Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders

10 hours ago

🏆 Friday’s Close & Recent ATH: Gold closed the week near $3,769, not far from its latest all-time high ($3,734) as bullish momentum continues to dominate. Every dip is being met with strong buying interest, reinforcing the uptrend.

📈 Trend Structure: The market remains firmly inside an ascending channel on both 1H and 4H charts. The broader structure is bullish, with corrections appearing as healthy consolidations rather than reversals.

🔑 Key Resistance Levels: The most critical resistance sits at $3,800, a psychological and technical barrier. Beyond that, $3,810–3,820 represents potential breakout extension targets if bulls push through.

🛡️ Support Zones: Immediate support rests at $3,753–3,755, aligned with a rising trendline. Deeper supports lie at $3,690–3,675, with stronger downside protection at $3,660–3,650. A sustained break below $3,650 would signal deeper correction risk.

⚖️ Likely Scenarios:
o Scenario 1 (Base Case) – A short-term pullback toward support before continuation higher.
o Scenario 2 – A shallow correction, followed by a direct breakout above $3,800.
Probabilities currently favor Scenario 1 due to overbought conditions.

📊 Short-Term Targets: On continuation, upside levels to monitor are $3,740 → $3,780 → $3,800, with a possible push toward $3,810 ATH+ extension.

💡 Market Sentiment Drivers: Geopolitical tensions, central bank accumulation, and persistent currency debasement concerns remain key macro tailwinds. These factors underpin the long-term bullish bias, despite near-term choppiness.

🔄 Retracement Outlook: Analysts suggest a retracement is due after the strong run-up. A controlled dip into the $3,660–3,640 zone could offer buying opportunities for swing traders targeting another leg higher.

🧭 Risk Levels to Watch: Holding above the ascending trendline (around $3,630–3,640) keeps the bullish structure intact. A decisive break below this area could trigger a deeper correction toward channel midpoints.

🚀 Overall Weekly Outlook: Gold remains in a strong bullish trajectory with $3,800 as the major battleground. Expect short-term pullbacks, but the path of least resistance is still higher, with long-term prospects pointing toward $4,000.

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