Daniel.B

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About me Busy playing chess...
Joined New York City DannyB_NYC
Systematic Global Macro. =)
Markets Allocation
45 % forex 37 % stocks 4 % indices 14 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GBPUSD 4% | 11 USDJPY 4% | 11 EURUSD 3% | 9 USOIL 3% | 9
Daniel.B Daniel.B EIA/WCRFPUS2, W,
EIA/WCRFPUS2: Oil data... for oil traders...
26 0 5
EIA/WCRFPUS2, W
Oil data... for oil traders...

Oil consensus seems to be that it is expected to continue it's bullish run after the narrative behind the "long oil" trade completely does a complete reversal looking to surpass the highs...? I'm not sure about everybody else but crude is banging around its daily 200ma and testing the bullish uptrend it's been on for a year or so for the 5th time. It would not ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B EURGBP, D,
EURGBP: Breakout coming soon!
77 0 4
EURGBP, D
Breakout coming soon!

Hello Traders, EUR/GBP has seem to of formed a 10-month long ascending triangle pattern. After congesting within this pattern for some time it looks as if we have the potential for a breakout swing trade in either direction. I like to play it safe and trade in the direction of the breakout when it happens instead of trying to predict exactly where the market ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B IEF, D, Long ,
IEF: Out of neutral spread, looking for directional again.
14 0 0
IEF, D Long
Out of neutral spread, looking for directional again.

Hello Traders, I've exited my neutral options spread on $TLT today for decent gains as price retreated back to the center of it. I am now looking for the potential to add back into a directional position on $IEF (better cost basis then $TLH or $TLT) through common shares if we get a bounce at the 23.6% fibonacci level. Stop will be announced in the updates ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B USDCAD, W,
USDCAD: The beginning of a new uptrend?
120 0 9
USDCAD, W
The beginning of a new uptrend?

Hello Traders, The previous week offered a decent intra-week opportunity for me to short oil for a 2 day hold on the short (covered on Friday at daily 200 MA). Now on to longer time-frame opportunities with oil and oil related assets. Overlaid on the chart is an area chart of WTI Crude Oil (ticker: /CL). With the potential for further weakness in the black ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B GC1!, M,
GC1!: Crossroads
78 0 4
GC1!, M
Crossroads

Hello Traders, We now find gold at a true crossroads between what could be the beginning of a new bull market in the commodity or the beginning of a new leg back down to 1100. There are multiple uses for gold as a hedge for various reasons so I'll veer away from attempting to use any of them as an explanation and stick to the purest form of analysis which is ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B TNX, W,
TNX: And there we have it folks...
49 0 5
TNX, W
And there we have it folks...

We have now had the first weekly close below the 10-YR 2.31% Yield. =)

Daniel.B Daniel.B TLH, W, Long ,
TLH: Reflation??? Hmmm....
37 0 5
TLH, W Long
Reflation??? Hmmm....

Looks like the crowded bond short consensus/reflation trade is about to get smacked... Positions in stock and options between $TLH and $TLT. Extreme positioning usually does not end well for the herd. I wonder if people shorting when market rate for 10-Years was above 2.31% ever even knew that rates have been under pressure since peaking over 3 decades ago.... ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B UAL, D,
UAL: Iron Condor $UAL (10 Days to Exp.)
77 5 4
UAL, D
Iron Condor $UAL (10 Days to Exp.)

Hey Traders, I'm mostly testing out neutral strategies with small positions to add to a separate portfolio dedicated to market neutral strategies. The position is as follows. Option Strategy: Iron Condor Position Expiration: 21 APR 17 (Red Vertical Line / 10 Days to Exp -1.05% .) Total Legs: 4 Total Contracts held: 16 Position Breakeven Points: $63.74 / ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B USDZAR, W, Long ,
USDZAR: Zumas Power Play, South Africa Cut to Junk
111 0 5
USDZAR, W Long
Zumas Power Play, South Africa Cut to Junk

Hello Traders, News of South Africa being cut to junk has brought my attention back to the South African Rand. The reason for the cut stems from South Africa President Zuma's decision to remove the finance minister Pravin Gordhan in a move to fill his cabinet with loyalists. Historically, a shake up in the countries finance ministry has undermined economic ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B USDJPY, M,
USDJPY: Potential for further Yen Strength.
107 0 6
USDJPY, M
Potential for further Yen Strength.

