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S&P 500 E-Mini Futures

S&P500 Can the 1D MA50 save the market?S&P500 (SPX) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in exactly 2 months (since April 13) and rebounded immediately. This was of course largely assisted by President Trump's announcement of halts on attacks and an upcoming deal with Iran, but there is also a technical angle behind it. Since the October 2022 bottom of the last Bear Cycle, the S&P500 tested its 1D MA50 numerous times during this Bull Cycle. Of those 14 occasions that this test took place while the 1D RSI was at 40.80 (which is the level it hit yesterday and rebounded), 13 times the price didn't stop on the 1D MA50 but declined more to test the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at least, with sometimes even dipping further. Only the October 10 2025 event rebounded on the 1D MA50 without dropping any lower. As a result, from a technical perspective, it is highly likely that the current rebound will be short-lived and by next week we could have a bearish reversal targeting the 1D MA100 potentially around 7080. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by TradingShot
1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Wed (June 10)Bias: The S&P 500 E-mini enters Wednesday near 7,340, down about 0.7% from Tuesday's 7,392.75 settle, after a wild 244-point reversal session and a tense overnight. Tuesday tagged 7,491, flushed to 7,247.25 by midday, then recovered the entire afternoon to settle right at the bull-bear line. Overnight, fresh Iran escalation headlines and a reported drone attack on a US air base in Bahrain pushed crude up 1.5% toward 90.60 and the volatility index to 21.85, while gold liquidated almost 3%. This morning's inflation report came in manageable: headline 4.2% yearly, exactly as expected (first 4-handle since 2023, energy-driven), and core 0.2% monthly, a tick cooler than forecast. That sparked a 30-point relief pop that quickly faded on the Gulf headlines. Dealer positioning amplifies moves below the 7,401 area (7,390 cash), institutional desks are openly out of equities below that pivot, and options flow is heavily put-tilted into a loaded calendar (a major AI earnings report tonight, producer prices and a European central bank decision tomorrow, the Fed next Wednesday). Net read: BEARISH below 7,401, two-way above it, with relief rallies into the 7,388 to 7,402 confluence the spot to watch. Resistance: 7,348 to 7,368 (post-data bounce high and yesterday's volume point of control) 7,380 (overnight open / computed daily pivot) 7,388 to 7,402 (prior settle, overnight high, value area high and the bull-bear pivot, key supply confluence) 7,410 to 7,431 (dealer gamma flip and the volatility inflection zone) 7,491 (Tuesday's high) Support: 7,330 to 7,320 (post-data consolidation shelf) 7,305 to 7,311 (overnight low plus the heaviest put-strike shelf) 7,275 (yesterday's value area low) 7,247 to 7,267 (Tuesday's low and computed pivot support, the structural shelf) 7,226 (short-dated gamma support that stopped Tuesday's flush) Primary Setup: Favor a short on a relief rally into the 7,388 to 7,402 confluence that stalls, stop 7,428, targeting 7,332 first, then the 7,308 shelf, with 7,252 the extended objective only if Gulf headlines escalate. Acceptance back above 7,410 with positive internals flips the tactical bias long toward 7,431 and 7,458. This is a headline-driven session with rich event premium, so size conservatively and take partials at the shelves. No entries before 9:45 ET; let the opening range form first.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Will US Reversals Hold?As of last week's close, all major US indices completed their weekly movements, and all of them indicated a reversal pattern. S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all formed a bearish engulfing pattern, while the Dow Jones formed an inverted hammer. So, is a correction coming? Based on these technical studies, a correction appears to be developing. We will discuss how to manage these risks and whether this correction will be shallow or deep. Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures & Options Code: MES Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by konhow
2
S&P500 vs DXY Is the market really headed for a 1W MA100 test?The S&P500 (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the bottom of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis. At the same time the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) started its own multi-year Channel Up. Typically, every time the DXY had a Bullish Leg within its pattern, the S&P500 experienced a Bear Cycle. Sometimes that Bear Cycle was a stronger correction (2022, 2011), others a prolonged volatile period (2018, 2015). The DXY has been basically trading sideways for exactly 1 year (since June 2025) and on January is touched the bottom of its long-term Channel Up. The S&P500 reacted immediately with a sharp pull-back that didn't however hit the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), it rebounded just above it. That is a key trend-line as during all of its Bear Cycles, the market always hit it. The other three times it even went as far as reaching the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). Because of this sharp rebound recently, the stock market is most likely closer to a 'smoother' correction phase like 2015 and 2018 than 2022 and 2011. As a result, if the DXY does indeed start a new Bullish Leg rally, the S&P500 should at least hit its 1W MA100 before the year is out and that can be achieved somewhere around 6500. It is not impossible to even go for a 1M MA50 test but after hitting the 1W MA100, the index can gradually start turning into a long-term buy opportunity again. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXShort
by TradingShot
1
