Bitcoin Daily 50 & 100 SMA day counts this cycle from crossover

This post is in conjunction with the weekly SMA I just posted.

It will predict nothing But it will give us an idea of how the "Cycle" is continuing or not, by the end of this month.

The day counts are from when the 50 SMA ( RED ) first drops below the 100 ( BLUE ) - BEARISH, to when the 50 Rises back above and remains above on the DAILY BITCOIN INDEX chart.

The First 2 occasions, since Jan 2023

2023 - 136 days
2024 - 144 days

Unusually, 2025 has 2 occasions where the 50 dropped below the 100.
The first lasted 75 Days in early 2025

And so , now, with the daily 50 having just crossed below the 100, we can maybe project forward and see when the 50 may recover back over the 100, IF the market remains Bullish

If we were to do another 75 days, we could expect the Bullish crossover at the beginning of December....which would be a similar total day count of the 50 below the 100 of the previous years this cycle ( 75 in early 2025 + 75 now )
THIS is what I think is possible as it has confluence with other charts.

If we have to wait around 140 days ( the average of the two previous longer occasions) we will be in February 2026
This Time does also have some confluence in other charts but it less strength

There is a Very Good reason Why O feel that PA HAS to climb again and that is simply that PA has fallen back below LONG TERM RESISTANCE>


As mentioned in many previous posts, that Blue Arc has rejected EVERY ATH since Bitcoin began its climb in 2011
There is also a line of resistance just below current PA position, that is squeezing PA....And it has never been crossed before.
IF PA drops much further, we WILL drop below that line of Support.


For me, THIS is what I am watching the most
Stay safe