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WTI Crude Nears Yearly LowsOver the past three trading sessions, WTI crude has fallen by more than 3.5%, as bearish sentiment has regained control of the market. Uncertainty over global oil demand has heightened investor caution, particularly amid the escalation of trade tensions between the United States and China, which has reignited fears of a slowdown in global trade. This scenario could directly impact the consumption of energy products such as oil, leading to a further decline in demand in the short term. As this atmosphere of concern persists, selling pressure is likely to continue strengthening in the coming sessions. Strong Bearish Bias Persistent selling pressure has reinforced the downward trendline that has remained in place throughout 2025, with no significant bullish corrections indicating a potential structural shift in market strength in the short term. As a result, the bearish bias continues to dominate, consolidating the market’s downward trajectory. As the price approaches key support levels, it will be crucial to determine whether current selling pressure remains a decisive force in upcoming price movements. RSI The RSI line continues to fall below the neutral 50 level, signaling that bearish momentum remains dominant on average over the past 14 sessions. However, it’s worth noting that the price is approaching a key support area, while the RSI nears the 30 level, considered the oversold zone. This could suggest a potential imbalance in market forces and open the door to short-term technical rebounds in the sessions ahead. MACD The MACD histogram remains below the neutral line (0), confirming that the short-term moving averages continue to show bearish momentum. If this pattern persists, it could result in stronger selling pressure extending into the medium term. Key Levels to Watch: $66 – Major Resistance: Aligns with the 200-period moving average. A bullish move reaching this level could trigger a temporary buying bias and challenge the prevailing downtrend line. $62 – Near-Term Resistance: Corresponds to the 50-period moving average. If the price stabilizes around this area, it could lead to a neutral sentiment and a period of sideways consolidation in the short term. $57 – Critical Support: Represents the lowest price levels of the year for WTI. A break below this level could intensify bearish pressure, although it may also serve as a support barrier, allowing for short-term technical corrections to the upside. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
Crude Oil Approaches End of Elliott Wave PatternAbove, is the video review for Crude Oil. Taking a look at the longer perspective, a multi-year ending diagonal pattern is nearing its end. The weekly chart for TVC:USOIL suggests the decline is wave 5 of a 5-wave diagonal. The 61% Fibonacci retracement level sits near $49. We're anticipating a bullish reversal between current prices and $49 to carry up to new all-time highs over the coming years. Looking at a clusters of wave relationships and market geometry, I'd like to see Crude Oil reach the yellow box and punch new lows, but it doesn't have to. If prices fall further, then the 61% Fib level at $49 may provide support.
TVC:USOIL
by Alchemy Markets
WTI to $55 amid excess supply concerns?There was some relief at the start of the week for oil prices as traders reacted to the weekend news of de-escalation in the trade war between the US and China and figured that a potential extension of the tariff truce would be net positive for the demand outlook. However, the recovery stalled as WTI prices couldn’t break above $60 per barrel and have since turned flat on the week. The bearish trend thus remains intact for oil. Here, investors are concerned about the excess supply of the stuff hitting the markets, as the OPEC+ is gradually releasing some withheld oil supplies to win back market share. The group’s plan is to increase production by a total of 1.65 million barrels per day by the end of 2025. It has already increased output by 137K bpd from October. Against a backdrop of increasing supplies, it looks like WTI is heading towards the April lows of around $55.00 again. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by FOREX.com
WTI Crude Oil range trading support at 5747The WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the longer term support, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 6030, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 6030 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 5747, followed by 5677 and 5606 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6030 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6073, then 6170. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the WTI Crude price breaks and holds above 6030. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by Trade Nation
Crude Oil: Mainly Expected to Oscillate DownwardCrude oil has been in a continuous downward trend recently. Both the daily chart movement and the moving average system show a downward divergence pattern, and a new descending channel has been officially formed. In terms of operation, we need to continue to follow the bearish trend. Today, we can take the opportunity of a rebound at the 58 level to set up short positions. Special attention should be paid to the fact that crude oil is about to enter the contract delivery period. We need to focus on whether the delivery situation will disrupt the current trend. From the perspective of the current fundamentals and news, the long and short factors are clearly one-sided, and the overall situation still mainly depresses crude oil prices. Sell 58.8 TP 58 - 55 SL 60.2 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTIShort
by Clarke_analysis
