SOLUSDT to $420 ? - harmonic butterfly/crab/deep crab

Extremely clean XABCD harmonic pattern spotted on solusdt. Please read the entire post for education, target entry and TP zones. I put a lot of research in it. Hope you enjoy the read. Not a financial advice, just for education purpose. :)


To summarize the post, the most likely harmonic completion is the BUTTERFLY/Crab into $350–$410 ( first TP).
Here’s why:
- Fits the macro Solana channel
- Fits Elliott Wave 5 target
- Fits the center of the yearly momentum projection
- Fits market cycle timing (BTC topping 2026 → ALTs explode late)
- Matches confluence on trendlines
- fear and greed factor - extreme fear ( usually expect a bounce)
- SOL historically performs deep harmonic extensions in cycles


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DETAILS:

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ENTRY ZONE (now to $118)
BEST entries are:
✔ $142 – $132 (current accumulation)
✔ $128 – $118 (golden entry zone) → this is ideal
✔ $110 – $100 (max fear entry if BTC dips)

Why these?
Because they form the C-to-D inflection, where harmonics begin their strongest rallies.

🟢 TAKE PROFIT LADDER (precision)
🎯 TP1 – $348–$417
Scale out 20–25%
(Butterfly/Crab PRZ + first alt rally)

🎯 TP2 – $540–$615
Scale out 40–50%
(The primary Deep Crab completion)

🎯 TP3 – $720–$820
Scale out 25–40%
(Extended mania phase)


🔻 STOP LOSS & INVALIDATION
You need two levels, not one.

🔻 Soft SL (Pattern Risk)
$110

If broken, pattern might retest deeper liquidity, but still intact.

🔻 Hard SL (Harmonic Invalidation)
$95 – $90



A weekly close below $95 breaks:
- XA structure
- Trend geometry
- Harmonic ratios
- Crab + Butterfly tolerance


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Here are details of the HARMONIC PATTERN AND MY NOTES....
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X → A → B → C → D progression is valid:
X = $294
A = $95
B = $255–268 zone
C = $122
D (Projected) = $300–$400 zone depending on harmonic type


Key points:
XA retracement at B ≈ 0.786 – 0.88 zone
This is what defines the pattern:
If B is ~ 0.886 → Deep Crab / Butterfly

B is around 0.788–0.92 area, so this makes it: A DEEP HARMONIC PATTERN → most likely a Butterfly or Deep Crab

(depending on how far D will extend)

Final D target depends on which pattern completes first
IF Butterfly →
⭕ D = $348–$416
IF Crab →
⭕ D = $540–$630 >>> my target zone.


If Extended crab... $750–$830



Most Probable Outcome (based on structure)

The most likely harmonic completion is the BUTTERFLY/Crab into $350–$410.

Here’s why:
- Fits the macro Solana channel
- Fits Elliott Wave 5 target
- Fits the center of the yearly momentum projection
- Fits market cycle timing (BTC topping 2026 → ALTs explode late)
- Matches confluence on trendlines
- fear and greed factor - extreme fear ( usually expect a bounce)
- SOL historically performs deep harmonic extensions in cycles




For your education... MOST COMMON PATTERN RULES
1. Gartley Pattern
🔸 B = 61.8% of XA
🔸 D = 78.6% retracement of XA
🔸 BC = 1.27 or 1.618 extension

2. Bat Pattern
🔸 B = 38.2–50% of XA
🔸 D = 88.6% retracement of XA
🔸 BC = 1.618–2.618 extension

3. Crab Pattern
🔸 B = 38.2–61.8% of XA
🔸 D = 161.8% extension of XA
🔸 BC = 2.618–3.618 extension

4. Butterfly Pattern
🔸 B = 78.6% of XA
🔸 D = 127.2–161.8% extension of XA