NAS100 Intraday Technical Analysis

NAS100 Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025
Nasdaq 100 at 25,454 (2:05 PM UTC+4) — multi-chart confluences signal breakout setup.

📌 Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D re-accumulation; Dow Theory primary uptrend intact; Gann Square-of-9 vibration levels 25,520/25,320.

🗺️ Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:

• 1D: Broadening wedge; RSI 63 (mild bearish divergence); Ichimoku cloud support 25,180; bullish engulfing pattern intact.
  
• 4H: Rising wedge 25,280-25,520; Elliott Wave (3) mid-extension; anchored VWAP from Oct 29 = 25,180 (buy anchor).
  
• 1H: Cup-and-handle breakout base at 25,360; BB expanding; VWAP reclaimed post-morning dip.
  
• 30M: Symmetrical triangle; hidden bull divergence (RSI higher lows); volume contracting pre-breakout.
  
• 15M: Bull flag over 25,340; Tenkan>Kijun bullish; stochastic RSI reset—ready for push.
  
• 5M: Falling wedge retest 25,420; hammer candlestick confirms demand; watch bull trap on volume weakness.
  

🎯 PRIMARY LONG SETUP

1. Entry: 25,360-25,390 (VWAP + flag support) — wait for bullish 15M close above 25,380.
   
2. Stop Loss: 25,300 (below symmetrical triangle base).
   
3. Target 1: 25,480 (+26 pips).
   
4. Target 2: 25,540 (+86 pips).
   
5. Target 3: 25,620 (+166 pips — harmonic alt bat PRZ).
   
6. Confirmation: RSI >55, volume >20% of 20-day avg, VWAP slope upward.
   

⚡ MOMENTUM ADD-ON: Scale above 25,520 ONLY if RSI>65 & volume surge confirmed; trail stop to 25,460 once first target prints.

🔻 REVERSAL SHORT SETUP

1. Entry: 25,600-25,640 (supply zone) — trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence.
   
2. Stop Loss: 25,700 (above rising wedge).
   
3. Targets: 25,500 → 25,420 → 25,320 (Gann support).
   
4. Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection.
   

🚨 BREAKOUT & BREAKDOWN ALERTS:

• BULL: 1H close >25,540 confirms Wave (3) extension; target 25,720; move stop to BE+20.
  
• BEAR: 1H close <25,300 with volume expansion opens 25,180 cloud base test; watch VWAP support.
  

📊 INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) expanding; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope UP; EMA21>EMA50>EMA200 (bullish stack).

⚠️ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat completes 25,620; rising wedge failure <25,320 = Wyckoff UTAD signal; H&S only valid if neckline 25,260 breaks.

📈 TIMING & RISK: Gann 90° window 15:30 UTC; ATR(14)=90 pts; CPI whispers & Fed speakers elevate volatility. Risk ≤1% per setup; lock partials; avoid sub-average volume chases.

Educational purposes only. Align with your plan, manage risk, adapt to real-time action.