Carnival Corporation
Long

Guessing the ER direction. CCL

17
🔎 Technical Breakdown

Current Price Context

Trading at $30.62, just above trendline support (~$30.46).

Price is consolidating under a resistance zone ($31.23–$32.77).

RSI: 52.09 → Neutral, slightly bullish bias.

Support & Demand Zones

Immediate support: $30.46 (ascending trendline + short-term demand).

Stronger supports:

$29.59–$28.59 (Fib cluster, potential retracement).

$27.13 (swing low).

$26.00–$25.19 (200-day EMA + equilibrium zone).

Resistance & Supply Zones

Near-term resistance: $31.23–$32.77 (weak high, premium zone).

Higher targets (Fibonacci extensions):

$35.29 (1.236)

$36.84 (1.382)

$39.35–$40.00 (1.618 / psychological round number)

Aggressive extension: $41.15–$41.87

Volume & Structure

Volume spikes confirm liquidity grabs at lows and highs.

Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish order flow.

Trendline + Fib confluence suggests continuation if $30 holds.

📈 Bias & Scenarios

Primary Bias: Bullish

As long as $30.46 holds, upside targets: $35 → $39.35 → $40.

Momentum could accelerate if $32.77 gets cleared with volume.

Bearish Scenario (Invalidation):

Break below $30.46 → test $29.59–$28.59.

Further breakdown → $27.13 or even $26 zone.

🎯 Trade Ideas (Educational)

Swing Long

Entry: $30.50–30.70

SL: Below $29.50

TP1: $35.29 | TP2: $39.35 | TP3: $40+

Breakout Long

Entry: Close above $32.77

SL: Below $31.00

TP1: $36.84 | TP2: $39.35–$40

Cautious Short (only if trendline fails)

Entry: Break & close below $30.40

SL: Above $31.50

TP: $28.50 → $27.13

🧠 Strategic Note

Institutions likely defending $30–31 zone (confluence of Fib, BOS, trendline).

Weak high above suggests liquidity magnet → probability favors bullish continuation.

RSI neutral → leaves room for expansion.

⚖️ Conclusion: Hold bullish bias above $30.46 with eyes on $35 → $39.35–40.
If broken, flip to bearish targeting $28–27.

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