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BUY EVERY DIP, HOLD FOR THE NEXT 7-MONTH CYCLE UNTIL OCTOBERThere are the current turmoil by tariffs and perceived recession, yet, the cycles strongly support a further advance from the March lows until October 2025. The bottom in March 2020 formed the base for the 5 year bull cycle nested within the larger 13 year cycle. PRICE The 2020 crash low formed at 18213.65, the decline in 2022 formed a bottom at 28660.94. We would have a price range Low - Low of (+10447.29 pts) (28660.94 - 18213.65) = 10447.29 units By projection if the range between the first two bottoms is 10447.29 we would expect the third bottom connecting three expanding points to be at 1.618 of 10447.29 points from 28660.94 28660.94 + (10447.29 x 1.618) = 45564.66 This makes the current top at 45073.63 through 45564.66 level a major support whereas its also a minor resistance for some correction and we expect price to move through this level. TIME Time connecting the three points 23/03/2020 - 03/01/2022 - 10/10/2022 with March 2020 as starting point would give us a time count (0.0 - 651 days - 931 days). We find that between the two bottoms the top in Jan 2022 came in at 651 days. By projection we expect the next bottom to be at least 209 weeks or 1463 days from 10/10/2022 with a top located at a Phi variation of 651. We would project a time range 1064 - 1099 days for a top and a decline into the third bottom 1463 days from 10/10/2022 and 2394 days from 23/03/2020. Trade safe, good luck.
TVC:DJILong
by Fairmont-Markets
THE BIG TOP ... THE MID-CYCLE CORRECTION COMES SOONTHE BULL IS NOT DEAD YET... Alternate Cycle progression puts 1942 - 1947, 1982 - 1987. and 2022 - 2027 on the same phase of a larger 20-year cycle. This is the smallest growth cycle that completes in approximately five (5) years. It forms the first section of every alternate 20-year cycle and carves out a very identical fractal. This fractal remerges every 40 to 43 years. This is the basis of Gann's 43-year cycle repetition. 1942 - 1947 5-year cycle 1982 - 1987 Cycle 2022 - 2027 Cycle in progression Putting the price and time advances into a cumulative progression suggests that we are getting closer to a first correction at 47200 level. It also suggests that the next time and price for the current cycle is measurable and quantifiable with a very slim margin for error. 27th October is a major timeline to watch Beyond that we have March 2026 TRADE PLAN: We will close all buy entries in October We will buy again in May 2026 for another 2-year bull cycle. Follow for more updates
TVC:DJILong
by Fairmont-Markets
DOW JONES ANALYSIS💸 DOW JONES 💸 Chart: 1H Overall Trend: Bullish Current Market Structure: Short-Term Bearish After the initial gap up & bullish push, price has been ranging in a tight consolidation zone with small candles — indicating indecision. Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Preferred if Demand Holds) • Price retraces into the GAP UP demand zone (≈ 46,770–46,730). • Bullish reaction here (strong wick / engulfing candle) could provide a buy setup targeting: • First target: 46,910–46,960 (recent high) • Final target: New ATH zone (47,051–47,088) Scenario 2: Deeper Pullback • If price fails to hold the gap demand zone, expect a deeper retracement toward 46,600–46,560, which is the next structural support. ✅ Summary: The bias remains bullish, but a short-term retracement to fill the gap demand zone is likely before a push toward new highs. A clean rejection or bullish engulfing in that zone would offer a high-probability long setup.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Brehayne_
$DJI📊 Key Market Predictions This Week 1️⃣ NY Fed Inflation Data (Tuesday): Prices in NY are already climbing inflation is back in the market. 2️⃣ Fed Meeting Minutes (Wednesday): Expect signals that the Fed is trying to better manage the economy. With the government shutdown, money and policy are being rearranged. 3️⃣ Powell Speaks (Thursday): His tone could set the stage for how aggressive or cautious the Fed will be moving forward. 4️⃣ MI Consumer Data (Friday): Sentiment may look steady as “buy now, pay later” options continue to keep spending alive. 5️⃣ Jobs Report (Friday, if shutdown ends): We could see a pickup, reflecting that investments are still entering the market despite uncertainty.
