Looks like the crowded bond short consensus/reflation trade is about to get smacked... Positions in stock and options between 
TLH and $TLT. Extreme positioning usually does not end well for the herd.
I wonder if people shorting when market rate for 10-Years was above 2.31% ever even knew that rates have been under pressure since peaking over 3 decades ago.... Nevertheless rates can end the constant multi-decade state of decline, but my bias still remains to rates breaking the 2.31% support.
TLH: Long Positioning
TLT: Neutral Positioning
TLH and $TLT. Extreme positioning usually does not end well for the herd. I wonder if people shorting when market rate for 10-Years was above 2.31% ever even knew that rates have been under pressure since peaking over 3 decades ago.... Nevertheless rates can end the constant multi-decade state of decline, but my bias still remains to rates breaking the 2.31% support.
TLH: Long Positioning
TLT: Neutral Positioning
Note
For any wondering, you can track the EOD close on the 10 Year Yield on TradingView. #TNX
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.