Peace be unto you
Primary Chart: Silver Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
A) Wave Analysis: Minor wave 3 peaks, sharp correction looms
Price is currently completing minor wave 3 that began printing on the 4th of October 2023. Minor wave 1 started printing on the 1st of September 2022 and terminated on the 5th of May 2023. Minor wave 2 sideways correction began when minor wave 1 terminated and terminated when minor wave 3 started printing. Minor wave 4 is expected to be a sharp correction in line with the law of Elliot Waves Guideline on Corrections (Wave 2 and 4) which states that "if wave 2 is a sharp correction, expect wave 4 to be a sideways correction, and vice versa". Thus, minor wave is forecasted to be sharp and retrace to 50% and 61.8% retracement levels of minor wave 3, i.e. minor wave is forecasted to terminated within the 38.6814 and 34.5068 levels before price begins printing minor wave 5 to complete intermediate wave (3) as indicated on the primary chart.
B) Indicator(s) Analysis: Bearish Divergence confirmed and bulls losing altitude. The EMA magnet activated, pullback before the next push. The MACD flips the script, and a seasonal shift is detected.
1) EMA 50 & 150 (Weekly) - Though strongly bullish, price will pull back to touch these moving averages before it continues to rally.
2) RSI 14 (Weekly) - The RSI has rallied above the 70 upper band in August 2025 and reached a peak in October 2025. On the 3rd of November 2025 the RSI reached a trough, and it is now printing a lower high whilst price is printing a higher high. This is known as a Strong Bearish Divergence signaling that bulls are growing weak and that price will collapse on its weight.
3) MACD H (Weekly) - Price has been printing above the MACD centerline indicating that bulls have been strong, but on the 20th of October 2025 we have seen a down close on MACD Histograms indicating a possible trend reversal and a change of season. This is the time to go short.
#SabaliCapital
#TechnicalAnalysis
#PreciousMetals
Primary Chart: Silver Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
A) Wave Analysis: Minor wave 3 peaks, sharp correction looms
Price is currently completing minor wave 3 that began printing on the 4th of October 2023. Minor wave 1 started printing on the 1st of September 2022 and terminated on the 5th of May 2023. Minor wave 2 sideways correction began when minor wave 1 terminated and terminated when minor wave 3 started printing. Minor wave 4 is expected to be a sharp correction in line with the law of Elliot Waves Guideline on Corrections (Wave 2 and 4) which states that "if wave 2 is a sharp correction, expect wave 4 to be a sideways correction, and vice versa". Thus, minor wave is forecasted to be sharp and retrace to 50% and 61.8% retracement levels of minor wave 3, i.e. minor wave is forecasted to terminated within the 38.6814 and 34.5068 levels before price begins printing minor wave 5 to complete intermediate wave (3) as indicated on the primary chart.
B) Indicator(s) Analysis: Bearish Divergence confirmed and bulls losing altitude. The EMA magnet activated, pullback before the next push. The MACD flips the script, and a seasonal shift is detected.
1) EMA 50 & 150 (Weekly) - Though strongly bullish, price will pull back to touch these moving averages before it continues to rally.
2) RSI 14 (Weekly) - The RSI has rallied above the 70 upper band in August 2025 and reached a peak in October 2025. On the 3rd of November 2025 the RSI reached a trough, and it is now printing a lower high whilst price is printing a higher high. This is known as a Strong Bearish Divergence signaling that bulls are growing weak and that price will collapse on its weight.
3) MACD H (Weekly) - Price has been printing above the MACD centerline indicating that bulls have been strong, but on the 20th of October 2025 we have seen a down close on MACD Histograms indicating a possible trend reversal and a change of season. This is the time to go short.
#SabaliCapital
#TechnicalAnalysis
#PreciousMetals
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.