DAX weekly pivot map for 3 to 7 November 2025Why this matters
Next week is a sequence market. Final PMIs set tone. Germany prints factory orders and industrial production. The week closes with the U.S. jobs report. That mix often compresses ranges around fair value until something cracks. So the plan is one grid, two scenarios, three rules.
Chart to publish
Timeframe 1H on GER40. Add a single grid from last week Xetra cash.
High 24 348.59. Low 23 922.95. Close 23 958.30.
Pivot 24 076.61. R1 24 230.28. R2 24 502.25. R3 24 655.92.
S1 23 804.64. S2 23 650.97. S3 23 379.00.
Optional helpers. VWAP. Cumulative delta. No extra overlays. Keep it clean so the levels do the talking.
What I am watching on tape
How price behaves around the pivot during quiet periods. The first pass into R1 or S1 without a fresh release often mean reverts. If a surprise hits, the grid becomes a runway for extension. The job is not to predict. The job is to recognise when ranges are intact and when a genuine break is underway.
Catalysts and session notes
Germany releases often land near 08:00 CET. Factory orders midweek. Industrial production the day after. The U.S. Employment Situation prints Friday at 08:30 ET. That one moves global curves and the euro which feeds back into exporters. I do not hold risk through the print. I would rather enter the follow through once the first sweep finishes.
Levels that matter this week
Pivot 24 076 is the magnet. Above it the burden of proof is on sellers. Below it buyers need time to build. R1 24 230 is the first supply pocket. R2 24 502 lines up with prior supply. R3 24 656 sits just under the recent extremes. On the downside S1 23 805 is first support. S2 23 651 is where momentum sellers usually engage. S3 23 379 is the stress zone if the week turns heavy.
Two simple scenarios
Scenario A soft landing tone
PMIs steady. Orders stabilise. Production improves. Payrolls strong enough but wages calm. The tape accepts price above the pivot and north of R1. Tactics. Buy pullbacks into 24 080 to 24 120 with a hard stop under 23 980. First take-profit at R1. Trail into the 24 330 pocket. If R2 breaks on confirmation keep a runner toward 24 650 to 24 770 where supply stacked recently. The idea is to let the market pay you for being patient near the magnet then step aside if the grid stops working.
Scenario B growth scare tone
PMIs revise down. Orders miss. Production disappoints. Payrolls hot on wages. Sellers defend R1 and the euro wobbles. Tactics. Sell failed bounces close to 24 230 with a stop above 24 330. First target the pivot. Add only on a clean loss of 23 980. Manage into S2 and be pragmatic near S3 because volatility tends to spike there.
How to trade the grid
Entry
I anchor on 1H structure. I drill down to 15m for the trigger. I want acceptance around the level. That means a pause, a clean candle close, and a little confirmation from volume. Chasing the very first touch is optional and usually a worse price unless the day is a trend day.
Risk
Fixed R works. Use a small stop around the other side of the level. I like 0.5 R stops and 1.0 R first targets. On days with a data print I cut size in half or I skip the first twenty minutes. The easiest way to survive event weeks is to size for the noise and accept that some moves will run without you.
Adds and exits
Adds only after partials are banked. No martingale. I scale out at the next grid line or at VWAP if the run stalls. I do not marry a view. If the grid stops behaving I go flat and wait for the next high quality test.
Why this works
These weekly levels attract flow. Dealers manage hedges around them. When the tape is balanced the pivot acts like gravity. When the tape is imbalanced the break through R2 or S2 gives you a repeatable context to join the side that is pressing. You are not forecasting. You are responding with a simple structure.
Rules to pin on the chart
• Fade the first clean touch of R1 or S1 back to the pivot if no high impact release is due within the next hour.
• Trade breakouts only on a firm thirty minute close above R2 or below S2 with volume support and a positive delta profile.
• Stay flat into red events. Flat at least five minutes before the U.S. jobs report. Reassess after the first sweep.
Instrument
GER40 on the 1H chart. If you execute futures on Eurex or a CFD feed, tiny price differences do not change the grid. Rebuild the levels each weekend from the cash high low close so the numbers stay honest.
Mindset
The grid is a map. It tells you where to look. Your edge comes from taking the same trade the same way every time. Good process first. P and L follows.
Education only.
