1. Overall Picture
After a strong bullish rally, price formed a double top → distribution phase signal.
The 3,740 zone is currently acting as a liquidity zone (area holding buy-side stop-losses from bottom pickers).
2. Order Block (OB)
Before the strong bullish move, there was a Bullish Order Block around 3,740 – 3,750.
Now price is retesting this OB → if it breaks, the bearish momentum will likely be confirmed.
3. Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCh)
At the 3,790 high, the structure showed a ChoCh (shift from bullish → bearish).
If price breaks below the 3,740 zone → it will form a clear bearish BOS, confirming a medium-term downtrend.
4. Liquidity Hunt
The 3,740 support is packed with buy stop-loss orders.
A sharp break below this level could trigger a liquidity hunt, allowing “big players” to accumulate around 3,690 – 3,700 before a potential rebound.
5. SMC Scenarios
Bearish scenario (primary): Price breaks the 3,740 OB → bearish BOS → liquidity target at 3,690.
Bullish scenario (less likely): If price reacts strongly at the 3,740 OB with a bullish engulfing candle → price could retest the supply zone near 3,770 – 3,780 before resuming its decline.
👉 In summary: Under SMC, the downside target at 3,690 – 3,700 is the main scenario, after which we should watch if “big players” push the market back up to continue the broader uptrend.
After a strong bullish rally, price formed a double top → distribution phase signal.
The 3,740 zone is currently acting as a liquidity zone (area holding buy-side stop-losses from bottom pickers).
2. Order Block (OB)
Before the strong bullish move, there was a Bullish Order Block around 3,740 – 3,750.
Now price is retesting this OB → if it breaks, the bearish momentum will likely be confirmed.
3. Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCh)
At the 3,790 high, the structure showed a ChoCh (shift from bullish → bearish).
If price breaks below the 3,740 zone → it will form a clear bearish BOS, confirming a medium-term downtrend.
4. Liquidity Hunt
The 3,740 support is packed with buy stop-loss orders.
A sharp break below this level could trigger a liquidity hunt, allowing “big players” to accumulate around 3,690 – 3,700 before a potential rebound.
5. SMC Scenarios
Bearish scenario (primary): Price breaks the 3,740 OB → bearish BOS → liquidity target at 3,690.
Bullish scenario (less likely): If price reacts strongly at the 3,740 OB with a bullish engulfing candle → price could retest the supply zone near 3,770 – 3,780 before resuming its decline.
👉 In summary: Under SMC, the downside target at 3,690 – 3,700 is the main scenario, after which we should watch if “big players” push the market back up to continue the broader uptrend.
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🔴9-12 signals per day
🔴Free knowledge support
🔴24/7 support for newbies.
🔴You always have priority.
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
✅MY FREE FOREX & XAUUSD SIGNALS TELEGRAM CHANNEL:
t.me/Jenny_in_your_area
🔴9-12 signals per day
🔴Free knowledge support
🔴24/7 support for newbies.
🔴You always have priority.
JENDA FISH 😘
t.me/Jenny_in_your_area
🔴9-12 signals per day
🔴Free knowledge support
🔴24/7 support for newbies.
🔴You always have priority.
JENDA FISH 😘
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.