DJ:DJI
by TheMoney_Association
US30 -Dow Jones Industrial Average Technical Analysis & ForecastCurrent Price: 46,785.30 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading at 46,785.30, showing consolidation near all-time highs. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bullish trend with caution signals emerging on shorter timeframes. Key resistance at 47,000-47,200 zone presents a critical decision point for continuation versus correction. Bottom Line: Bullish bias remains intact on daily/weekly charts, but intraday traders should watch for potential pullback to 46,500-46,300 support zone before next leg higher. MULTI-TIMEFRAME MARKET STRUCTURE Monthly/Weekly Context (Swing Trading) Trend: Strong bullish momentum maintained since October 2023 lows Elliott Wave Count: Potential Wave 5 of larger degree impulse, suggesting final push before correction Key Levels: Major support at 45,800-46,000 (previous breakout zone); resistance at 47,200-47,500 Daily Chart Analysis Structure: Higher highs and higher lows pattern intact Ichimoku Cloud: Price trading above bullish cloud; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish cross active Pattern Recognition: Ascending channel formation with upper boundary at 47,150 4-Hour Chart (Critical Timeframe) Candlestick Patterns: Recent doji and spinning tops indicating indecision RSI: Divergence warning - price making higher highs while RSI shows lower highs (bearish divergence) Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent push higher suggests weakening momentum 1-Hour/30-Minute (Intraday Focus) Microstructure: Double top formation developing at 46,850-46,900 zone Bollinger Bands: Price touching upper band with band width expanding VWAP: Trading 0.2% above daily VWAP (46,692) - moderately extended TECHNICAL INDICATOR DEEP DIVE Momentum Indicators RSI (14): Daily: 62 (neutral-bullish) 4H: 58 (declining from 72 two days ago) 1H: 54 (bearish divergence present) Interpretation: Momentum cooling after recent rally; not yet oversold Trend Indicators Moving Averages: 20 EMA: 46,580 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 46,200 (critical support) 200 EMA: 44,800 (long-term trend support) Golden Cross Status: Active and bullish (50 MA above 200 MA) Volatility Indicators Bollinger Bands (20,2): Price at upper band; squeeze releasing suggests increased volatility ahead ATR (14): 285 points (elevated) - expect 250-350 point daily ranges Volume Analysis Volume Weighted Average Price: 46,692 Volume Trend: Declining on up-moves (distribution warning) Anchored VWAP: From October 1st low at 46,450 - price 0.7% above anchor HARMONIC & PATTERN ANALYSIS Gann Analysis Square of 9: Next resistance at 47,088 (90° from current cycle low); support at 46,488 Gann Angles: 1x1 angle from September low projects support at 46,550 Time Cycles: October 8-10 represents potential reversal window (45-48 trading days from last pivot) Harmonic Patterns Potential Bat Pattern: Monitoring for completion at 46,950-47,000 (0.886 retracement level) Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension of recent corrective wave targets 47,150 Wyckoff Analysis Phase: Appears to be in Distribution Phase B (preliminary supply) Spring/Shakeout Watch: False breakout above 47,000 could trigger sell-off Elliott Wave Count Primary Count: Wave 5 of Intermediate (3), targeting 47,400-47,800 Alternate Count: Wave B corrective triangle forming; expect breakdown if 46,500 breaks SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FRAMEWORK Immediate Resistance Zones 46,850-46,900 - Intraday double top / psychological 47,000-47,050 - Major psychological / round number / Gann level 47,150-47,200 - Channel top / Fibonacci 1.618 / weekly pivot 47,500-47,600 - All-time high extension target Support Zones 46,650-46,700 - VWAP / hourly demand zone 46,500-46,550 - 20 EMA / Gann 1x1 angle / pivot 46,200-46,300 - 50 EMA / gap fill / strong demand 45,800-46,000 - Daily cloud / major breakout point TRAP SCENARIOS Bull Trap Alert Setup: Break above 47,000 with low volume followed by immediate reversal Confirmation: Close below 46,800 same day with volume spike Target: Retest 46,300-46,500 zone Bear Trap Potential Setup: Quick spike below 46,500 followed by rapid recovery Confirmation: Close above 46,650 with strong volume Target: Resume rally toward 47,200+ INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (October 4-11, 2025) Day Trading Strategy - Scalp Setups Bullish Scenario (60% Probability) Entry Criteria: Pullback to 46,650-46,700 with bullish engulfing or hammer on 15M chart RSI (15M) reaches 40-45 oversold region Volume contraction during pullback, expansion on reversal Trade Setup: Entry: 46,680-46,720 Stop Loss: 46,580 (100 points risk) Target 1: 46,850 (130 points, 1.3:1 R/R) - scale out 50% Target 2: 47,000 (280 points, 2.8:1 R/R) - scale out 30% Target 3: 47,150 (430 points, 4.3:1 R/R) - let 20% run Optimal Entry Times: 9:45-10:15 AM EST (post-opening volatility) 2:00-3:00 PM EST (afternoon momentum) Bearish Scenario (40% Probability) Entry Criteria: Rejection at 46,900-47,000 with bearish engulfing on 15M/30M RSI (15M) overbought above 70 Break below 46,780 (short-term support) Trade Setup: Entry: 46,760-46,800 (after break confirmation) Stop Loss: 46,920 (120-160 points risk) Target 1: 46,650 (110-150 points) - cover 50% Target 2: 46,500 (260-300 points) - cover 30% Target 3: 46,300 (460-500 points) - trail remainder Optimal Entry Times: 10:30-11:00 AM EST (if