BUY EVERY BIG TECH, BUY AND HOLD UNTIL OCTOBERBuy the pivot level. hold for the last 7-month bull run until October 2025.
Price and time cycles suggest that price will peak in October 2025 and a second swing high in March 2026 for the midcycle correction. We would look for the top at 26k
Buy every big tech, buy the major stocks, buy, buy......
The 7-month cycle from March to October 2025 will be the second largest swing within the 5-year bull run from 2020 crash low
Trade safe, good luck.
USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
US100 Trade Idea – Risking 1% for Potential 5% Gain 13/8/2025
I trade with a fixed 1:5 risk–reward ratio, focusing on setups that offer asymmetric profit potential. My approach emphasizes precise entries, strict risk management, and the patience to let trades reach their full potential.
This method allows me to risk small while aiming for meaningful gains, keeping my results consistent and sustainable over time. Trading, for me, is as much about mindset as it is about method — staying calm, following the plan, and letting probabilities work in my favor.
Disclaimer: This is purely an idea shared for educational purposes. I take no responsibility for any financial decisions you make. Please assess it carefully and adapt it to your own trading plan before acting.
NASDAQ (CASH100) is Approaching KEY ResistanceSince 15 May, the Cash100 has been trading within an upward channel.
It’s now approaching diagonal resistance — will it hold, or break higher?
On the chart, I have marked every time NAS has tested the diagonal resistance and failed to break through.
I’ll be watching this area closely for shorts.
What do you think: will NAS continue climbing, or is a reversal coming?
US100 Builds Momentum Toward New HighsUS100 Builds Momentum Toward New Highs
Since yesterday, the US100 has climbed by nearly 1.4%, rising from 23,223 to 23,550.
The bullish trend is strong, and it looks like US100 is preparing for a bigger upward move—possibly aiming to set a new all-time high.
Before continuing higher, US100 may first test the top of the current structure near 23,710, and then push toward 24,000.
The rally comes after weaker-than-expected NFP data, which has increased expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September.
J.P. Morgan now forecasts a 25 bps rate cut, citing signs of a slowing labor market and uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump's latest Fed nomination.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)The index is moving within an upward channel in the broader trend and is currently trading near the 23,900 zone.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,850, a corrective wave may begin, testing the 23,700 area. A break below this level could open the door for further downside corrections.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price manages to break and hold above 23,900, this could support a continuation of the uptrend toward a new high at 24,000.
NSDQ100 rally on rate cuts expectation US equities rallied, with the S&P 500 hitting a new high (+1.13%) after July CPI matched expectations, keeping hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut. Headline CPI was +0.2% MoM / +2.7% YoY, helped by falling gasoline prices, while core CPI rose +0.32% MoM, lifting the YoY rate to 3.1% — the highest core reading in six months. Markets shrugged off the stickier services inflation, focusing instead on the relief that inflation wasn’t hotter. Treasury Secretary Bessent backed the idea of a 50bp cut, further boosting rate-cut bets. Geopolitical headlines — including Putin–Trump summit plans and ongoing Ukraine tensions — were largely ignored by risk assets.
Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 trading
The inflation data reinforced expectations for Fed easing, keeping risk appetite strong and likely supporting further upside in the Nasdaq 100 in the near term. However, the hotter core services figure is a reminder that any sharp rally could face headwinds if upcoming data challenge the rate-cut narrative.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23965
Resistance Level 2: 24120
Resistance Level 3: 24290
Support Level 1: 23665
Support Level 2: 23533
Support Level 3: 23422
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ at Make-or-Break Resistance – Is a Sharp Drop to 23,292 "📉 NASDAQ at Make-or-Break Resistance – Is a Sharp Drop to 23,292 Next?"
📊 NASDAQ is currently trading within a well-defined resistance zone (23,812 – 24,007) after a recent rally from the support base near 22,800. The structure suggests a potential sell-side setup if price respects the resistance and fails to break higher.
🧐 Market Structure Analysis
Support Zone: Around 22,800, where buyers previously stepped in, forming a Higher Low and initiating the last bullish leg.
Resistance Zone: 23,812 – 24,007, marked by previous rejections and a Break of Liquidity (BOL).
Price has tapped into the entry zone just below resistance, hinting at possible exhaustion from buyers.
The chart indicates a bearish bias from this zone, aiming for a move toward 23,292.5 (marked target).
🎯 Educational Trade Example
Entry Zone: 23,812 – 24,007
Stop Loss: Above 24,007 to protect against breakout rallies.
Target: 23,292.5 (aligned with previous structural support).
