Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK): FAQ guide before investing🚀 Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK): A Deep Dive into Holdings and Hypothetical Returns
🌟 The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) is a popular exchange-traded fund offering investors access to some of the largest and most dynamic growth-oriented companies in the U.S. market. MGK closely tracks the CRSP US Mega Cap Growth Index, emphasizing mega-cap stocks.
🎯 Key Features of MGK
💰 Expense Ratio: 0.07%, a cost-effective choice for investors.
📊 Assets Under Management: Around $25.42 billion.
💵 Dividend Yield: 0.44%, distributed quarterly.
🏆 Top Holdings:
🍎 Apple Inc. (AAPL): 14.34%
🖥️ Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): 11.93%
🎮 NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA): 10.70%
📦 Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN): 7.63%
📱 Meta Platforms Inc. (META): 4.33%
🔌 Broadcom Inc. (AVGO): 3.54%
🚗 Tesla Inc. (TSLA): 3.22%
💊 Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY): 3.20%
💳 Visa Inc. (V): 2.76%
🔍 Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): 2.31%
📌 Sector Allocation:
💻 Technology: ~52.8%
🛒 Consumer Discretionary: 15.9%
📡 Communication Services: 11.0%
📈 Performance Overview
MGK has consistently demonstrated strong returns:
🗓️ Year-to-Date (YTD): 0.96%
📅 1-Year Return: ~21.09%
📆 3-Year Return: ~23.26%
📊 5-Year Return: ~19.26%
💸 Hypothetical Investment Scenarios
Assuming an average annual return of 19.26%, here's how various investments might grow over five years:
💲 $10,000 Investment:
Year 1: $11,926
Year 2: $14,219
Year 3: $16,951
Year 4: $20,207
Year 5: $24,070
💲 $100,000 Investment:
Year 1: $119,260
Year 2: $142,190
Year 3: $169,510
Year 4: $202,070
Year 5: $240,700
💲 $1,000,000 Investment:
Year 1: $1,192,600
Year 2: $1,421,900
Year 3: $1,695,100
Year 4: $2,020,700
Year 5: $2,407,000
⚠️ Note: These returns are hypothetical and assume consistent annual performance, which may not reflect actual market volatility.
🔑 Considerations for Investors
🎯 Concentration Risk: MGK heavily invests in technology and a few major stocks, tying its success closely to these specific companies.
📉 Market Volatility: Although historically strong, MGK can be highly volatile, particularly during tech-sector downturns.
📈 Long-Term Growth: Ideal for investors seeking significant long-term capital appreciation through prominent U.S. growth firms.
📌 In Summary: MGK provides focused exposure to U.S. mega-cap growth stocks with a strong track record. Investors should consider portfolio diversification carefully due to its sector concentration.
AMD
ACCUMULATION MANIPLUTION DISTRIBUTION EXPLAINED SMCHere i explained how you can use accumulation manipulation distribution trade . As a smart money concept trader you need to under when price is ranging and when is manipulating so you can take advantage of distribution. Using this can maximize your profit and reduce loss.
Types of Entry Models in SMC ConceptsIn Smart Money Concepts (SMC) trading, there are different types of entry models that traders use to enter the market. These include aggressive entry, actual entry, and order flow entry models. Here’s a simple explanation of each:
1. Aggressive Entry Model (15m): @Manipulation
Entry Criteria: During Liquidity (LQ) Sweeps at Killzones + Stack Entries at Lower Time Frame (LTF, 1m)
Description:
Traders enter trades during significant liquidity sweeps, particularly in key market zones known as killzones (high-activity periods).
They stack their entries by analyzing the 1-minute chart to find optimal entry points.
This approach aims to catch early moves by entering immediately after liquidity has been swept, indicating potential reversals or strong market moves.
Order Type: Market Order(post candle confirmation)
Traders execute a market order as soon as their entry criteria are met on the 1-minute chart, entering the trade immediately at the current market price.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
2. Actual Entry Model (15m): Post Manipulation
Entry Criteria: At Valid Supply or Demand or Flip Zones
Description:
Traders enter trades at well-defined supply and demand zones or flip zones (areas where the market changes from supply to demand or vice versa).
