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US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/08/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/08/2025 US30 continues to range tightly after failing to sustain the breakout above 45,750 resistance. Price is now chopping around 45,450, stuck between 45,490 resistance and 45,300–45,200 support. The EMAs are flat and overlapping → confirming lack of trend direction. This is a compression zone before the next big move. 📊 Current Market Behavior: 🔄 Sideways chop between 45,200–45,700 📉 Multiple rejections at 45,750 🧱 Strong support holding around 45,200–45,300 ⚠️ Volatility squeeze → expansion incoming 📌 Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance Zones: 45,490 → Intraday lid 45,690 → Minor supply 45,739–45,751 → Major rejection zone 🔹 Support Zones: 45,300–45,200 → Current demand pocket 44,988 → Mid-range floor 44,704 → Deeper support 🧠 Bias: 🔄 Neutral → Waiting for breakout Above 45,750 = bullish continuation Below 45,200 = bearish momentum shift
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
US30| Pullback Continuation SetupPair/Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones) Bias: Bullish overall HTF (4H+): • Price is in a strong uptrend. • Breaking major highs with strong volume confirming momentum. • Candles printing with conviction — clear bullish control. MTF (30M/1H): • Waiting for sell-side liquidity sweep to trigger and respect internal framework OBs. • Once mitigation occurs, the pullback will be primed for continuation. LTF (5M/15M): • Monitor for clean CHoCH + OB entry confirmations aligned with higher-timeframe bias. • Entries anticipate continuation leg without chasing. Targets: • TP1: ~5.5 points / units from entry (quick partial target based on immediate LTF highs). • TP2: ~30.5 points / units from entry (extended target based on HTF liquidity and swing). Mindset Note: • Wait for structured pullback and mitigation. Patience > impulse. • Let the market sweep liquidity and set up your OBs before committing — the high-probability continuation will follow naturally.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by Juicemannn
US 10 Major Rotation: MACD Quadrant Matrix Signals Sector ShiftsBased on the MACD Quadrant Matrix – 10 US Majors, we are seeing clear evidence of rotation between mega-cap tech stocks and large-cap value leaders. 🔹 Quadrant 1 (Leading – MACD Positive, Momentum Positive): Strong performers remain in this quadrant: GOOGL, BRK.B, UNH, AAPL, TSLA. These stocks show sustained buying pressure and positive momentum. 🔸 Quadrant 2 (Weakening – MACD Positive, Momentum Negative): META is starting to lose momentum despite a positive MACD → this could signal either consolidation or early weakness. 🔻 Quadrant 3 (Lagging – MACD Negative, Momentum Negative): MSFT and NVDA are under pressure with both MACD and momentum turning negative. These names face higher downside risk if weakness continues. 🟢 Quadrant 4 (Improving – MACD Negative, Momentum Positive): AMZN is in recovery mode, showing early signs of improvement. A breakout from this quadrant could push it into leadership. Market Takeaway: Rotation suggests select tech leaders (MSFT, NVDA) are moving into a corrective phase. GOOGL, AAPL, TSLA remain strong leadership candidates. Defensive large caps (BRK.B, UNH) continue to act as stable outperformers. Trading Strategy: Favor holdings in Quadrant 1 leaders (GOOGL, AAPL, TSLA, BRK.B, UNH). Watch AMZN in Quadrant 4 for a potential breakout. Be cautious with MSFT, NVDA in Quadrant 3 due to continued downside risk. Risk Management: Use stop-loss levels on weakening names. Diversify between growth and defensive leaders to balance exposure.