S&P500: New 1H MA50 rejection eyes the 1D MA50.S&P500 has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.056, MACD = 79.990, ADX = 37.974), a long way from its overbought state just as recently as last week. Friday's selloff turned the 1H RSI highly oversold and this is the reason for today's early rebound, like the oversold rebound on the June 3rd low. The U.S. session opening saw the index fail to test the 1H MA50 and so far rejected just under it. As long as it remains a Resistance, the market could make at least a 2.0 Fibonacci extension test (TP = 7,230). This would also put the 1D MA50 to test, the market's first major Support. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by InvestingScope
2
Upcoming Correction: Shallow or Deep?Friday’s closing completed the weekly chart, with all indices indicating a reversal pattern. A correction is imminent. The question is whether this correction will be shallow or much deeper. How can we tell? Stay tuned for my upcoming video in the coming days. Disclaimer This analysis is based on technical studies and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult your licensed broker before investing. Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures & Options Code: MES Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
S&P500 hit its 4H MA200 after 2 months. Strong correction ahead?The S&P500 index (SPX) broke two major medium-term Support levels within the same trading day, the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is the first time to touch both in 2 months (since April 07). At the same time, it tested earlier its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Resistance and got rejected. This hints towards the possibility of an even stronger correction, but the Support 1 level (7340) has to break in order to confirm that. And with the 4H RSI oversold (<30.00) for the first time since the March 29 bottom, the probability of a short-term rebound to test the 4H MA100 as a Resistance, isn't low. If the index breaks below Support 1 though, it technically an immediate Sell extension Signal, targeting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) around 7220. A 1D candle closing below that too, sets eyes on the 1D MA100 (black trend-line), which is historically the top of the last Support Zone during long-term bull runs. Contact with it can be made around 7015. Note that, even this Target would be above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the whole April-May rally, which maintains the long-term trend bullish. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by TradingShot
5
The S&P500 Just Triggered Its First Warning SignalThe Sell Signal Is Here. But The Real Test Starts At 7,500 After weeks of persistent higher highs and higher lows, the first meaningful technical crack has finally appeared. The rising wedge that carried price toward fresh highs has now broken to the downside, and momentum indicators are beginning to confirm the loss of strength. However, the bigger question is not whether a sell signal appeared. The bigger question is whether sellers can actually follow through. Trend Structure The broader trend remains bullish. Price continues to trade above the rising 4-hour MA100 and remains above the major support structure around 7,500. The market has been printing a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which remains intact unless support is decisively broken. What has changed is short-term momentum. Support / Resistance Immediate Support: 7,500 This level is particularly important because it aligns with: • Support B • The projected wedge breakdown target • The rising 4-hour MA100 region Resistance: The broken wedge structure now becomes the first resistance zone. A recovery back inside the wedge would weaken the bearish breakdown signal. Moving Averages The chart highlights an important shift. 1-Hour MA50 Price has fallen beneath the 1-hour MA50. The chart specifically notes this as the first confirmed sell signal. 4-Hour MA100 The longer-term MA100 continues rising beneath price. This is the key trend filter. As long as price remains above it, the broader trend remains constructive. Indicators Visible RSI has rolled over sharply. While price was making higher highs inside the wedge, RSI failed to show the same strength. Momentum is now trending lower and sits well below recent highs. This confirms weakening buying pressure. Chart Pattern Rising Wedge Breakdown This is the dominant pattern on the chart. Characteristics: • Rising resistance line • Rising support line • Contracting upside momentum • Breakdown beneath support Historically, rising wedges often resolve lower because buying pressure becomes increasingly inefficient as price advances. The breakdown now shifts attention toward the projected target. Momentum Momentum favors sellers in the short term. The wedge failed. RSI is weakening. Price lost the 1-hour MA50. However, momentum has not yet damaged the larger bullish structure. That only happens if support begins to fail. Bullish Scenario If buyers defend 7,500 and reclaim the broken wedge structure, this breakdown could become a bear trap. The broader trend remains positive while higher-timeframe support continues holding. A successful defense would likely attract dip buyers. Bearish Scenario If 7,500 breaks, sellers could gain meaningful control of the chart. The wedge breakdown would then be fully validated. That would likely trigger increased focus on the 4-hour MA100 as the next major battleground. Institutional Interpretation Strong trends rarely end from a single sell signal. Instead, they usually begin with small structural cracks before larger breakdowns develop. This wedge break may be the first warning. Whether it becomes something bigger depends entirely on how price reacts around 7,500. Key Conclusion The sell signal has appeared. The trend has not yet broken. The market is now approaching the level that determines which side wins this battle. Discussion Question Do you think 7,500 becomes another buying opportunity, or is this the beginning of a larger correction?
