USDCAD possible scenario

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Key Observations:

Price is at the top of the ascending channel – suggesting potential resistance.

Strong supply zone (gray box) around 1.3950 – 1.4000 – price has reacted from here previously.

RSI is near overbought territory – showing possible short-term exhaustion.

Fibonacci retracement levels are marked (0.5, 0.786), hinting at potential pullback targets.

Projected move (curved arrow) suggests a retracement toward 1.3860 – 1.3830 zone (demand/support), before resuming bullish momentum.

🧠 Technical Bias:

Short-term: Bearish correction likely (pullback from resistance zone).

Medium-term: Still bullish while staying inside ascending channel and above 1.3820 – 1.3830 support.

📌 Possible Trading Plan:

Sell setup: Watch for rejection candles or bearish confirmation near current price for a short toward 1.3860 – 1.3830 zone.

Buy setup: Look for bullish reversal signals at the demand zone to ride the next leg higher toward 1.3950 – 1.4000.

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