They wait for the price to reach these significant zones on the 15-minute chart, providing a more confirmed entry point that aligns with market structure and potential reversals.
Order Type: Limit Order
Traders place a limit order on the 1-minute chart at a specific price level they believe the market will reach, ensuring a better entry price.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
3. Order Flow Entry Model (15m): @Distribution
Entry Criteria: At Unmitigated Order Flow
Description:
Traders look for areas of unmitigated order flow on the 15-minute chart.
Unmitigated order flow refers to price levels where significant orders have not yet been fully absorbed by the market, indicating potential areas of strong buying or selling pressure.
Traders place their entries at these levels, often waiting for a candle confirmation to ensure the validity of the order flow analysis.
Order Type: Limit Order (post candle confirmation)
Traders wait for a candle confirmation on the 1-minute chart before placing a limit
order.
They analyze the order flow and wait for a confirming candle that aligns with their analysis before setting a limit order to enter the trade.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
Power of 3 - ICT Concept ExplainedIn this video I cover the topic of Power of 3 or otherwise known was PO3. This concept is also the same as AMD, which is Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution.
PO3 is the basis in which Smart Money approaches the market. As we have covered before, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market. To maximize efficiency for Smart Money, liquidity is engineered for the purpose of trapping uninformed money on the wrong side of the market and assuming the counter-party to their trades.
At the open of a candle, Smart Money is accumulating positions, usually in some sort of range. The next stage is the manipulation, where price makes a fast run towards liquidity, usually in the opposite direction of where price is intended to go, and then reversing rapidly.
The final stage is distribution, where Smart Money is offloading their positions above or below the marketplace depending on whether it is a buy or sell program.
The whole purpose of understanding this concept is to be able to anticipate the future direction of price, and to ideally buy below or above the open of a candle, again depending on what type of candle it is. I show how I anticipate the PO3 in this video.
- R2F
ICT's Market Maker Model - An Easy to Understand GuideIn this video I try to explain ICT's Market Maker Model as simply as I can.
This model basically depicts how smart money efficiently facilitates their positions in the marketplace. It is important to understand some concepts beforehand, such as liquidity, AMD/PO3, market efficiency, crowd mentality, and the fractal nature of price.
I hope you find the video insightful and that it helps you utilize Market Maker Models in your trading.
- R2F
✨❄️🌟 The Tutorial How-To Find a Magic on TradingViewFinancial markets just finished its memorial 2023.
Whatever the numbers at the “Closing bell”, on your monitors and in your portfolios, there is no doubt that 2023 year’s Santa Rally will go down in history as one of the most outstanding in many years.
In November and December, 2023 the U.S. stock market was rallying for the 9th consecutive week in a row.
This was the longest ever upside streak in SP:SPX over the past 20 years, since the fourth quarter of 2003.
Well.. just try to answer what happened with the market the past one time.
Happy New 2024 Year!
✨❄️🌟🎅🎊🌲💫⛄️🌠✨❄️🌟🎅🎊🌲💫⛄️🌠
The Last Nail to the Coffin of Random Walk Theory..!In this article, I want to make my argument against the famous Random Walk Theory:
First, let's see if the simplest thing that we think is Random and generates random outcome is really random:
Coin Flip
The most compelling finding that raises concerns about the validity of the coin toss comes from the use of mechanical coin flippers, which can be made to impart exactly the same initial conditions for every toss, namely the starting position, velocity, and force. In these cases, the outcome can be high, if not entirely, predictable.
Coin tossing becomes physics rather than a random event. It is the human element that makes the process random in that each toss tends to be at a different speed, sent to a different height, launched at a different angle, or caught in a different manner. Therefore, the possibility of practicing the task to reduce these different elements can be considered. If you try to toss the coin the same way each time, you should be able to make the outcome significantly different than 50:50.
A limitation of our study is the uncertainty about whether the individual results are repeatable. However, we conclude that the validity of using the toss of a coin to provide a random 50:50 outcome is thrown into doubt, both in medicine and everyday life.
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Now let's review My AMD analysis:
Please go to each of them, push the play button and see what is happening and then ask yourself if the market is a random phenomenon???
