may retest the 24,700 support level, and a break below it could shift the trend back to bearish.
📈 Best Buy Zones: on a rebound from 24,750 or after a confirmed breakout above 24,900
📉 Best Sell Zone: below 24,700
NSDQ100 Oversold bounce back supported at 243761. Volatile Sentiment
Markets have whipsawed since Friday due to shifting US-China trade tensions.
In the last 24 hours, the S&P 500 swung from -1.5% to +0.4% intraday, closing just slightly down (-0.16%), highlighting fragile sentiment.
2. Fed Chair Powell’s Dovish Tone
Powell signaled a likely 25bps rate cut this month, citing soft hiring trends.
His dovish comments helped tech stocks and boosted risk appetite, especially in the second half of the US session.
3. Trump’s Trade Escalation Comments
Trump accused China of not buying soybeans and hinted at ending trade involving cooking oil and other goods.
These late comments undermined risk sentiment, reversing some of Powell's support.
4. Sector Performance
S&P Financials (+1.12%) outperformed on Q3 bank earnings.
Consumer Staples (+3.04%) also led, reflecting a defensive shift amid headline risk.
Tech was more volatile but held up on Powell’s policy support.
5. ECB Commentary
Villeroy hinted at rate cuts, while Makhlouf expressed inflation concerns, showing a split in ECB tone.
This may add uncertainty for European tech sentiment impacting US tech peers.
Takeaway for Nasdaq-100 Today
Supportive Fed signals are a tailwind for tech, but geopolitical risks (US-China) are keeping markets jumpy.
Expect headline-driven volatility to remain high.
Focus on big tech earnings, bond yields, and any new trade developments for direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24908
Resistance Level 2: 25050
Resistance Level 3: 25200
Support Level 1: 24376
Support Level 2: 24205
Support Level 3: 23920
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nas100 - Cautious Rebound: Tests Resistance, Demand Still IntactNas100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Major Supply / Rejection Zone
This area represents the upper resistance band just below the recent all-time high. It’s where sellers previously absorbed liquidity and triggered the latest strong downside move. Until price can reclaim and hold above this level, it remains a key supply zone. Any retest from below should be watched for signs of exhaustion or rejection, as sellers could step in aggressively again.
Zone 2: Secondary Supply / Intraday Pivot Zone
Zone 2 has acted as both support and resistance in recent sessions. It now serves as a secondary supply zone and an intraday pivot level. If price fails to break cleanly above it, the area could cap upside momentum and trigger another pullback. A decisive breakout above, with acceptance on higher volume, would strengthen bullish control and open the path toward Zone 1.
Zone 3: Key Demand / Structural Support
This zone marks the base of the recent rebound, the origin of the strong bullish impulse following the heavy sell-off. Buyers have shown clear commitment here, defending the level multiple times. As long as price stays above Zone 3, short-term structure remains constructive. A breakdown below would shift sentiment bearish and expose deeper liquidity pools toward 24,000.
The Nas100 is trading with a cautious and slightly bearish tone today after sentiment weakened overnight. Earlier optimism from easing U.S.–China trade rhetoric has faded as fresh tensions resurfaced, including new tariff threats and U.S. accusations that China is manipulating access to key technology resources. These headlines have reignited risk aversion, pulling down tech and growth names that had led the recent rebound.
At the same time, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to delay official economic data releases, leaving markets to trade largely on speculation, headlines, and positioning rather than fundamentals. This lack of clarity has made sentiment fragile and intraday volatility high.
Still, the broader outlook remains supported by strong AI and tech-sector investment, which the IMF recently said is helping shield the U.S. from a deeper slowdown. That theme continues to attract capital to the Nasdaq, even as valuations stay stretched and macro uncertainty lingers.
Overall, the mood on Nas100 is cautiously defensive, investors remain positioned in growth stocks but are increasingly sensitive to geopolitical and policy shocks that could quickly reverse momentum.
USTEC Recovers Within Channel, Can AI Strength Sustain Its RallyUSTEC steadied after recent losses as fresh AI developments reignited tech optimism. AMD (AMD) secured a major order from Oracle (ORCL) for its upcoming MI450 chips, signaling progress in its bid to challenge Nvidia's (NVDA) dominance. The deal, alongside OpenAI's expanded partnerships with Broadcom (AVGO) and Oracle, underscored the accelerating AI infrastructure race. However, lingering caution over trade frictions and US policy uncertainty could cap upside momentum in the near term.
