Gold Short-Term Wave 4 Pullback Before Final Wave 5 Rally

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Analysis Overview:

Gold has been moving within a clear Elliott Wave 5-wave bullish channel. The price recently completed Wave (3) and is showing early signs of a Wave (4) correction.
This setup suggests a short-term bearish retracement before the next impulsive Wave (5) rally continues toward higher targets around $4,350 – $4,400.

Short-Term Sell Opportunity (Wave 4 Correction)

Entry Zone: $4,225 – $4,235

Target (TP1): $4,120

Target (TP2): $4,060

Stop Loss: $4,260

Reasoning:

Wave (3) looks extended and due for a healthy correction.

Expect a dip toward the lower trendline or 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent impulse.

Long-Term Buy Opportunity (Wave 5 Rally)

Buy Zone: $4,060 – $4,100 (Wave 4 completion zone)

Target (TP1): $4,300

Target (TP2): $4,360 – $4,400 (completion of Wave 5)

Stop Loss: $4,020

Reasoning:

Price expected to bounce from the Wave 4 support / trendline.

Start of the final Wave (5) impulse should take gold to new highs in the current bullish channel.

The long-term trend remains strongly bullish.

Notes:

Wait for bearish confirmation (rejection candle or lower timeframe structure break) near $4,230 before entering short.

Look for bullish reversal signals (double bottom, engulfing candle) around $4,080 before buying.

This setup favors swing traders following Elliott Wave structure.

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