Obviously, AMD has had a Complex correction since December 15, 2021, but I predict all the moves correctly ..!
Another important thing to consider is in 1973 when Random Walk Theory was born, there was no computational power..!
at least Mr. Malkiel had no access to today's computational power!
The Biggest Secret of Rentech is that:
It was Jim Simons who build a good team and made the most money, but it was not him who solved the market..!
Think about...
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
#TradingViewPAY HOW TO EARN 💲💲 BY BECOME THE BEST AUTHOR ON TVGet rewarded for your ideas and scripts!
A month earlier, on the 20th of May, Tradingview introduced its new Rewards Program .
Sharing is powerful, right!? The TradingView community thrives on fantastic members who share their knowledge, experience, successes and sometimes even their failures. Interaction, open discussion and self-expression are the keys to understanding.
In the spirit of sharing, the TradingView team, believing it is fair that outstanding contributions are rewarded, has decided to thank their dedicated contributors. The TradingView Wizards program was recently launched to bring out the real wizards.
Inspired by this, TradingView has also launched a new pilot program that rewards authors whose ideas and scripts appear in the Editors' Choice section.
In the event that your idea or scenario becomes an Editors' Choice, your work will not only be featured to the entire TradingView community, but you will also receive a cool $100! If several of your publications are selected during the month, you will be charged for each. Learn more about the program and its terms and conditions in this Help Center article .
This pilot program is just the first step towards content monetization. TradingView promises to keep adding new ways to motivate great creators to enrich the community.
At the first stage, authors are rewarded for those ideas and scenarios that have become "Editor's Choice" in the international part of the TradingView community (only in English).
TradingView promises to tweak the features of the program and aspects of the program are subject to change as improvements are made to benefit our community!
I must confess on my own behalf that the TradingView Editors Team has A REALLY VERY GOOD TASTE. For all the time I spent on the TradingView website (that is almost eight years), I have become the author of more than 300 publications, and the best of them have rightfully become to an "Editors' Choice" column.
And so, just literally two months earlier, in April 2023, two of my publications became "Editor's Choice" again, in the international part of the TradingView community (in English).
The first one is 😀 SVB Crisis Is Over?! What S&P500 and VIX Are Talking About was dedicated to the US S&P500 index SP:SPX , while the market began to show the first signs that the Silicon Valley banking crisis was over. More details can be found on the publication page .
In the second publication - Occidental Petroleum Corp.: Bullish Bias. Continuation I've considered with technical aspects and opportunities of Value Investment Assets. Incl. NYSE:OXY - one of the legendary 92-year-old American investor Warren Buffett favorites, Occidental Petroleum corp.
More details can be found on the publication page .
While expressing many words of gratitude to the TradingView team, I must admit that the EP selection of mentioned above publications in April to the "Editor's Choice" was a pleasant surprise for me. As well as the launch of the #TradingViewPAY motivational Program a month later, the effect of which is extended to all the ideas and scenarios that have become "Editor's Choice" starting from the second quarter of 2023!
Proves and Screenshots!? - Yes, please! Everything is 100 DOLLARS working! ✨💖
Dare you too! Post your best ideas and scripts! And may the reward find the best of you!
--
Watch first, then share!
TradingView FEAT Pandorra 💖
AMD Reports: Planning for Each ScenarioAMD reports after the close today and is expected to have strong revenues over last quarter. The chart patterns suggest some Pro Traders setting up ahead of the report.
The question is how far can it rise on the retail reaction to the report? Where are the sellers? See the red lines. 124 is the strongest resistance for the short-term trend, but there are potential stalling levels on the way up as well.
Earnings reactions can be a very short-lived event, so prepare to take profits when the pro traders do. They trade against retail.
Bump and Run Reversal Pattern!This is my observation compared to the School chart article:
As the name implies, the Bump and Run Reversal (BARR) is a reversal pattern that forms after excessive speculation drives prices up too far, too fast. Developed by Thomas Bulkowski.
Bulkowski identified three main phases to the pattern: lead-in, bump and run.
