SNOW Earnings Trade Overview (QS Premium) — 2025-12-03
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 65% | Conviction: Medium
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (2 days)
Strike Focus: $267.50
Entry Range: $11.53
Target 1: $17.10 (+50%)
Target 2: $22.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $8.65 (-25%)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Market Context & Analysis
Katy AI: Neutral to slightly bearish (-2.02%, 50% confidence) — signals slight downside.
Technical: Pre-earnings rally +6.57%, volume 1.2x average, MACD bullish, breakout above $268 resistance.
News: Strong earnings expectations with 1259% revenue growth, insider leak optimism, analyst bullish sentiment.
Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.94, unusual $350 call activity suggests institutional bullish positioning.
Risk Level: HIGH — conflict with Katy AI, elevated IV (157%), and earnings binary event.
Implied Move: $24.60 (≈9.3% move expected).
Trade Rationale
Edge: Combines strong fundamentals, technical breakout, and positive insider sentiment, overriding Katy AI’s cautious signal.
Timing Advantage: Earnings already released → captures potential post-earnings continuation.
Risk Management: Balanced delta 0.501, tight stop limits downside, consider scaling out at Target 1 due to high IV/time decay.
⚠️ Note: Moderate confidence level; use caution and reduce position size if necessary.
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 65% | Conviction: Medium
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (2 days)
Strike Focus: $267.50
Entry Range: $11.53
Target 1: $17.10 (+50%)
Target 2: $22.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $8.65 (-25%)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Market Context & Analysis
Katy AI: Neutral to slightly bearish (-2.02%, 50% confidence) — signals slight downside.
Technical: Pre-earnings rally +6.57%, volume 1.2x average, MACD bullish, breakout above $268 resistance.
News: Strong earnings expectations with 1259% revenue growth, insider leak optimism, analyst bullish sentiment.
Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.94, unusual $350 call activity suggests institutional bullish positioning.
Risk Level: HIGH — conflict with Katy AI, elevated IV (157%), and earnings binary event.
Implied Move: $24.60 (≈9.3% move expected).
Trade Rationale
Edge: Combines strong fundamentals, technical breakout, and positive insider sentiment, overriding Katy AI’s cautious signal.
Timing Advantage: Earnings already released → captures potential post-earnings continuation.
Risk Management: Balanced delta 0.501, tight stop limits downside, consider scaling out at Target 1 due to high IV/time decay.
⚠️ Note: Moderate confidence level; use caution and reduce position size if necessary.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
