Market analysis from ActivTrades
Spain and the European Automobile Industry Under Pressure: China Tightens the Grip as Exports Sink Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The engine of the Spanish economy is starting to stall. The automotive industry, which represents 13% of national exports, is facing in 2025 a downturn driven by both external and internal factors: weaker demand across Europe...
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The EURUSD pair remains in the spotlight following the new trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. ECB President Christine Lagarde confirmed that although tariffs of 15% on most products have been accepted, strategic sectors such as pharmaceuticals and semiconductors remain under heavy...
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) is not only focused on stocks and cryptocurrencies; it is now taking a bold step into sports prediction markets. Thanks to its integration with Kalshi, the app will allow users to bet on NFL and NCAA outcomes throughout the regular season. This move, presented as a “prediction market” to avoid...
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The energy transition has received an unexpected boost from the United States. Against restrictive forecasts, the Trump administration finally published the rules that define access for clean energy projects to tax credits. The outcome was surprising: far more lenient regulation than anticipated. What many expected to be a...
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Bank of America warns that Jackson Hole could bring turbulence, as the Fed may inject up to $2 trillion in liquidity. From August 21 to 23, market attention will be focused on Jackson Hole, where Jerome Powell may provide clues about the future of U.S. monetary policy. According to Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC), if the...
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Donald Trump could make a historic shift in U.S. cannabis policy. His administration is considering reclassifying marijuana as a less dangerous drug, a decision that, according to sources, could be announced within weeks. Currently, marijuana is listed under Schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act, alongside substances...
European Insurers: Yield Half That of Banks in a Low-Interest Environment By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The European insurance sector has shown remarkable resilience over the past three years, initially benefiting from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate hikes and maintaining solid performance despite rates declining over the past year....
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades A silent battle is being fought on Wall Street between humans and machines. Quants — algorithmic traders who operate by following trends — are showing a level of optimism not seen since January 2020, according to Deutsche Bank AG (Ticker AT:DBK.GE). In contrast, “flesh and blood” managers have reduced their equity...
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Booking Raises Its Voice U.S. tourism is facing a concerning slowdown. Glenn Fogel, CEO of Booking Holdings (NASDAQ: BKNG), has warned that the United States is losing competitiveness as an international destination due to slow border control procedures. Between January and July 2025, the country received 1.1 million...
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) recently released its quarterly results, significantly exceeding market expectations and reaffirming its position as a leader in the tourism sector, which continues to recover following the impacts of the pandemic. Fundamental Analysis During the last quarter, Airbnb reported revenues of 3.1...
Markets in Rotation: Cyclical Stocks Take the Lead in 2025 Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades In a 2025 marked by tariff uncertainty, persistent geopolitical tensions, and stock markets that started the year at record highs, it seemed reasonable to favor defensive stocks. However, market behavior has made it clear that the rotation toward cyclical sectors has...
British Banks Dodge a Legal Bullet, but Still Face Billion-Pound Costs Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The UK Supreme Court relieves financial institutions from paying up to £44 billion over the car finance scandal. The FCA is preparing compensation plans that could cost up to £18 billion. British banks have narrowly avoided a legal blow that...
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The oil market is bracing for a new episode of high tension. With Brent stabilizing around $70 per barrel, OPEC+ has made a decisive move: starting in September, it will increase production by 547,000 barrels per day—a decision that could significantly alter the global supply-demand balance. The announcement comes at a...
Nikkei Nears Historic Highs One Year After Its Steepest Drop in Three Decades Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The Nikkei 225 enters August trading above 41,500 points, approaching its all-time highs after recovering 26% from the lows recorded one year ago. In August 2024, the Japanese benchmark suffered its sharpest monthly drop in over 35 years, falling...
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Fundamental Analysis In 2025, gold has appreciated around 27% year-to-date, reaching a peak of 33.37% at the end of April, driven by structural factors. Its strength is based on global de-dollarization, central bank purchases, persistent inflation, and expectations of real rate cuts in the U.S. Since real interest rates...
Will the IBEX 35 End July at New Highs? Futures Point Up Despite Tariff Threat By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The IBEX 35 could end July near record highs following a strong opening across European markets. At 08:10 CET, futures on the Spanish benchmark were up 0.54% to 14,445 points, showing more strength than their peers: Euro Stoxx 50 futures rose...
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The European Central Bank has decided to pause its rate-cutting cycle after seven consecutive reductions over the past twelve months, leaving the deposit rate at 2%, the refinancing rate at 2.15%, and the marginal lending facility at 2.4%. This move, largely priced in by the markets, reflects the ECB’s growing caution in...
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Meta Platforms (TICKER AT: META.US) has posted strong quarterly results that significantly exceeded market expectations, driven by its solid positioning in artificial intelligence, advertising monetization, and the resilience of its digital ecosystem. Key Financial Highlights In the second quarter of 2025, Meta...