Hello Traders, At the end of the month I like to do some monthly candlestick analysis and look at how the month closed and to get a better feel for the longer term perspective. Technically the yen looks poised for further gains since closing below the previous month's lows. I use depending on the asset class the 10 EMA or 20 EMA on the Monthly Charts to ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B XBI, D,
XBI: Another 50 Bounce
56 0 3
XBI, D
Another 50 Bounce

Is Biotech headed back to retest YTD highs at $72.50? The potential is there after a bullish bounce at the 50 Moving Average. =) Trade Accordingly.

Daniel.B Daniel.B DLPH, D, Long ,
DLPH: Quick banger...
36 0 7
DLPH, D Long
Quick banger...

The company meets my fundamental screens. But I'm just looking for a quick 2R - 3R bang from it at the moment. Trade idea is outlined on the chart. Price gapped again on volume above $78 resistance after basing below $71. Price is trading +4% from the 50 Moving Average and has had a significant run since January 2017, hence the reason I'm more hesitant to ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B IWM, D,
IWM: Bounce at Support
34 0 6
IWM, D
Bounce at Support

Hello Traders, So the market did bounce at moving average support areas. The IWM has bounced at the 100 Moving Average which also happens to be horizontal support.

Daniel.B Daniel.B SPY, D, Long ,
SPY: Market Pullback Scenarios / Bullish Plan
142 0 6
SPY, D Long
Market Pullback Scenarios / Bullish Plan

Hello Traders, Wow, quite some moves happening in the market today. We finally have an over 1% daily move in the S&P ETF. I'm personally watching for a potential bounce at the 50 Moving Average and plan to initiate a bullish position by purchasing some call options. When price nears the moving average I will update on the expiration and strike I'm looking at. ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B WB, D, Long ,
WB: Micro-Blogging Revolution *CHINA*
50 0 5
WB, D Long
Micro-Blogging Revolution *CHINA*

Hello Traders, I am taking my first bite at my newest position. I have been stalking $WB for quite some time, wanting exposure to the Chinese "micro-blogging revolution". If you want the fundamentals by the numbers you'll just have to look it up on your own. But the foundation of my fundamental screening in equities is based off of earnings growth... ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B SPY, 60,
SPY: Rangebound Trading Till FOMC
93 0 7
SPY, 60
Rangebound Trading Till FOMC

Markets remain quiet for the most part as it awaits the outcome of the FOMCs meeting this week. Trading within a tight range on declining volume between the 235.7 - 237.94 handles. A break on volume below the 235.0-.72 area would signal a heightened potential for a 2% - 5% pullback to lower previous higher lows seen for the current year. A break above on ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B AUDNZD, D, Long ,
AUDNZD: Strong 1 Year Base Breakout
85 0 7
AUDNZD, D Long
Strong 1 Year Base Breakout

Hey Traders, Earlier this year AUD/NZD broke and traded strongly above the 200 Moving Average prompting a strong bullish run towards the year long resistance level of 1.076, where price paused for a few weeks before breaking out of the year long base it had formed. RSI readings currently read oversold, obviously. So What I would expect or wait for is a ...

Daniel.B Daniel.B XOP, D, Long ,
XOP: Trend Following Back In
43 0 6
XOP, D Long
Trend Following Back In

Hello Traders, I wrote a technical post on the Oil & Gas Exploration sector and how I was looking to add portfolio exposure once more to this sector. Well for the past three days $XOP has been cradled at it's 200 Day Moving Average which falls within the 50% -61.8% pullback from the previous impulse wave higher to the 44.97 pivot. Today we had a decent ...

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