Rationale:
Trading against strong resistance offers asymmetric R:R if momentum shifts bearish.
The Higher Low before resistance can act as liquidity fuel for sellers once demand weakens.
Clear invalidation point keeps risk defined.
⚠ Invalidation Scenarios
A strong breakout and close above 24,007 with follow-through volume would invalidate the short idea and potentially signal continuation toward 24,200+.
💡 Key Takeaways for Students
Zone-to-Zone Trading: Always define both entry and exit zones before execution.
Structure Before Strategy: The market’s reaction to resistance is the clue — confirmation comes before position sizing.
Risk Management is Non-Negotiable: Even high-probability setups require strict stop placement.
Dip-buying on the Nasdaq?The Stock market rallied following the July US CPI inflation data, with the Nasdaq 100 climbing to an all-time high of 23,849. Overlooking the economic picture for now, price action has exhibited a clear uptrend since early April this year. This is evident from the price, which has chalked up a series of higher highs and higher lows, trading above the 200-day simple moving average at 21,100, and with the dynamic value pointing higher.
Traders seldom attempt to buy at record highs; they tend to buy into retracements from support levels. Therefore, support levels of note right now include 23,347 (1W), 22,990 (1W), and 22,592 (1M).
Written by the FP Markets Research Team
NAS100 Building Up On Bearish PressureHi there,
NAS100 has been very surprising for us recently, with increased bullishness that appears to be giving a bearish bias.
🦉 We'll use RSI and DEMA to coordinate price movements.
🎙️The price is bearish from the 23,600 area and has broken a minor dashed trendline. As long as the price remains below the purple 36 DEMA, below the RSI 50 level, and below the yellow RSI EMA, we remain bearish toward the solid trendline. This outlook points to two target support areas: 23,325 and 23,207.
🧩 Note: the bearish momentum is driven by the 3-hour chart. If it changes there, the setup will be invalidated.
Happy Trading,
K.
NASDAQ 100| Bullish OutlookHTF (4H)
Price has broken major external structure highs, currently trading near the 23,712 zone with strong bullish momentum. My focus is on buying opportunities after a clean pullback — ideally sweeping sell-side liquidity into the 4H OB. Price action is being monitored closely for confirmation.
LTF (30M/5M)
Structure remains clean and respected. I’m watching for a liquidity sweep into the 23,444 – 23,399 OB zone.
Execution Plan
Targeting 5M highs for intraday delivery or 30M highs if momentum extends. Trade will be managed in alignment with internal framework structure and market delivery behavior.
Rate-cut optimism fueled risk-on mood, lifting US equities
July CPI showed little inflationary impact from tariffs, amplifying expectations for a September Fed cut. Optimism also returned for small-cap firms, previously seen as most vulnerable to tariff pressures. Headline CPI rose 2.7% YoY in July, 0.1% lower than a year earlier, with a 1.1% MoM drop in energy prices contributing to the overall decline.
BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder noted that shelter costs, the largest CPI component, slowed to their lowest since 2021, significantly boosting the odds of a September cut. He added that the Fed could take a more aggressive approach, with a 50bp cut at the September FOMC.
USTEC extended its sharp uptrend after breaching above the 23700 high. The widening gap between both EMAs indicates the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If USTEC holds above 23700, the index may gain upward momentum toward the psychological resistance at 24000. Conversely, if USTEC breaks below 23700, the index could retreat toward 23300.
Nasdaq Short Again (nth time): Fibo Extension Level and 5-wavesOver here, I attempt to short Nasdaq again after another failure yesterday. This time, the 5-waves structure is supported by Fibonacci Extension level at 2.618x sub-wave 1 against entire wave 5 structure.
However, take note the circled area where I pointed out 2 imperfections in the wave structure:
1. Wave 4 overlaps Wave 1
2. Sub-wave 4 overlaps Sub-wave 1 (a comparison with S&P500 increases the odds that it may still be a valid count)
Given the imperfections of the wave counts, we still need to set our stop above the all-time-high to protect ourselves.
Good luck!
Nasdaq: End of Bullish Wave, 10%+ Downside in Sight?Hey Realistic Traders!
Has CAPITALCOM:US100 (Nasdaq) Finally Peaked? A Reversal Signal Just Flashed. Is This the Turning Point Toward a Deeper Pullback?
Let’s dive into the technicals to see what the chart is really telling us.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, the Nasdaq is starting to show signs of weakness. A bearish divergence has formed between the MACD and price movement , which is a classic signal that bullish momentum may be fading. This often indicates the potential for a trend reversal or a deeper correction.