Oil stays pressured by a looming OPEC+ hike and US–China strainsOil stays pressured by a looming OPEC+ hike and U.S.–China strains Fundamental Analysis 1. Oil prices remain under pressure from an upcoming OPEC+ production increase next month, even though they paused their decline over the past two days on news that India may stop buying Russian crude. 2. U.S.–China trade tension, especially tariffs threats, export restrictions, and port charges on both sides are likely weighing on global demand. 3. India has not confirmed a halt to purchases yet, but reports say some refiners may reduce imports of Russian oil. 4. Markets are awaiting EIA data, which could indicate the price direction, after the API reported a large build in crude inventories and gasoline, while distillates fell. Technical Analysis 5. USOIL keep falling, breaking below the previous low. Price move below diverging bearish EMAs, signaling strengthening bearish momentum, signalling for further declines. 6. If USOIL breaks below the previous low at 58.00, it could test the lowest level in four and a half years at 55.00 and potentially break lower. 7. However, price could first rebound to retest the 60.00 area before resuming the longer-term downtrend. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:USOILLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil
USOIL H4 | Bearish Continuation SetupUSOIL is rising towards the sell entry which is an overlap resistance that aligns with hte 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 60.40, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with he 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 61.91, which is a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 57.63, whichis a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
Crude oil's trend continues to oscillate downwardCrude oil has been oscillating downward in the short term, touching 57.7. The moving average system is diverging downward and suppressing oil prices, with the objective short-term trend direction being bearish. In the early session, oil prices rebounded from the bottom, but the momentum was relatively weak. The MACD indicator is operating below the zero line, and bearish momentum still dominates. It is expected that crude oil will mainly trade with an oscillating downward trend during the day. Sell 58.8 TP 57.80 SL 59.40 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTIShort
by Clarke_analysis
Copper and Oil: A Rare Divergence in the Commodity ComplexThe chart compares Copper (brown) and TVC:USOIL (blue) — two of the most cyclical commodities, both highly sensitive to global growth. Historically, they tend to move in tandem: when economic momentum improves, both rise; when demand weakens, both fall. But today we see an unusual divergence — -Copper holding near multi-year highs, supported by structural deficits and energy transition demand. -Oil trading below $60, its lowest since 2021, signaling cyclical slowdown and weak liquidity. This gap rarely lasts long. Either copper is too optimistic, or oil is too pessimistic — one of them is likely “lying.” Which one will be right this time?
TVC:USOIL
by OrbisInvestment
2
Oil market sentiment remains bearish near termOil market sentiment remains bearish near term Oil prices slipped as supply glut fears and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions weighed on sentiment. The IEA projected a potential 4 million bpd surplus in 2026, citing rising OPEC+ output and weak demand. Massive oil volumes in transit and storage are expected to reach key hubs soon, adding to oversupply pressure. Trade friction between Washington and Beijing intensified after new tariff threats and export curbs, raising concerns over slower global growth and lower energy demand. Analysts note that geopolitical risk has faded, shifting focus to inventory data. Traders await U.S. crude and gasoline stock reports due Oct. 15, with expectations of a 200,000-barrel rise in crude inventories and draws in fuel products. Outlook: Market sentiment remains bearish near term, with weak demand signals and high supply overshadowing minor geopolitical support.
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by ProfessorSingapore
WTI Crude Bearish continuation below resistance at 6030The WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the longer term support, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 6030, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 6030 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 5747, followed by 5677 and 5606 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6030 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6073, then 6170. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the WTI Crude price breaks and holds above 6030. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by Trade Nation
Why Oil’s Drop Fuels a Global Risk-Off SentimentWTI Crude Oil Monthly Technical Outlook: Below $60 and the Broader Market Implications As the fourth quarter of 2025 unfolds, the WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) chart offers a critical perspective on the state of global supply-demand balance and its broader impact on market sentiment. Trading near $58.5 per barrel, oil prices have fallen below a key psychological threshold, and while the move may seem technical at first, its implications reach far beyond the energy market. The combination of weakening momentum indicators, rising supply projections, and softening global demand paints a nuanced but important story: oil’s slide below $60 is no longer just a chart event, it’s a macro signal about global growth, supply dynamics, and investor positioning. Technical Overview: Momentum Loss Deepens The monthly chart for WTI shows a clear picture of fatigue after multiple failed rebound attempts over the past 18 months. Since peaking near $130 in early 2022, prices have formed a persistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows, reflecting an extended process of distribution. In recent months, WTI has failed to sustain moves above $70, with sellers consistently stepping in