CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)
Long
Updated

Beware of a reversal during gold price fluctuations.

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https://www.tradingview.com/x/qqedKUL6/

News:

On Tuesday (November 4), spot gold fell 1.7% to close at $3,931.78 per ounce, while December U.S. gold futures also declined 1.3%, settling at $3,960.50. Increased internal divisions among Federal Reserve officials and a cooling of market expectations for a December rate cut helped the dollar index break through the 100 mark, reaching a more than three-month high, significantly pressuring gold prices.

However, concerns about a U.S. stock market bubble and the longest government shutdown in history continue to provide safe-haven support for gold prices. In the short term, gold bears have a slight advantage, and gold prices face the risk of further correction. However, if Wednesday's ADP private sector employment data is disappointing, gold prices could see a dramatic reversal.

Specifically:

Gold maintains a long-term bullish tone, with prices continuing their upward trend today, holding above key moving averages. The daily chart shows that the long-term bullish outlook remains solid as gold prices hold above the key technical level of the 100-day exponential moving average (3675.95).

However, in the short term, given that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the midline, a further consolidation phase cannot be ruled out, reflecting that gold is currently in a neutral momentum phase.

On the upside, the first resistance level to watch is the psychological level of $4000. If upward momentum continues, spot gold is expected to retest the October 31 high of $4045. A further break above this level would target the October 23 high of $4155.

On the downside, initial support for gold is located at the lower Bollinger Band at $3850. The emergence of more bearish candlestick patterns could indicate continued downward pressure, potentially dragging prices to the next support level – the September 25 low of $3720. The bullish outlook for gold remains unchanged.

Trading strategy:

Buy:3955-3950, SL: 3945, TP: 3985-4010-4030
Trade active
Gold hovers amid numerous unfavorable factors, awaiting a reversal.
Trade closed: target reached
Gold's bullish trend is about to begin

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