From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded above the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. The index is holding above the Ichimoku Cloud. If USTEC breaks the resistance at 25200, the price may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the ascending channel and support at 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
14 OCTOBER REVIEW: REVISITING THE NY AM SESSIONFRAMING THE MODEL ON THE LOWER TIMEFRAMES
- All LTF analysis attached were based off the prior HTF "IF-THEN" scenarios
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US100 - SHORT POSSIBILITYBasically price is showing downtrend tendencies by creating lower lows one after another. Price is currently struggling under the h4 resistence level at 24 748.3, still unbroken which is showing higher chances of price respecting that resistence and pull back down. For an high-risk tolerance trader, right now show a good entry possibility but for a low-risk tolerance trader, you can wait for price to break the lower timeframe support level at 24 628.1 before placing a short entry. This is purely for ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
USTEC100 – Buy SetupPrice is attempting to recover after a sharp drop and is now consolidating above intraday support. A break and hold above this level may trigger a bullish continuation.
Buy Entry: 24,470 – 24,370
Stop Loss: 24,250
Take Profit: 25,130 – 25,200
📈 Bias: Bullish
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always confirm entries with your own strategy and manage risk accordingly.
#USTEC100 #NASDAQ #Indices #BuySignal #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
NAS100 – Price Action UpdatePrice rebounded sharply from the 24,300.00 support and is now testing the 24,750.00 resistance zone. The overall market structure shows recovery attempts after last week’s sell-off.
Support at : 24,500.00 🔽 / 24,300.00 🔽
Resistance at : 24,750.00 🔼 / 25,000.00 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish : A strong close above 24,750.00 could open the way toward 25,000.00 and 25,170.00.
🔽 Bearish : Failure to break and close above 24,750.00 may trigger a move back toward 24,500.00 or 24,300.00.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Order Block @24360 | BuyPrice is in an overall bullish trend, it created an order block that lead to a break of structure. It came back and respected the order block and then created a change of character on that order block on a lower timeframe. No i will wait for price to retest to the order block that caused the CHoCh for entry.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 14 2025Price has swept both PDH and PDL and formed a 4h bearish FVG so i will be trading with the bearish trend waiting for price to sweep London highs as BSL to look for sells to SSL
NAS100 Do we sell off today? In my opinion if we sell of we just look for short to fair value gap bullish. This is not a signal to calling any trade. I'm just sharing my own analysis. FX:NAS100
US100 - Cautious Optimism Returns?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Key Supply / Lower High Resistance
This is the first meaningful resistance zone below the all-time high. The sharp selloff originated here, making it a tactical “sell zone” on retests. If bulls manage to reclaim and hold above it, it would signal regained momentum and open the door for a reattempt at the highs. Otherwise, repeated rejections here could confirm a developing lower-high structure — a sign of weakening bullish control.
Zone 2: Intermediate Demand / Reaction Zone
This zone has shown reactive buying interest and currently acts as short-term support. It’s where price paused after the last major drop, showing the presence of responsive buyers. Holding above this zone keeps the intraday bias neutral-to-bullish, but a decisive break below would expose the next, stronger demand layer.
Zone 3: Strong Demand / Structural Support
This is the critical demand base for the current structure. Buyers have previously stepped in aggressively here, making it a key defense area for maintaining the broader bullish trend. A clean breakdown below would mark a shift in market structure toward a deeper correction phase.
US100 sentiment as of October 14, 2025
After a volatile start to the week, sentiment around the US100 has turned cautiously optimistic. The tone improved sharply yesterday after President Trump softened his rhetoric toward China, easing fears of an escalating trade war. Markets responded positively, with tech and AI-related stocks leading the rebound, particularly semiconductor and infrastructure names, which had been under pressure from tariff headlines earlier in the week.
The shift restored some risk appetite, but traders remain aware of how fragile the backdrop still is. The government shutdown continues to limit access to key U.S. economic data, leaving investors to trade largely on headlines, corporate news, and policy expectations. Meanwhile, valuations remain stretched, and any renewed trade tension or hawkish commentary from the Fed could quickly reverse the current optimism.