on rallies. The October bar extended losses toward the $58 level, marking the weakest monthly close since mid-2023. Structurally, this decline puts WTI in a critical support zone between $55 and $57, which coincides with the base that previously stabilized prices in late 2023. Should this zone fail, the next major support rests around $50 per barrel, aligning with a key Fibonacci retracement of the 2020–2022 rally. On the upside, the resistance band remains in the $65–$68 range, a descending trendline that has capped every rebound since early 2024. A decisive monthly close above that zone would be the first confirmation of renewed strength, but momentum indicators are still leaning toward continued weakness or sideways consolidation. MACD and Stochastic RSI: Weakening Momentum Signals The MACD (12,26,9) indicator remains subdued below the zero line, underscoring a prolonged loss of upside momentum. The histogram has recently turned red again, indicating that the MACD line may cross below the signal line, a potential confirmation that sellers still control the trend. Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI, which measures RSI velocity, has rolled over from midrange levels and is pointing lower again. Its failure to sustain a rebound above 50 shows that bullish energy has faded. If this oscillator drops below 30, it would confirm a continuation of weak-to-neutral price action through the rest of Q4. Historically, such conditions precede prolonged consolidation phases, where volatility contracts before a new trend forms. Together, these indicators portray a market not in full capitulation, but clearly lacking conviction for an upside breakout. Fundamental Picture: Oversupply Meets Slowing Demand While technical signals reveal a loss of momentum, the fundamental backdrop provides stronger clues about why oil has struggled to maintain value above $60. Recent data from major energy agencies, including the International Energy Agency (IEA), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), and multiple Reuters reports, converge on one central theme: the global oil market is entering a surplus phase, with supply growth outpacing demand. Large Oversupply Projections Read full analysis on my website darrismanresearch com
TVC:USOIL
by mrifkidrn
WTI Crude Oil: What Could Happen Next?Oil prices are sitting at a really important spot right now. Here’s what to watch for: If the price drops below $58.28, it could keep falling toward $50. If it breaks below $50, we might see it slide into the $43–$46 range. But if oil climbs back above $65, it could run up toward $74 again. So in simple terms: 👉 Below $58 = could fall more 👉 Above $65 = could rise again We’re in a “wait and see” zone ; the next move will show which way oil really wants to go. If you’re watching this market and not sure what these levels mean for your trades, feel free to DM us ; happy to break it down in plain English or share how I’m looking at it myself. Mindbloome Exchange
TVC:USOILShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
1
Will US–China trade tensions continue to weigh on oil prices? Deepening US–China trade tensions ahead of the APEC summit are putting downward pressure on oil prices. China’s Commerce Ministry announced sanctions on five US subsidiaries of Hanwha Ocean and imposed new port fees on American vessels. Meanwhile, President Trump accused Beijing of deliberately halting soybean purchases to pressure US farmers and warned of possible retaliatory measures, including ending trade in edible oils and other sectors. USOIL extended its downtrend, falling below 60.00, with diverging bearish EMAs indicating a possible continuation of bearish momentum. If USOIL fails to close above 60.00, the price may retreat below 57.00. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above 60.00 and EMA21, the price may advance toward 62.00.
TVC:USOIL
by inkicho_exness
Crude Oil Long 5 Stacks Fundamental & 5 Stacks Technical. I am trading Short Crude oil as we have 5 stacks fundamental bearish and 5 stacks technical bearish. We are trading with some extreme confluence here and it appears to be a perfect trade. We know know there is no such thing as a perfect trade however when all the starts align we don't think twice. Many things can happen but when you stack fundamentals and technical to such a strong degree we take action. Short crude oil with 1.00 Stop Loss and 3.00 take profit.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by OnlyAitrades
The price of oil is weird/strange.The price of oil has dropped so much after the peace deal between Israel and Hamas, and it's just waiting for a spark that could ignite the chart and push the price up. It's strange that the oil price is this low, and I don't think it's beneficial for the US since it's one of the biggest oil producers. For now, it's reached an important support level, and we'll have to see what happens in the coming days. It's unlikely that there will be any significant movement this week.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by PouyanFa
Oil vs Gold: Transition to the Next Commodity CycleThe chart compares WTI crude (top) and the Gold/Oil ratio (bottom) on a weekly basis. Historically, when the Gold/Oil ratio spikes — meaning gold becomes very expensive relative to oil — it tends to mark the end of the precious metals phase and the beginning of the broader commodity cycle. In the past three cycles: -2009 → 2011: Oil +219% -2016 → 2018: Oil +188% -2020 → 2022: Oil +572% We’re seeing the same setup again: TVC:USOIL sits at long-term support. Gold/Oil ratio has reached historical extremes. In each of these cases, gold had already led the move — followed by silver, industrial metals, and finally oil — the last to rally as growth and inflation expectations picked up. If history rhymes, this could mark the rotation point where energy begins to outperform within the commodity complex.
TVC:USOILLong
by OrbisInvestment
5