A recent drop, confirmed by a strong bearish full-body candlestick, suggests that selling pressure is increasing. If this continues, we expect a breakdown from the current bullish channel.
In this scenario, the extended Wave 3 may have reached its peak. A correction could follow, with the first target at 21484, which lines up with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. If the decline continues, the next downside target would be around 20067, where a previous gap may be filled.
This bearish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays below 23800 . A move above that level would invalidate the setup and return the outlook to neutral.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq.
US100 Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US100 is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Index made a strong bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 23,720 which is now
A support and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NASDAQ eyes 24300 as the Channel Up extends.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up since the May 12 candle. Throughout the whole time, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been in firm Support and right now the pattern is unfolding its latest Bullish Leg.
The last two rose by +6.67%, so that gives us a Target of 24300 by the end of the month.
Notice also that the 1D MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross. The previous one was a strong buy signal during the most recent Bullish Leg.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ At Good Res , Is It A Chance To Sell To Get 200 Pips ?Here is my 4H Nasdaq Chart and my opinion is the price at very interesting selling area for me , and we have a very clear bearish price action and this Res Area forced the prices to go down Very hard and i think this Second Touch will be the best one , so i`m waiting selling this pair now and targeting from 100 to 200 pips . the only reason to cancel this idea if we have a clear daily closure above my res area .
Entry Reasons :
1- Clear Res Area .
2- Second Touch For The Res .
3- Bearish Price Action .
US 100 – US CPI in Focus, Could this Be Moving Day? Technology stocks in the US 100 have been leading the resurgence of US assets back up from their April lows for a while now, driven higher by fresh demand for magnificent 7 stocks, artificial intelligence capital expenditure and increased expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts, which its hoped by traders will restart again when the Fed have their next rate decision meeting on September 17th.
Dips in the US 100 have remained shallow, with the latest blip lower, caused by a weaker than expected US Non-farm payrolls report, causing a sell off from the record high set on July 31st at 23730 down to a low at 22678 (Payrolls Friday August 1st) before the uptrend resumed again, setting a new record closing high at 23660 on Friday since when prices have consolidated so far this week between 23500 and 23716.
Today could potentially be moving day for US 100 stocks with the latest US CPI release due at 1330 BST. Traders are very sensitive to US inflation updates right now as they await the effects of President Trump’s trade tariffs to feed through into higher consumer prices. US corporates initially absorbed the higher tariff costs which has helped to shield US consumers but there has been signs that this trend may be starting to change.
Any deviation in today’s US CPI release from market expectations may alter the current pricing for Fed rate cuts across the next 6 months, which could have an outsized impact on US 100 volatility across the remainder of this week.
Technical Update: Is the Trend Still Your Friend?
When an asset gains fresh buying support and approaches a previous all-time price high, it can be a very important period for both price action and traders. It can lead to the question being asked.
Will buying pressure be strong enough to break above this important resistance and extend the bullish trend, or will sellers re-emerge at the all-time high, triggering a potential reversal in price?
This appears to be the backdrop unfolding for the US 100 index, and as the chart above shows, having seen price weakness briefly post the August 1st low at 22678, the latest price strength since that dip is currently testing 23730 again, the all-time high registered on July 31st.
This 23730 resistance level could be an important focus for traders this week, as successful closing breaks above the all-time high are required to suggest potential for a more sustained phase of price strength, while failure to close above this 23730 resistance level, may lead to increased possibilities for deeper declines in price.
Potential Upside If a Closing Break Develops Above 23730:
If, and it could still be argued it is a big ‘if’, a successful closing break develops above 23730, it could open potential for further price strength towards the next resistance at 24146, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension of the July 31st to August 1st price weakness, may be even further.
Potential downside If the Resistance at 23730 Holds:
It is equally possible, the resistance at 23730 can cap the current strength, even prompt fresh selling pressure to turn price activity lower for a phase of weakness.
While 23730 continues to limit current price strength, the focus may shift to possible support at 23181, which is equal to half the August price strength. Closing breaks below 23181 could potentially be a catalyst for further declines to test 22678, the August 1st low, and even lower if this level in turn gives way.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)The index is moving within an upward channel in the broader trend and is currently trading near the 23,550 area, which is a pivotal zone between two possible scenarios:
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If support at 23,500 breaks and holds below this level, we could first see a decline toward 23,400, followed by a potential drop to the 23,290 test zone.
Breaking this level may open the door for further downside corrections.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price successfully breaks and holds above 23,680, this could support a continued rally toward 23,800, and with sustained momentum, the market may target a new high.