Lead-in Phase: The first part of the pattern is a lead-in phase that can last 1 month or longer and forms the basis from which to draw the trend line. During this phase, prices advance in an orderly manner and there is no excess speculation. The trend line should be moderately steep. If it is too steep, then the ensuing bump is unlikely to be significant enough. If the trend line is not steep enough, then the subsequent trend line break will occur too late. Bulkowski advises that an angle of 30 to 45 degrees is preferable. The size of the angle will depend on the scaling (semi-log or arithmetic) and the size of the chart. It is probably easier to judge the soundness of the trend line with a visual assessment.
Bump Phase: The bump forms with a sharp advance and prices move further away from the lead-in trend line. Ideally, the angle of the trend line from the bump's advance should be about 50% greater than the angle of the trend line extending up from the lead-in phase. Roughly speaking, this would call for an angle between 45 and 60 degrees. If it is not possible to measure the angles, then a visual assessment will suffice.
Bump Validity: It is important that the bump represent a speculative advance that cannot be sustained for a long time. Bulkowski developed what he calls an “arbitrary” measuring technique to validate the level of speculation in the bump. The distance from the highest high of the bump to the lead-in trend line should be at least twice the distance from the highest high in the lead-in phase to the lead-in trend line. These distances can be measured by drawing a vertical line from the highest highs to the lead-in trend line. An example is provided in the chart below.
Bump Rollover: After speculation dies down, prices begin to peak, and a top forms. Sometimes, a small double top or a series of descending peaks forms instead. Prices begin to decline towards the lead-in trend line and the right side of the bump forms.
Volume: As the stock advances during the lead-in phase, volume is usually average and sometimes low. When the speculative advance begins to form the left side of the bump, the volume expands as the advance accelerates.
Run Phase: The run phase begins when the pattern breaks support from the lead-in trend line. Prices will sometimes hesitate or bounce off the trend line before breaking through. Once the break occurs, the run phase takes over, and the decline continues.
Support Turns Resistance: After the trend line is broken, there is sometimes a retracement that tests the newfound resistance level. Potential support-turned-resistance levels can also be identified from the reaction lows within the bump.
As you can see all the criteria are present!
You can also find the same pattern in AMD:
Reference Article:
school.stockcharts.com
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
This is called WSB effect..!The goal of this article is to explain the Wallstreet Bets methods.
I believe all the market participants should be aware of their effects on the market and how they could derail any asset from a normal movement.
Let's look at some of their manipulations first:
1- NASDAQ:MVST
2- NASDAQ:WISH
3- NYSE:SPCE
4- NYSE:NIO
5- NASDAQ:FORD
6- NASDAQ:AMD
7- NASDAQ:MRNA
8- NASDAQ:NVDA
9- NASDAQ:TSLA
10- NASDAQ:AAPL
11- NYSE:PFE
At this point, you must be able to see the similarities between charts and also group them into 2 different categories!
Cluster 1: Small caps
Cluster 2: Big caps
In cluster 1: they usually target 100% or above
In cluster 2: The bigger the market cap of that company the smaller the wave they could push.
The big question is Are they predictable?
I believe their movement especially on the Topside could be predicted with acceptable accuracy if you know how to monitor their money injection.
Let's review some of my published analysis about their plays:
August 17, 2021, one day before manipulation ends:
NYSE:PFE
August 10th, 2021, right at the last day!
NASDAQ:MRNA
August 4th, right at the last day..!
AMD
Defining the hypothesis:
1-The Wall Street Bets phenomenon could be a very smart Algorithmic Trading Platform that creates bullish and bearish rallies by smart money injection or withdrawal, and it is not a group of "Apes".
2- Their target prices could be predictable using Option trades data
3- Their pattern of behavior is not Pump and Dump, but it is "Dump-Pump-Dump"
4- Most of their plays were in the ARK Invest's ETFs weeks or months ago.
I do not want to make this post very long, so I encourage my followers to read this article and looking at the charts carefully.
I will share my findings of WSB in future posts.
Moshkelgosha
My investment strategy. Example of my own $AMD position.I've been investing in NASDAQ:AMD since the last year.
AMD is one of my biggest positions.
For my long-term investgment portoflio I use fundamental analysis to evaluate stock buying opportunities.
If I like the company I then use technical analysis to determine entries, exits and targets.