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by TheCryptagon
4
S&P500: Extremely overbought & at the top of the 4 year ChannelS&P500 remains overbought on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 72.471, MACD = 227.460, ADX = 37.787) with the RSI above 70.000 for the 3rd straight week. This overbought streak along with the fact that the price hit the top of the 4 year Channel Up, are making us sceptical over the continuation of this run. According to this pattern, we are looking at a -6.78% pullback at least (TP = 7,100). If the index goes as far as to cross the 1W MA50, expect a 1W MA100 test (TP = 6,600). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by InvestingScope
S&P 500: Bullish! Buy The Dips!Welcome back to the Weekly Market Forecast for the week of June 1 - 4th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 The S&P 500 (ES futures) could move in either direction this week, as the market is currently navigating a tug-of-war between a massive technology rally and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Play this one by ear early. Iran is putting a damper on ceasefire negotiations, which could cause oil prices to spike and equities to fall. On the other hand, tech companies like Nvidia are surging with new AI product announcements. There is also Traders are eagerly watching upcoming U.S. PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) inflation reports coming this week. This will influence market sentiment. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by RT_Money
S&P500 closed 9 straight green weeks for the 3rd time since 2009The S&P500 index (SPX) completed on Friday 9 straight green 1W candles on a remarkable 2 month turnaround following the March Low. This is the market's 3rd such rally since the March 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. It has to be mentioned that SPX never made more than 9 straight green weeks these past 17 years. There three 9 week rallies have been the biggest green streaks it had so far. So the ones before the current one, have been from October 30 to December 26 2023 and from December 24 2018 to February 19 2019. The last one has been almost as strong as the current one (19% against almost +21% currently) while the more recent was a little weaker (almost +16%). Both streaks posted minor pull-backs to their 1D MA50 (red trend-line) levels after with the 2019 one starting a volatile period with a few successive pull-backs, while the 2023 resumed its strong rally after. It has to be said that if we had to compare the current rally to one of the two, it had to be the more recent (2023), as both emerged from strong rebounds following corrections that marginally broke below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This time, the 1W RSI is though already overbought and since 2020 on 8 such occurrences, the index corrected to at least its 1D MA50 almost immediately on all cases. It remains to be seen what happens this time, as strong A.I. investing sentiment clashes with still unresolved geopolitics, extremely high Oil prices and technicals that say the index hasn't touched its natural long-term Support, the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 2022. It has to be noted that both previous 9-week rallies took place either very close to it (2023) or exactly on it (2019). --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
2
S&P500 Tests Resistance Again — Breakout or Pullback Next?The S&P 500 continues respecting a remarkably repetitive short-term structure. What makes this setup interesting is not simply the rally itself. It is how similar the recent price behavior looks compared to the previous impulsive move from support. Trend Structure Visible structure shows: • Series of higher highs • Consistent recovery after pullbacks • Strong respect of moving average support • Price gradually grinding upward beneath rising resistance Current market structure remains bullish until invalidated. Importantly: The market continues buying dips instead of accelerating downward. That distinction matters. Support / Resistance Visible levels on chart: Resistance Zone: • Area near 7,635 • Rising trendline resistance currently being tested Key Support: • 7,455 support region • Labeled as "Support B" Earlier structure also respected: • "Support A" Interesting observation: The previous rally from Support A produced approximately: 2.43% upside expansion Current structure projects a very similar: 2.42% move Markets often become more interesting when symmetry starts appearing. Moving Averages Visible MAs: • 1 hour MA50 ≈ 7,530 • 4 hour MA100 ≈ 7,435 Observations: • Price remains above both moving