Bitcoin Short Setup – Why It’s Still Early

📝 Bitcoin BTCUSDT Short Setup – Why It’s Still Early

At the moment, opening a short position on Bitcoin is premature.
This does not signal a buying opportunity here — it simply highlights that short positions (especially with leverage) carry high risk from this zone.
📊 Chart A – Major Channel Structure

Bitcoin is trading inside a major channel.
After breaking out of this structure and extending beyond it, price has shown clean and consistent reactions to the extended boundaries.

The latest rejection from the upper zone also aligns with the 50% mid-line, further confirming the significance of this major channel.
📊 Chart B – Short-Term Channel

The shorter-term channel also justifies the recent top.
However, shorting from the current zone is still too early, and here’s why:

Price has reached the 25% reaction zone on both charts

This level has repeatedly acted as a sensitive reaction point across multiple timeframes

Bitcoin is sitting on its 160-week trendline

Clear bullish divergence appears on both MACD and RSI

Given these factors, initiating a short here is high-risk and not technically justified yet.
📉 Short Scenarios (Only If Confirmed)
Scenario A — Chart A

Wait for price to revisit the marked supply zone, then short only with a clear trigger.

Scenario B — Chart B

A short becomes valid after breaking the key level, followed by a pullback into the supply zone.

📌 Outlook

My base view: Bitcoin is likely to correct toward the demand zone shown on Chart B.

📣 Final Note

Stay safe, trade smart.
Follow the profile so you don’t miss the daily live swing trades and day-trading setups shared here on TradingView.