Here is my technical setup on NASDAQ:AMD
I use a combination of technical indicators. Here is my process:
1. Determine current long-term trend channel.
2. Find supply and demand zones to form a box inside which a stock is currently moving.
3. Watch for the box breakouts using volume as an indicator of move's worthyness.
4. Find new boxes after the breakouts using the same process.
5. Rince and repeat.
This investment strategy is pretty flexible.
You can day trade/swing trade inside the boxes.
You can buy the breakouts when you identify them and sell in the next box.
You can accumulate large positions at demand zones of multiple boxes for a long-term.
Personally, for my long-term investments I add to positions after the bounce off of the demand zone and trim after breakouts when the move reverses to form a new box.
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Please let me know if you want to see a deeper dive into fundamentals in the future.
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Wall Street Bets Conquers The Stock Market..!It may sound ridiculous, but it is an undeniable reality.
WSB's most recent plays AMD and MRNA passed SPY in trading value on their picks!
Why this phenomenon could be important?
I usually sort the market based on volume price which shows the money fellow and is way better than volume. While volume gives you the information about the individual stocks, volume price gives you the opportunity to compare different assets.
SPY has had the highest Trading value (volume*price) in the almost entire trading year with 600 billion dollars!
SPY Fund Summary
The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, generally correspond to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the Index), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the Index.
August 4th, 2021:
AMD a 150 B market cap company traded 26.7 B on the same day SPY trade value was 19.5 B.
August 9th, 2021:
Moderna a 195 B dollars market cap company traded 20.5 b, on the same day SPY trade value was 18.2 B.
But another example could be Tesla,
On January 25th, 2021:
tesal reached its all times high 900 and traded 36B dollar while SPY traded 27 Billion dollars on the same day.
How to use this information???
Check the top 10 WSB's plays..!
You can use this information (trading value passed SPY price volume) to detect the last day of Wallstreet bets last positive day in their major plays!
Pric Volume*Price of WSB play (meme stock) > SPY trading volume Price, after a sharp rally and trading volume increased >200% in 3 days, possible end of manipulation!
For other minor plays you can use other criterias:
If after a sharp rally a +30% in 1-4 weeks, and in 3 consecutive days volume increased more than 200%, it is highly likely that days is the last day for WSB play.
Example:
PFE:
Do not Forget shorting against their plays is very risky..!
Behold... most OP indicatorThis thing is a complete masterpiece. I took the buy and sells from Lambo Script and plotted a background so I could see where it was buying and selling. As I was cleaning up the code, it dawned on me that I did not need multiple conditions for buys/sells. I only needed at 4 at most. This is a visualization of how it buys and sells. It looks almost like the Heiken Ashi scripts that repaint - but lets take a closer look at the precision of Lambo Script.
Where the Blue color changes to dark = sell. Light blue = buy.
AMD is still in raging bull and a parabolaAMD is an example of how market works and how the smart money works.
AMD is an example of how small bets can turn into big without taking any leverage or margin.
I personally don't know anyone who invested in AMD sub 3 dollars but they are plenty of then, hopefully they have not sold it yet.
AMD is an example of a company at the right time, in the right industry at the right point of time. Semiconductor is hot. Industrial 4.0, Deep learning, graphic cards, and AMD is just RIDING THE TREND altogether.
AMD is NOT the only stocks that did well. Globally, semis and tech have been doing very well.
Even in third world country like Malaysia, you have stocks that did 10-20x for the past few years benefiting from this major trend. Heck, AMD is a big company and still did 20x for the past 4 years.
The big gains will keep coming.
Learn programming and coding, scrape all the historical data from various data providers, do A.I and machine learning on these data, you will see the SAME PATTERN over and over again.
Parabola always happen and always act the same way. It is hard to know when the music stops, but ride it while the music keeps playing.
IR 4.0 is coming and we have not yet seen the impact from this industrial revolution, MOST people will come into the party late.
And most people will invest at the PEAK of this major global trend. Be the smart one, not the dumb one.
Remains bullish on AMD until 80-100 USD per share, then I may consider getting out my positions.
Regards.















