ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Fri (Oct 31st)

73
Kill-zones (ET): NY AM 09:30–11:00; manage 12:00–13:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00.
Event (Fri): 9:45 ET Chicago PMI (unaffected by shutdown).

Upside continuation (LONG):
6,910 flips to support with a 15m close above → 5m pullback holds → 1m HL entry.
SL: 15m trigger-wick ±0.25–0.50.
TP1 6,928; TP2 6,945–6,955; TP3 6,980–7,000.
Quick-reclaim bounce at 6,889–6,888: sweep and instant reclaim → ride to 6,898 → 6,904–6,910.

Pop-and-fail shorts (SHORT):
Reject 6,904–6,910 then 15m closes back under 6,904 → 5m LH entry.
SL: 15m wick.
TP1 6,898; TP2 6,889; TP3 6,879.
Clean breakdown of 6,889 with a 15m close ≤6,887 → 5m LH entry.
TP1 6,879; TP2 6,865; TP3 6,845.

Management & risk
Viability gate: only take a trade if TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop.
At TP1: close 70%, set the 30% runner to BE; runner aims TP2→TP3.
Max two attempts per level per session.

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