Overall, the US100 is holding a bullish bias, supported by AI momentum and relief over trade tensions, yet sentiment is still built on a fragile foundation, driven more by narrative and liquidity than by solid macro data.
NASDAQ Index Analysis:📉 U.S. indices witnessed a sharp decline on Friday’s session, with the NASDAQ being one of the most affected, closing at 23,980.
📈 As Monday’s session opened, the market started with a strong bullish gap (Gap Up) at 24,480, then continued to move upward — a trend likely to persist in the coming hours.
🔹 Expected Scenario:
As long as the price remains above the 24,500 support zone, the likely movement is toward the 25,100 resistance level for a potential retest.
🔸 However, if 24,500 support is broken and closed below, we could see a deeper correction before the uptrend resumes.
BULLISH TRADE IDEAS - IF THEN ANALYSISMONDAY: 13 OCTOBER 2025
PRE-NY ANALYSIS:
BULLISH INTRA-DAY IDEA FRAMED ON H1 AND REFINED ON M15:
- Market currently in a Premium and just caressed the OTE (62%) of the Fib
- Price also currently below the True-Day Open.
- Would like to see price trade lower into the Discount of the range before trading higher as per scenario 1.
- Otherwise, we look to scenario 2.
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NAS100📊 NAS100USD 4H Analysis – Reversal Zones Identified
The Nasdaq 100 has seen a sharp bearish drop, breaking below recent highs with strong momentum. Price is now approaching a key support region where a short-term rebound could take place if buying pressure emerges.
Potential Reversal Zones:
🔹 24,446.9 – Primary support / first potential reaction area.
🔹 24,818.4 – 24,970.5 – Resistance range; watch for possible rejection if price rebounds.
The market remains under bearish pressure, but short-term corrections toward 24,800–25,000 are possible before any continuation of the downtrend.
If the current bearish momentum continues below 24,400, we could see further downside movement.
📈 Bias: Short-term corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure.
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
NAS100 4 H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
NAS100USD 1M – Tariff Shock After Record HighsThe NAS100 reached a new all-time high earlier this month, extending its recovery from the April 2025 low. However, October has turned into a sharp selloff after Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China starting November 1st, triggering heavy liquidation and breaking multiple support levels. The key focus now is whether the 23,367.28 zone will hold as support or open the way for deeper downside.
Support at: 23,367.28 / 21,800.00 / 16,400.00 / 10,700.00 🔽
Resistance at: 25,249.79 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A monthly close back above 25,249.79 would suggest renewed strength, keeping the long-term uptrend intact.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to hold 23,367.28 confirms October’s selloff continuation, exposing 21,800.00 as the next key downside target.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100USD 4H – Tariff Shock SelloffAfter maintaining a strong bullish structure, the NAS100 sharply reversed following Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China starting November 1st, triggering a heavy selloff that broke multiple support zones.
Support at: 23,985.8 / 23,700.0 / 23,350.0 🔽
Resistance at: 24,393.3 / 24,583.1 / 24,800.0 / 25,200.0 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Only if price reclaims 24,583.1, confirming a recovery above broken structure.
🔽 Bearish: Continuation expected if candles close below 23,985.8, opening room for a deeper drop toward 23,700.0, 23,350.0, and 23,100.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 Decision Point at All-Time HighsNAS100 Decision Point at All-Time Highs
Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100) 11th Oct 2025 UTC+4
Closing Price: 24,026.1 | Bias: Neutral, awaiting breakout confirmation.
1. Multi-Timeframe Market Structure
Daily Chart Context: The index is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, trading near all-time highs. The recent consolidation suggests a pause within the broader bullish structure.
Critical Resistance: 24,200 - 24,300. A confluence of the recent swing high and a psychological barrier. A decisive daily close above 24,300 is the key bullish trigger.
Key Support Levels:
Immediate: 23,900 (Recent swing low & 4H consolidation base).
Primary: 23,650 - 23,750 (Previous resistance, now key support & 50 EMA area).
Major: 23,400 (Would signal a deeper correction).
2. Chart Pattern & Wyckoff/Elliott Wave Context
Pattern: The price action from the September low exhibits characteristics of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase, followed by a strong markup. The current pause could be a re-accumulation before the next leg up, or a distribution.