averages • MA50 continues supporting short-term trend • 4H MA100 maintains broader bullish structure underneath No bearish MA breakdown visible yet. Indicators Visible RSI(14): • RSI rebounding toward upper range • Momentum improving after recent consolidation • No major bearish divergence visible on chart Momentum currently favors continuation rather than exhaustion. Chart Pattern Primary visible structure: Higher Highs beneath rising resistance Price action suggests: • Controlled bullish trend • Repeated support reactions • Measured upside expansions from support zones The market currently appears more constructive than volatile. Bullish Scenario If structure persists: • Resistance breakout may open path toward: 7,635 target zone Continuation would likely require: • Holding above MA50 • Preserving higher-low structure Current trend still supports this scenario. Bearish Scenario If resistance rejects price: • Pullback toward 7,455 support becomes possible • Loss of support could weaken short-term momentum At the moment, however: The bears still lack visible structural confirmation. Markets rarely move in straight lines. But strong trends often repeat the same behavior long before participants fully notice the pattern. The S&P currently appears to be doing exactly that. Do you think the index breaks toward 7,635 next — or does resistance finally trigger a deeper pullback?
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by TheCryptagon
S&P500 - Liquidity Traps & 3 Potential ScenariosThe current market structure is extremely heavy. Sellers are maintaining control, and the tape shows clear signs of distribution. Right now, the market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines (specifically regarding Iran) and is in a defensive posture ahead of Thursday's PCE data. Here is my playbook and the 3 scenarios I am watching: Scenario 1: The Slow Bleed (Base Case) If we do not get any concrete, positive news regarding diplomatic negotiations in the Middle East, the path of least resistance remains down. Expect a slow bleed into Wednesday as the market continues to de-risk. Without a bullish macro catalyst, buyers have no incentive to step in. Scenario 2: The Liquidity Grab (Bull Trap) We may see a sudden spike upward, but in this environment, I am treating any rally without news as a liquidity hunt. Smart money will often push the price into local resistance to trap retail breakout buyers. This creates the necessary liquidity for institutions to fill larger short orders before the next leg down. I am looking to fade these empty rallies. Scenario 3: The Diplomatic Pivot (News-Driven Long) If credible positive news regarding the negotiations breaks, the bias flips to long. However, execution will depend entirely on when the news drops: Next 6 Hours (Asia/Early London): If the headline hits during these thinner sessions, you can trade the impulse. Momentum will likely carry the price upward with minimal resistance. Late EU / Pre-US Open: If the news drops right before or during the US session open (15:30 CET), do NOT buy the initial breakout. Expect a brutal shakeout. Early long traders will be hunted. In this scenario, I will be relying strictly on Bookmap to look for a heavy downside liquidity sweep. I want to see aggressive absorption at a key support level — that capitulation wick is where the real institutional long entry will be. Trade safe and let the market show its hand first.
FX:SPX500Short
by AndyMorgan
S&P500 Short-term Channel Up finds Support on its 1H MA50.The S&P500 index (SPX) pulled back from yesterday's High but managed to find Support today on its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line). This is technically a Higher Low at the bottom of the 1H Channel Up. As long as the bottom holds, expect the current Bullish Leg to conclude at least a +1.57% rise, targeting 7580. If the price breaks below it though, the market may experience a short-term pull-back towards the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line), targeting 7450. A break below the 1H RSI Support (37.50) could be a signal for an even stronger correction moving on to the 4H time-frame. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500
by TradingShot
S&P500: 5 week Channel Up targeting 7,750.S&P500 turned overbought again on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 70.951, MACD = 30.680, ADX = 66.973) as it found support last week almost on its 4H MA100, at the bottom of the 5 week Channel Up. This initiated the second bullish wave of the structure. Medium-term target the top of the pattern at +5.88% (TP = 7,750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by InvestingScope