A 4 year bitcoin cycle in action

Bitcoin's four-year cycle, driven by halving events that reduce supply, has historically delivered consistent, though diminishing, returns. Considering the recent April 2024 halving BTC may have already peaked in October 2025, hitting a high of $126,000, aligning with historical timing patterns. Analysts suggest this peak is likely due to a continuation of the roughly 3.4x reduction in gains per cycle, projecting a top around $120,000-140,000. While institutional adoption via ETFs may moderate future volatility, the cyclical pattern remains structurally intact. According to the model the next major buying opportunity is projected for late 2026, after a potential correction to the $60,000-$80,000 range.