Elliott Wave Count: The rally from the ~23,400 low is impulsive. We are likely in a Wave 4 (corrective) consolidation. A break above 24,200 would confirm the start of Wave 5 towards new highs. A break below 23,650 would invalidate this count.
3. Indicator Confluence & Momentum
Ichimoku Cloud (Daily): Price is well above the Senkou Span (Cloud), confirming the strong bullish trend. The cloud itself is thick and rising, providing strong dynamic support.
RSI (14): On the daily, RSI is neutral (~60), not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside.
Bollinger Bands (4H): Price is hugging the upper band, indicating strength. A move to the middle band (~23,950) would be a healthy pullback.
Moving Averages: The 50 EMA (23,850) and 200 EMA (23,500) are bullishly aligned, acting as dynamic support layers.
Actionable Trading Plan
Intraday Trading (Based on 1H/15M Charts)
Bullish Breakout Setup:
Trigger: Sustained price action above 24,150 with rising volume.
Buy Entry: On a pullback to 24,100-24,130, or a break of 24,200.
Stop Loss: Below 24,000.
Targets: 24,300 (TP1), 24,450 (TP2).
Bearish Rejection Setup:
Trigger: Bearish reversal candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing) at 24,150-24,200.
Sell Entry: On the confirmation of the rejection.
Stop Loss: Above 24,250.
Targets: 23,950 (TP1), 23,850 (TP2).
Swing Trading (Based on 4H/Daily Charts)
Long Swing Entry:
Condition: Wait for a daily close above 24,300.
Entry: On the next pullback towards 24,200 (new support).
Stop Loss: Below 23,900.
Target: 24,600 - 24,800.
Short Swing Entry (Counter-Trend):
Condition: A clear break and close below 23,900.
Entry: On a retest of 23,900 as resistance.
Stop Loss: Above 24,100.
Target: 23,750, then 23,650.
Risk & Trade Management Note
The current setup is a high-probability bull trap if price fails at the 24,200 resistance. Conversely, a breakout opens significant upside. Do not chase price in the middle of the range. Patience for a confirmed trigger is key. Always use a stop-loss and manage position size accordingly.
failed entrythis was a good trade idea set up our SL was to tight we missed this one on both the HTF and LTF.
NSDQ100 Cautious consolidationNasdaq futures are pointing to a softer open today, as markets lose momentum following a record-breaking run. Investors are growing cautious amid renewed political and geopolitical tensions.
Market backdrop:
Equities pulled back modestly yesterday, with the S&P 500 down -0.28% and Europe’s STOXX 600 off -0.43%, as questions arose about the sustainability of the recent rally. The Nasdaq 100 also eased from record highs, mirroring the risk-off tone seen across regions and asset classes.
Macro drivers:
The US government shutdown—now entering its second week—is weighing on sentiment, especially after Trump vowed deeper spending cuts, raising fears of a prolonged fiscal impasse.
Rising 10yr Treasury yields (+2.1bps to 4.14%) and wider high-yield spreads (+9bps) suggest investors are turning more defensive.
Gold (-1.61%) also reversed sharply, falling below $4,000/oz, signaling some unwinding of safe-haven flows.
Geopolitical factors:
Tensions are rising ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with Beijing launching an antitrust probe into Qualcomm’s Autotalks deal, and new US legislation favouring Nvidia and AMD chip supplies for domestic use. The moves underscore potential risks for tech heavyweights with major China exposure.
Meanwhile, the Israel-Gaza hostage deal and Trump’s expected visit add another layer of geopolitical complexity.
Nasdaq 100 outlook:
Tech stocks may see selective pressure today as investors react to the escalating US–China tech dispute and higher yields. However, recent strength in AI and semiconductors could offer some support. Expect consolidation near record levels, with traders awaiting US consumer sentiment data later in the day for confirmation of demand resilience.
Tone: Cautious consolidation — Nasdaq 100 likely to trade sideways to slightly lower as macro and political risks temper recent euphoria.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25200
Resistance Level 2: 25300
Resistance Level 3: 25400
Support Level 1: 24870
Support Level 2: 24730
Support Level 3: 24590
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