DJ:DJI
by Nungz
US30 At a Monumental High - Parabolic or Poised to Pull Back?US30 Technical Analysis: 🏭 At a Monumental High - Parabolic or Poised to Pull Back? 📉 Asset: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD) Analysis Date: September 5, 2025 Current Closing Price: 45,411.3 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4) Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐 The US30 is trading at an all-time high in a powerful, near-parabolic advance. 🚀 While the trend is unequivocally bullish, the index is displaying extreme overbought conditions and is testing a major psychological barrier at 45,500. This represents a classic FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) zone. A decisive breakout could see an extension of the rally, but the risk of a sharp, profit-driven pullback is significantly elevated. 📊 Prudence suggests waiting for a better risk-reward entry rather than chasing the move. This analysis outlines key levels for intraday traders 🎯 and swing traders 📈. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍 1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart): Primary Trend: 🟢 Strongly Bullish. Price is miles above all key moving averages, which are fanned out bullishly. Momentum: 🟡 Exhaustion Signs. The rally has been almost vertical. Such moves are unsustainable in the short term and often conclude with a volatile correction. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories: Parabolic Rise 📈➡️📉: The chart structure is parabolic. While bullish, these patterns are notoriously fragile and prone to sharp reversals as traders take profits. Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: The rally is a clear five-wave impulse. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5. This implies the completion of a cycle and warns that a larger, more complex corrective phase (Wave A-B-C or a deep Wave 4) is increasingly probable. A typical retracement target would be the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the entire Wave 3 rally. Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is extremely far above the Cloud on all timeframes, indicating massive bullish momentum but also a severe over-extension from equilibrium. A mean reversion pullback towards the Cloud is a high-probability event. Gann Theory ⏳: The 45,500 level is a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break above could target the next Gann angle, but rejection here is a significant risk. 3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance (R1): 45,500 - 45,600 (Key Psychological & Parabolic Resistance) 🚨 Resistance (R2): 46,000 (Projected Target if breakout occurs) Current Closing Price: ~45,411 Support (S1): 44,800 - 45,000 (Immediate Support & Prior Breakout Zone) ✅ Support (S2): 44,200 - 44,400 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & 21-day EMA) 🛡️ Support (S3): 43,500 (50-day EMA & 50% Fib Retracement) 4. Indicator Consensus: RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is well above 75 on both timeframes, signaling severely overbought conditions. 📛 This is the strongest sell signal the RSI can give and warns against new long positions. Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is consistently piercing the upper band. A reversion to at least the middle band (20-period SMA) is a matter of when, not if. Moving Averages: The bullish alignment is perfect but stretched. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart is critical short-term dynamic support. Volume & VWAP: Volume may be declining on the most recent highs (a bearish divergence), suggesting the rally is running on fumes. 📉 Price is extremely extended from any logical Anchored VWAP level. Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯 A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts): Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: This is the highest probability play. Watch for bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star 🌠, Doji) at or near the 45,500 resistance. Entry: On confirmation of rejection (e.g., a break below a small consolidation low). Stop Loss: Tight, above 45,600. Target: 45,000 (TP1), 44,800 (TP2). Bullish Scenario (Breakout Fade) ⚠️: Chasing a breakout here is high-risk. If price breaks above 45,500, it's safer to wait for a pullback to that level for a support re-test before considering a long. B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts): Strategy: WAIT FOR A PULLBACK. The risk/reward for new long entries at this altitude is terrible. 🚫 Ideal Long Zones: Wait for a dip to 44,200 - 44,400 or even 43,500. This would provide a much healthier entry to ride the next potential leg up in the primary bull trend. ✅ Bearish Risk: A daily close below 44,000 would signal a deeper correction is underway, potentially targeting the 43,000 zone. Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️ Key Risk Events: All US economic data (especially jobs and inflation reports) and Fed speaker comments are potential catalysts for a volatility explosion. 🔥 The market is priced for perfection. Position Sizing: Extreme caution is advised. This is a low-probability environment for new entries. Risk should be halved (e.g., 0.5% of account) due to the high volatility and unpredictability at peaks. Conclusion: The US30 is in a spectacular bull run but is in a High-Risk Zone. 🎲 This is a time for profit protection for existing longs, not for FOMO buying. 🚫📈 Swing traders must be patient for a pullback. Intraday traders can look for short-term reversal signals. The most likely outcome is a healthy and necessary correction to recharge for the next move. 📉 Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 44,200 | 🔴 Caution/Correction likely between 45,000-45,600 For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
Dow Jones in Accumulation: Breakout Will Set the TrendMarket Overview: US30 is stuck in a sideways range 45,000–45,600 after a strong rally. This consolidation looks like an accumulation phase before the next impulse. Price remains above the EMA (144), confirming buyer strength. Technical Signals: Accumulation range: 45,000–45,600. EMA (144) acts as support. No breakout – no strong move. Key Levels: Support: 45,000 – 44,800 – 43,300 Resistance: 45,600 – 46,000 Scenario: Main: breakout above 45,600 opens the path to 46,000–46,400. Alternative: close below 45,000 could trigger a decline towards 44,800–44,300. Conclusion: Dow Jones is building energy. Once the range is broken, a strong trend will follow.
OANDA:US30USD
by DENOLLAFINANCERU
Dow Jones Index Wave Analysis – 4 September 2025- Dow Jones Index reversed from key support level 45000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 45765.00 Dow Jones Index recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 45000.00 (former strong resistance, which has been reversing the price from the end of 2024), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous short-term correction ii. Given the strong daily uptrend, Dow Jones Index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45765.00 (which reversed the Index in August).
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by FxProGlobal