morning rally fails) 3:00-3:45 PM EST (late-day profit taking) SWING TRADING PLAN (1-4 Week Horizon) Primary Swing Setup - Bullish Continuation Entry Strategy: Ideal Entry Zone: 46,300-46,500 (if pullback materializes) Aggressive Entry: Current levels with 46,450 stop Pattern: Bull flag/ascending channel continuation Position Management: Entry: 46,400 (scale in 30% at 46,500, 40% at 46,400, 30% at 46,300 if available) Stop Loss: 46,100 (300 points, daily close below) Target 1: 47,200 (700-800 points) - reduce 40% Target 2: 47,800 (1,300-1,400 points) - reduce 30% Target 3: 48,500 (2,000+ points) - trail with 50 EMA Timeframe: 2-4 weeks Confidence Level: 65% Alternative Swing Setup - Mean Reversion Short Activation Criteria: Daily close below 46,500 with volume above 20-day average RSI daily breaks below 50 Break of ascending trendline from September Trade Setup: Entry: 46,450-46,500 (after confirmation) Stop Loss: 46,850 (350-400 points) Target 1: 46,000 (450-500 points) - cover 50% Target 2: 45,600 (850-900 points) - cover 30% Target 3: 45,200 (1,250-1,300 points) - trail remainder Timeframe: 1-3 weeks Confidence Level: 35% (lower probability setup) WEEKLY ROADMAP (October 4-11) Monday-Tuesday (Oct 6-7): Expected Range: 46,500-47,100 Bias: Neutral to bullish - watch for pullback completion Key Level: 46,700 (holding above maintains bullish structure) Wednesday-Thursday (Oct 8-9): Gann Time Window: Potential reversal period Strategy: Reduce position size; let patterns develop Watch: Economic data releases could spike volatility Friday (Oct 10): Weekly Close: Critical for swing positioning Bullish Confirmation: Close above 46,850 Bearish Warning: Close below 46,600 RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES Position Sizing Intraday: Risk 0.5-1% of capital per trade Swing Trades: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade Max Portfolio Heat: 4-5% across all positions Key Risk Levels Invalidation Point (Bulls): Daily close below 46,100 Invalidation Point (Bears): Daily close above 47,300 Correlation Monitoring Watch US10Y yields (inverse correlation currently strong) S&P 500 and Nasdaq leading/lagging analysis Dollar Index impact on risk appetite MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS Macroeconomic Considerations Federal Reserve policy stance remains influential Q3 earnings season beginning - watch corporate guidance Geopolitical tensions requiring monitoring (Middle East, US-China) Sentiment Indicators VIX below 15 suggests complacency - potential volatility spike risk Put/Call ratios showing neutral sentiment Institutional flows appear distributive near highs Seasonal Patterns October historically volatile (correction risk) Year-end rally potential if correction occurs early month FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS For Intraday Traders: Best Setup: Wait for pullback to 46,650-46,700 for low-risk long entries Avoid: Chasing above 46,900 without confirmation Focus Timeframes: 15-minute and 1-hour charts for entries; 5-minute for exits For Swing Traders: Patience Required: Current levels are extended; wait for 46,300-46,500 zone Alternative: Small position at current levels with very tight stops (46,650) Best Risk/Reward: Appears in the 46,300-46,400 region Overall Market Outlook: Bullish bias maintained with 60-65% probability of testing 47,200+ in coming 2-3 weeks. However, near-term consolidation or shallow pullback (5-7%) is healthy and would provide better entry opportunities. The combination of weakening momentum indicators and potential Gann time reversal window suggests patience will be rewarded. TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NOTES FOMO Warning: Resist urge to chase at current elevated levels Discipline: Stick to predefined entry zones even if price continues higher Flexibility: Be ready to flip bias if key levels break (46,100 bears / 47,300 bulls) Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Next Update: October 7, 2025 (Mid-week review with refined levels) Analysis combines multiple technical methodologies for comprehensive market perspective. No single indicator should be used in isolation. Confluence of signals increases probability of success.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
DowJones Key Trading levels Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 46900 Resistance Level 2: 47000 Resistance Level 3: 47210 Support Level 1: 46490 Support Level 2: 46410 Support Level 3: 46270 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Dow Oversold bounce back?Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 46560 Resistance Level 2: 46700 Resistance Level 3: 46850 Support Level 1: 45960 Support Level 2: 45840 Support Level 3: 45670 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/30/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/30/2025 US30 is consolidating after rejecting 46,450, holding above 46,100 support. EMAs are tightening → market waiting for direction. 📊 Market Behavior: 🔹 Sideways chop between 46,100 – 46,400 🔹 Sellers defending the upper zone 🔹 Buyers still holding structure above 45,800 📌 Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance Zones: 46,400 → rejection zone 46,650 → breakout trigger 🔹 Support Zones: 46,100 → short-term demand 45,837 → key pivot 45,722 → deeper support 45,181 → bear target if broken 🧠 Bias: Neutral → breakout mode. Bullish above 46,400 🚀 / Bearish below 46,100 ⚠️
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey